DXY INDEX Next Possible Move#DXY_INDEX
Patterns ( H & S , ASCENDING TRIANGLE , ELLIOT WAVES ) giving us the Direction for the Confirmation that it can Follow Buy Trend
In Short Time Frame #STF we can expect an Retracement Somewhere Between ( 106.963 - 107.660 ) that will confirm the Next Trend
Next Target Possible FIBONACCI LEVEL - 38.20% or D D Z ( will React as Resistance in Short )
Dxyforecast
DXY - LONG | CHART PATTERNDXY has broken its bullish cycle and we are about to head into a strong general Bearish Trend . As a day trader, The Daily, 4H, and 1H tend to be my go-to timeframes, and on these time frames, the market has broken to the downside, breaking through the trend, so a correction or retracement is imminent.
The Formation of the BULLISH Triangle on the 4H timeframe, shows the incoming of a Bullish short time move for next week.
The PINBAR on the weekly time frame acts as a strong indicator for this to happen, I will watch out for the price action of the various support level that price might act on.
dxy #1dxy is at a nice turning point after a nice bearish push to end the week dxy tries to climb back up on market open
upside right now is a bit limited unless i see a break above 107.500
failing to break the daily pivot at the moment and also opening below a weekly pivot im currently looking for another bearish push down for dxy which should pump gold a bit
DXY Index New Possible Move#DXY ( Dollar Index )
- DESCENDING TRIANGLE Pattern formed Indicating the Trend Reversal and Break out of the Lower Trend Line
- BREAK OF STRUCTURE #BOS
- BEARISH Trend Continuation after the Break of DEMAND ZONE ( 110.237 - 109.477 )
- Buying Divergence in Long Time Frame #LTF
- Completed " 12 " Impulsive Wave and making its " 3 " Wave
DXY Daily TA Cautiously BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 20% DXY, 80% Cash.
*DXY and Long-Term US Treasuries are down after a barely dovish October CPI print that has investors thinking that the Fed is going to somehow pause rates hikes in 2023 or slow down on December 14th. Equities benefited from this and if it wasn't for the FTX/Alameda fallout then Cryptos may also be benefitting from this recent transition back to Risk-On. Bad headlines keep coming out for FTX as a large portion of their remaining assets (around ~$700m) were "illegally moved" last night after they filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy earlier in the day; after hearing about the FTX backdoors that only SBF and 3 other people knew of, it's hard not to be skeptical of who orchestrated this. The Fed has made it abundantly clear that they still have a ways to go before bringing the federal funds rate to a sufficiently restrictive level, and if there's one thing that we learned in 2020 and this year, it's to not fight the Fed. Keep an eye out for what Russia decides to do about the Grain Deal with Ukraine that's set to expire next Saturday 11/19.
Key Upcoming Dates: Fourth GDPNow Q4 GDP estimate 11/16; US October Retail Sales at 830am EST 11/16; US October Building Permits and Housing Starts at 830am EST 11/17; Russia/Ukraine Grain Deal Expiration on 11/19; 2nd Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30; October PCE Index at 830am EST 12/01; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14 . *
Price is currently trending down at ~$106.41 and broke below $108.04 support after falling 4% on the CPI report. Parabolic SAR is bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 32 with no signs of trough formation, the next support is at 23. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down at 10.25 as it approaches a retest of 9 support. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending down at -0.75 as it approaches a test of -0.83 support for the first time since July 2020. ADX is currently trending up at 16 after forming a trough at 13 as Price continues falling, this is mildly bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely test $108.04 resistance . However, if Price keeps going down, it will likely test the 200MA at ~$104.75 as support for the first time since June 2021. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $108.04.
The dollar breaks an uptrend 👌Is the dollar trip over? Is it the beginning of the fall of the dollar?
- With the release of inflation data, which came contrary to what the dollar wished, and with what the trader wished.
the dollar fell nearly 300 points, heading towards the 107 support.
It reduces the rate to 50 percent by the end of this year, and if it continues in this manner, inflation may decline faster and at a higher rate than before.
- Everything may happen. We are on the cusp of an annual closure, so please be careful with your trading, and that greed does not take you and not manage risks towards the unknown, please.
dxy next move2 scenarios can happen the dollar is bullish right now since it just recently broke a high now i would like a pull back but tbh it could just keep pushing up to the high b4 coming back down but once price gets to that high i will see how price action develops
this is just more confirmation on golds sells we are already in for the pull back
110.360-110-800 area where i see it pushing to
DXY: A MOVE WE ALL WISH FOR.Hello guys, here's an update on DXY in 2 days timeframe.
The US dollar index is currently holding long-term support ever since early 2022. In this span of 10 months, we have seen the DXY bounce back making a higher high. This allowed DXY to form a nice rising wedge pattern and now once again we come to the point where DXY will either bounce back or break down. I wish DXY could play out according to the chart because this will mean a good green rally incoming in the crypto market. A bounce, on the other hand, will show some more bearish moves and will lead the market to drop further low.
I am anxiously waiting for a breakdown. Will it happen now or after one last bounce? To know the answer, we will have to wait for the next weekly candle to close.
I hope this update is helpful for you all.
Trade safely.
DXY Dollar New Week Possible Move#DXY Dollar
Time Frame - H1
- We have " LEADING DIAGONAL " and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
Time Frame - H4
- " Falling Wedge " Pattern and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
- IMPULSE CORRECTION IMPULSE , completed the corrective waves " ABC " will Follow Impulsive Waves again
Time Frame - Daily
- We have " BULLISH CHANNEL "
- Following Corrective wave Pattern and can Follow some Bearish Moves till the Lower Trend Line #LTL
DXY Daily TA Neutral BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% DXY, 60% Cash.
* The US October Employment Situation today reported 261k nonfarm payroll jobs added (vs 250k expected), a 0.2% increase in unemployment and a 62.2% labor force participation rate. These numbers hardly reflect monetary tightening (labor force participation rate has remained largely unchanged since Covid-19 lockdowns) nor a recessionary environment. If CPI comes in lower on the 10th it will likely help soften the Fed's stance on inflation but as it stands now, the Federal Reserve is likely to increase the funds rate by another 75bps in December. If CPI comes in higher on the 10th, 100bps would likely be on the table come December 14th. The Russia/Ukraine grain deal that Putin resumed this past Wednesday will expire on 11/19/22 and there have been no commitments to extension thus far. Chinese stocks are in rally mode as rumors regarding a reopening from Covid restrictions are beginning to circulate. Key Upcoming Dates: Third GDPNow US Q4 GDP Estimate 11/09; US October CPI at 830am EST 11/10; UofM November Consumer Sentiment Survey at 10am EST 11/11; Russia/Ukraine Grain Deal Expiration on 11/19; 2nd Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14 .*
Price is currently trending down at $110.78 and is still technically testing the 50MA at $111.15 as support. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at ~$109.61, this margin is bearish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 45.84 with no signs of trough formation and is on the brink of losing both 49.10 support and the uptrend line from July 2020 as support; the next support is at 39.43. Stochastic is currently on the verge of crossing over bearish as it tests 68.24 resistance. MACD remains bearish after a failed bullish crossover and is currently trending down at 0.035 as it approaches a potential retest of -0.065 support. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 13.70 as Price continues to try to push higher, this is mildly bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce off of the 50MA as support then it will likely retest the local-high of ~114 as resistance . However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely retest $110 minor support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $111.20.
DXY Dollar Next Possible Move#DXY Dollar
- According to the Long Time Frame #LTF we have BEARISH CHANNEL and Rejected from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
- Buying Divergence in #RSI
- We have IMPULSE CORRECTION IMPULSE - Completed the Correction " ABC " and Again Following IMPULSIVE WAVE
- RISING WEDGE in Short Time Frame #STF
dxy #1this is a turning point for dxy it did create a lower high last week close also opened with a gap
also has a lot of trend line liquidity resting below and the external trend is still down
now on the flip side there is equal highs and also dxy could push up to the 112 area which would be a nice discounted move
DXY New Week Possible Move#DXY - DOLLAR
FALLING WEDGE Pattern in Long Time Frame #LTF and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
Impulse Correction Impulse Completed the " ABC " Corrective Wave will Again Follow Impulsive Wave ( Bullish )
Buying Divergence in #RSI
Falling Wedge Pattern also in Short Time Frame #STF and Breakout of the Upper Trend Line #UTL and Completed the Retest
Bullish Moves Expected till the Upper Trend Line #UTL or Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
20 REASON FOR SHORT DOLLER INDEX1 Structure analysis time frame DAILY
2 target time frame :DAILY
3 Current Move : IMPULSE
4 Entry Time Frame : H4
4.1 Entry TF Structure: BEARISH
4.2 entry move : RETRACEMENT
5 Suppot resistence base : H1 ORDER BLOCK BLOCK
6 FIB: DISCOUNTES AREA
7 candle Pattern: MOMENTUM ENGULFING
8 Chart Pattern: RISING WEDGE BREAKOUT
9 Volume : DRIED
10 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: SIDEWAYS
11 Volatility measure bollinger bands: POSSIABLE DIVERGENCE MOVE
12 strength ADX: BEARISH
13 Sentiment ROC: STRONG BUT ITS A DAILY CORRECTION
14 final comment : GOING DOWN FOR A FINAL TARGET
15 : decision SELL
16 Entry: 110.540
17 Stop losel: 111.090
18 Take profit: 108.260
19 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:4
Excepted Duration : 4 DAYS