Potential for Continued Rise in US Dollar as Bond Yields SpikeBond yields have been on the rise lately, and this trend may continue in the near future. As a result, it is crucial to approach the situation with caution and consider the potential opportunities it presents.
The correlation between bond yields and the US dollar is well-established. When bond yields increase, it often attracts foreign investors seeking higher returns, leading to an appreciation in the value of the US dollar. Given the recent spike in bond yields, it is reasonable to anticipate a continued rise in the US dollar's value.
However, it is important to note that market dynamics can be unpredictable, and various factors can influence currency movements. Therefore, I encourage you to exercise prudence and conduct thorough analysis before making any trading decisions. Here are a few factors to consider:
1. Monitor Economic Data: Keep a close eye on economic indicators such as inflation rates, employment figures, and GDP growth. These data points can provide insights into the overall health of the US economy and its potential impact on the currency.
2. Central Bank Policies: Stay informed about any shifts in monetary policies by the Federal Reserve. Changes in interest rates or quantitative easing measures can significantly influence the US dollar's trajectory.
3. Global Events and Geopolitical Risks: Consider geopolitical developments and their potential impact on the US dollar. Factors such as trade tensions, political instability, or unexpected events can create volatility in the currency markets.
Considering the potential for the US dollar to continue its rise, it may be prudent to explore long positions on the currency. However, I strongly urge you to conduct thorough research and consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Remember, trading involves inherent risks, and it is crucial to carefully assess your risk tolerance and financial goals.
As always, it is essential to stay updated with the latest market news and trends. By staying informed and adopting a cautious approach, you can navigate the currency markets more effectively.
Wishing you successful trading ahead!
Dxyanalysis
DXY index bottom and BTC topINDEX:DXY
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️weekly (even yearly) FIB top for DXY now we are in a downtrend
➡️last move on DXY will be around 107-109 than down till 2025-2026
➡️Bottom for DXY will be around 92
➡️The same time historically its will be the new high (not for sure ATH) for BTC
➡️After that we will start new bear market in crypto
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Celebrating the Bright Future of the US Dollar! 🌞I bring you fantastic news that will surely make your day even brighter. The upcoming job report expect to have an impressive addition of 150,000 new jobs, coupled with a lower unemployment rate. This remarkable achievement will set the stage for an exciting journey ahead for the US dollar!
The US economy continues to demonstrate its resilience and strength, and these latest figures are a testament to that fact. With each passing day, the US dollar is becoming an even more attractive investment opportunity. As traders, it is essential to recognize and seize the potential this brings to our portfolios.
So, what does this mean for you? It's time to consider a long position on the US dollar! The positive job report signals a favorable market sentiment and reflects the growing confidence in the US economy. By taking advantage of this upward trend, we can position ourselves to reap the benefits of a strengthening US dollar.
Here are a few compelling reasons why you should consider going long on the US dollar:
1. Economic Growth: The addition of 150,000 new jobs indicates a robust and expanding economy. This growth is likely to fuel increased consumer spending and business investments, further bolstering the value of the US dollar.
2. Lower Unemployment: The decrease in the unemployment rate signifies a healthier labor market, which translates into higher wages and increased consumer confidence. As disposable incomes rise, so does the demand for goods and services, ultimately benefiting the US dollar.
3. Global Safe Haven: In times of uncertainty, the US dollar has historically been a safe haven for investors. With its strong economic fundamentals and stable political environment, the US dollar is likely to attract capital flows, driving its value higher.
Now is the time to act! As traders, we have the opportunity to capitalize on this positive news and optimize our investment strategies. By going long on the US dollar, we position ourselves to potentially unlock substantial gains in the future.
Remember, successful trading requires staying informed and making well-informed decisions. Keep a close eye on market trends, economic indicators, and geopolitical events that may impact the US dollar's performance.
Let's embark on this exciting journey together, riding the wave of optimism and prosperity that lies ahead. Long live the US dollar!
What about DXY and the effect on BTC?There are several factors that could contribute to a sharp increase in the value of the US dollar in the future:
Strong economy: If the US economy is doing well compared to other economies, it can boost confidence in the US dollar and attract investors. Strong GDP growth, low unemployment, high investment and innovation may be factors contributing to increased demand for dollars.
Higher interest rates: An increase in interest rates by the US central bank (Federal Reserve) may increase the attractiveness of the US dollar. Higher interest rates can attract capital from other countries and boost demand for dollars, which could lead to dollar growth.
Geopolitical instability: In the event of political or geopolitical uncertainties, such as conflicts, trade disputes or global crises, the US dollar can be seen as a safe haven. In such situations, the demand for dollars could increase, which could result in an increase in its value.
Dominance of the dollar in the international market: The US dollar is still the most used reserve currency in the world and the main currency for international trade. If this dominance continues, it may strengthen the dollar's position and contribute to its growth.
A rise in the value of the dollar can affect the price of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC), in several ways:
Inverse relationship: There is a tendency for the value of the dollar and the price of cryptocurrencies to have an inverse relationship. This means that if the value of the dollar increases, it can result in a decrease in the price of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin. This is because investors may turn to stronger traditional currencies such as the dollar and leave riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies.
Currency Pairs: If the dollar strengthens against other currencies, it may affect trading between cryptocurrencies and those other fiat currencies. For example, if the value of the dollar increases against the euro, then the value of Bitcoin in the BTC/EUR exchange rate may decrease.
Global Economic Factors: A rise in the value of the dollar may be a result of a strong US economy, which may signal the risk of lower volatility and less uncertainty. This may cause some investors to prefer traditional assets such as the dollar instead of cryptocurrencies, which are considered riskier.
So what friends? are you still going to feed this money machine?
Try my indicator for trading and generally keep an eye on things
DXY (Dollar Index) is ready for a downfallHi Everyone
The DXY is the back bone for all the investments including crypto
The DXY and the USDT domination is showing weakness confirmed by mathematical modules and analysis, I expect a rise for all major markets (Commodity, stock and crypto)
I hope you Enjoy the ride
Good luck Everyone
DXY - 02/10/23TVC:DXY - 02/10/23
**Trade setup:** Still looks very bullish, but the X in green is telling me the trend is getting weaker!
Coming into a SUPPLY zone made in DEC so were getting stopped here but looking to break out of it on the day chart!
If we can get above here it will take out the two red imbalances from last NOV and try the high at $114, this is running with BTC atm so a pullback here will probably mean worse for BTC!
I will be looking for the high to be broken to trade higher here and looking for a pullback!
Now the targets are below:
**Bullish target:** $109 then $111 to clear out imbalance if broken at $106
**Bearish target:** $103 if we fail to make a new high and break above $106
**Supply and Demand**: The nearest Demand to keep us up is $100. The next Supply is $114.
$DXY Quarter 3 (Q3) AnalysisThe U.S. Dollar Index had a bullish Q3 and has been bullish month after month. There is a bullish bounce off the EMA ribbon with $101 acting as a strong support level. I believe DXY is headed towards the top of the Bollinger Band with wicks forming above at approximately $112-114 (marked by the white circle).
🏆Holy Grail🏆 Shows the DXY Index will increase🚀🏃♂️The DXY index has been moving above the Uptrend line for more than 2 months .
✅ The DXY index managed to break the 🔴 Resistance zone($105.8-$104.5) 🔴 last week.
↘️ In the last week, we saw the DXY pull back to the 🔴 Resistance zone($105.8-$104.5) 🔴.
🏆Today, I analyzed the possible trend of the DXY Index for the coming week using the 🏆Holy Grail Strategy🏆 .
📚Getting to know the 🏆Holy Grail strategy🏆
Holy Grail is one of the strategies described by Linda Raschke and Laurence Connors in their book “Street Smarts”. The name of the strategy is mocking because it is super simple. It suits timeframes from M1 to MN and any instrument in Forex, futures, and stock markets.
The desktop of the strategy consists of one simple Exponential Moving Average (20), applied to Close prices, and the ADX indicator with standard parameters and the marked level 30.
The idea of the strategy is that ADX shows the strength of the trend on a certain period. Some traders think that a reversal of this indicator top-down signals a trend reversal but this is not always true, the correctness of this idea depends on whether we are trading in a flat or trend. We do not care about flats, so this is what the EMA (20) is necessary for: its slope shows the direction of the current trend.
📚A signal to buy
A signal to buy by the Holy Grail forms when ADX rises above 30, following the growth of the price; after that, the price must pull back to the EMA (20) and touch it. When the candlestick that has touched the EMA closes, place a buying order above the high of the candlestick with the initial Stop Loss below its low. As for the Take Profit, place it slightly below the highest local high that formed after the price pulled back to the EMA (20). If the next candlestick does not trigger the buying order, and its high turns out below the preceding candlestick, place the order above this candlestick. And if its low renews the low of the previous candlestick, place the SL below the former. Of course, ADX will be falling alongside the price. However, for the signal to be valid, ADX must not fall below 30.
🔔According to the Holy Grail strategy and the Hammer Candlestick Pattern, which indicates the completion of the pullback to the broken 🔴 Resistance zone($105.8-$104.5) 🔴, I expect DXY to have an upward trend in the coming week and can increase to the 🔴 Resistance zone($109.3-$107.7) 🔴.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DeGRAM | Dollar Index longDXY is in a bullish trend and broke and closed above the 106.000 level.
Price action is trading in the ascending channel. If price pullbacks to support level,we can look for buying opportunities.
We expect the resistance zone to be tested because the price broke a significant level of resistance.
