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Dxyforecast

The dollar suddenly increased after favorable news for America'sThe Fed has raised interest rates 11 times since March 2022, but inflation remains well above target and U.S. central bank officials are taking more aggressive action than in the past. This is thought to be due to a lack of monetary policy adjustment. When Federal Reserve officials say their long-term inflation target is 2%, they are referring to the percentage growth in the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Core PCE) compared to the same period last year. The more popular and often cited inflation figure is the year-over-year growth rate of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). In fact, from May 2023 to the present, the six-month Treasury yield has been consistently above 5.3% and even above 5.5%. Additionally, approximately $1 trillion has been withdrawn from the reverse repo facility since May. In other words, the U.S. federal government is pumping trillions of dollars previously siphoned out of the financial system by the Fed back into the economy through bonds with attractive yields. The higher the yield, the more money flows into the financial system. This is one of the strange phenomena in the fight against inflation. The clearest evidence is that M2 money supply fell to a two-year low in April 2023, then stopped declining and even increased slightly in the following four months. Without a reduction in the money supply, it will be difficult to reduce inflation. The Fed tried to tighten monetary policy by raising interest rates and withdrawing money, while the U.S. government increased debt and injected more money into the economy to cover budget deficits. No matter how strong your hands are, you cannot clap loudly. No matter how hard the Fed tries, it will be difficult to control inflation if monetary policy runs counter to monetary policy.
TVC:DXYLong
by TheLeader_WOLF
DXY : Here's what you need to know to start your week.DXY New forecast The US dollar index faces the risk of ending its 12-week upward streak, with a possible decline to 104.19. Factors contributing to the dollar's strength include Fed hawkishness, recession fears in the Eurozone, and weak data from Asia US inflation data could provide more clarity on the future path of interest rates following Friday's strong jobs report, while minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting on Wednesday will also be looked at closely. Meanwhile, the third quarter earnings season begins and energy prices remain in focus. Here's what you need to know to start your week. Inflation data The US will release what markets have been waiting for September CPI data this week as investors continue to evaluate the Fed's rate hikes for "a longer period". The August CPI report showed the fastest increase in 14 months as the cost of gasoline rose, although core inflation, which excludes food and fuel costs, rose at its slowest pace in nearly two years. Jobs data on Friday showed a larger-than-expected rise in non-farm payrolls last month as wage growth slowed, suggesting that monetary policy may remain tight for some time. Federal Reserve meeting minutes The US central bank is set to publish minutes from its September meeting on Wednesday as market watchers look for clues on whether policymakers are leaning toward another interest rate hike before the end of the year. Beginning of third quarter earnings The third-quarter earnings season begins with reports from several major banks as Wall Street investors look for a catalyst to revive stocks in the face of rising bond yields. ⭕️This week’s data ⭕️Monday and Tuesday no data ⭕️Important data on Wednesday: American inflation for consumers and producers Technical abstract : The index of Dollar witnessed negative performance in trading before the closing of the last sessions of the week, on the 4H time frame The price trade in the bullish channel for a long time and now trade at the bottom of channel and above the support zone 105.22 - 105.61,so we have to wait until get out of the channel and breach the support zone then we will sell . therefore the downward trend scenario will be remain valid and effective when the price breach that level we mentioned above and will try to reach 104.01 as a next negative target ,taking into account that as long as price trade above 105.61 the price will try to be continue at the bullish trend . On the weekly time frame As we see the price closed weekly bearish candle and that is first bearish candle since 3 month , the price pullback from that zone strongly so we expect the bearish tendency will be on control during the next week . support line : 105.61 , 105.22 resistance line : 106.55 , 107.51 Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Arazmajeed
6
DXY - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)The Dollar Index has hastily reached my objective on the Weekly/Monthly timeframe. The question now is will we still move higher. I think we will. Of course, we can make predictions and assumptions, but we wait for price action to tip its hand to us. I have 3 levels where I am looking for a continuation to the upside next week onwards. 1. There is a New Month Opening Gap coupled with the support of the previous week's high and an old swing high. I am most keen to see how price reacts within this area. 2. Below, there is a Weekly Bisi, albeit a narrow gap. If price gets there, it may be a quick rejection. 3. Even lower, there is the Weekly Wick CE of a previous month. This would be the last area I would look for a long that would break the previous high.
