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Dxyanalysis

Dollar Futures reveal viability of a very common pattern.I have gone through every trick I know trying to settle on analysis for the dollar. Let's be honest, the past year and a half have been nothing but squirrelly, sideways movement that appears to go nowhere and do nothing. In fact, we are basically sitting at the average price over that time period. SO, how should we read this? Well, this is how I read it... Over the past 1 year and 7 months, price has arrived at the same price: Sideways movement, like a consolidation, and at the end of a long move up, counting off of the May 2011 low. The move from 2011 appears complete, from a Elliot wave (read: structural) standpoint, and a Fib (read: levels) standpoint. From a strength standpoint, however, the September 2022 peak ended on the daily chart with continuing bullish divergence WITHIN THE WAVE 5. I call it a wave 5 because although its internal strength remained bullish, all peak readings indicated bearish divergence off of the March 2015 wave 3 of 3 top. This line of analysis leads me to believe that we have, at the very least, the unfinished business of generating more negative, bearish divergence prior to anymore notable downside. Since, as I mentioned, Fib targets have been fully satisfied, meaning higher highs are unlikely, we may be gearing up for a strong move up. A move with outsized strength that fails to reach new highs, thereby creating hidden bearish divergence, since our high was not technically fully bearish. In simplest terms, this appears to be consolidation at the end of a decade of bullish price action, which is bullish. Most technicals "technically" point us down, and the same goes for fundamentals, but there are irregularities in these metrics that point us up. Pattern, Strength, and Levels analysis give us plenty of room to the upside to finish this bull run, so long as we stay under 114.778, assuming a strong move, OR move up on weakness with only marginal new highs. Conclusion: BULLISH.
ICEUS:DX1!Long
by CuzDelux
DXY is moving lower**Monthly Chart** DXY monthly candle closed as bullish. This month's candle (still active) reached the supply zone last week around the 106 level and bounced lower from it. Note: I don’t trade DXY but I use it as an indication when analyzing other currency pairs linked to USD. **Weekly Chart** Last week's candle closed as a bearish engulfing suggesting a reverse trend lower at least to test the demand zone around the 104 level and then moving lower to the 103 level. **Daily Chart** This week, DXY is expected to have a corrective wave structure and consolidate before continuing the downward movement. There will be a release of monthly and yearly CPI on Thursday which can provide some strength to USD.
TVC:DXYShort
by PropSignals
1
BTC + DXY (Convergence & Divergence + Symmetrical Triangle)Impact on Bitcoin (BTC): The DXY’s movement often has an inverse relationship with Bitcoin. A rising DXY typically exerts downward pressure on BTC, as a stronger USD reduces the appeal of alternative assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, a weakening DXY can provide a tailwind for BTC, encouraging capital flows into the cryptocurrency. Historically, the 12 EMA and 50 MA crossovers: have provided reliable signals for entering and exiting trades. As the DXY approaches the apex of its triangle, traders should watch for a breakout, which could have significant implications for Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by alcoholic-semen-thrower
What news is needed to push the #DXY down? Let's take a look;Do you remember the pandemic period? The markets seemed to crash first, many of us even said, let's keep our money, neither stock market nor investment, let's see the way ahead first, let's not be exposed. Today, they had another case that shook the world. I say they did because I think there is nothing unconsciously done. Does the Monkeypox case look familiar? Could Bitcoin be pricing it in again right now? Not yet; I think today's drop is due to the NYSE withdrawing its offer to trade options on #Bitcoin ETFs. However, they will deepen the situation and it will create a domino effect. For exchanges that shape the world economy and politics, every movement on the charts is very valuable. Although the crypto exchange is not yet at this level, we are sure that it will be much more valuable in the near future. This chart I am sharing with you is the #DXY 1W chart ; It takes big events to make big moves on key charts like this one. It is highly likely to make a pattern like the one in the chart (no one knows tomorrow and the next move 100%). We are traders and our job is to make predictions. In order to make accurate predictions, we have to include all the data that concerns us. And those who make the right predictions and take the right risks always win.
