DXYA more in depth analysis of the coming correction of the move up from $88-$109.50 my predicted recent price peak IH&S pattern.
An obvious sell off taking place on the Daily TF which will likely hit 50 ema Daily TF target around $104 to complete the HTF A wave in the 1st abc down. Then up into HTF B wave before 5 down into wave C around $98. Crypto should F**king love this move. And our bags are packed!
Dxyforecast
DXY, Following Whooping Rate Hikes..Fundamental View:
DXY is at critical point i.e 109. It has reached
ATH after 20 years. In 2002, we saw DXY at this
zone.
DXY intends to break 109 zone as inflation is
at it's peak, whooping 75bps and rumours of
insane 100bps rate hike, positive NFP and also
fear of recession causing extreme panic in the
market. Investors are selling everything just to
remain only in SAFE HAVENS.
Technical View:
DXY is at strong multi years rejection zone.
We can clearly see DXY is trapped in Bearish
Flag inside Bullish Channel.
Price has finally travelled gradually up to reach
upper trendline of Bullish Flag after 20 years.
Q3 might be the breaking point of 109 zone only
if fundamentals are strong otherwise TAs are
extremely against further incline of Dollar.
If it breaks above then God knows what brutality
it might bring on to us. We have already witnessed
crashes for past several months but We might see
Mother of Crashes soon of Dollar keeps on strengthening.
Feel free to share your opinions as well:)
DXY more room for up before short sell DXY or dollar index had saw a nice bullish momentum for the upside, and that because of the inflation and the delta between dollar fed fund rate and the other foreign currencies rates.
last week a ECB member told the press that the ECB will start to raise rates gradually this year to fight against inflation, this will narrow the gap between interest rates.
DXY can push more up for this moment to 110.00 level before facing a major threshold where United States Dollar will be less attractive in comparison to other currencies.
Did the Dollar Index Just Top?This is a chart of the U.S. dollar currency index with Fibonacci Retracement levels applied.
These Fibonacci levels take the entire history of the dollar index into account as they were drawn from the all-time high in 1985 to the all-time low in 2008.
On the bottom is the monthly RSI. It is extremely rare for an asset to create bearish divergence on a timeframe as high as the monthly chart, as the dollar index just did at the close of June!
Specifically, the dollar index closed June with a higher price than it closed in April but with a lower RSI. When price continues to move higher but the RSI moves lower this is a bearish divergence, and it usually indicates a reversal especially when the divergence occurs at overbought RSI levels. Bearish divergences have similarly been occurring on the weekly timeframes for the dollar index. These divergences are used by experienced traders as sell signals.
Neither the commodity charts nor the Eurodollar Futures are confirming the dollar index's continued move higher.
With the economy slowing rapidly, there's little reason to believe that the Fed will become any MORE aggressive than it already is. If the Fed will not get any more aggressive than is already priced in, the dollar index should not go any higher.
While anything can happen, now that the dollar index has even reached a Fibonacci level, it seems quite likely that a major top is underway.
Jamie Gun2Head idea: Selling DXYTrade Idea: Selling DXY
Reasoning: At key long term resistance, looking for a temporary move down
Entry Level: 105.54
Take Profit Level: 104.66
Stop Loss: 105.860
Risk/Reward: 2.751
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dxyThinking we finally have a 5th wave top in here, I was expecting $106.60 to be the final blow off top and that is still on the table. But as for now the ABC correction seems to have started. If this move proves to be yet another extension I would expect $106.60 plus to get tested b4 the predicted correction ensues.
ICT ATM METHOD DXY!!!!!!!ICT ATM METHOD!!! short term high ran and rejection giving you the confirmation of the short, well look for this to reject inside the ob 104.900 and take out the local lows liquidity 103.400.
Price reaches the low ob+fvg 102.650 prior to running the sell side liquidity well monitor this for a potential area where we see a rejection (pray this doesn't happen) and if so well look to take profit and cut our positions.
HOLY GRAIL if price seeks the sell side liquidity 101.300 then we can really set our selves up for some relief.
WE STAY CALM AND COLLECTED, LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU AND EXECUTE LIKE A BOSS!!