Dxy_short
The USD will fall during 2017.There is a strong bear divergence on the 1W and 1D DXY chart.
I believe during 2017, the DXY will fall to the low 80's.
I base this not only off the bear divergence illustrated above, but my strong doubt that the Fed will raise rates during 2017, and that the US economy will continue to slow.
GOLD, DXY, UJ - FOMC TradesFor my trading Journal.
Sold UJ @ 115.994
TP - Free
Sold DXY @ 101.58
TP - Free
Still running gold buys @ 1186$
TP - 1383 - 1430 ( Once gold there, most probably will close DXY, UJ short trades )
Max DrawDown so far - 35$
Most probably holding UJ, DXY over FOMC.
Will update this idea with FOMC signal produced by HFT .
Trade on your own risk.
DXY / 4th Slope Formed.Hi, Guys.
Last DXY shorts bring us great profits, depends on how you managed your trades.
I closed all shorts just before ECB meeting, right on Time, because I needed GOLD to drop and had a feeling ECB can give some strenght to USD.
Dxy formed a 4th Slope by new degree count.
I used that to reload shorts, overall 25k running.
This is a strategy test, so be careful and do your due diligence.
DXY @ 30 min. @ Areas during ECB (today) & FOMC (next week)99.11 DXY is in my opinion still the make or break line
prices above 99.11 DXY are suggesting still bullish scenario into new highs 2017 - eventhroughout Trump Election
prices under 99.11 DXY are suggesting sharper fall into SellOff Area sceanrio - even while Election Night in nov`16
I can still imagine after yesterdays 1st sharp rise after Trump Election that this basic trend still continous throughtout both central bank meetings. Slightly continously higher US Equities (higher Financials & Energies), higher US Yields, lower gold & higher Oil & even slightly lower DYX into 99.11 at least. A further fall into 98 or even lower until 96 would ShakeUp Equities faster, of course ...
How ever, if you wanna trade a swing (hold positions some days or weeks)
the ICHIMOKU Indicator & PPO Indicator were a good entry/exit signal triggers :)
Right here right now i am prefering to stay NEUTRAL throughout both events - until both indicators are switching back into the long option. then i would prefere the long side back again - even as trand follower :)
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
Best regards
Aaron
Short DXY rallies around 101, target 100.35Dollar index retreats from multi-year highs at 102.05.
Technical indicators have turned bearish on dailies.
We see scope for test of 100.35 (20-DMA).
Violation there could see next major support at 97.10 (100-DMA) and then 96.13 (trendline & 200-DMA)
Support levels - 100.35 (20-DMA), 97.10 (100-DMA), 96.89 (Nov 4&7 lows)
Resistance levels - 101, 101.10 (5-DMA), 102.05 (Nov 24 high)
Good to go short on rallies around 100.90/101, SL: 101.60, TP: 100.35/ 100/ 99.90
DYX @ 1h @ How to trade US Labour Data & FED Hike !?Important strategic horicontal lines for day traders
100.50 DXY Yearly High 2016 (before Trump Election)
100.39 DXY Yearly High 2015
92.62 DXY Yearly Low 2015
91.88 DXY Yearly Low 2016
90.20 DXY Opening Price 2015
In my opinion,
these levels are important for technical background knowledge
- even like informations on a memory card. But not important for Intraday Traders or Scalpres.
How ever,
to trade the next swing to the upside are, at least in my opinion, both yearly highs significant and pretty usefully to create an entry long above. Prices under could generate pressure until 99.11 DXY. Yearly High, two days before Trump Election, with dramatic intraday down side pressure and even upside swing ...
I would still prefere the upside in DXY above both yearly highs > 100.39 & 100.50
I can`t imagine that the US Labour Data today and FED Hike next week will change this dynamic upside trend. Maybe today or even before FED Meeting next week we`ll see intraday pressure even until 99.11 DXY. But i am don`t excepting it today. From this point of view you can take the lows 100.84 & 100.70 & 100.64 as entry capability - even for a new upside impuls. Cause the bigger picture for the DXY is even still pretty bullish. And teh Sentiment is not positiv or even euphoric - quite the opposite. Everbody is quiet afraid of a stronger DXY ...
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
Best regards
Aaron
DXY / 3 slopes, degree count and flush.Hello guys.
Rare post from me on Dollar Index, but I've been waiting for my degree count to complete as well 3 slopes to be completed where 3rd slope is in development followed by crash.
This analysis is done on pure JAFR calculations, where DXY constant number is 114.56 and degree count has become greater than this number.
Since I used JAFR predestionation calculations and said that I predict Trump as a president ( using gold as major indicator for that ) because in JAFR there are two general indicators and 1st one is GOLD, what is 2nd one I won't reveal. So doing the same calculations indicate me that degree count is done, so dollar is ready to enter new phase and is ready for huge bearish frequency rollover ( the same rollovers that I mention in Gold once in a while ), as well the 3rd slope is in development.
MDCKP will work as my TP for this trade.
I am very pleased and happy that I am very less brainwashed by news hype since I follow them barely, the only thing I like in that is that it push the market, other than that there is no snese of them at least for me, but is there a rate hike or is there a no rate hike, or whatever there is, DXY is set to .... ok I won't mention it, otherwise baby bulls will hate me in comments!
TPP.
[DXY] PREDICTIONS. We are in the right position!!!Hi Everybody,
I got interested in the DXY lately, I don't trade USDCAD that much but I decided to try it.
* to be able to predict (help you to predict) USD you have to look at GOLD, OIL and DXY (Support/resistance/pivots)*
-----> This one is easy! It got to a major resistance (last touch 02/12/2016) now it's retracing.
--> Ichimoku has been used to find pivot major supports and resistances
So this is my predictions for the next weeks. Let's hope you enjoy it.
Everything is on the chart. Need explanations ? ask your questions. Need my Idea on any other thing let me know.
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