TVC:DXYShort
by ugurtash
8.14 USD Trend AnalysisCPI is lower than expected, gold falls off a cliff, can the US dollar survive the desperate situation? Today, the US seasonally adjusted CPI annual rate for the end of July was lower than expected. With gold and silver slightly bullish, gold price fell from a high of 2474 to 2050, a drop of 24 US dollars. Everyone knows that if gold price falls, the US dollar will rise. Gold price currently lacks momentum. The war in the Middle East is still unclear. It may continue to fall. Will there be new entry opportunities for the US dollar? What do you think of this view? Welcome to comment below
TVC:DXY
by David_strategy
US dollar market trendYesterday, the deputy governor of the Bank of Japan said that "the market is unstable and there will be no interest rate hikes". This is a relatively "dovish" statement. In addition, the upcoming September interest rate cut conveys a good opportunity to enter the market. That is, the US dollar will still fall. Although the market is narrow today, the US dollar continued to rise at the end of the trading day, but it should not last long. Personal analysis: looking for high points and shorting
TVC:DXYShort
by David_strategy
DXY coold down before going up. Inv H&S pattern.The TVC:DXY is experiencing a cooldown, as indicated by the MACD. It was overbought and needs to relax a bit. However, this is not a reversal; it is just a reaccumulation. The inverse head and shoulders pattern suggests a target of $106 if the pattern stops at the bottom of the right shoulder, returning to its previous level and ready for more uptrend. A buy in the green zone is a safe entry. Always do your own research (DYOR). This is just chart analysis, not financial advice.
TVC:DXYLong
by CryptoNikkoid
1
US Dollar Index Daily TF DXY None Farm Payroll outcome from 13:30 today U.S PRIVATE NONFARM PAYROLLS (JUL) ACTUAL: 97K VS 136K PREVIOUS; EST 148K U.S PARTICIPATION RATE (JUL) ACTUAL: 62.7% VS 62.6% PREVIOUS U.S MANUFACTURING PAYROLLS (JUL) ACTUAL: 1K VS -8K PREVIOUS; EST -1K U.S AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS (JUL) ACTUAL: 34.2 VS 34.3 PREVIOUS; EST 34.3 U.S GOVERNMENT PAYROLLS (JUL) ACTUAL: 17.0K VS 70.0K PREVIOUS looks like it is going to close below 104.018 The DXY has dropped 100 pips following the non-farm payroll results and is expected to close below 104.024, indicating a bearish trend. Consequently, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and GOLD are likely to swing bullish. My area of interest is around 102.959, where I anticipate a rejection due to the presence of a -0.27 Fibonacci level and an order block. This should lead to a pullback before resuming the bearish trend to create new lower lows. Gold 4hr TF Gold is moving higher as a result of the non-farm payroll outcome. I expect this upward trend to continue until it hits my area of interest at 2,482, where I anticipate a rejection. After this pullback, I foresee gold resuming its upward movement to achieve a new all-time high (ATH).https://www.tradingview.com/x/tuk0BSO7/
TVC:DXYShort
by ChartStrategist
The USD and US bond yields immediately decreased.The DXY index - measuring the fluctuation of the USD compared to six major currencies in the world - decreased from 104.8 points (8:00 p.m., July 30) to 103.94 points (8:00 p.m., July 31, Vietnamese time). Male). Thus, there are more positive signs for the US economy. This is a factor that may cause the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to have a plan to lift monetary policy at a faster pace to ensure the US economy does not fall into recession in the future. Accordingly, in July the number of jobs created in the US was 122,000 jobs, lower than the forecast of 147,000. The USD and US bond yields immediately decreased.
TVC:DXYLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
DXY Q3 bearish bias confirmed. Quarterly: Based on the Quarterly theory this is Q3 of this year 24, & Q2 was the manipulation of this year, which has been formed upside, So the Q3-Destribution the price will go down whole August-September 2024, Draw on Liquidity: If I draw a FIB from the last year low to this year high the OTE Level is around 102-389 to 101.917. levels. So we will check any monthly PDA in this levels for the DOL, for the price. Weekly: As there was 2 W-FVG- 's bellow the PQM level's so POI of price revarsal was that 2 W-FVG- 's for revarsal. Now before the NFP Day, there are a possible W-SMT has been forming, So this confirmed me that the price is giving us a sign of revarsal. We need h4 confirmation for that to be more clear. H4: In this H4 the price has formed a bearish H4-Breaker/Unicorn formation, which is a strong sign of revarsal, in a W level of POI, which gives me farther confirmation that in the up coming week the price will move lower. So when all this 4 analogy 1. Quarterly Q3, Bearish analogy, 2. W-FVG- as a resistance, 3. H4-Bearish Breaker, 4. W-SMT in W-FVG- When placed all to-gather in the chart, it gave me a confirmation that the DXY is going down up coming 2 months.
