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Dxyforecast

DXY and USD Pairs Technical Analysis and Trade Idea In this video, we provide a succinct analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and its potential impact on USD pairs. Following recent bullish momentum, the DXY has become overextended, reaching resistance levels. Currently, we observe a significant retracement toward support. Our main goal is to identify an optimal buy entry point within this critical support zone, assuming price action aligns with our analysis from the video. As always, the video offers valuable insights into trade entry points, trend analysis, market structure, and price action. It’s essential to recognize that this content serves an educational purpose and should not be construed as financial advice." 📈🚀📊
by fxtraderanthony
DXY - USD Sinking To A Bottomless Pit The Fundamentals When I think of U.S. Federal Reserve and U.S. Government infinite debt ceiling, the title of the movie, "The Gods Must Be Crazy" comes to my mind. What they are doing has only one end result, the destruction of the U.S. $ and its economy. There are new sheriffs in town (BRICS - Economic Sheriffs, Russia, China, Iran - Military Sheriffs), the U.S. no longer has military nor economic hegemony, this is what's behind the power of the U.S. $, imagine being powerless to protect their interests in the red sea, where there's a new sheriff in town called Iran camouflaged as Houthis :D or being kicked out of Niger? Some genius decades ago, had the bright idea that backing the U.S. $ by military power was a great idea, moving factories to China for the sake of increasing profits was also a bright idea, and at the same time antagonizing China. The Technical Analysis Counting the waves, looks like we've completed wave B of wave 5 which means wave C could take the USD below 92. Coincidently that's close to 0.5 and 0.618 Fibs. Wave 1 and 2 of wave C looks completed now brace for impact! Mayday! Mayday! The Bullish Scenario Wave B of wave 5 could be an extended wave and take the USD all ze vay to 119 and crash afterwards.
INDEX:DXYShort
by ankhramsiswmriimn
DXY observations (short term bearish trend)DOLLAR OBSERVATIONS As price continues its downward trajectory, it has shifted its trend to the downside, leaving behind clear supply zones. One of these zones was previously identified and respected as per last week's forecast. I anticipate this short-term bearish trend to persist until it reaches the 104.200 mark. At that point, I expect a bullish reversal to occur, especially considering the presence of an imbalance just above this level. Additionally, with price currently in a downtrend, my bullish biases on GU and EU align accordingly. This correlation is logical until either of them reaches the supply zone on the daily chart, which should coincide with the same daily demand zone marked out on DXY.
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
DOLLAR INDEX DXY Bearish Side Heist PlanHola Ola Hello Traders, This is our master plan to Heist Bearish side of DXY market. kindly please follow the plan i have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry, Our target is Green Zone it is High risk Dangerous area Consolidation will happen Bull Trend will continue to go Upside.. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Loot and escape near the target 🎯 support our robbery plan we can make money take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
TVC:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader
Shorting DXY: A Calculated Gamble on a Weaker DollarShorting DXY: A Calculated Gamble on a Weaker Dollar, But Beware the Dragons The DXY, or US Dollar Index, measures the greenback's strength against a basket of major currencies. With rising global tensions and a potential shift in global power dynamics, the question lingers: is it time to short the DXY, betting on a weakening dollar? Let's explore the arguments for and against this strategy. The Case for Shorting DXY: A Multi-Pronged Approach • America's Shrinking Lead: The US, while still a dominant economic force, faces challenges. Its manufacturing base has shrunk, its national debt is ballooning, and infrastructure crumbles. These factors could erode confidence in the dollar's long-term stability. • The Rise of the Rest: China's economic power is undeniable. The yuan's internationalization efforts are gaining traction, potentially chipping away at the dollar's dominance as the world's reserve currency. Other economies like the Eurozone are also maturing, offering alternatives. • A Concerted Effort: Imagine a scenario where the US's major allies, concerned about American dominance, decide to weaken the dollar. This could involve measures like central banks diversifying reserves away from the US or pegging their currencies to a basket that excludes the dollar. While a hypothetical scenario, it can't be entirely dismissed. China: The Dragon in the Room China's displeasure with a weakening dollar is a significant risk factor. A weaker dollar makes Chinese exports more expensive, hindering their economic growth. China holds a significant amount of US Treasuries, and a devalued dollar would erode the value of those holdings. This could lead to China dumping US Treasuries, further weakening the dollar in a vicious cycle. Beyond China: Other Considerations • US Response: The US Federal Reserve has tools at its disposal to counter a weakening dollar. Raising interest rates, for instance, could entice investors back to the dollar for higher yields. • Global Instability: A devalued dollar could create global economic turmoil as countries scramble to adjust exchange rates and inflation spikes. This could be particularly damaging for developing economies. • Unpredictable Markets: Shorting any asset is inherently risky, and the currency market is especially volatile. Unforeseen events can drastically alter currency valuations. So, Should You Short DXY? The decision to short DXY depends on your risk tolerance and investment goals. Here's a breakdown: • For Aggressive Investors: If you believe in a long-term decline of the US dollar and have a high tolerance for risk, shorting DXY could be a potential strategy. However, careful risk management is crucial. • For Cautious Investors: The potential consequences of a weakening dollar, particularly China's reaction, are significant. It might be wiser to stick with less volatile investments or consider options strategies that limit your downside risk. Alternative Strategies Instead of shorting DXY directly, consider these alternatives: • Invest in a Diversified Currency Basket: Spread your risk by investing in a basket of major currencies, potentially benefiting from a weakening dollar while mitigating some of the risk. • Look to Emerging Markets: If you believe in the rise of other economic powers, consider investing in their currencies or stocks poised to benefit from a weaker dollar. The Final Bite The future of the US dollar is uncertain. A combination of factors could lead to its decline. However, the potential consequences, particularly China's response, are significant risks to consider. Carefully weigh the arguments before taking a short position on DXY. Remember, diversification and a measured approach are key in navigating the ever-fluctuating currency markets.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
DXY (dollar index) weekly ideaCurrently, the dollar trend indicates a bearish direction, suggesting that pairs I typically trade, such as GU, EU, and gold, may rise. Presently, I anticipate a retracement to occur towards an 8-hour supply zone I've identified, facilitating the continuation of the bearish trajectory. This ideally aligns with my strategy until the price drops to around the 104 level, potentially sparking a bullish rally upwards. At that point, I'll need to seek selling opportunities for my other pairs. The dollar's price action appears clear, and there are still imbalances below that require fulfilment. Have a great trading week guys!
