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Dxyanalysis

USD Holds Near 5-Month Low on US Inflation ConcernsIn a fragile holiday trading session on Tuesday, the US Dollar Index remained at 101.6, hovering close to its lowest point in five months. This comes as additional signs of declining US inflation reinforce bets on the Federal Reserve initiating interest rate cuts next year. Published data on Friday revealed that the core PCE index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, dropped to 3.2% in November from October's 3.4%, below the anticipated 3.3%. Moreover, Thursday's figures showed weaker-than-expected economic growth in the US for Q3, along with a slight increase in unemployment benefit claims in the recent period. The US dollar trades near multi-month lows against major currencies, facing the risk of further depreciation compared to the yen. This concern amplifies as BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Monday that the likelihood of achieving the 2% inflation target is "gradually increasing."
TVC:DXY
by Larissa-Trader
📈💪 DXY at Support: Bullish Path to 106 & 112 Targets 🎯🚀It seems like traders and investors are showing a preference for holding cash, as precious metal prices, cryptocurrencies, and the US30 are all experiencing major resistance. This could suggest a lack of confidence in the current market conditions. However, on a positive note, the DXY and UUP have managed to find support on the 3-weekly chart, indicating that some investors are still bullish on the US dollar. UUP 3 weekly finds support: Target 1: 106 Target 2: 112
TVC:DXYLong
by blacklegend55
DXY Price Analysis -25 Dec, 2023Weekly: As DXY touched the W-FVG Level( 101.531-101.188) & closed above, there well be 2 scenarios in this situations. 1. If there is any daily closing bellow the W-FVG-C.E, then we can anticipate, the price will going to touch the SSL level- 99.578. 2. If the daily price didn’t able to close bellow the W-FVG-CE, then the price will be going to hunt for the weekly FVG level – (103.064 to 102.634). Weekly Bias: Neutral. Daily: As the price has been already taken the weekly FVG, so daily we could anticipate we are going to touch the 102.643 levels. If we can have daily closing above the D-FVG levels (102.156-101.895) then the price action will be more clear for Bullish. Daily Bias: Bulish.
TVC:DXY
by Trader_PKR
DXY (Dollar Index) Shorts from 101.800 down to 100.800The outlook for the Dollar this week is a continuation of its bearish trajectory. With a recent downside break in structure, I anticipate a correction, expecting the price to retrace into the 14-hour supply zone. Upon entering my Point of Interest (POI), I'll wait for price distribution and a change in character as a signal that the dollar is prepared for a decline. Additionally, I acknowledge the presence of imbalances above the supply, suggesting the potential for a break beyond this supply into a more premium area. Confluences for Dollar Sells are as follows: - This bias aligns with the current bearish trend that has been perpetuated. - Lots of major trend lines, equal lows and asian lows below on the higher time frame. - There's a14hr supply zone that has broken structure to the downside causing BOS. - For price to maintain its bearish trend it must react off a supply to trigger another sell off. P.S. While the dollar maintains an overall bullish stance on the higher time frame, it's only a matter of time before price sweeps liquidity and reacts strongly to a major supply. However, given the current bearish movement, It's advisable to follow the existing trend instead of opposing it for the time being. If you guys have any interesting perspectives on this market, feel free to share down below!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
🗺️DXY Index Roadmap🗺️🏃‍♂️The DXY index has been moving in the Descending Channel for over two months . 🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , the DXY Index is near the end of the main wave 5 . 🌊If we want to look at the microwaves of the main wave 5 in the 1-hour time frame , we will find that the DXY index is on the way to completing the microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys . 🔔I expect the DXY Index to start rising after touching the 🟢 Support zone($101.30-$100.80) 🟢, Support lines , and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and complete the main wave 5. The increase of the DXY index can fill the upper 🔵 GAP 🔵 and attack the upper line of the descending channel. U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DXYLong
by pejman_zwin
8
DXY Support or Not? Dollar ending this week falling onto a respected diagonal/staic support level. Also. we can look back to early this year and see consolidation on this level. With a short trading week next week I would expect to see the dollar to consolidate or even push up a bit. Ultimately looking into the beginning of next year. If the dollar continues to weaken, I dont see any real support TIll to 90=88 level Feel free to leave thoughts or comments. Hope everyone has a safe, happy and prosperous holiday weekend
TVC:DXY
by pippin_aint_easy79
DXY (Dollar Index) Shorts from 103.300 down towards 101.500My bias for the dollar this week remains bearish, leading me to seek pro-trend trades from any proximate valid supply zones. With the recent reaction from my prior 3-hour demand, I anticipate the price to continue its ascent to address the imbalances above. Subsequently, my expectation is for the price to undergo distribution within a supply zone identified on the 14-hour chart, providing opportunities for selling positions on the way down. While acknowledging the possibility that the price may not ascend as high and instead continues to drop, I am prepared to wait for a new demand zone to seize potential buy opportunities in such a scenario. Confluences for DXY Shorts are as follows: - Price broke structure to the downside on the HTF, confirming a bearish bias. - There's lots of liquidity left below in the form of trend line liquidity and asian lows. - There's a clean 14hr supply zone that has caused the impulsive move to the downside in which I expect price to react from next. - Since there are imbalances beneath the supply, it's probable that once the price addresses them, a bearish reaction will ensue from the supply. P.S. My bearish stance on the dollar persists, prompted by the recent structural break observed on the higher time frame (HTF). This strengthens my inclination toward bearish positions, making me more inclined towards considering long positions for pairs like GBPUSD and EURUSD. If you guys have another take on this market I would love for you guys to leave a comment!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
3
📈🛢️US Oil Daily prediction 🛢️📉TVC:USOIL TVC:DXY Hello Traders. Let's continue our analysis of USOIL. Before we predict next week, let's take a look at oil chart's trend along with the DXY index. The price continues to move in a downward trend. Due to the support area, we can expect a rise in oil price to the previous high level. (If weekly DXY doesn't consolidate above 103.285) If the price of oil rejects at the level of $77.65, it is likely that the second scenario will occur for the price and vice versa. ✌💥If you are satisfied with my analytical content, please share my ideas💥✌ ✍🐱‍👤Otherwise, make sure you leave comments and let me know what you think.🐱‍👤✍ 🤑🍾Thank you for your support. I hope you will gain profit by following my analyses.🍾🤑
TVC:USOILLong
by CrazyS
The Great Inflation AGAIN? US Inflation Rate YoY Comparison - ECONOMICS:USIRYY Stark similarities to the beginning of the Great Inflationary Period (GIP) which ranged from 1965 - 1982. The GIP fractal is not a prediction, it only offers us perspective and context. As an example, US Inflation YoY could potentially bounce around between 3 - 4% for another 32 months as it did between 1975 - 1978 before making any major move. This is a scenario I had not considered, an almost 3 year sideways boring consolidation. We will continue to track this chart to see how it compares moving forward into the future. PUKA
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by PukaCharts
DXY/USD ~ Bullish Reversal / Inverse H&S (1H)TVC:DXY chart mapping/analysis. Bullish inverse H&S identified on lower timeframe charts, pending breakout confirmation. Trading scenarios into EOY: Inverse H&S breakout = extrapolated move into 23.6% Fib / ~106 horizontal line (yellow dashed) / upper range of descending parallel channel (light blue) confluence zone. Breakout failure = re-test 50% Fib aka "Right Shoulder". Further bearish capitulation = re-test lower range of ascending parallel channel (white) / Golden Pocket confluence zone. Major macro economic news this week = higher probability of implied volatile swings in either direction.
TVC:DXY
by BlueHatInvestor
Weekly DXY Breaking Down Below 103 = Bitcoin and Crypto RallyThis is a great looking chart of the DXY on a weekly time frame. We have a huge Bearish engulfing candle forming on the DXY and breaking down below the 103 support level. This is looking very Bullish for Bitcion and the Total Crypto Market Cap. Also notice what happened after the last Bearish engulfing candles in October and November. This is great to see, after 11 straight weeks of Bullish Green weekly DXY candles prior to that. This is starting to look very interesting, and as we know as the DXY falls, Bitcion goes up. Also see my recent analysis on how we could see new highs by January, and $100k BTC by or before the Halving. Let me know what you think!