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
DXY will Fall by Head and Shoulders Pattern⏰(1-Hour)⏰✅The DXY Index has managed to form a Head and Shoulders Pattern in the 🔴Resistance zone🔴. 🔨DXY broke the 🟢 Support zone 🟢 and Neckline hours ago. 🔔I expect DXY to start falling again to 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡and Uptrend line after completing the pullback to Neckline . U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DXYShort
by pejman_zwin
36
DXY index bottom and BTC topINDEX:DXY Possible Targets and explanation idea ➡️weekly (even yearly) FIB top for DXY now we are in a downtrend ➡️last move on DXY will be around 107-109 than down till 2025-2026 ➡️Bottom for DXY will be around 92 ➡️The same time historically its will be the new high (not for sure ATH) for BTC ➡️After that we will start new bear market in crypto Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
INDEX:DXYShort
by Crypto4light
Celebrating the Bright Future of the US Dollar! 🌞I bring you fantastic news that will surely make your day even brighter. The upcoming job report expect to have an impressive addition of 150,000 new jobs, coupled with a lower unemployment rate. This remarkable achievement will set the stage for an exciting journey ahead for the US dollar! The US economy continues to demonstrate its resilience and strength, and these latest figures are a testament to that fact. With each passing day, the US dollar is becoming an even more attractive investment opportunity. As traders, it is essential to recognize and seize the potential this brings to our portfolios. So, what does this mean for you? It's time to consider a long position on the US dollar! The positive job report signals a favorable market sentiment and reflects the growing confidence in the US economy. By taking advantage of this upward trend, we can position ourselves to reap the benefits of a strengthening US dollar. Here are a few compelling reasons why you should consider going long on the US dollar: 1. Economic Growth: The addition of 150,000 new jobs indicates a robust and expanding economy. This growth is likely to fuel increased consumer spending and business investments, further bolstering the value of the US dollar. 2. Lower Unemployment: The decrease in the unemployment rate signifies a healthier labor market, which translates into higher wages and increased consumer confidence. As disposable incomes rise, so does the demand for goods and services, ultimately benefiting the US dollar. 3. Global Safe Haven: In times of uncertainty, the US dollar has historically been a safe haven for investors. With its strong economic fundamentals and stable political environment, the US dollar is likely to attract capital flows, driving its value higher. Now is the time to act! As traders, we have the opportunity to capitalize on this positive news and optimize our investment strategies. By going long on the US dollar, we position ourselves to potentially unlock substantial gains in the future. Remember, successful trading requires staying informed and making well-informed decisions. Keep a close eye on market trends, economic indicators, and geopolitical events that may impact the US dollar's performance. Let's embark on this exciting journey together, riding the wave of optimism and prosperity that lies ahead. Long live the US dollar!
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
DOLLAR INDEX DXY The dollar index extended gains to above 107, its most substantial level since November, and tracking Treasury yields higher, as hawkish comments from Fed officials continue to strengthen the expectation that interest rates will remain elevated for an extended period. Meanwhile, economic data continues to signal a resilient economy, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI indicating the most minor contraction in factory activity in nearly a year for September. Several labor market indicators, including the upcoming payroll report and further comments from Fed officials, will be closely watched in the coming days. The dollar strengthened against all major currencies, with the most pronounced buying activity against the Aussie, after the Reserve Bank of Australia held interest rates steady. The greenback also appreciated against the Japanese yen and the British pound. The United States Dollar Index or DXY measures the performance of the dollar against a basket of other currencies including EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, CHF, and SEK. The EUR is, by far, the largest component of the index, making up 57.6% of the basket followed by JPY (13.6%), GBP (11.9%), CAD (9.1%), SEK (4.2%), and CHF (3.6%). If you like it, hit the like button and share your charts in the comments section. Thank you.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by CryptoSanders9563
What about DXY and the effect on BTC?There are several factors that could contribute to a sharp increase in the value of the US dollar in the future: Strong economy: If the US economy is doing well compared to other economies, it can boost confidence in the US dollar and attract investors. Strong GDP growth, low unemployment, high investment and innovation may be factors contributing to increased demand for dollars. Higher interest rates: An increase in interest rates by the US central bank (Federal Reserve) may increase the attractiveness of the US dollar. Higher interest rates can attract capital from other countries and boost demand for dollars, which could lead to dollar growth. Geopolitical instability: In the event of political or geopolitical uncertainties, such as conflicts, trade disputes or global crises, the US dollar can be seen as a safe haven. In such situations, the demand for dollars could increase, which could result in an increase in its value. Dominance of the dollar in the international market: The US dollar is still the most used reserve currency in the world and the main currency for international trade. If this dominance continues, it may strengthen the dollar's position and contribute to its growth. A rise in the value of the dollar can affect the price of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC), in several ways: Inverse relationship: There is a tendency for