DXY (Dollar Index) Longs from 102.200 back upThe dollar index is presently responding to my 14hr supply zone, leading to a visible bearish reaction. Given that this supply is part of a 2-day supply, I anticipate price to move upward to further mitigate this supply, potentially triggering a more stronger bearish response.
With the breakout from consolidation, I anticipate clearer price action. I will be monitoring for price to reach a 10hr demand zone that has previously resulted in a BOS on the higher timeframe. Upon reaching this point of interest (POI), I will then be on the lookout for an accumulation to unfold.
Confluences for Dollar buys are as follows.
- Market trend is overall bullish on the higher timeframe
- Price has broken structure to the upside on the HTF.
- Price is currently reacting off a supply to trigger the pullback towards our demand
- Theres lots of liquidity and imbalances that need to get taken above as well.
- 10hr demand zone lies within the 0.78 fib range and it caused the BOS to happen
P.S. While I don't engage in direct trading of the dollar, I utilise it for confluence, especially since this pair significantly impacts the others I monitor. There's a possibility of a short-lived bullish trend if the 2-day supply zone doesn't hold. However, given the initial reaction, a downward movement seems likely.
HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK AHEAD, LET'S CATCH THESE PIPS!
Dxybull
DXY Daily Chart Analysis - Will DXY Return to the Bull Channel?DXY finally broke out of the bull channel it has been in since July of this year. A strong bull response off of the 30EMA brought the price back to the bull channel. We are now waiting to see if the price can re-enter the channel, or if it fails and confirms a breakout to the downside.
Key Points:
1. Bear breakout of the Bull Channel, waiting for confirmation
2. Strong bull response on 30EMA below the channel
3. Price is currently testing the channel
4. RSI is near 50 and is not supportive of either direction
5. Before trading DXY, wait to see if the price confirms or denies a breakout
Since we are in a bull trend, the probability of a confirmed breakout to the downside is less than the trend continuing to the upside. I think it is best to wait for a Daily close within the bull channel before entering a long or a bear candle closing near its low below the 30EMA before shorting. The bias ought to remain bull until we have confirmation of a break to the downside.
As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Bull Riding - Rodeo Trading – Intraday Market Orders (Part1)Bullish Correction does not seem to be complete as the DXY Pattern keeps on becoming more and more Complex. In other words, DXY could commence a Bullish Swing in order for the entire Corrective Pattern to complete. This is because the Bearish Swings previously predicted in the FOMC Press Conference - DXY - Triple Three article do not really fit a proper Impulse sequence.
Don’t get me wrong, the analysis was good and the DXY got trashed, as predicted. Traders were happy and looking green, everyone was nice and cool. The thing is that, I don’t like the way the Impulse looks, not strong enough, with overlaps and also showing Bearish structures on EUR, Gold, GBP. I’m about step way outside my comfort zone with this view, because I can’t just ignore these signs and hints.
This post implies more risk than usual but due to the importance and duration of the projected swings, it could be worth it.
Please consider holding this one out if you are not up to it and don’t want to take the risk.
Trades & Orders
XAU/USD – SELL Positions:
• Aggressive – 1245.00 with SL @ 1360.00
• Moderate – 1350.00 with SL @ 1370
• Targets – 1325.00 / 1310.00 / 1295.00 / 1285.00 / 1265.00
XAG/USD – SELL Positions:
• Aggressive – 16.65 with SL @ 16.87
• Moderate – 16.70 with SL @ 17.00
• Targets – 16.40 / 16.15 / 15.85 / 15.50
EUR/USD – SELL Positions:
• Aggressive – 1.24250 with SL @ 1.2480
• Moderate – 1.24500 with SL @ 1.25100
• Targets – 1.2340 / 1.2250 / 1.2180
DAX30 – BUY Position:
• 11900.00 with SL @ 11700.00
• Targets – 12200.00 / 12450.00 / 12650.00 / 12850.00