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"DXY's Upward Trajectory Amid September Caution"In the upcoming week, my optimism remains steadfast. The DXY continues to exhibit an upward trajectory, with its target poised in that direction. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) formation on a higher time frame solidifies my conviction in the DXY's potential for further up move. However, a measure of caution stems as approaching month of September. It's worth noting that historical DXY seasonality contradicts the current chart dynamics.
My focus will be keenly set on the upcoming week, particularly post Wednesday. The release of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) news will undoubtedly steer market sentiments, presenting us with intriguing opportunities. To me, Tuesday and Wednesday hold significance, as these days dedicated to capitalize on potential market moves. In case the circumstances do not align favorably, I will sit and wait for good opportunity
DXY Analysis - Weekly Timeframe (ICT)How convenient it was to stop right at the descending trendline for the week. In my eyes, this is giving time for traders to formulate their "predictions" on where DXY is going to go. I expect some funny business to happen to shake out any support & resistance, as well as breakout traders, culminating with an explosive movement to the upside.
I really like the Weekly Bearish Breaker Block residing above as a point of interest for trades, which may take a while to get there. I will also be observing how price moves towards that area, if it even does.
Next week, keep your guard up. Don't take the bait. Wait for the sheep to get slaughtered, and once you see that already come to past on the charts, that is the time to strike.
DXY, attempting to break upside significantly.DXY has just broken resistance trendline spanning back from September 2022. The DXY broke trendline coinciding with a key level at 106.
If this break does not end up been a false break, DXY could swing to 109 within weeks and ultimately further grow to 114 in 2024.
DXY, Ready to ShortThe last week DXY movement fulfilled my idea which I predicted price to hit the key level at 105.8
For the past 13 -14 weeks, the DXY has been on an ascending trend from 99.23 to 105.756. The current resistance has been a key level since 1st December 2022.
Price is currently reacting on a resistance trendline of the main ascending channel since 26th September 2022.
The resistance trendline coincides with the 105.834 key resistance which has historically driven the DXY down.
The DXY could initiate a BEARISH WAVE first to 103.100 to retest the Daily EMA-200 & 50.
The FED could consider a rate hike in the last quarter of 2023 in the midst of a possible DXY bearish waves.
DXY - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)Past couple of weeks we've the DXY continually rebalancing immediately and pushing higher.
Last week's high stopped right in its tracks at the Mean Threshold of a NMOG. Random, right?
Other than that, nothing of too much in interest in terms of a swing trade POI. However, I will still be expecting price to push higher.
(See previous analysis on the DXY).
Celebrating the Soaring US Dollar and Its Impact on Oil and the The US dollar has been on an impressive rise, leading to a remarkable domino effect on the oil market while simultaneously lowering the Euro. Let's dive into the details and explore the exciting opportunities this presents for all of us!
First and foremost, let's celebrate the recent surge in the US dollar. This upward trajectory has been fueled by a combination of robust economic indicators, positive investor sentiment, and the Federal Reserve's commitment to maintaining a stable currency. As traders, we understand the significance of a strong US dollar, and it's time to capitalize on this favorable trend!
The rising US dollar has an immediate impact on the oil market, as it becomes more expensive for countries with weaker currencies to purchase oil. This translates into increased demand for the US dollar in oil transactions, further driving up its value. So, let's keep an eye on the oil market and identify potential trading opportunities that can be leveraged to our advantage.
Simultaneously, the Euro has experienced a decline against the US dollar. This can be attributed to various factors, including economic uncertainties, political developments, and the divergence in monetary policies between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve. As traders, we can seize this opportunity to capitalize on the Euro's weakness and further strengthen our positions in the US dollar.
Now, let's move on to the call-to-action! I encourage each and every one of you to continue to long the US dollar, as it shows no signs of slowing down. By strategically aligning our trading decisions with this ongoing trend, we can maximize our profits and achieve extraordinary success in the currency markets.
Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and the current market conditions are ripe for us to make a significant impact. Stay informed, keep a close eye on the latest economic news, and utilize the tools at our disposal to make well-informed trading decisions.
As always, I am here to support and guide you on this exciting journey. If you have any questions, need assistance, or simply want to share your success stories, please don't hesitate to comment. Let's make the most of this golden opportunity and continue to thrive in the world of trading!
Wishing you fruitful trades and abundant profits!
DXY Analysis 18Sep2023After Sunday and Monday's closure, the price seems to have stabilized. I have highlighted the area where the price remained. It would be wise to wait for the price to move out of the lower box region. If the price breaks through the bearish trend, there could be a chance of a reversal. However, if the price breaks through the bullish trend, the price will continue to rise.
DXY Analysis 14Sep2023Dxy Bullish is unstoppable. With last week's analysis, we estimate that the price will approach the QM area. Here we can observe first, even though the price will be in the QM area not necessarily a reversal immediately. There is a possibility that the price will be consolidated for some time.