dxy next move2 scenarios can happen the dollar is bullish right now since it just recently broke a high now i would like a pull back but tbh it could just keep pushing up to the high b4 coming back down but once price gets to that high i will see how price action develops
this is just more confirmation on golds sells we are already in for the pull back
110.360-110-800 area where i see it pushing to
Dxyanalysis
DXY - Dollar under pressureWith the anticipation of the inflation data that will be released on Thursday, the dollar is still under many selling pressures, but now it has reached pivotal areas, breaking it may lead it to lower levels, but if the data comes in its favour, it may regain its strength again.
Now the price is near a daily bullish trend and near buying areas (demand), as well as it is on the edge of the lowest descending channel on the 4 hour frame.
Everything will be revealed on Thursday, so please be careful in your trading until Thursday.
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DXY Daily TA Neutral BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 42% DXY, 58% CASH.
* MINOR SUPPORT WATCH . US Midterm elections are underway and the polls are getting ready to close soon, Republicans are expected to control both the House and Senate when the results come in. DXY, US Long-Term Treasuries, CNYUSD, Metals, Agriculture and Cryptos are all down. While Equities, Equity Futures, JPYUSD, GBPUSD, EURUSD, VIX and Energy all finished higher on the day. In a calamitous day that sent shockwaves through the entire Crypto industry, FTX experienced a liquidity crunch due to investors fleeing their exchange token FTT en masse after reports surfaced on 11/06 of Alameda Research (partner crypto trading firm) possibly not being as solvent as people thought. This inspired Binance to one-up their initial investment in FTX (that they exited last year) by acquiring all of FTX (excluding FTX.US) in a strategic transaction to provide liquidity to the struggling exchange . FTX CEO and Co-Founder Sam Bankman Fried was ranked the 95th wealthiest person in the world just yesterday with a $15.6b estimated net worth; now, after the biggest one-day collapse (94%) ever among billionaires tracked by Bloomberg, his net worth is estimated to be $1b. This event sent almost all Cryptos down 20%+ as investors feared what kind of ripple effects such a big player (FTX) going down in the industry would have on the broader market.
Equities and Cryptos showed another case of decoupling with Equities finishing higher for a fourth consecutive session on the expected Red Sweep in Congress, the CPI print on Thursday will be telling in how far this rally in Equities has to go. Today, Xi Jinping inspected the joint operations command center of the Central Military Commission as part of an effort to enhance combat preparedness, he was even quoted as saying that "the entire military should devote all its energy to, and carry out all its work for, combat readiness" to "enhance its capability to fight and win and effectively fulfill its missions and tasks in the new era". It's become quite clear that China will likely invade Taiwan later this year or in 2023 with Taiwan continuing to make independent decisions like investing $10m in chip production in Lithuania as well as "colluding with external forces" (meeting with world leaders that recognize Taiwan as a sovereign state). The US has information regarding North Korea supplying Russia with weapons , North Korea is one of the few countries in the world to openly recognize Russia's proclaimed territories in Ukraine.
Key Upcoming Dates: Third GDPNow US Q4 GDP Estimate 11/09; US October CPI at 830am EST 11/10; UofM November Consumer Sentiment Survey at 10am EST 11/11; Russia/Ukraine Grain Deal Expiration on 11/19; 2nd Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14 . *
Price is currently testing $110 minor support for the third consecutive session and risks losing support of the 50MA if it breaks below $110. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $113.05, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending sideways at 41 and is technically retesting 39.43 support for the second consecutive session. Stochastic is currently bearish and is beginning to form a trough at 15, the next support is at 9. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending down at -0.30 as it approaches a test of -0.38 support for the first time since April 2021. ADX has been forming a soft trough at 14 for three consecutive sessions as Price struggles to find buying momentum, this is neutral at the moment but if ADX starts to go up as Price goes down this would be mildly bearish.
If Price is able to bounce here and defend $110 support then it will likely retest the 50MA as resistance at ~$111.25 . However, if Price continues to breakdown here, it will lose $110 support and likely retest $108 support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $110.03.
US-DOLLAR falls with rising YIelds? NonSense!Hey tradomaniacs,
we currently see weird correlations as YIELDS are going up (especially shorter-term-yields which are likely to move up faster when facing a recession) while the US-Dollar falls.
As you might know, this makes less sense and we should soon see who one of those is lying.
The mixed NFP-Result which was actually bearish for stocks (not in detail due to poor jobs) is causing a little bit of confusion.
Technically we could see a bounce in USD... or a breakout soon? Will YIELDS go down and stocks pump? Since market bets against FED its getting tricky again!
We might see again correlations with sense and more moves after CPis on thursday.
What do you think?
DXY: A MOVE WE ALL WISH FOR.Hello guys, here's an update on DXY in 2 days timeframe.
The US dollar index is currently holding long-term support ever since early 2022. In this span of 10 months, we have seen the DXY bounce back making a higher high. This allowed DXY to form a nice rising wedge pattern and now once again we come to the point where DXY will either bounce back or break down. I wish DXY could play out according to the chart because this will mean a good green rally incoming in the crypto market. A bounce, on the other hand, will show some more bearish moves and will lead the market to drop further low.