the value of the dollar and the price of cryptocurrencies to have an inverse relationship. This means that if the value of the dollar increases, it can result in a decrease in the price of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin. This is because investors may turn to stronger traditional currencies such as the dollar and leave riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies. Currency Pairs: If the dollar strengthens against other currencies, it may affect trading between cryptocurrencies and those other fiat currencies. For example, if the value of the dollar increases against the euro, then the value of Bitcoin in the BTC/EUR exchange rate may decrease. Global Economic Factors: A rise in the value of the dollar may be a result of a strong US economy, which may signal the risk of lower volatility and less uncertainty. This may cause some investors to prefer traditional assets such as the dollar instead of cryptocurrencies, which are considered riskier. So what friends? are you still going to feed this money machine? Try my indicator for trading and generally keep an eye on things
TVC:DXYLong
by Bitcoinblockchainonline
DXY - 02/10/23TVC:DXY - 02/10/23 **Trade setup:** Still looks very bullish, but the X in green is telling me the trend is getting weaker! Coming into a SUPPLY zone made in DEC so were getting stopped here but looking to break out of it on the day chart! If we can get above here it will take out the two red imbalances from last NOV and try the high at $114, this is running with BTC atm so a pullback here will probably mean worse for BTC! I will be looking for the high to be broken to trade higher here and looking for a pullback! Now the targets are below: **Bullish target:** $109 then $111 to clear out imbalance if broken at $106 **Bearish target:** $103 if we fail to make a new high and break above $106 **Supply and Demand**: The nearest Demand to keep us up is $100. The next Supply is $114.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by mikey_s_trades
DXY (USD Index)DXY (USD Index) DXY is a measure of the value of the US dollar against a basket of 6 major world currencies. If the DXY goes up, it means that the dollar is getting stronger. Now DXY has broken the downtrend and is at the level of 104.17. This may indicate the growth of the US economy or a decrease in global risks. 📗Following targets are indicated on the chart with blue lines: 105.25 - 106.33 - 107.67 But how does this affect the crypto market? First, a strong dollar may reduce investment in risky assets such as cryptocurrencies, as investors may prefer safer assets. Secondly, with the growth of the dollar, the price of cryptocurrencies, expressed in dollars, may artificially decrease. But remember that the cryptocurrency market is subject to its own laws and can sometimes ignore the classic laws of the financial market. Stay connected and stay tuned! If you like the idea, don't forget to subscribe and rate like👍
TVC:DXY
by Andrey_Crypto
1
DXY Analysis - Weekly Timeframe (ICT)How convenient it was to stop right at the descending trendline for the week. In my eyes, this is giving time for traders to formulate their "predictions" on where DXY is going to go. I expect some funny business to happen to shake out any support & resistance, as well as breakout traders, culminating with an explosive movement to the upside. I really like the Weekly Bearish Breaker Block residing above as a point of interest for trades, which may take a while to get there. I will also be observing how price moves towards that area, if it even does. Next week, keep your guard up. Don't take the bait. Wait for the sheep to get slaughtered, and once you see that already come to past on the charts, that is the time to strike.
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
Celebrating the Soaring US Dollar and Its Impact on Oil and the The US dollar has been on an impressive rise, leading to a remarkable domino effect on the oil market while simultaneously lowering the Euro. Let's dive into the details and explore the exciting opportunities this presents for all of us! First and foremost, let's celebrate the recent surge in the US dollar. This upward trajectory has been fueled by a combination of robust economic indicators, positive investor sentiment, and the Federal Reserve's commitment to maintaining a stable currency. As traders, we understand the significance of a strong US dollar, and it's time to capitalize on this favorable trend! The rising US dollar has an immediate impact on the oil market, as it becomes more expensive for countries with weaker currencies to purchase oil. This translates into increased demand for the US dollar in oil transactions, further driving up its value. So, let's keep an eye on the oil market and identify potential trading opportunities that can be leveraged to our advantage. Simultaneously, the Euro has experienced a decline against the US dollar. This can be attributed to various factors, including economic uncertainties, political developments, and the divergence in monetary policies between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve. As traders, we can seize this opportunity to capitalize on the Euro's weakness and further strengthen our positions in the US dollar. Now, let's move on to the call-to-action! I encourage each and every one of you to continue to long the US dollar, as it shows no signs of slowing down. By strategically aligning our trading decisions with this ongoing trend, we can maximize our profits and achieve extraordinary success in the currency markets. Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and the current market conditions are ripe for us to make a significant impact. Stay informed, keep a close eye on the latest economic news, and utilize the tools at our disposal to make well-informed trading decisions. As always, I am here to support and guide you on this exciting journey. If you have any questions, need assistance, or simply want to share your success stories, please don't hesitate to comment. Let's make the most of this golden opportunity and continue to thrive in the world of trading! Wishing you fruitful trades and abundant profits!
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln