DXY 103.523 +0.06% LONG IDEA MTF BREAKDOWN 🐮🐮📌HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great 🛑
A look at DXY ahead of the WEEK 📌
DXY WEEKLY TF
* Bulish sentiment still in play on the weekly TF
* Violated the bearish FVG
* Tested and rejected from this PD ARRAY
* POSIBLE BULLISH CLOSE FOR OUR WEEK
DXY D TF
* Looking at DXY from the DAILY TF we see a break BELOW (SSL) which are Monday lows.
* Swept SSL but traded back into the range with some bullish momentum.
* If we see momentum back into the range i would be looking for long.
* Looking for long on the DXY because we do not have a bearish body closure.
* & we are still in an indecisive state, in wick city as well.
DXY 4H TF
* On the 4h alike, indecisive momentum in play.
* Retracement into some of the internal LIQUIDITY .
* looking for some retracement into PD ARRAYS ( FVG + OB & balance price range)
* & should they hold looking for continuations with the bulls.
* Violation of the FVG signals bullish momentum and some confirmations
DXY 1H TF
* Monday LOWS taken.
* Possibly signaling a bullish week ahead.
* might see a SEEK & DESTROY PROFILE
1. IRL - ERL
2.Looking for LQ RUNS.
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lets see how it goes.
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Dxyanalysis
Bullish Continuation on DXY Towards 105.400The US Dollar Index (DXY) has shown signs of a potential bullish continuation after breaching and closing above the previous week's high, overcoming a significant supply level at 102.750. This bullish momentum followed a two-week consolidation period, indicating a potential shift in the market sentiment.
Last week's bullish close and the successful breach of the key supply level suggest underlying strength in the DXY.
The week started off pretty volatile with price action on Monday reaching 104.600 before starting to dip lower. Anticipating higher prices, we are closely monitoring potential retracement levels for a strategic entry.
Possible Retracement Levels:
There is a possibility that the DXY could trade lower to gather new liquidity between the levels of 104.00 and 103.600. This retracement could serve as an opportunity to enter a long position, provided the DXY regains strength at these levels.
Trade Projection:
If the DXY retraces to the identified levels and shows strength, we anticipate a long position towards 105.400 and beyond. This projection aligns with the overall bullish sentiment in the market.
Pairs to Watch:
For potential longs, we will be monitoring USD/JPY and USD/CAD, seeking key levels for strategic entry points. Conversely, for shorts, we will be observing EUR/USD, GBP/USD, NZD/USD, and AUD/USD for potential setups.
Effective risk management is crucial in this trade idea. Establishing appropriate stop-loss orders and position sizes is essential to protect against unexpected market movements.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe #DXY has been trending upwards, rallying late last week before pulling back. A potential long trade might emerge if the price finds support during this pullback. Higher timeframes show a consistent bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. We're looking for a buy entry around the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci zone, but remember, trading is risky. This analysis is just my opinion, not financial advice.
DXY Price Analysis- 27 Jan 2024Weekly Analysis: In the last week PA had a very good consolidation above the W-IFVG, & Its acting as a support here. So in the up coming weeks we are going to touch the W-BSL level 104.263, nested in the W-FVG.
Weekly Bias: Bulish.
Daily Analysis: The last week PA had a very good consolidation & the D-IFVG worked as a good support level, so as long as we are above 103.147 level we are bulish.
There is a unmitigated D-BSL level 103.817. In the upcoming days we are going to touch above D-BSL.
Daily Bias: Bulish
DXY price analysis 04-Feb 2024Weekly Analysis:
As the price has been not been touched the W-BSL yet so we can anticipate we are going to hunt the W-BSL(104.263).
Weekly Bias: Bulish.
Daily Analysis: As the Price has been closed above the D-BSL, So in Monday we can have a downward move, after that we can anticipate that we are going higher towards the W-BSL(104.263).|
Daily Bias: Bulish
Wave-by-Wave Adventure, US Dollar UnpluggedDecoding the US Dollar Index: Navigating Wave (V) with Thrills
Since the economic tumult of 2008, the US Dollar Index DXY (USDX) has been on a captivating journey, tracing significant waves on its chart. As of now, it stands on the precipice of unfolding the final leg of this larger movement, marked as the thrilling wave (V) on the weekly chart.
Weekly Chart Adventure:
Wave (I), (II), (III), and (IV): Conquered.
Wave (V): The adventure is just beginning.
Daily Chart Expedition:
Inside the thrilling wave (V), wave I, II, and III have been epic conquests.
Currently navigating the challenging wave IV, a terrain of correction.
4-Hourly Chart Odyssey:
Within the tumultuous wave IV, ((A)), ((B)), and the unfolding ((C)).
Inside ((C)), embarking on subdivisions: ((a)), ((b)), and the imminent thrill of ((c)).
Thrilling Wave Principles:
Witness a double correction, an unexpected twist in the daily chart's narrative.
The ongoing correction within wave IV on the 4-hourly chart involves a complex W-X-Y pattern, adding an unexpected thrill.
According to the pulse-pounding Elliott Wave Theory, wave (2) should not retrace more than 100% of wave (1).
Current Pulse:
((a)) of ((C)) is reaching its climax, with the suspenseful unfolding of ((b)) and the highly anticipated ((c)) yet to grip our attention.
Critical Invalidation Level: 107.335 (A point of no return, a daring move beyond 100% retracement of wave (1) inside ((C))).
Please Note:
This analysis is not just a journey; it's a heart-racing adventure crafted for EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. Get ready for more twists and turns as we navigate the thrilling waves ahead...!!
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
DXY Technical Analysis and Trade Idea for Week Beginning 5th FebGiven that the markets are either correlated or inversely correlated with the US dollar, I'm always looking at the DXY dollar index at the beginning of the week to see how it's shaping up. In this chart we can see that the DXY is bullish it has been range bound previously, however we saw quite a strong rally on Friday with the NFP data release. We can now see the break above the range and I'm looking at the retrace for a potential entry point. We can see similar opportunities presenting themselves with the EURUSD the AUDUSD etc. in the video we touch on how the market shaped up prior to the NFP release on Friday and we look at a potential trade opportunity. As always this information is intended for educational purposes only and not to be taken as financial counsel.
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Impulse Correction Impulse
Breakout the Upper Trend Line of the Corrective Pattern " BULLISH CHANNEL " in Short Time Frame
According to ELLIOT WAVES , It has completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and Corrective Waves " AB "
HEAD & SHOULDER as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame
DXY: The USD kept its weekly rise ahead of the Fed's decisionThe dollar edged higher in early European trading on Wednesday, heading for its biggest monthly gain since September, while the euro edged lower after weak inflation data.
At 04:45 ET (09:45 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.1% higher at 103.352, on track for more than a gain. 2% this month.
Dollar demand has been buoyant this month as traders trimmed expectations for when the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates due to strong U.S. economic data and reaction from central banks. naughty.
The greenback was also supported by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have weighed on risk sentiment amid fears of a broader regional conflict.
The US central bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged, and so the focus will likely be on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's post-meeting press conference to see if he will signal a cut.
Analysts at ING said: “With US data releases - most recently December JOLTS data showing expanding employment opportunities - there appears to be little reason for the FOMC announcement tonight prompted the market to price in well above the current 130 basis point rate cut this year.” in a note. “This would be a neutral/positive development for the USD.”
There's more labor data to study on Wednesday, in the form of ADP Private Payrolls for January, ahead of weekly initial jobless claims on Thursday and then broad data on Friday. - viewed monthly salary reports.
DXY Dollar Index Technical AnalysisThe DXY has demonstrated a notable rally on the 1-day (1D) time frame, exhibiting distinct range-bound price action as it operates within a previously established weekly distribution level. The absence of a discernible trend is evident, with the market remaining in a sideways movement for an extended period. With high-impact news events scheduled for later today, Thursday, and Friday, there is potential for a breakout from the current range, presenting opportunities with dollar pairs.
It is imperative to clarify that this analysis is intended exclusively for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
DXY: Will the Fed Be a Catalyst for Direction in the USD Index?For the past two weeks, the DXY has been trading within a frustratingly narrow range, lacking clear direction. Today's FED press conference may provide some resolution to this stagnant pattern.
Leading up to this event, prominent Fed members have cautioned against overly optimistic expectations regarding future rate cuts. They emphasized that the Fed does not intend to reduce the benchmark rate as rapidly as markets had anticipated.
Supporting data further reinforced the Fed's stance. December's CPI surpassed expectations, indicating persistent price pressures, although much of this was influenced by base effects that are now mostly behind us. Additionally, January's flash PMI data and Q4 GDP print were strong, albeit slightly lower than the 4.9% growth seen in Q3. Despite this, equity markets rallied, and the unemployment rate now stands well below 4%, suggesting a positive outlook for a 'soft landing' or 'golden path' scenario.
If the Fed identifies upside risks to services inflation due to the strong data, it will proceed with caution. However, there's a general expectation that the Fed's statement will adopt a more neutral tone.
Technically, as indicated in the posted chart, the DXY is trading within a defined range between the 103.10 zone and the 103.70 zone. A breakout from either of these zones could provide insight into a medium-term direction.
In my view, considering the market's overly optimistic anticipation of rate cuts and the upward pressure on prices, we may see a breakthrough above resistance. In such a scenario, a bullish medium-term trend could emerge, potentially driving the index back towards the 107 zone.
DXY INDEX New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Rejecting from the Lower Trend Line. Completed " 12 " Impulsive Waves and making its " 3rd - wxy " Wave. EXP Fiat and Symmetrical Triangle in Short Time Frame need to wait for Breakout
DeGRAM | DXY pullback and continuationDXY is in an ascending channel, making higher highs and higher closes. It is in the consolidation zone.
If price pullbacks to the support level and the fibo 38.2% level, the market will probably go up to retest the consolidation zone.
We expect the trend to continue and retest the highs.
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DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Preping for MondayThe DXY is presently confined within a range, evident on both the 1-day (1D) and 4-hour (4H) time frames. Given that it is the end of the week, I am exercising caution about active market participation, considering the customary manipulation observed on Fridays as smart money strategically targets stops, aligning them with the upcoming week's trend. In this video, we evaluate the dollar index and contemplate potential trade scenarios with dollar pairs for the approaching week. It is important to emphasize that this content is intended strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis - Where Is The USD Heading?DXY Analysis: The Dollar Index (DXY) has exhibited range-bound behavior recently, lacking a clear directional bias. While there are bearish undertones, a confirmed downtrend requires a break below the current range followed by a failed retest. This video explores multiple timeframes (monthly, weekly, daily, 4-hour) to identify potential dollar direction in the coming days and week. Given the key role of the dollar in shaping currency markets, its trading action significantly impacts opportunities in other pairs. However, with the current sideways movement, identifying high-probability trades could be challenging, especially considering the increased risk associated with end-of-week volatility and potential stop-hunting activity.
Disclaimer: This analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
The DXY Anomaly: Interpreting the Incoming CorrectionThis week's focus is on the potential for a minor retracement in the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), highlighted by a noticeable bearish divergence when compared with the 10-year Treasury yield and the 10-year T-Note futures. This divergence is particularly significant as it suggests a weakening momentum in the dollar's recent uptrend.
While both the 10-year Treasury yield and the 10-year T-Note futures have succeeded in setting new highs, the DXY has not followed suit, failing to create a higher high. This disparity indicates that the upward movement in the 10-year Treasury yield and the 10-year T-Note futures could be attributed more to a liquidity-driven event rather than a fundamental change in market sentiment towards the dollar.
As a result, we can anticipate possible bearish movements in forex pairs where the dollar is the base currency in the coming week. Conversely, in pairs where the dollar is the quote currency, there could be bullish movements. However, it is important to note that these expectations are also contingent on the performance and dynamics of the counterpart currencies in these pairs.
Traders should monitor the DXY for early signs of a reversal and adjust their positions accordingly, keeping in mind the broader implications of a weakening dollar on various currency pairs. As always, a comprehensive approach that considers global economic news and geopolitical developments will be essential in navigating the forex market during this period of potential dollar retracement.
The USD index look set to trade to and through 104We have remained bullish the US dollar the past few weeks, and continue to suspect there are plenty of shorts to be covered as markets finally concede that fewer Fed cuts are coming this year and already priced in.
The dollar has posted a strong rally YTD, and after a brief consolidation momentum is trying to turn higher with a bullish outside candle. It's not major surprise to see it is holding beneath the 200-day EMA, but it did close above the 200-day MA. And if the US delivers a strong set of flash PMI figures or PCE inflation data, we suspect the US dollar can travel to and through 105 on its way to 105.
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
According to Elliot Waves it has completed Impulsive Waves " 12345 " and " AB " Corrective Waves. Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Retracement. Break of Structure with Retracement and Divergence
DXY (Dollar Index) Longs from 102.200 back upThe dollar index is presently responding to my 14hr supply zone, leading to a visible bearish reaction. Given that this supply is part of a 2-day supply, I anticipate price to move upward to further mitigate this supply, potentially triggering a more stronger bearish response.
With the breakout from consolidation, I anticipate clearer price action. I will be monitoring for price to reach a 10hr demand zone that has previously resulted in a BOS on the higher timeframe. Upon reaching this point of interest (POI), I will then be on the lookout for an accumulation to unfold.
Confluences for Dollar buys are as follows.
- Market trend is overall bullish on the higher timeframe
- Price has broken structure to the upside on the HTF.
- Price is currently reacting off a supply to trigger the pullback towards our demand
- Theres lots of liquidity and imbalances that need to get taken above as well.
- 10hr demand zone lies within the 0.78 fib range and it caused the BOS to happen
P.S. While I don't engage in direct trading of the dollar, I utilise it for confluence, especially since this pair significantly impacts the others I monitor. There's a possibility of a short-lived bullish trend if the 2-day supply zone doesn't hold. However, given the initial reaction, a downward movement seems likely.
HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK AHEAD, LET'S CATCH THESE PIPS!
DXY Analysis- 18 Jan 2024Weekly : The price has been break through the W-SIBI, so now we can anticipate the price will go for hunting the W-BSL 104.263.
Weekly Bias: Bulish
Daily : The price has been closed the D-SIBI-CE but it didn't able to close above the D-SIBI, So we can anticipate that there will be slightly pull back towards the 108.859 level then it will move towards its final destination.
Daily Bias: Bulish
DXY Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaDXY Technical Analysis and Trade Idea. The DXY is currently range bound, the higher time frame is bearish i'm looking for a break of the current range and a possible trade opportunity if it sets up. As always, everything explained in the video in detail and this not to be construed as financial advice.