Dxyforecast
DXY is Ready to Go UP🚀🏃♂️The DXY index is moving in the 🟢 Support zone($103.78_$102.93) 🟢 near the SMA(200) and 1 00_SMA(Weekly) .
🕯If we want to look at the last three daily candles of the DXY index from the candlestick pattern, we can see the reversal patterns of Hammer and Morning Star very well.
💡Also, another sign that shows us the end of the downward trend of the DXY index is the Falling Wedge Pattern in the RSI indicator .👇
🔔I expect the DXY index to trend higher in the coming days and attack the 🔴Resistance zone($105.88_$104.630)🔴 again.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, Daily frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Important update on the USDT Dominance and the US Dollar IndexGreetings, Traders,
We have a brief update on USDT dominance and the US Dollar Index using a 3-day timeframe chart. This video holds significance for analyzing the crypto market, so be sure to watch it through to the end. If you have any questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to reach out. I'm here and just a comment away.
Best regards,
Team Dexter.
DXY Preparing for Another Leg Down! Grab This Next Short Entry!DXY confirmed its breakout from the bull channel to the downside and is currently showing some minor support at the 200EMA. I would expect the price gap from here to the 9EMA at 105.000 to close followed by another leg down. We have to be careful to not get caught in a 2 legged trap, which is also a possible outcome at this level.
How do we trade this?
Wait for a sell signal at the 9EMA with a strong bear bar closing on or near its low before entering a short.
Key Points
1. 200EMA Showing Some Support
2. Two Pushes down, Third Probable
3. Gap to fill to the 9EMA around 105.000.
4. Look for another Short entry at 105.000 with a sell signal
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
DXY → Extra losses look likely below 104.00TVC:DXY attempts a mild recovery to the 104.30/40 band after bottoming out just below the 104.00 support earlier in the session on Wednesday.
The breakdown of the November low of 103.98 (November 14-15) should pave the way for a quick test of the critical 200-day SMA at 103.60 prior to the weekly low of 102.96 (August 30).
In the meantime, while above the key 200-day SMA, today at 103.60, the outlook for the index is expected to remain constructive.
After inflation, the US dollar will increase sharply next weekThe US dollar was barely changed in early European trading on Tuesday ahead of the latest inflation data that could determine the direction of US monetary policy, while sterling rose as investors British workers continue to benefit from healthy wage increases.
At 3:10 a.m. ET (08:10 GMT), the dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, was trading virtually unchanged at 105.516.
Trading was largely confined to a narrow range on Tuesday as traders cautiously awaited the release of the US consumer price index at the end of the October session, a number likely to boost sentiment. believe. Book}} meeting.
Analysts expect annual revenue growth to rise 3.3% year-over-year, down from 3.7% in September, while also expecting a 0.1% increase over the month, lower than the 0.4% increase observed last month.
Some Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, have warned that persistent inflation could cause the central bank's interest rates to rise further and any signs that prices are harder to come by than expected are all likely to sharply increase bets on rising interest rates. US central bank. Higher interest rates - a scenario that bodes well for the dollar.
DXY Index Pair : DXY Index
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Wave and " A " Corrective Wave at Fibonacci Level - 38.20%. Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Rejection from the Upper Trend Line it will reach Lower Trend Line / Demand Zone to complete its " z " Wave
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Breakout / Rejection
DXY$ Shorts from 105.800 down towards 105.200As expected our last week scenario (A) played out perfectly like we anticipated which was seeing a bullish reaction from the 4hr demand. For this week's bias we are still temporarily bearish with the dollar as it's approaching a clean 14hr supply zone. As soon as it gets tapped in I will be waiting for my lower time frame confirmation i.e. a Wyckoff distribution schematic and a clean CHOCH to the downside.
I would preferably wait for the asian high to get swept inside the zone before looking for a drop in the dollar index. I am bullish long term but, as price has broken structure a few times to the downside I would like to catch sells down towards the next demand at least.
My confluences for DXY$ Shorts are as follows:
- Price approaching a 14hr supply zone that has broken structure the downside.
- Imbalances have fully been filled and momentum has slowed down (good sign for a reversal)
- Huge trend line left way below that price would want to grab and theres also lots of liquidity below to target as take profit levels.
