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Dxyforecast
DXY, Is correction on the way ?Hello Traders, Hope you are doing great.
for upcoming days and for a short period of time, we'll probably see a downward correction to Specified level in TVC:DXY , we also have a Divergence on 4H that confirms our theory.
so with a proper trigger we can open a short position. We will also probably find better buy positions in FX:GBPUSD And FX:AUDUSD than the FX:EURUSD .
Trade safe and have a great weekend.
And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post.
If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend.
THANKS.
DXY Update and Levelsafter good impulse move to the upside there is certainty of price going into pullback mode
because
. price recently broken the trend line which was from weekly side so the next liquidity zone is supply from monthly which is 1% away and on other hand price can try to retest the fvg which nearby 0.5% below the current price (105.998) or the round figure 105 can act as support
my take - before going to 107 zone price should retrace and get some liquidity from fvg
Is a DXY Pullback on the Horizon? Key Price Action Signals Is a DXY Pullback on the Horizon? Key Price Action Signals to Keep an Eye On
👀👉 The DXY Dollar Index has shown robust bullish momentum recently—but is it overextended? A pullback at a major support level could offer a valuable entry opportunity. I’m watching this zone closely for a possible buy setup aligned with the key criteria covered in the video. In this analysis, we’ll explore essential price action signals to watch and discuss strategies for positioning in the next potential move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.* 📊✅
DXY bias new outlooklast 10 candle does not have any liquidity which seems that price is likely to bounce from 1st poi
but the candle from nov5 and nov6 will be important as it is bearish marbozu with nov6 candle could create bearish fvg that can give price another rejection zone to push the price to test poi 2
based on drawn poi
poi 1 = 103.220
and poi 2 = 102.630
we need see if price is rejected from this zone followed by dotted line which represents external liquidity to grab
and finally we have orange zone that is weekly bearish fvg once that is tested will follow with new idea
A Bullish Turn: Investors Embrace the DollarA Shift in Sentiment
In a surprising turn of events, hedge funds, asset managers, and other speculators have shifted their stance on the US dollar, moving into bullish positions in the week ending October 22nd. This significant shift, totaling approximately $9.2 billion in long dollar bets, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) compiled by Bloomberg, marks a dramatic departure from the previous week's net short position.
A $10.6 Billion Swing
This abrupt change in sentiment represents a substantial $10.6 billion swing from the previous week, when traders were actively betting against the greenback. The reasons behind this bullish pivot are multifaceted, primarily driven by a confluence of factors, including stronger-than-expected US economic data and heightened demand for safe-haven assets as the US election approaches.
A Recalibration of Fed Expectations
A series of positive economic reports released throughout October has forced a recalibration of previously dovish Federal Reserve expectations. The robust economic indicators have raised the possibility of a more hawkish monetary policy stance from the Fed, which could potentially lead to higher interest rates. Historically, a stronger US dollar has been correlated with higher interest rates, making the greenback an attractive investment for global investors.
Election-Year Uncertainty
As the US presidential election draws near, geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility tend to increase. In such times, investors often seek refuge in safe-haven assets like the US dollar. The dollar's perceived status as a reliable store of value, combined with the potential for increased market volatility, has likely contributed to the recent surge in demand for the currency.
Implications for the Global Economy
The shift towards a bullish dollar position has significant implications for the global economy. A stronger dollar can negatively impact emerging market economies that rely heavily on dollar-denominated debt. Additionally, it can make US exports more expensive, potentially hindering economic growth. However, for countries with strong economic fundamentals and current account surpluses, a stronger dollar can be beneficial.
A Cautious Outlook
While the recent bullish trend in the dollar is notable, it is essential to maintain a cautious outlook. The global economic landscape remains uncertain, and a variety of factors, including geopolitical events, trade tensions, and central bank policies, could influence the dollar's trajectory. As such, it is crucial for investors to carefully consider the risks and rewards associated with dollar-based investments.
In conclusion, the recent shift towards a bullish dollar position reflects a significant change in market sentiment. A combination of stronger-than-expected US economic data and heightened demand for safe-haven assets has driven investors to embrace the greenback. While the implications of this trend for the global economy are far-reaching, it is essential to remain vigilant and adapt to evolving market conditions.
Unmasking DXY's Bullish Potential with Volume ProfileH ello,
The unusually high market activity around the 100.5 level indicated strong bullish accumulation. The yellow ellipses highlight the volume and price levels. You can see that volume decreases both above and below this key level. This accumulation is evident because the price broke out of a bullish consolidation pattern, as shown in the left yellow circle, reaching a high of 103.9, indicated by the yellow line. This is the current level, where you may notice exceptionally high market activity. As the price remains above the green demand zone, the red supply zone may be tested, as suggested by the volume profile.
Regards,
Ely
Key Levels to Watch in the DXY: Preparing for Potential ReversalWaiting on a reaction a tad higher. TVC:DXY
Looking at the levels 103.5 > 102.2. From there, I'll see how it behaves.
If it moves above 103.6, I’ll cut the short, as 105.4 will come into play.
Just playing out two scenarios with the same premise: down before more up...