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
US DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Expecting a BULLISH Move This WeekLooking for an Internal to External move this week. Price is currently in a a +FVG, showing respect, and Friday's candle shows momentum towards the high of the previous week, which is the draw on liquidity. Watch for the short term down move before the move up. Wed's opposing candle should act as support, and send price the other way. LIKE, COMMENT or SUBSCRIBE if you like and want to see more analysis. Thank you for viewing!
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
DXY Weekly Analysis Here's the corrected version: Last month, we anticipated that the #DXY price would continue to be bearish and take support liquidity from Mon 10 Jul '23. However, the fundamentals contradicted last month's analysis as the #DXY strengthened again after inflation rise and the Fed announced they would keep interest rates fixed until the next meeting. It's probable that we will see a Bullish trend in DXY this year if there's no decrease in inflation or interest rates. This highlights the importance of fundamentals in this quarter. From a technical perspective, we observe weakness in breaking the support liquidity in #DXY, indicating that it will likely rise again and target Mon 02 Oct '23 for short-term liquidity. For the long term, we anticipate the price will reach a fair value in the MON 07 Nov '22 liquidity gap as the long-term target.
TVC:DXYLong
by Deotrade1
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this presentation, we conduct an in-depth examination of the technical aspects related to the DXY. Our evaluation uncovers a possible trading prospect. We conduct a detailed review of the prevailing price movements, examine the market's framework with precision, and take into account the forces at play in the market. Given the advantageous circumstances, we pinpoint a prospective point of entry. Nonetheless, it is imperative to emphasize the importance of applying strong risk management measures. It is important to remember that the content of this video is intended solely for educational purposes and is not to be interpreted as investment advice.
TVC:DXY
by fxtraderanthony
Emerging Markets Struggle as the Mighty Dollar FlexesThe recent strength of the US dollar is posing a significant challenge for emerging markets around the world. Their currencies are weakening, creating a ripple effect across their economies. This article explores the reasons behind the dollar's dominance, the impact on emerging markets, and potential policy responses. A Rising Dollar: The Driving Forces The US dollar has been on a tear in recent months, appreciating against most major currencies. This surge can be attributed to several factors, including: • US Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation are attracting investors seeking higher returns on dollar-denominated assets. This increased demand strengthens the dollar. • Global Economic Uncertainty: As concerns about a global economic slowdown grow, investors flock to the perceived safety of the US dollar, seen as a safe haven asset during times of turmoil. • Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing war in Ukraine and heightened tensions between the US and China are further fueling risk aversion, pushing investors towards the dollar. Emerging Markets Under Pressure The rise of the US dollar presents a major headache for emerging markets. Weakening local currencies lead to several problems: • Imported Inflation: When the local currency weakens, the cost of imported goods rises. This can exacerbate inflation in emerging markets, which are already grappling with rising prices due to global supply chain disruptions. • Debt Burden: Many emerging market economies have significant dollar-denominated debt. A weaker local currency increases the cost of servicing this debt, putting a strain on government finances. • Capital Flight: The strengthening dollar can trigger capital outflows from emerging markets as investors seek better returns elsewhere. This can lead to currency depreciation and hinder economic growth. Policy Responses: Verbal Intervention and Beyond Emerging markets are not sitting idly by as their currencies weaken. Several are exploring policy options to counter the dollar's might: • Verbal Intervention: Central banks in some emerging markets, like Malaysia, have resorted to verbal intervention, signaling their commitment to supporting their currencies. However, this approach has limited long-term effectiveness. • Interest Rate Hikes: Some central banks, such as Brazil, are considering raising interest rates to attract capital inflows and stabilize their currencies. However, this risks slowing down economic growth. • Currency Intervention: Central banks may intervene directly in the foreign exchange market by selling dollars and buying local currency to prop it up. This approach can be expensive and depletes foreign exchange reserves. JPMorgan and ANZ Weigh In: The Need for More Tools Financial institutions are also analyzing the situation. JPMorgan Asset Management suggests that more verbal intervention may be necessary from emerging markets to manage volatility. However, analysts at ANZ bank believe that China, a major emerging market with significant influence, may need to deploy a wider range of tools, potentially including capital controls, to limit the depreciation of its currency, the yuan. Looking Ahead: A Delicate Balancing Act The coming months will be critical for emerging markets. Central banks face a delicate balancing act, trying to tame inflation without stifling economic growth. The strength of the US dollar will be a major factor influencing their decisions. The ability of emerging markets to navigate this challenging environment will have a significant impact on the global economic outlook.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln