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4.7 Gold opened lower and continued to fall!!!Gold fell sharply again at the opening of the morning session. The root cause is that the United States imposed tariffs on many countries and the countermeasures of various countries have triggered panic in the global financial market. The U.S. stock market fell sharply and the U.S. dollar index fluctuated. This macroeconomic uncertainty has increased the safe-haven demand for gold, but the liquidity problems caused by market panic may cause investors to sell gold in exchange for cash, so it will suppress the price of gold. The overall market sentiment is relatively complex, and the long-short game is fierce. From the disk, gold has gradually turned short! In the current situation, don’t expect gold to rise sharply in a short period of time to form a rebound. The gold content of following the trend is still rising. We will go short in the morning when we wait for a rebound! The upper pressure level focuses on the closing price of 3036 last week, and the further pressure level is the top and bottom conversion level of 3054! You can ambush and short near 3050 in the morning! The falling market is all the way down, don’t blindly guess the bottom! Specific strategy Gold 3050 short, stop loss 3056, target 3000
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) - Bearish Breakdown or Reversal?📊 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) - 4H Chart Analysis 🔵 Supply Zone (104.400 - 104.683) 🟦 Resistance area where sellers may step in 📉 🟡 Key Level (~104.200) 🟧 Decision point – price struggling to hold this level 📉 Trend Line (Broken) 🔻 ❌ Previous uptrend is broken, signaling potential bearish momentum 🟢 Demand Zone (103.200 - 103.400) 🟩 Support area where buyers may get active 📈 🚀 Potential Market Movement: 1️⃣ Bearish Breakdown Expected ⬇️ 🔹 Price broke below trendline ➡️ selling pressure increasing 🔹 Possible pullback to key level (~104.200) before more downside 🔹 Targeting demand zone (~103.200-103.400) 🎯 2️⃣ Invalidation/Stop-Loss 🚫 🔺 If price moves back above 104.683, bearish setup is invalid 🔺 Stop-loss placed at 104.683 for risk management 🎯 Trading Strategy: ✅ Short Entry: After pullback near 104.200 🎯 Target: 103.200 demand zone ⚠️ Stop Loss: Above 104.683
TVC:DXYShort
by Jameshead007
How Worrying is the Weakening Dollar? A Departure from TraditionThe value of a nation's currency is a critical barometer of its economic health and global standing.1 Typically, in times of international turmoil or economic uncertainty, the U.S. dollar, as the world's reserve currency, tends to strengthen.2 This "safe-haven" effect is driven by increased demand for the dollar as investors seek stability and liquidity. However, recent trends have seen the greenback exhibit a notable weakening, even amidst persistent global anxieties.3 This begs the crucial question: how worrying is this deviation from the norm, and what are the potential implications for the U.S. and the global economy? To understand the significance of a weakening dollar, it's essential to first recognize the factors that typically influence its strength. These include interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, inflation levels, the overall performance of the U.S. economy relative to others, trade balances, and geopolitical stability.4 Higher interest rates tend to attract foreign investment, increasing demand for the dollar and thus its value.5 Strong economic growth similarly boosts confidence in the currency.6 Conversely, high inflation erodes the dollar's purchasing power, while a significant trade deficit (importing more than exporting) can indicate an oversupply of the currency in global markets, leading to depreciation. Historically, during periods of global crisis, the dollar has often acted as a port in a storm. Events like geopolitical conflicts, financial market meltdowns in other regions, or global pandemics have typically triggered a "flight to safety," with investors flocking to the perceived security and liquidity of U.S. dollar-denominated assets, thereby strengthening the currency.7 This was evident during past crises, where the dollar often appreciated as investors sought refuge from volatility elsewhere. The current weakening of the dollar, therefore, raises eyebrows precisely because it seemingly contradicts this established pattern. While global uncertainties persist – ranging from ongoing geopolitical tensions in various parts of the world to concerns about the pace of global economic growth – the dollar has not consistently exhibited its traditional strengthening behavior. This departure suggests that underlying factors might be at play, potentially signaling deeper concerns about the U.S. economic outlook or the dollar's long-term standing. One potential reason for this weakening could be a shift in relative economic strength. If other major economies are perceived to be on a stronger growth trajectory or offering more attractive investment opportunities, capital might flow away from the dollar, putting downward pressure on its value. For instance, improvements in economic prospects in the Eurozone or emerging markets could lead investors to diversify their holdings, reducing their reliance on the dollar. Furthermore, concerns about the U.S.'s fiscal health, including rising national debt and persistent budget deficits, could also contribute to dollar weakness. While the dollar's reserve currency status has historically provided a buffer, a sustained period of fiscal imbalance could eventually erode investor confidence in the long-term value of the currency.8 Another factor to consider is the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. While higher interest rates typically support a stronger dollar, expectations of future rate cuts or a more accommodative monetary stance could dampen investor enthusiasm for dollar-denominated assets. If the market anticipates that the Fed will need to lower rates to support economic growth or combat deflationary pressures, this could lead to a weakening of the dollar.9 The implications of a weakening dollar are multifaceted and can have both positive and negative consequences for the U.S. economy. On the positive side, a weaker dollar makes U.S. exports more competitive in international markets, as they become cheaper for foreign buyers.10 This could potentially boost U.S. manufacturing and help to narrow the trade deficit. Additionally, a weaker dollar can increase the value of earnings that U.S. multinational corporations generate in foreign currencies, as these earnings translate into more dollars when repatriated. However, the downsides of a weakening dollar can be significant. Firstly, it makes imports more expensive for U.S. consumers and businesses.11 This can lead to higher prices for a wide range of goods, potentially fueling inflation.12 For businesses that rely on imported components or raw materials, a weaker dollar can increase their costs of production, which may eventually be passed on to consumers. Secondly, a sustained weakening of the dollar could erode its status as the world's reserve currency. While this is a long-term prospect, a decline in the dollar's dominance could have significant implications for the U.S.'s ability to borrow cheaply and exert influence in the global financial system.13 Thirdly, a weakening dollar could lead to concerns among foreign investors holding U.S. assets, such as Treasury bonds. If they anticipate further depreciation of the dollar, they might become less inclined to hold these assets, potentially leading to higher U.S. borrowing costs in the future. In conclusion, the current weakening of the dollar, particularly in the face of ongoing global uncertainties where it would typically strengthen, is a trend that warrants careful attention. While a moderate depreciation can have some benefits for U.S. exports, a sustained or significant weakening could signal underlying economic vulnerabilities or a shift in global investor sentiment towards the greenback. Factors such as relative economic performance, U.S. fiscal health, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will likely play a crucial role in determining the future trajectory of the dollar. The departure from its traditional safe-haven status serves as a reminder that the dollar's dominance is not immutable and underscores the importance of maintaining sound economic policies to underpin its long-term strength and stability. Monitoring these trends will be critical for understanding the evolving global economic landscape and its implications for the United States.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
Non-agricultural gold is expected to fall sharply. On Friday (April 4), at 20:30 Beijing time, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the highly anticipated March non-farm payrolls report, which put pressure on gold. Fundamentals: Today, gold is expected to fall sharply. The market continues to short at resistance points. Market volatility is expected to increase during the period. The long-short game of the US dollar index near the 102 mark will determine whether it can continue to rise. If it breaks through 103, it may further suppress gold and non-US currencies. Gold is looking for direction in the range of 3080-3100 US dollars/ounce. If risk aversion picks up, it may retest the 3100 mark; on the contrary, if the US dollar continues to strengthen, breaking through 3080 will open up downside space. The decline in US stock futures may continue until early next week.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
4.5 Gold falls off a cliff and waits to stabilize! ! !Gold 4-hour level: The last wave of pull-up started from the low point of 2999 to 3167. Yesterday, it fell back and tested the 618 split position 3063. The current support is still valid, which is also the MA66 day position; From the perspective of macd, it is still short-selling and has not been fully repaired. Wait until it crosses below the zero axis, and then slowly stabilizes and tends to golden cross in the future market, then a wave of trend pull-up will gradually form, and it will take time; if 3063 cannot be maintained, the two split positions below are 3035 and 3018, and attention should be paid to stabilization. Intraday support: 3035 3018 3005 Resistance: 3045 3070 3100
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
4
4.4 Gold is low and long, wait for non-agricultureYesterday, the gold market opened at 3134.1 in the morning. The market first fell back to 3122.6 and then rose strongly. After breaking the previous high, it reached a high of 2167.9. After that, the market began to fall under the cooperation of fundamentals and technical profit-taking. The intraday low was 3053.6. After that, the market rose strongly and reached 3135.8 before consolidating. The daily line finally closed at 3114.1. The daily line closed in a spindle shape with a very long lower shadow. After this shape ended, after the break of 2940 and 2958, the long positions were reduced, and the stop loss was followed up at 3050. If it falls back to 3082 first today, the long stop loss is 3075. The target is 3115 and 3132. If it breaks, the target is 3140 and 3150.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
4.4 Analysis of gold short-term operation strategy!!!On Thursday (April 3), spot gold experienced a surprising volatility, with a single-day fluctuation of nearly $114, and the price of gold finally closed down. Analyze the technical outlook of gold intraday. The 4-hour chart of gold shows that the price of gold is trading below the currently flat 20-period SMA, but it is still well above the bullish 100-period SMA, which provides support near $3040/oz. At the same time, technical indicators have recovered from near oversold readings and stabilized within negative levels. If the price of gold falls below the above-mentioned $3040/oz area, the price of gold may fall sharply. Support: $3086.70/oz; $3073.90/oz; $3061.10/oz Resistance: $3123.10/oz; $3136.70/oz; $3150.00/oz
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
"DXY/Dollar Index" Bull Money Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "DXY/Dollar Index" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (104.100) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (103.500) Scalping/Day trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 105.000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. "DXY/Dollar Index" Indices Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
TICKMILL:DXYLong
by Thief_Trader
2
Monthly closing line, gold is alert to pull higher and fall backAt the end of March, the monthly and quarterly lines of gold and silver closed with saturated strong positive lines. The first trading day of the month has broken the high by inertia, which is consistent with expectations. Next, the focus should be on guarding against the potential scenario of pulling up shipments in the first half of the month, and the possibility of extreme volatility. There are a lot of heavy news data from the 2nd to the 4th. I think there is a high probability that there will be an obvious turning point. However, given that the global political and economic situation has not cooled down significantly, even if there is a turning point and a correction, or even a sharp correction, it is still difficult to make a real judgment of a reversal of the big cycle trend. Therefore, I think the general idea of ​​the short and medium-term line should be to maintain short first and then long. The small resistance is around 3145--3155, and the important support during the week is around 3050. Given the recent volatility, it is obviously necessary to continue to be prepared to deal with continued large fluctuations. The above strategy is based on current market analysis, and specific operations need to be combined with real-time data!
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
Monthly line saturated big positive line, gold and silver swordsYesterday, the gold market opened slightly higher at 3088 in the morning, and then fell back. The daily line reached a low of 3076.5, and then the market rose strongly. After breaking the 3100 integer mark, the daily line rose strongly. The daily line reached a high of 3128, and then the market consolidated widely. The daily line finally closed at 3123.8, and then the market closed with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, today's market still has technical bullish demand. In terms of points, after the breakout of 2940 and 2958, the stop loss followed up at 2990. Today, the stop loss of 3110 is 3105, and the target is 3128 and 3132. The breakout is 3140 and 3150-3152. We will update regularly every day to introduce how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
4.1 Analysis of gold intraday short-term trendFrom the daily chart, the gold price fell slightly after breaking through the previous high of $3127.76, but it is still in a strong upward channel overall. The current price has been stable above the 5-week moving average for many consecutive weeks, indicating that the medium-term trend is still healthy. It is worth noting that from the low of $2536.68 to date, gold has risen by more than 23%, and it is necessary to be vigilant about the risk of short-term adjustments. The next target will point to the psychological level of $3200. Factors supporting this view include rising global uncertainty, increased expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and continued gold purchases by the central bank. In addition, the closing price needs to stabilize above $3135 to confirm the effectiveness of the long-term breakthrough. In this case, the price may accelerate upward, with a target of $3170. Short-term resistance: 3130 3150 3170 The market is changing with the trend, and it is recommended to adjust the strategy in combination with real-time data!
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
4.1 Technical analysis of short-term gold trading BUYGold is currently temporarily maintaining a high range oscillation in the 4-hour level trend, but the short-term moving average continues to maintain a strong trend, and a wave of bottoming rebound in the 4-hour level trend has basically completed the repair of the technical pattern. Pay attention to the secondary pull-up trend after the high-level oscillation repair is completed. The hourly level trend is currently temporarily maintained in a high-level oscillation, but the strength and continuity of the US market's retracement are not particularly large. The technical pattern of the small-level cycle trend has also been gradually adjusted and completed, and it tends to be able to continue to rise in the late trading. Intraday short-term operation: BUY: 3110 Stop loss: 3005-3100 Target 3125-3130
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
3.31 Gold US market operation analysis suggestions!Gold intraday analysis and operation: How to judge the next step after gold breaks through 3130! Gold's strong rise in the Asian session has brought the price of gold close to 3130 and finally stagnated at 3127. The impact of the US market has not yet appeared, but with the current trend, the volatility of gold tonight will not be too small. The overall idea is to maintain the low north. The intraday volatility range is maintained within the range of 40 points between 3090 and 3130. The current increase has exceeded market expectations. Although there is selling pressure, it is all suppressed by the bulls! US market pressure focus: 3130-3150 above and 3110-3095 below The above analysis is a personal analysis suggestion, I hope it can bring some gains to everyone! We will update regularly every day and introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention, we are very grateful
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
Gold breaks new high again, the market waits for a pullback to gFundamentals: Gold hits a new record high today, and the market continues to hold a bullish view after the decline. Gold is currently maintaining a relatively strong oscillating trend in the large-scale cycle trend, and the upward space in the large-scale cycle trend is likely to have not yet been completed. The daily level trend continues to maintain a relatively strong oscillating trend along the short-term moving average. The wave of decline before and after the European session has completed the repair of the technical form to a certain extent. The oscillating repair temporarily maintained at a high level in the hourly level trend currently has no particularly obvious trend. The range in the short-term trend may be compressed to the oscillating repair trend between 3060-85. Although there are some rebounds in the small-scale cycle trend, the strength and continuity are not too large. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment and repair. Operation suggestions: Short near 3080-7, stop loss 3085.2, Long near 3059-60, stop loss 3053.1. Real-time market intraday guidance.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
3.28 Gold breaks new high again, holding on is the keyGold price hits a new record high of 3086, and today's low is the key Gold price hits a new record high of 3086, which is in line with our bullish thinking of restarting strength since Tuesday Now the price has also broken through the upper track of the green channel line. The next focus is on keeping low. Keeping low and breaking high will accelerate. Breaking the low point will easily return to sweeping Today's low point defense position has two, the first is the early trading low of 3054, because it is a direct rise in the early trading to break the new high, and the afternoon continues to break the new high. In this case, it is particularly important to hold the early trading low ; The second is the position along the green channel line, 3063-3061, which is also the position of the acceleration starting point Then, next, hold the position along the green channel line, and switch upwards for at least 50-70 US dollars, corresponding to the resistance of the 3100-3115 area The key point is to hold low, hold low and break high to see acceleration, and break the low point to turn to sweep As shown in the figure, this wave of confirmed support began to rise, starting from breaking through the green dotted line suppression. After the breakthrough, repeatedly stepping back to confirm the 3015 upper and lower areas Support, then stand up and stabilize in the 3033-3030 area, and start an upward breakthrough In the process, it is accompanied by a deep squat of 18-20 US dollars. After the leverage is completed, it will rise by more than 40 US dollars to break the new high For the market that directly rose in the morning, there was a second sprint to break the high in the afternoon, so refer to 3068-3066 as support to continue to layout the bullish sprint to the 3080-3082 area The price also accelerated the sprint and rose, and slightly exceeded the range of 3086 : Suppression line Under pressure, enter adjustment, squat 18-20 US dollars, confirm the support and continue to pull up more than 40 US dollars (what needs to be considered and verified at this moment) For this pressure position, the focus is on the 3082-3085 area (now the excess range has reached 3086), using this as a suppression to find a space range of 18-20 US dollars, corresponding to the 3062-3060 range The short position in the 3082 area fell to 3072-3070 as expected Verify the conjecture step by step, time is the best verification tool! Today is Friday, still the old rules, only provide information reminders for cooperative friends, if you need, you can find us, looking forward to the good news you have received!
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
3.28 Gold Breaks Point, Falls Back to Support Long PositionsOn Thursday (March 27), affected by the news that US President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on imported cars, global trade tensions further escalated, market risk aversion heated up, and gold prices once again approached the record high set last week. Fundamentals: Gold fell from its pre-US high. The decline supports the long position view. The new US tariffs have exacerbated market tensions, and PCE data will become the next focus of attention. The current market is active, and both long and short sides are engaged in fierce competition around key resistance levels. The dual drive of technical and fundamental factors has significantly amplified the volatility of gold prices. The cumulative net inflow of gold ETFs in the first quarter of 2025 has reached 155 tons, and the total holdings have climbed to the peak since September 2023. In the previous trading day alone, the scale of a single-day increase of 23 tons set a record since 2022. The unexpected growth of central bank demand for gold purchases and the continued inflow of ETF funds together constitute the "two-wheel drive" for gold's medium- and long-term bullishness. If this trend continues, it will provide sufficient liquidity support for gold prices to break through historical highs. The current price is close to the historical high, and some long profit-taking pressure is gradually accumulating. If the PCE data released on Friday is stronger than expected, or the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals, it may become the fuse to trigger a pullback Trend: shock upward trend Support: around 3033.00 Resistance: around 3055.50
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
3
3.27 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsOn Thursday (March 27) in the Asian weekly session, the gold price (XAU/USD) was still consolidating around the $3,020 level, and the overall market sentiment was cautious. Fundamental analysis: US economy and Fed trends Geopolitical and tariff uncertainties Technical analysis: Gold prices continued to consolidate at high levels after breaking through $3,000, and are still above the short-term moving average, with an overall bullish trend. Moving average and trend: The moving average is in a bullish arrangement, indicating that the short-term and medium-term upward momentum has not been destroyed. The price fluctuates repeatedly between MA14 (3021) and MA200 (3017). If the market can stay above these two moving averages in the future, the upward momentum is expected to continue. Key resistance and Fibonacci retracement: Fibonacci retracement 0.236 corresponds to around $3038, which also coincides with the high point formed in the previous period. If the price falls below the Fibonacci 0.618 position (about $3,000), we need to be alert to the risk of technical adjustments to find $3,000 or even deeper support.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
3.26 Technical analysis suggestions for short-term gold operatioIn the early European trading on Wednesday (March 26), spot gold continued to rebound in the short term, and the current gold price is around $3027/ounce. Gold technical analysis, how to operate in the evening? —— The daily chart of gold shows that gold prices are rising above all bullish moving averages, while setting higher highs and higher lows. The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) has gained upward momentum and currently provides dynamic support around 2954.70. At the same time, after correcting the extreme overbought conditions, technical indicators resumed their upward trend within the positive level. From the 4-hour line, gold prices are fighting against the mildly bearish 20-period SMA, but are still well above the bullish 100-period SMA and 200-period SMA. At the same time, technical indicators are retreating from the midline and slightly lower within the neutral level. Overall, it is recommended to treat gold operations with a wide range of fluctuations today! Gold operation strategy at night: Short order strategy: short near 3031 above, stop loss 3040, target near 3010; We will update regularly every day and introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention, we are very grateful
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
3.26 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsGold is still supported by risk aversion, but it quickly fell back after rising. In fact, the support of safe-haven gold is not surprising. However, since the gold bulls did not continue, it means that the space for gold bulls is also limited. Gold rose and fell in the US market. Gold was directly short at 3032. Gold fell as expected. The US market rebounded high and was still short. Gold's 1-hour moving average is still in a downward dead cross. Gold bulls cannot reverse the situation. Gold fell directly to 3035 in the US market under pressure. Support level: 3018 3005 3000 We will update regularly every day and introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention, we are very grateful
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1