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Dxyanalysis

Is the DXY dollar index ready for a correction ? H4 08.11.2024💸 Is the DXY dollar index ready for a correction ⁉️ Looking back to 2016 when Trump first became US President, the dollar index initially reacted with a sharp rise and then a prolonged fall. I wonder if history will repeat itself again or if the market will take his second presidency more calmly in the distance. DXY formed a sellers' zone at 104.80-105.16, but the far resistance zone at 106 remains intact. It's not a sure thing that it will get there, but I keep the option in my head just in case. The priority for me is to fall from the nearest sellers' zone with the targets of 103.30 and lower to 102.30. I will specify in the process. TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by KovachTrader
#DXY 1DAYDXY Daily Analysis The DXY (US Dollar Index) is currently testing a key trendline support on the daily chart and has recently formed a bullish engulfing pattern near this support level. This combination of trendline support and a bullish engulfing area suggests a potential upward reversal, creating a favorable buy setup. Technical Outlook: - Pattern: Trendline Support with Bullish Engulfing - Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity) - Entry Strategy: Buy near the trendline support and bullish engulfing area Traders may consider entering a buy position near this support area, targeting higher resistance levels. Additional confirmation from indicators like RSI indicating oversold conditions or MACD showing a bullish crossover can strengthen the signal and support the bullish outlook for the DXY.
TVC:DXYLong
by PIPSFIGHTER
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/21/2024Good morning, I will be monitoring the daily candle close today, anticipating a bullish pullback or reversal to develop over the next few weeks. Several indicators have pointed to this: 1. The weekly chart has surpassed the previous high established on December 25, 2023. Currently, the price is attempting to retest the Demand zone that led to the breakout of that high.. 2. The weekly demand zone is identified between 1.0775 and 1.0825. Pay attention to the key level at 1.080, as it appears to be setting up as a robust support level for the currency pair. 3. The market has declined approximately 400 points since September 27, 2024, showing minimal pullbacks on a daily basis. Notably, this price drop has formed a double top without a genuine next line test. I anticipate that prices will rebound to around 1.100 in the coming weeks. A break below 1.100 could trigger a long-term retracement back to the highs at 1.200. Volume signature indicates that market makers are gradually exiting the trend. The weekly outlook remains bullish and is expected to dominate. It's important to note that the weekly chart is currently retesting the bearish flag it broke out of between June 24, 2024, and August 19, 2024. TVC:DXY OANDA:EURUSD XETR:DAX
Long
by ThePipAssassin
16
DXY bias new outlooklast 10 candle does not have any liquidity which seems that price is likely to bounce from 1st poi but the candle from nov5 and nov6 will be important as it is bearish marbozu with nov6 candle could create bearish fvg that can give price another rejection zone to push the price to test poi 2 based on drawn poi poi 1 = 103.220 and poi 2 = 102.630 we need see if price is rejected from this zone followed by dotted line which represents external liquidity to grab and finally we have orange zone that is weekly bearish fvg once that is tested will follow with new idea
TVC:DXYLong
by Jimmy_Rebello
XAUUSD: Bullish trendToday, gold has tested the support at the 2732-2728 range again. So far, the support remains intact, and the short-term trend is still leaning towards a bullish outlook. Based on this, the primary trading direction in the current session remains bullish. From a technical perspective, gold is likely to continue its upward momentum in the near term. The key resistance zone to watch on the upside is between 2750 and 2758. It is worth noting that a resistance level has emerged around 2745 since the market opened yesterday. However, given the overall trend, this resistance does not pose a strong technical barrier at the moment, and a breakout above this level is not expected to face significant difficulty. Therefore, if gold can break above the 2745 level, there is a high likelihood of further gains towards the 2750-2758 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mia-Signal
EURUSD 1.09085 +0.71% short idea INTRA-DAY SET UP...HELLO TRADERS Hope everyone is doing great 📌 A look at The EURUSD NY FROM AM - PM SESSION * With a bullish run into Monday CLOSE (PO3) today will be looking for some retracement. * looking at the daily HIGH taken which is a sign of weakness on EU. * Looking at the VI below as targets as well. * on the 4H looking for a bullish open to take ASIA high LQ✔. * PO3 * Push higher before going for lower structures✔. * looking for an aggressive move above out of the range to sweep. * and aggressive in. * this where I would look for entries short. * Looking for the take of that ERL WHICH we saw friday. * with two possible OTE ( ASIA HIGHS, AND LONG TERM HIGH) , EXECUTION IS BASED ON RR & RISK MANAGEMENT. * DXY 15M - Will wait for the DXY to take ASIA lows and trade back in the range as a confirmation as well... * BASED on the price action served next session... * We will see what does the market dish. 🤷‍♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈 HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK. SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS. IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤ LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Short