DXY Index at Critical Resistance: Possible Clues for USD Pairs👀👉 The US Dollar Index (DXY) is nearing a key resistance zone, repeatedly tested on both the monthly and weekly timeframes, which often signals a potential market reaction or rejection. While the US dollar has maintained a strong bullish trend, these factors suggest a possible near-term reversal, offering potential opportunities in both correlated and inversely correlated currency pairs. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
📊✅
USD Index at 104 Resistance: Strategies for the Next MoveIn early October, I wrote that the multiple attempts to break below the support level given by the beginning of the year price were likely false breaks.
I suggested that the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) was primed for a reversal to the upside, which could potentially push the price toward the 104 resistance level.
As anticipated, the USD Index reversed and touched this key resistance.
Looking ahead, a correction from this point seems probable, with the 102.50 zone being a possible target in the coming days.
My strategy is to look for buying opportunities in EUR/USD and AUD/USD.
DXY Bullish again? rally from 102.600 back upOnce price mitigates and retests the daily demand zone I’ve marked out, I’ll be looking for the dollar (DXY) to trigger another bullish move within this point of interest (POI), potentially leading to a rally that could take out another all-time high (ATH).
Upon reaching this daily demand, I’ll focus on finding a lower time frame entry. As price pushes up, taking out the liquidity and filling the imbalance, I’ll be watching for potential short-term sell opportunities from the daily supply zone, which looks like a high-quality area.
Confluences for DXY Bullish Move:
Recent Bullish Momentum: Price has been strongly bullish.
Break of Structure (BOS): A clear BOS to the upside, leaving behind a demand zone.
Liquidity and Imbalance: Liquidity targets and imbalance above, providing room for a rally.
High-Quality Daily Demand: The daily demand zone is strong and has a good potential for a bullish push.
P.S. I wouldn’t be surprised if the daily supply also holds and causes a deep retracement, but we’ll see how the market reacts.
Have a great trading week guys!
Hotter-than-Expected CPI Prints: A Potential Catalyst for DXY an
Introduction
The release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is a highly anticipated event in financial markets, often influencing investor sentiment, currency valuations, and risk appetite. A hotter-than-expected CPI print, indicating higher-than-anticipated inflation, has significant implications for monetary policy decisions, particularly interest rate cuts. This article explores how such a scenario could strengthen calls to halt or even reverse rate cuts, potentially bolstering the US Dollar Index (DXY) and leading to increased risk aversion.
Understanding CPI and Its Impact on Monetary Policy
CPI is a measure of the average change over time in the price of a basket of goods and services consumed by households. It is a key indicator of inflation, which central banks closely monitor to assess the overall health of an economy. When CPI rises above the target inflation rate, it suggests that prices are increasing at a faster pace than desired, potentially eroding purchasing power and destabilizing the economy.
Central banks often use interest rates as a tool to manage inflation. By raising interest rates, they make borrowing more expensive, which can slow down economic activity and reduce demand for goods and services, ultimately putting downward pressure on prices. Conversely, lowering interest rates can stimulate economic growth but may also lead to higher inflation if demand outpaces supply.
The Implications of a Hotter-than-Expected CPI Print
If a CPI report comes in hotter than expected, it suggests that inflation is running higher than anticipated. This could lead to increased concerns among central bankers and investors about the potential for inflation to spiral out of control. In response, central banks may feel compelled to pause or even reverse their monetary easing policies.
The prospect of higher interest rates can have a significant impact on financial markets. When central banks raise interest rates, it often leads to a stronger domestic currency relative to other currencies. This is because higher interest rates make the domestic currency more attractive to investors seeking higher returns on their investments.
In the case of the US Dollar, a stronger DXY can have implications for global financial markets. A stronger dollar can make imports cheaper for US consumers but can also make exports more expensive for US businesses, potentially hurting economic growth. Additionally, a stronger dollar can put downward pressure on commodity prices, which can impact the profitability of commodity-producing countries and industries.
The Potential Impact on Risk Aversion
A hotter-than-expected CPI print and the subsequent tightening of monetary policy can also lead to increased risk aversion among investors. When investors become more cautious about the outlook for the economy, they may be less willing to take on riskier investments, such as stocks and emerging market bonds. This can lead to a sell-off in these asset classes, as investors seek to shift their portfolios to safer, more liquid assets like US Treasury bonds.
Conclusion
A hotter-than-expected CPI print can have significant implications for financial markets, particularly if it leads to a change in monetary policy. By strengthening calls to halt or reverse rate cuts, such a scenario could bolster the US Dollar Index and increase risk aversion. Investors should closely monitor CPI releases and their potential impact on central bank decisions and market sentiment.
DXY (Dollar Index) Technical Analysis and Day Trade Idea👀 👉 The DXY (Dollar Index) recently shifted into a bullish structure on the 4H timeframe, with price now approaching a key resistance level. This could present a potential short day trade opportunity. In this video, we analyse the DXY in detail, reviewing the trend, market structure, and price action, while exploring a possible trade setup. Disclaimer: Forex trading carries significant risk, and market conditions can change rapidly. The information provided is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📉✅