I am anxiously waiting for a breakdown. Will it happen now or after one last bounce? To know the answer, we will have to wait for the next weekly candle to close.
I hope this update is helpful for you all.
Trade safely.
DXY Dollar New Week Possible Move#DXY Dollar
Time Frame - H1
- We have " LEADING DIAGONAL " and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
Time Frame - H4
- " Falling Wedge " Pattern and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
- IMPULSE CORRECTION IMPULSE , completed the corrective waves " ABC " will Follow Impulsive Waves again
Time Frame - Daily
- We have " BULLISH CHANNEL "
- Following Corrective wave Pattern and can Follow some Bearish Moves till the Lower Trend Line #LTL
20 REASSON FOR SHORT DXY 🤑TOP DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW🤑
🧐Eagle eye: structural Down
Monthly : structure bullish but there are lot of weakness in monthly candle patterns last month is inside bar 😲insidebar😲 current forming 👎doji😲
weekly : a big Imbalance after it prices are going down and down 🥺
so the bigger picture is not clear and in bear favor
1 Structure analysis time frame :DAILY bear
2 target time frame :DAILY
3 Current Move :IMPULSE
4 Entry Time Frame : H4
4.1 Entry TF Structure: BEAR
4.2 entry move : IMPULSE
5 Support resistance base :H4 BEAR ORDER BLOCK
6 FIB: TRIGGER EVENT
7 candle Pattern: DARK CLOUDS
8 Chart Pattern: DOUBLE TOP
9 Volume : EXTREAMLY HIGH
10 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: SUPER BARISH WITH LOUD MOVES
11 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: HEADFAKE BEARISH
12 strength ADX: WICKSAS BEAR
13 Sentiment ROC: BULLISH
14 final comment : SHORT AT RETRACEMENT
15 : decision : SELL
16 Entry: 111.790
17 Stop losel: 112.8
18 Take profit: 107.170
19 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:5
Excepted Duration : 10
DXY Daily TA Neutral BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% DXY, 60% Cash.
* The US October Employment Situation today reported 261k nonfarm payroll jobs added (vs 250k expected), a 0.2% increase in unemployment and a 62.2% labor force participation rate. These numbers hardly reflect monetary tightening (labor force participation rate has remained largely unchanged since Covid-19 lockdowns) nor a recessionary environment. If CPI comes in lower on the 10th it will likely help soften the Fed's stance on inflation but as it stands now, the Federal Reserve is likely to increase the funds rate by another 75bps in December. If CPI comes in higher on the 10th, 100bps would likely be on the table come December 14th. The Russia/Ukraine grain deal that Putin resumed this past Wednesday will expire on 11/19/22 and there have been no commitments to extension thus far. Chinese stocks are in rally mode as rumors regarding a reopening from Covid restrictions are beginning to circulate. Key Upcoming Dates: Third GDPNow US Q4 GDP Estimate 11/09; US October CPI at 830am EST 11/10; UofM November Consumer Sentiment Survey at 10am EST 11/11; Russia/Ukraine Grain Deal Expiration on 11/19; 2nd Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14 .*
Price is currently trending down at $110.78 and is still technically testing the 50MA at $111.15 as support. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at ~$109.61, this margin is bearish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 45.84 with no signs of trough formation and is on the brink of losing both 49.10 support and the uptrend line from July 2020 as support; the next support is at 39.43. Stochastic is currently on the verge of crossing over bearish as it tests 68.24 resistance. MACD remains bearish after a failed bullish crossover and is currently trending down at 0.035 as it approaches a potential retest of -0.065 support. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 13.70 as Price continues to try to push higher, this is mildly bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce off of the 50MA as support then it will likely retest the local-high of ~114 as resistance . However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely retest $110 minor support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $111.20.
DXY very bullish ! growth can continue up to 120The Fed had on Wednesday had hiked the upper target for fed funds to 4.0%, its highest since the Great Financial Crisis, while Chair Jerome Powell had said that interest rates will have to go higher than previously thought, even if the size of individual hikes from now on is likely to be smaller than the 75 basis points seen at the last four meetings. If we can break through the previous high, the growth will continue very strongly.
DXY Parabolic Curve Pattern RetestThe parabolic curve pattern DXY has been forming for over 16 months was broken on October 21st.
DXY bounced at the 109.53 level and now appears to be retesting the curve.
I see the following support levels if DXY is rejected at the curve.
1) At the previous bounce level (109.53)
2) Near the 105 level.
3) Near the 101 level.
Thoughts:
1) The hawkish FED continues to fuel the dollar.
2) Next weeks CPI numbers will be very important. If there isn't a significant drop, that will strengthen the FED's resolve to remain hawkish.
3) A strong labor market also emboldens the FED's hawkish stance. Until there is a significant sign of labor market weakness, the FED will remain hawkish.
4) With every FED meeting and rate hike, the likelihood of the FED overshooting increases.
5) Everything here is just my opinion and may be flawed.
DXY Dollar Next Possible Move#DXY Dollar
- According to the Long Time Frame #LTF we have BEARISH CHANNEL and Rejected from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
- Buying Divergence in #RSI
- We have IMPULSE CORRECTION IMPULSE - Completed the Correction " ABC " and Again Following IMPULSIVE WAVE
- RISING WEDGE in Short Time Frame #STF