PEPPERSTONE:USDXShort
by Trader_PKR
DXY- Two important levels to watchIn last week's analysis of the DXY, I noted that the index had reversed back above support, potentially indicating a false break. Additionally, the smaller time frame charts are showing an inverted head and shoulders pattern. This idea remains valid, though with some reservations, as the right shoulder is taking too long to complete. This extended formation period is not ideal when trading a head and shoulders pattern. The key level I'm watching is 104.50. If there is a clear break above this level, I will look for opportunities to sell USD pairs, with a focus on GBP/USD. Conversely, if the index breaks below 104, I will look to buy USD pairs, concentrating on AUD and NZD. For now, it's best to wait and see where the break occurs. After such a long consolidation, the resulting move is likely to be strong.
TVC:DXY
by Mihai_Iacob
7
US economic recovery, good news for the global economyDXY: The USD index last week maintained an accumulation status around the 104.10-104.50 range and has not broken out yet. It is likely that the market will need information from this week's FOMC to have clearer trends. In the short term, it is expected that today, DXY will continue to accumulate around this price range, so you can consider buying USD when DXY retests 104.10. -- On July 25, the US Department of Commerce released a report showing that the world's largest economy grew by 2.8% in the period from April to June 2024 (twice as high as the previous quarter). This growth is considered solid, as the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) inflation control measures seem to be effective. Inflation, one of the key factors influencing the Fed’s monetary policy, is showing signs of cooling. The annual inflation rate fell to 3.2% in June, down from a peak of 9.1% last year. This development is believed to be the result of the Fed’s continuous interest rate hikes over the past year.
TVC:DXYLong
by TheLeader_WOLF
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade Idea In this video, we analyze the DXY Dollar Index. It's clear that the DXY has been exhibiting bearish momentum recently. However, it is currently range-bound, and we need to wait for the market to reveal its direction. My strategy involves monitoring the 15-minute chart for signs of a breakout. I am leaning bearish, but this will be confirmed later today as we approach the London and NY sessions. A breakout could present a trade opportunity, as described in the video. It's important to note that these observations are speculative and not a definitive forecast. Confirming specific price movements is crucial before considering any buying or selling decisions, as elaborated in the video. The video provides a comprehensive analysis of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. Remember, this educational content is designed to enhance understanding and does not guarantee outcomes. Trading inherently involves substantial risks, so employing robust risk management techniques is essential.
TVC:DXY
by fxtraderanthony
Next Week Trading Plan (DXY analysis)we have drawn some high lows of weekly and monthly swings after that, we have spotted a chart pattern on 4h of DXY indicating it was head and shoulder (incomplete) although the idea was the left shoulder of the pattern is bigger and on the right shoulder it will be shorter than the left shoulder neckline comes at 104.510 first target will be 104.900 which is derived from the right shoulder length and 2nd target is at level of 105.300 which is the length of head incase the first condition couldn't break through the neckline we then have to wait for price to retest the monthly and weekly support which is around 103.900 to 103.600
TVC:DXY
by Jimmy_Rebello
2
DXY- False break and strong reversal ahead? Last week, the DXY broke below important horizontal support. However, the next day, the index reversed its losses, followed by a bullish candle on Friday. This created a strong reversal candle on our weekly chart, making us wonder if the initial break was false. Now, the index is consolidating above this important horizontal support. A break above the current lateral consolidation could lead to an upward acceleration. Typically, after a false break, the asset moves in the opposite direction to test the next significant level. For the DXY, this sets a target in the 1.0650 zone.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob