DXY Price Analysis-02-Dec-2023Weekly: Price has been Get rejected from the Bullish W-FVG & W-BSL, & M&W-BB-MinTh. As the price is respecting 4 weekly Pdarrays. So we can predict that in the up coming week the price movement will be upward towards the unmitigated W-FVG.
Weekly Bias: Bullish
Daily: As the bellow W-iFVG working as a support, So we can predict that in the upcoming week the price can go for the D-BSL -104.213.
Dxyanalysis
DOLLAR INDEX FORECASTHigh speculation on upside, idea are 2, not quite fan on below, remember the fed not yet full blown the 2% inflation target, expect 1st Q of the year would be another rate hikes.
Skip what they are saying they will not tell it until its done.
This is only view on dollar index.
Wether we go higher next year or we go lower or they just wait for the US elections to rate again,
Trade at your own risk.
This is not a financial advice.
Follow for more higher context ideas.
DXY Index is Ready to Break the 🔴Resistance zones🔴✅It seems that the DXY Index finally managed to break the Descending Channel that it was in for more than one month .
💡I expect the DXY Index to take the help of the Uptrend line to break the Resistance zone ahead and it can break the minimum 🔴 Resistance zone($104.20-$103.98) 🔴.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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DXY BUY ON DIPS !!!HELLO TRADERS!!!
As we can see DXY has reached @ strong support zone and we are looking for retrace for testing last broken resistance area so i am expecting this support will create a short term buying opportunity so we will see these following TPs will hit our targets its just an a trade idea kindly share ur views and analysis it will help alote of new traders we appreciate your love and support
stay tuned for more updates
USD 3 Scenarios for this week and next oneUSD 3 Scenarios for this week and next one
- Scenario #1: where price will just start to move to the downside as we are now at the 78.6% fibo retracment.
- scenario #2: where price might move to the upside first to liquidate the last LH before moving to the downside (IF ANY)
- Scenario #3: where price will go to the upside first to retest the 105 level as resistance (as the price didnt do so since it did break this level as support
🗺️DXY Index Roadmap🗺️⏰(4-hour time frame)⏰🏃♂️The DXY index has been moving in a Descending channel for a month .
🌊According to Elliott's theory , it seems that the DXY index has completed its 5 downward waves near the lower line of the descending channel after breaking the 🟢Support zone($103.78_$102.93) 🟢.
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
💡I expect the DXY index to move towards the upper line of the descending channel and in the first step, we have to wait for the middle line of the descending channel to be broken ( the middle line has already played the role of support and resistance ).
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY → Further gains likely above 103.57TVC:DXY regains the smile and advances to multi-day highs past 103.70 on Monday.
If the key 200-day SMA (103.57) is surpassed, the index is expected to face more sustained gains to, initially, the weekly top of 104.21 (November 22) ahead of the transitory 100-day SMA at 104.37.
In the meantime, above the key 200-day SMA, the outlook for the index is expected to shift to bullish.
DXY (Dollar$) Shorts down to 101.500The bias for the dollar this week remains bearish, leading me to anticipate further downward trends. Near the current price, there is a supply zone on the 3-hour chart where we'll wait for price redistribution. Following that, we'll await confirmation on a lower timeframe to execute the sell trade. Additionally, I anticipate a minor reaction from the 13-hour demand zone, presenting potential small buying opportunities.
Subsequently, we anticipate the price to continue its descent and then respond to a 3-hour demand at 101.500. This is where I expect the price to retrace upwards, providing a more favourable opportunity for a buy trade.
Confluences for DXY Shorts are as follows:
- The short term trend currently is bearish (with perpetual BOS's to the downside.)
- Trend lines below act as magnets, pulling the price downwards and encouraging a bearish continuation.
- To evoke a bullish reaction from the price next, there's a strong demand zone on the 3hr time frame.
- A clear 3-hour supply zone sits above the current price, where we can expect a bearish response.
- By the candle stick anatomy bearish candles are very strong, holding lots of momentum.
P.S. I also observe the potential for the price to rise, targeting a more favourable supply zone like the (7hr) to initiate a robust bearish movement. Despite the strong bearish trend currently, we will primarily seek opportunities aligning with the trend. However, the next viable counter-trend trade would be at the 3-hour demand level around 101.500.
DXY: The US dollar faces the risk of being sold off?Investors sold the dollar late last week at the fastest pace in a year, hoping for lower interest rates next year after the Federal Reserve ends its policy rate cut. significantly raise interest rates.
State Street, one of the world's largest asset managers, said the asset manager was prepared to sell 1.6% of its dollar positions this month, the largest monthly outflow since last November. The company said. In particular, investors have enjoyed "significant" selling every day since the release of the US employment report on November 3rd.
"The developments over the past two weeks suggest that demand for the dollar is undergoing a rapid reassessment," said Michael Metcalfe, head of macro strategy at State Street. He added that the recent sell-off in the dollar signals an end to the "extraordinary dollar glut."
``Investors are thinking, ``If interest rates are really cut, there is no need to hold so many dollars,'' the expert said.
Experts predict that the sell-off by asset managers may be just the beginning of a long-term trend among investors to reduce their exposure to US assets, with the US dollar weakening in November. This was the worst monthly performance of the year.
According to the Financial Times, a weaker U.S. dollar is beneficial for emerging countries because it helps them repay dollar-denominated loans and potentially draws investors back to developing countries. This comes after a huge sale of foreign currency-denominated bonds this year.
DXY → Extra losses in the pipelineTVC:DXY extends the leg lower for the fourth session in a row on turnaround Tuesday.
Further weakness in the index is expected to challenge the key support at 103.00 sooner rather than later. The loss of this region exposes the weekly low of 102.93 (August 30) ahead of another round level at 102.00.
In the meantime, while below the key 200-day SMA (103.60), the outlook for the index is expected to remain bearish.
USD Weakens; Currencies ResilientThe Dollar Index (DXY), measuring the greenback against a basket of key currencies, extended its decline to 103.40 (from 103.75) during the holiday trading session.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) outperformed, causing USD/CAD to drop by 0.7% to 1.3615, hitting a one-month low. Canada's year-on-year retail sales for September surged to 2.7%, beating expectations of 2.0%.
The British Pound (GBP/USD) rebounded to 1.2605 (from 1.2540), while the Euro (EUR/USD) rose to 1.0942 (from 1.0905). Germany's IFO Business Climate increased to 87.3 in November, beating forecasts but slightly lower than the previous reading of 86.9.
The Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) extended gains to 0.6585 from 0.6560, nearing its three-month high. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD/USD) climbed to 0.6085 (from 0.6045) on strong sentiment from Australia and risk appetite.
Against the Japanese Yen, the U.S. Dollar (USD/JPY) dipped to 149.45 from 149.65 in subdued trading. The greenback closed lower against Asian and emerging market currencies.
USD/CNH (Dollar-Offshore Chinese Yuan) dropped to 7.1475 from 7.1515, and USD/THB (Dollar-Thai Baht) ended nearly unchanged at 35.40 (from 35.43). USD/SGD fell to 1.3405 from 1.3420.
Global bond yields rose, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield reaching 4.47% (from 4.40%). The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield increased to 4.95% (from 4.90%). Germany's 10-year Bund yield rose by 3 basis points to 2.64%, and Japan's 10-year JGB yield spiked to 0.76% (from 0.71%).
The U.S. stock markets closed stable on Thanksgiving, with the Dow rising 0.27% to 35,383 (from 35,287), and the S&P decreasing to 4,557 (from 4,560). Global equity markets showed mixed performance.
The VIX, measuring U.S. stock market volatility, dropped to its lowest close since January 2020, reaching 12.46, a 2.7% decrease. Increasing expectations suggest that central bank tightening measures have concluded, contributing to calmer stock markets.
A deeper drop emerges below 103.00TVC:DXY retreats for the third consecutive session and approaches the area of three-month lows near 103.00 at the beginning of the week.
In case sellers push harder, the breakdown of the November low of 103.17 should leave the door open to extra losses in the near term. That said, the loss of the weekly low of 102.93 (August 30) could put a potential visit to the psychological 100.00 mark back on the radar.
In the meantime, while below the key 200-day SMA at 103.61, the outlook for the index is expected to remain bearish.
US Dollar Faces Supports: Potential Double Bottom Signals MarketUS Dollar Faces Supports: Potential Double Bottom Signals Market Dynamics
Major currency pairs continue their range-bound movement on Monday as investors refrain from making significant directional bets. The market sentiment is cautious due to escalating concerns, with investors eyeing key inflation data releases from both the United States (US) and the Eurozone later in the week.
Early Monday, Asian markets saw declines, influenced by the People’s Bank of China's (PBOC) lack of detailed information on stimulus measures for private firms and rising respiratory illnesses in China. The ongoing decrease in China’s Industrial Profits, coupled with uncertainty surrounding major central banks' interest rate outlooks, further contributed to the subdued market mood.
The return of US traders after the Thanksgiving holiday break is awaited, and the US S&P 500 futures, considered a risk barometer, indicate a 0.30% decline on the day.
Despite the cautious market sentiment, the US Dollar experiences selling pressure as it hovers around the 103.200 zone. Notably, there's potential for a Double Bottom formation, suggesting a strong recovery for the USD. The existence of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $105.000 becomes noteworthy, serving as a potential target point in the event of a market reversal.
Our Preference
Above 102.600 look for further upside with 104.2150 & 105.000 as targets.
DXY is Ready to Go UP🚀🏃♂️The DXY index is moving in the 🟢 Support zone($103.78_$102.93) 🟢 near the SMA(200) and 1 00_SMA(Weekly) .
🕯If we want to look at the last three daily candles of the DXY index from the candlestick pattern, we can see the reversal patterns of Hammer and Morning Star very well.
💡Also, another sign that shows us the end of the downward trend of the DXY index is the Falling Wedge Pattern in the RSI indicator .👇
🔔I expect the DXY index to trend higher in the coming days and attack the 🔴Resistance zone($105.88_$104.630)🔴 again.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, Daily frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY (Dollar) Shorts from 103.300 down to 102.200This Weeks DXY bias is to expect another major move to the downside to continue its bearish trend that it has now set. To capitalise on this movement we will wait for a minor pull back up to a near unmitigated supply, (which will be the 9hr) to look for entries to get into this selling trend.
From this we will look for our usual wyckoff distribution to play out on the lower time frame and a CHOCH inside our POI to the enter our sell positions. I would love to see the asian high get swept as well because it will increase our confluence for a stronger sell bias. Overall I am temporarily bearish for the dollar and I expect price to keep dropping for the rest of this year.
Confluences for DXY (dollar) sells are as follows:
- Price is temprorarily bearish due to the perpetual BOS to the downside.
- There's still trend liquidity left to the downside that hasn't been taken.
- For price to react off next there is a demand zone below on the 4hr region.
- There is a clean supply 9hr that caused an impulsive to the downside.
- By the candle stick anatomy bearish candles are very strong holding lots of momentum.
P.S. I would ideally wait for this structure to break first before seeing the correction back up to the 9hr however, if price goes that low I see it continuing going down to reach our next demand. Which we will then anticipate a potential short term buy back up.
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