- In order for price to keep pushing up it will need to enter a level of demand, so as of now we will be trying to catch sells down towards a demand.
P.S. Only if my extreme 7hr supply zone gets violated, we will then know if price wants to continue in its bullish trend or not. But as of now I see price dropping more due to the perpetual BOS's. Also, as the dollar is a direct negative correlation to most of my pairs, the bias will suggest a bullish move to take place for EU, GU and gold If DXY$ decides to continue bearish.
The Alarming Volatility of the US Dollar – A Call to Action
The recent turbulent fluctuations witnessed in the strength of the US Dollar have left experts bewildered and traders on edge. As we navigate through these uncertain times, it is crucial that we take a moment to pause and reevaluate our trading positions before potentially exposing ourselves to unnecessary risks.
The unprecedented volatility of the US Dollar has sent shockwaves across the global financial markets, stemming from a multitude of economic, political, and social events. These complexities have made it exceedingly challenging for even the most experienced traders to predict or decipher the future direction of the dollar accurately. The sudden shifts and erratic movements have destabilized not only its inherent value but also significantly influenced the correlation with other major currencies.
Given the circumstances, I implore you all to reflect upon your current dollar trading strategies. It is paramount that we reassess the potential risks and rewards associated with trading the US Dollar in the present climate. As responsible traders, it is vital to exercise caution and adjust our positions accordingly, considering the magnitude of uncertainty that envelopes the dollar's market stability.
I strongly encourage you to undertake a thorough analysis of your portfolios, taking into account the potential consequences of sustained volatility and the possible ripple effects on other currencies and financial assets. It is prudent to diversify your holdings, exploring alternative investment options that may help mitigate the potential risks associated with the current dollar turbulence.
In these challenging times, it is crucial for us to remain vigilant, responsible, and adaptable in our approach. By taking a pause and reevaluating our dollar trading strategies, we can safeguard our investments and insulate ourselves from sudden and adverse market movements. Remember, preserving capital is equally as important as pursuing profits.
DXY trending higher following Fed stance and BOE influence stancAfter the latest monetary policy meeting, financial markets reacted to statements from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the Bank of England (BoE). These reactions led to large changes in bond yields and the value of the dollar.
Even though the Fed maintained its hawkish stance after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, markets tended to interpret Powell's comments cautiously. Despite recognition of the US's strong economic performance, concerns about tightening financial conditions and questions about the reliability of scatterplots have led to suggestions that US interest rates may have peaked. There is. This sentiment has led to lower bond yields and a drop in the value of the dollar. In contrast, three out of nine Monetary Policy Committee members at the BoE meeting supported a 25 basis point rate hike. However, rising UK unemployment and a forecast of zero growth in 2024 pose major challenges, with GBP/USD moving above previous support/resistance levels as the dollar weakens and US yields fall. Rose.
Despite these developments, the pound's upward momentum remains limited. Interest rate forecasts suggest the Bank of England will not consider cutting rates until the third quarter of next year. This is slower than the Fed's market expectations (now revised to Q2 2024).
DXY IndexPair : DXY Index
Description :
Completed Impulse and HH - HL , Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern for Trend Reversal it will Follow LL - LH until it completed the Retracement for the Wedge and Break of structure. Demand Zone at Fibonacci Level 38.20% can React as strong Support
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it Rejects with Strong Price Action
DXY (Dollar index) Retracement back up to 105.600Following from last week hectic week of news events, we had a nice end on NFP friday giving us a clear indication on what price wants to do. As you can see the dollar has been ranging on the higher time frame, generating liquidity and testing new possible highs however failed to do so.
Scenario (A) - We have a strong bearish candle breaching the low of the range, breaking the structure to the downside. This hints that the dollar wants to move in a bearish trend and possibly want to take the HTF trendline below that was left from the previous rally. From this move, we have marked out new supply zones that we can sell from to continue this expansion.
As of current price we have entered a nice (4hr) demand zone that has previously caused BOS to the upside this can allow us to buy back up towards the supply above. Already we see a nice reaction within the zone as well as price accumilating so we can possibly look for nice buys on monday once we get a CHOCH on the LTF's. We will then target the 13hr supply zone above as thats our main POI for a potential sell setup to form.
Scenario (B) - Is that price continues to the downside and fails this zone to sweep the liquidity below. As theres a lot of asian lows and engineering liquidity, price can easily take this to tap into the daily demand which is a better zone to buy from to target the supply above around 105.500.
My confluences for short term dollar (DXY) buys are as follows:
- Price tapped into a 4hr demand that broke structure to the upside.
- Wyckoff accumilation is starting to formulate due to the slow movement inside the zone.
- Imbalances left above from NFP news event that price needs to come fill.
- If price wants to continue in this bearish trend it must retrace back to the supply above.
- Liquidity from the previous low has also been swept (which is the bottom of the range) - enough liquidity to possibly cause price to retrace back up to 105.600.
P.S. From last weeks DXY breakdown (29/10/23), My scenario (A) played out how I expected as price respected my 7hr supply zone that I marked out and melted perfectly from that zone which caused price to break structure to the downside. I am temporarily bearish on the dollar so our next POI's to continue this order flow will be at the 13hr supply or the extreme (7hr) above.
DXY - Keylevels - DailyDxy is going through a critical period, after several weeks in a row it lost a bit of its price, the ultimate test, that is, the neckline was finally broken and now it seems that it has room to go down.
I have mentioned the important areas.
The FED meeting in December can help DXY in a comeback if this will be a Hawkish meeting, but at the moment December is quite far away and things for DXY can get complicated if it loses the next level as well.
On the other hand, let's not forget that big investors can't wait to sell their dollars to enter the market, so the pressure on the dollar at these moments is getting bigger and bigger.
DXY Peaks as Leverage Combined Positions for USD Index RiseIt is with great concern that I bring to your notice the recent surge in leverage combined positions for the USD index, coinciding with the apparent peak of the Dollar Index (DXY). This convergence of events has prompted us to urge you to exercise caution and consider pausing your USD trading activities.
Over the past few weeks, we have witnessed the DXY reaching new heights, bolstered by a series of positive economic indicators and widespread optimism. However, it is crucial to recognize that such prolonged upward trends tend to have limitations, often leading to market corrections or reversals.
The mounting leverage combined positions for the USD index indicate an increasing number of traders speculating on the dollar's continued ascent. While this may seem enticing, history has shown us that excessive optimism and overleveraging can be precursors to market downturns. As responsible traders, it is our duty to approach these situations with a level-headed perspective.
Therefore, we strongly advise you to pause and reevaluate your USD trading strategies, taking into account the current market conditions and the potential risks associated with the DXY's peak. Consider diversifying your portfolio, exploring alternative currency pairs, or even temporarily shifting your focus to other assets that exhibit more favorable risk-reward ratios.
By exercising prudence during this phase of heightened optimism, you can better protect your capital and avoid potential losses. Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint, and preserving your financial stability is paramount.
In conclusion, we urge you to approach USD trading with caution, recognizing the potential risks associated with the DXY's current peak and the surge in leverage combined positions. Take this opportunity to reassess your strategies, diversify your portfolio, and consider alternative trading options. By doing so, you will be better positioned to adapt and thrive in the ever-evolving world of trading.
Latest news: Gold price has surpassed the $2,000 mark, as demandGold prices rose above $2,000 amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and demand for safe-haven assets ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. However, the 10-year bond yield has reached 5.02%, the highest level since 2007, and remains high.
The increase in the US government's debt service rate strengthens the strength of the US dollar, leading to increases in the price of both the US dollar and gold. But gold, which doesn't pay interest, is often under selling pressure when the U.S. dollar and government bond yields rise.
Despite these factors and the fact that U.S. real yields have reached a 15-year high of over 2.60%, gold prices remain resilient.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn this video, we conduct an in-depth analysis of the DXY (US Dollar Index). Our focus lies in deciphering the pronounced bullish trend observed on higher time frames. Throughout the video, we explore prospective price targets and trading opportunities, delving into trend assessment, price action, market structure, and a conceptualised trade proposition. Please be reminded that the content herewith is designed solely for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is crucial to acknowledge the substantial risk associated with currency markets, emphasising the necessity of implementing astute risk management techniques in your trading endeavours.
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Wave and " A " Corrective Wave , It will Complete its " B " Corrective Wave at Daily S / R Level. Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Retest
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Completed Reject the Falling Wedge or S / R Level