by PULEMokhothu
4
GBP/USD: PAT + VPA 11/02/2024Good morning, The GBP/USD currency pair continues to exhibit characteristics indicative of a sustained bearish trend, currently favoring the U.S. Dollar. Several analytical indicators support this assessment: 1. The weekly chart for GBP/USD has been in a downward trajectory since September 30, 2024. Candlestick patterns suggest that "Market Makers" are gradually entering the market, purchasing at lower price levels. The weekly low is established at 1.26650, with a demand zone identified between 1.26650 and 1.2815. 2. On the daily chart, GBP/USD appears to be approaching a support level at 1.28168, coinciding with an untapped supply zone in that vicinity. 3. Since September 30, 2024, the market has experienced a decline of approximately 600 points, characterized by minimal daily pullbacks. This downward movement occurred following the formation of a new weekly high. I project that prices will descend to the 1.28168 level, where support may be found on the daily chart. This area could serve as a critical juncture for a potential pullback. Should the 1.28168 level hold, targets may extend to 1.132, representing the last significant low breached prior to the bearish trend that commenced on September 30, 2024, and continues to the present date of November 2, 2024. Volume analysis indicates that market makers are incrementally entering long positions, although they are not yet prepared to fully influence the market direction. The overarching weekly outlook remains bearish, yet a corrective pullback appears necessary. OANDA:GBPUSD TVC:DXY ThePipAssassin
by ThePipAssassin
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FX:USDOLLARLong
by Thief_Trader
Next Stage of Bull MarketUSDT.D is testing the 20 W SMA which has been a key level for Bull Markets. The zone and MA has acted as Support 4 times previously in 2024 which have correlated with BTC Local Tops A close under that SMA is indicating that we are entering the next stage of the Bull Market. I prefer a few Daily Closes under, Weekly Close under is Gold Dust and tells me the Next Stage has begun. Read this to understand the Context of that SMA: Main reason I'm more Bullish this time compared to that precious Idea is because of DXY. Confluence: BTC has shown Strength since Oct 10th despite the continued Upward Trend in DXY that started on Sept 30th. 1 Day RSI on DXY is close to 70(Currently 69) which is a general sign that it is close to Topping. DXY is also testing the 200 EMA since it broken down below in July. My expectation is that the 200 EMA acts as Resistance for DXY and it rejects to continue its downtrend. This would be Bullish for Risk Assets like BTC/Crypto and would correlated with USDT.D breaking below the 20 SMA.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by HopiumDealer7
EUR/USD FACING SELLING PRESSURE. $DXY MULTIPLE PIVOTS POINTSGood morning everyone. Going to try to keep this short and sweet. DXY, as of about 0830EST, broke through all hourly Camarilla resistance levels. The last being 104.560. The next targets would be at 104.795, 104.833, 104.871, and 104.987. EUR/USD has broken through first 1HR/4HR support level at 1.0782. Next two levels would be 1.0772, and 1.0762. After these levels are broken. I'll look to trade to 1.07. Going into this selloff, we were in a bearish symmetrical triangle. Though I do not rely heavily on indicators, MACD, RSI (both reg. and sto.) are aligning with this downward momentum. Stop loss around previous around 1.0830 which the hour 200-EMA is peaking under. The DXY upward pressure is also supported by the election anticipation of Donald J. Trump winning. Rising 10-year yield is also support the greenback. BOJ is not looking to hike rates this week. Listened to a few earnings calls. Everyone is beating earnings so far. VIX is up. Feels like risk-on but keep in mind that the market made a major move up prior to any reports. Folks getting greedy and anxious going into election and big data week. Let's see if JOLTS today, IJC on Thursaday, and NFP on Friday still show a strong labor market. If so, definitely can forget about a 50 bps cut. 94.8% priced in for a 25 bps cut and 5.2% with no cut. Of course, like Socrates, I'm objective and humble to accept that it's possible for none of this to happen. If we get a break back about 1.0805, a level got from my brother @ThePipAssassin I'm tracking resistance levels at 1.0825, 1.0851, 1.0877, and 1.0919. If we get anywhere near these, believe I'll be looking for 1.10 because I did identify a FVG to the downtrend in DXY. Of couse none of this is to be taken as trading or financial advice. I am simple giving you my own analysis. Trade at your own risk and I encourage everyone to do your own research and check my thoughts. Please give feedback. Going to start doing this a lot more. Follow, like, and share por favor. God is love!
Short
by Arkad2021
A Bullish Turn: Investors Embrace the DollarA Shift in Sentiment In a surprising turn of events, hedge funds, asset managers, and other speculators have shifted their stance on the US dollar, moving into bullish positions in the week ending October 22nd. This significant shift, totaling approximately $9.2 billion in long dollar bets, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) compiled by Bloomberg, marks a dramatic departure from the previous week's net short position. A $10.6 Billion Swing This abrupt change in sentiment represents a substantial $10.6 billion swing from the previous week, when traders were actively betting against the greenback. The reasons behind this bullish pivot are multifaceted, primarily driven by a confluence of factors, including stronger-than-expected US economic data and heightened demand for safe-haven assets as the US election approaches. A Recalibration of Fed Expectations A series of positive economic reports released throughout October has forced a recalibration of previously dovish Federal Reserve expectations. The robust economic indicators have raised the possibility of a more hawkish monetary policy stance from the Fed, which could potentially lead to higher interest rates. Historically, a stronger US dollar has been correlated with higher interest rates, making the greenback an attractive investment for global investors. Election-Year Uncertainty As the US presidential election draws near, geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility tend to increase. In such times, investors often seek refuge in safe-haven assets like the US dollar. The dollar's perceived status as a reliable store of value, combined with the potential for increased market volatility, has likely contributed to the recent surge in demand for the currency. Implications for the Global Economy The shift towards a bullish dollar position has significant implications for the global economy. A stronger dollar can negatively impact emerging market economies that rely heavily on dollar-denominated debt. Additionally, it can make US exports more expensive, potentially hindering economic growth. However, for countries with strong economic fundamentals and current account surpluses, a stronger dollar can be beneficial. A Cautious Outlook While the recent bullish trend in the dollar is notable, it is essential to maintain a cautious outlook. The global economic landscape remains uncertain, and a variety of factors, including geopolitical events, trade tensions, and central bank policies, could influence the dollar's trajectory. As such, it is crucial for investors to carefully consider the risks and rewards associated with dollar-based investments. In conclusion, the recent shift towards a bullish dollar position reflects a significant change in market sentiment. A combination of stronger-than-expected US economic data and heightened demand for safe-haven assets has driven investors to embrace the greenback. While the implications of this trend for the global economy are far-reaching, it is essential to remain vigilant and adapt to evolving market conditions.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
Unmasking DXY's Bullish Potential with Volume ProfileH ello, The unusually high market activity around the 100.5 level indicated strong bullish accumulation. The yellow ellipses highlight the volume and price levels. You can see that volume decreases both above and below this key level. This accumulation is evident because the price broke out of a bullish consolidation pattern, as shown in the left yellow circle, reaching a high of 103.9, indicated by the yellow line. This is the current level, where you may notice exceptionally high market activity. As the price remains above the green demand zone, the red supply zone may be tested, as suggested by the volume profile. Regards, Ely
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Elysian_Mind
DXY Index at Critical Resistance: Possible Clues for USD Pairs👀👉 The US Dollar Index (DXY) is nearing a key resistance zone, repeatedly tested on both the monthly and weekly timeframes, which often signals a potential market reaction or rejection. While the US dollar has maintained a strong bullish trend, these factors suggest a possible near-term reversal, offering potential opportunities in both correlated and inversely correlated currency pairs. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
TVC:DXY
by tradingwithanthony
USD Index at 104 Resistance: Strategies for the Next MoveIn early October, I wrote that the multiple attempts to break below the support level given by the beginning of the year price were likely false breaks. I suggested that the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) was primed for a reversal to the upside, which could potentially push the price toward the 104 resistance level. As anticipated, the USD Index reversed and touched this key resistance. Looking ahead, a correction from this point seems probable, with the 102.50 zone being a possible target in the coming days. My strategy is to look for buying opportunities in EUR/USD and AUD/USD.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mihai_Iacob