DXY- Great chances for a riseAfter the low back in February, 100.50 held strongly, and also yesterday, after a drop in that zone, bulls took control leaving a bullish engulfing on our daily chart.
At the time of writing the index is trading at 101.39 and there are good chances of a rise above 103.
I'm bullish as long as 100.50 is intact
Dxyanalysis
DXY #DXY $DXY Don't overreact just yet. We are still continuing to find major R at the second line above that goes back a bit. I gave you guys this second line to watch months ago. Its still in play IMO. Keep it simple until it truly changes. Ignore the daily drama and constant noise and use what I've given you until it doesn't work. This is still working and giving you a lot of reactions.
DXY may have reversed!!Currency Pair : DXY
Possible direction : Bullish
Technical Analysis : Price just has opened with gap and slowly turning into a bullish market after forming a middle man in the previous session. From monthly price has just bounced from the monthly support zone.
Fundamental : Positive ADP Non-Farm Employment change data has given a strong boost on USD
Possible trade recommendation : Bearish as per chart sketch
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DXY #DXY $DXY Going lower?Though we may have hit a double bottom. We are not seeing the same kind of explosive reaction from it. To me it looks like we are still within the given channels and R lines i have been sharing for weeks. Same old lines of trend and still in play. If it isn't broke keep using it.
DXY DAILY CHART - KEYLEVELS TO WATCHDXY for me at this point is neutral, im waiting for a broken trend or new lows for more ideas and targets.
More DXY will stay here, more the trust in other valutes willl be decreased.
So if here will be a consolidation zone, we will see USD more HIGHER , but for this, we need to a broken daily trend.
Dont be fomo at this point.
DXY brief gain and long position 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the support area and channel support ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside, we can see more gain 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction ❌🧨
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
DXY Index Next Possible MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Divergence
EXP Fiat as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame
Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Wave
Break of Structure
Symmetrical Triangle
Completed " ABC " Correction in Short Time Frame
Bullish Channel as Correction in STF
Rejection from Upper Trendline or Fibonacci Level ( 78.60% - 100% )
DXYCurrently, tracking the USDX (US Dollar Index) has become more enjoyable than ever before. Upon further examination, I have come to the conclusion that the DXY has reached its peak and is now in a phase of aggressive decline, beginning from the level of supply that I have identified, or potentially even worse from the fair value gap (FVG). I will continue to keep you updated on any changes regarding this matter.
DXYDXY Breakdown for the week of 4/16 w/ @MiFranz
So as we see on the Weekly chart, We are at a VERY important Support. Click the link and zoom out and you will see the bullish flag. Also, its the re-test of the falling wedge (more to come on the daily for that). This is re-test #2 and a possible Higher Low. Also, look below at the RSI. We are either at a divergence opportunity with a double bottom or it will continue to go to the 20-25 OS (Oversold) zone. If we are looking at a double bottom and we go bullish, its a long way up to a new high.
Now we look at the daily. The falling wedge is present w/ re-test AND we are at a double bottom, looks possibly Bullish. Plus the last candle to close is bullish engulfing.
Now we are getting into the execution realm on the 4h and below. I have marked of in a red zone, a FVG (Fair Value gap). Friday's push caused a nice reason to pullback. I expect a bearish opening now so we will see any major bull moves probably starting Tuesday (based on Technicals)We also see the RSI rejected off the 20-25 OS zone which is an interesting sign. It was so strong, it could either go touch 70-75 and continue bearish or pullback for a HL and then go touch OB (Overbought).
Off the 1h, we are now looking for entry. I would look for a very small gap up, and then the drop to go to the FVG.We see the 1h is very OB in the RSI and it needs a LH on it with the drop afterward. Im looking for bearish moves until otherwise.
We can clearly see now on the 15m, the small bull move up (Opening gap), and then the drop coming afterwards (path tool)
DXY - Tool to assess Risk on/ Risk off scenariosHi guys. Welcome to my TA analysis on the dollar index. ALot of talk has been going on about whether or not we are in a bull market for bitcoin and if equities will rally further or not. In order to assess or determine if its likely that we are, the dollar is used by many analysts to gauge at what the sentiment is, whether "RISK ON" or "RISK OFF". As such i also have come to analyze and use DXY as such a tool.
RISK ON = When dollar is decreasing in price, other assets tend to go up. ( Hence we hear people mention "oh, the dollar is inversely related to stocks, crypto)
RISK OFF = sentiment is scared to invest and people flock to the safety of cash/dollar, Increasing the value of the dollar and prices of other assets decrease in price
With that lets look into what i see in the charts for DXY.
This analysis is done on the 2 day timeframe.
I've zoomed out to include about 17 years of data.
So PRICE ACTION
As you can see its interacting with the Red line that is drawn on chart. This is the 200 Day Moving Average. If you look left at all the examples i put up, everytime price action goes down we are below this line for atleast 100 days to as long as couple of years. WE also decline between 2% to as much as 20%.
The 2 recent times, we were under it for 380 days and 488 days with price dropping further down. Ofcourse our current price action doesnt have to do this but because it occured previously it is not out of the question.
At the least expect sideways action, which is also not a bad thing for RISK ON mentality.
BUT as of now we have CONFIRMED below the 200 dma on the 2 day timeframe. I expect the dollar to drop more in the intermediate to longer term of atleast 3 months to a 1 year even. The longer the dollar stays below, the stronger RISK ON mentality gets. This would validate the recent Crypto uptrend and may push equities, housing and others up too.
To further support my thesis, check out the 2 indicators i put up
1. RSI - I believe we have further sell off on the RSI and im expecting it to do below the 20 level, as it did in the examples i circled with white. Also notice the white horizontal resistance line i drew. As long as we stay below here, it validates my thesis of dollar staying down. Im expecting atleast 1 touch point near or below the 20 level. RSI is a close indicator of price action, when it points down, price usually follows and vice versa.
2. ADX and DI - Ths tracks momentum. As highlighted red line is crossing up, indicating bearish momentum to pick up. When price action is below the 200 dma and a bearish cross occurs we usually go down in price.
CONCLUSION: With everything mentioned, in my opinion i believe DXY to go down further in price, it staying in a downtrend for atleast 3 months to 1 year. Supporting the idea that maybe we are in the beginning stages of a crypto bull market and we may see equities rally more.
Thanks for tuning in. Hope this helped. If you like the content, please BOOST, COMMENT and FOLLOW. Check out my other charts on DXY. If you liked what you read, i also do potential buy/sell analysis on stock/ cryptos.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Everything expressed in my posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading please do manage your risk and protect yourselves with stop losses.
USDX(Dollar) Must Continue To Extend LowerTechnical Analysis:
- As you can see the above daily chart, USDX is still doing a ABC correction in blue
- We present two possible paths - Black and Blue ( With actual data each path has 50% probability )
- The decision of both paths (Black and Blue) will be taken when USDX will arrive to the orange circle area
- Short term structure is bearish
- H1 Right Side is down
- H4 Right Side is turning down
Technical Information:
- Don't buy USDX (Dollar) now in short term
- We like to buy when wave C in blue and wave 4 in black are completed
DXY on the way to destroy Resistance lines⚔️!!!The DXY index has managed to break resistance line 1.
It is expected that wave 3 can break the resistance line 2, and finally the impulse wave 5 will end near the 🔴resistance zone($103.6-$103.3)🔴.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1h-time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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