TVC:DXYLong
by BrettFogle
DXY Price Analysis-10 Nov, 2023Weekly: The PA has been rejected from the weekly breaker block-CE & M-BB C.E. W-IFVG has become the support. So we can anticipate that price could go upward at least towards the w-BB C.E. Weekly Bias: Bulish Daily: Daily the price has been closed above weekly FVG, so it may acting support. As there is D-SSL 104.557 which is aligned with W-SIBI-CE. As the price has been retested the w-BB and closed above so we can anticipated that the price will go for the D-BSL Level-104.557 Daily Bias: Bulish
TVC:DXYLong
by Trader_PKR
DXY and 14 Levels: Understanding the Currency Pair's TargetsWhile Himino's speech is a crucial assumption for monetary policy and the longstanding dilemma regarding wages and prices, his journey is a speculative adventure on how the concept of Wages/Prices can depart from what he calls a frozen state. Next are deeper insights into how Himino perceives and examines wages and prices in relation to Japanese households, businesses, and financial institutions. Himino then guides us through four stages of development, covering price fluctuations, labor costs, buying and selling prices, and wages. Remarkably, as BOJ has demonstrated since 2016, Himino dismisses the Wages/Prices concept in stage 1, where uncontrollable prices arise from the West through imported inflation and market changes in oil prices. How to control imported inflation and oil prices without imposing an advanced concept like Autarky on Japan's prices. As Himino points out in some cases, the complexity of Wages, Prices, and satisfaction to prevent deflation may never materialize. Throughout the speech, Himino states that if the concept of wages/prices is satisfied, questions about monetary easing must be reconsidered. Whether intentionally or not, Himino throws USD/JPY and cross-currency pairs into the mix. A worrisome aspect of Himino's speech is how a speculative speech turns into psychological reports on negative interest rates, ultimately BOJ's most important December policy, the end of monetary easing. Currency analysts and outspoken figures on leading websites in our era reveal that they can no longer fix it. Stage 1: Businesses reflect higher import prices in selling prices. Stage 2: Businesses reflect a higher overall price in wages. Stage 3: Businesses reflect higher labor costs in selling prices. Stage 4: Business price policies become more diverse, enabling them to explore strategies for selling more attractive products and services with corresponding prices rather than just good products and services at low prices.
TVC:DXY
by Gwen_Humuna
Himino's Speech: A Deep Dive into Currency Pairs and Targets In a significant monetary policy speech, Himino introduced pivotal assumptions for wages, prices, and the prolonged dual downturn. The narrative explored how the concept of Wages/Prices might depart from what he termed a frozen state. Himino delved deeper into understanding and reviewing wages and prices concerning Japanese households, businesses, and financial institutions. He guided us through four developmental stages involving price fluctuations, labor costs, buying and selling prices, and wages. Notably, in stage 1, Himino acknowledged the complexity of controlling imported inflation and oil prices without imposing a progressive concept like Autarky on Japan's prices. Throughout the speech, Himino asserted that if the Wages/Prices concept is met, questions about monetary easing must be reexamined. Interestingly, Himino tactfully connected his speech to the USD/JPY movement and cross-currency pairs. A notable aspect of Himino's speech is how speculative remarks turned into psychological reports on the last meeting of BOJ in December, highlighting the importance of the new monetary policy and the cessation of easing. Financial analysts and opinion leaders expressed their inability to repair the situation. Himino outlined four stages: businesses reflecting higher import prices, businesses reflecting higher overall prices on wages, businesses reflecting higher labor costs in prices, and diversified price policies allowing businesses to explore strategies attractive in value instead of just focusing on low-priced goods and services. In summary, Himino's speech touched on crucial economic concepts and their implications, sparking discussions on the future of Japan's monetary policy and its impact on currency pairs.
TVC:DXY
by Larissa-Trader
1
DXY (Dollar index) Shorts down to 102.500While the overall trend for the dollar remains bullish, recent weeks have witnessed a notable increase in downward movement. This suggests a potential continuation of the bearish patterns, prompting me to seek pro-trend trades aligned with this recent bias. Notably, with the price already having mitigated a supply zone, an anticipated drop towards the target of 102.500 seems likely. The formation of Wyckoff accumulation signals a possible breakdown to surpass Asian lows. Additionally, considering that the price has left a demand zone at the projected target, we can expect a potential reaction in this zone. This reaction could potentially lead to the creation of new highs and a temporary bullish trend. Confluences for DXY Sells are as follows: - Dollar has tapped into a 17hr supply zone that has caused a BOS to the downside. - Theres liquidity to the downside in the form of Asian low and trendline liquidity. - Recent trend for this market has been temporarily bearish so this is a pro trend trade. - If price wants to continue going higher, there are unmitigated demand zones that price needs to come and fill. P.S Although the price has established a new bearish trend, it's possible that this is a strategic move to eliminate the trendline liquidity lingering from previous bullish rallies. Given the overall bullish sentiment on the higher time frame, it wouldn't be unexpected to witness the dollar initiating a new trend to achieve fresh highs.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
1