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DXY's Final Leg: Charting the Course to 106Recent Achievements: DXY has reached our previously set targets as mentioned in DXY Descent Alert: Path to 102.800 - 102.280 . Post-achievement, the focus was on determining the subsequent direction of DXY. Trend Line Breakthrough: Following its last ascent, DXY broke through the monthly trend line, a detail observable in our previous analyses, peaking around 104.500. Correction Wave Insight: This movement suggests that the correction wave, initiated at 100.617, is not yet complete. It merely finished its first leg at 104.976 and is on course to complete the third leg around 106, manifesting a complex WXY correction wave. Detailed Wave Analysis: Formation of Wave W: The journey from 100.617 to 104.976 forms the W wave, which is a wxy wave in itself. Main Wave X: A descent to 102.358 represents our main Wave X. Progress into Wave Y: Wave Y's first leg has concluded, characterized by 5 waves that shape Wave A from Y. DXY is currently descending to form Wave B, which, in the primary scenario, is expected to end around 103.800-103.500. Subsequently, Wave C would propel DXY towards approximately 106, completing a Zigzag correction. Potential Corrections: If Wave B extends deeper, a flat correction might conclude around 105-105.500, leading to a truncated Wave Y, or progress into a more complex correction. This scenario could result in a nested wxy pattern, similar to the main Wave W, aiming for the 106 mark. Observations & Next Steps: Continuous monitoring will be in place, with a commitment to providing additional analyses should there be any significant developments. Post-Correction Predictions: After completing its correction wave, DXY is anticipated to experience a downturn. Further analysis will be conducted to identify new targets at that juncture. Invalidation Criterion: A key invalidation point would be the breach of the price channel. It is always prudent to await retests before drawing conclusions. Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TVC:DXYLong
by ahmadsaad83
USD Dollar is Performing a Retracement back to $104.5! 💵The recent movements in the USD Dollar have caught the attention of investors and forex traders alike. As the USD Dollar retraces back to $104.5, there are several advantages for both stock investment and forex trading that can be capitalized upon. Let's explore them in point form with emojis: Advantages of Stock Investment: 1. 💼 Diversification: Investing in stocks denominated in USD allows you to diversify your investment portfolio. By allocating a portion of your investment in stocks, you can potentially reduce risk and increase the potential for higher returns. 2. 💸 Dividend Income: Many stocks, especially those listed on reputable exchanges, offer dividends. Dividend income can provide a steady stream of passive income, which can be reinvested or used to cover expenses. 3. 📈 Capital Appreciation: A retracement in the USD Dollar can positively impact the performance of US-based companies. As the value of the USD Dollar declines, it can boost the competitiveness of American exports, leading to higher revenues and potentially driving up stock prices. 4. 🌍 Global Exposure: Investing in stocks allows you to gain exposure to international markets. If the USD Dollar retracement is accompanied by a strengthening of other currencies, it can create favorable conditions for multinational companies, potentially leading to increased profits. Advantages of Forex Trading: 1. 💰 Profit from Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Forex trading provides an opportunity to profit from fluctuations in exchange rates. As the USD Dollar retraces, traders can take advantage of this movement by selling USD against other currencies, potentially earning profits from the price difference. 2. ⏱ Liquidity and Flexibility: The forex market is the most liquid financial market globally, meaning that traders can enter and exit positions quickly. This liquidity allows for greater flexibility in trading strategies, enabling traders to respond promptly to market developments. 3. 🌎 Global Market Access: Forex trading offers access to a vast array of currency pairs, allowing traders to participate in global economic trends. The retracement in the USD Dollar presents opportunities not only in major currency pairs but also in cross-currency pairs, opening up a wide range of trading possibilities. 4. ⚡️ Leveraged Trading: Forex trading allows for leveraged positions, meaning traders can control larger positions with a smaller amount of capital. This leverage amplifies potential profits, but it's important to note that it also increases the risk. Traders should exercise caution and use risk management strategies when utilizing leverage. In conclusion, the retracement of the USD Dollar back to $104.5 presents advantages for both stock investment and forex trading. Stock investment offers diversification, dividend income, capital appreciation, and global exposure, while forex trading provides opportunities to profit from exchange rate fluctuations, liquidity, global market access, and leveraged trading. As with any investment or trading activity, it's crucial to conduct thorough research, implement risk management strategies, and stay updated with market trends to make informed decisions. Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. It is important to consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment or trading decisions. The financial markets, including stocks and forex, are complex and volatile. Predicting the performance of the USD Dollar, or any other investment, is challenging. While the advantages of stock investment and forex trading during a USD Dollar retracement were mentioned earlier, it is crucial to understand the associated risks. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Leverage in forex trading can amplify profits but also magnify losses. Traders should exercise caution and understand risk management techniques. In conclusion, the information provided is a general overview. Investing and trading carry risks, and no strategy ensures success. Seek guidance from a qualified financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICT_Trader_SB
DXY Index is Ready to Fill GAP🚀🏃‍♂️The DXY index is moving in the Ascending Channel and seems to have broken the 🔴 Heavy Resistance zone($105.88-$104.65) 🔴, and is currently moving in a small Descending Channel and making a pullback to this zone. 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the DXY index has succeeded in completing the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) inside the descending channel . 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys . 🔔I expect the DXY index to Gp UP to at least the 🔵 GAP($106.613-$106.504) 🔵after breaking the upper line of the descending channel . ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If the DXY index can break the lower line of the descending channel, we can expect the DXY index to drop more. U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DXYLong
by pejman_zwin
1
$ DXY and FED meeting next week - a push higher ?DXY $ maybe one to watch over the next couple of Weeks as it seems to be approching Strong support. Fundimentals, as ever, Will pay a huge part in this and so we wait. Today we have personnale spending and income Data BUT the real Biggie is on 1st May next week when we have the FED Interest rate decision made public. If that remains the same ....or rises......then the $ will push higher. That in turn will take moeny out of other markets......But maybe not #Bitcoin too much. We shall have to wait and see But watch this later today. DXY usualy tries to push higher on a Friday to close for the weekend on a high.
TVC:DXY
by Orriginal
GBPUSD: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: GBPUSD Pattern – Impulse in a downtrend. Support – 1.2330 Resistance – 1.2456 Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at GBPUSD on the daily chart. Today, we have broken down the current PA we are seeing and thinking about on the GBPUSD. We have touched on news to come and discussed the USD index. Can buyers beat resistance and the down trend to start forming a new trend higher? Will we see buyers fail again, maintaining the pattern of LHs and LLs maintaining a new leg lower? Good trading.
by Eightcap
DXY Weekly Analysis Here's the corrected version: Last month, we anticipated that the #DXY price would continue to be bearish and take support liquidity from Mon 10 Jul '23. However, the fundamentals contradicted last month's analysis as the #DXY strengthened again after inflation rise and the Fed announced they would keep interest rates fixed until the next meeting. It's probable that we will see a Bullish trend in DXY this year if there's no decrease in inflation or interest rates. This highlights the importance of fundamentals in this quarter. From a technical perspective, we observe weakness in breaking the support liquidity in #DXY, indicating that it will likely rise again and target Mon 02 Oct '23 for short-term liquidity. For the long term, we anticipate the price will reach a fair value in the MON 07 Nov '22 liquidity gap as the long-term target.
TVC:DXYLong
by Deotrade1
DXY (DOLLAR INDEX) Shorts from 107.000My view on the dollar is relevant to all major pairs I trade, including GOLD, GBPUSD (GU), and EURUSD (EU). This week, we are approaching a strong high point with a previous Wyckoff distribution on a higher timeframe, now entering a significant supply level on the 9-hour chart. I anticipate a reaction at this level followed by a temporary decline in the dollar. I expect the dollar to drop at least to the newly established 12-hour demand zone, where I foresee a bullish continuation. This supports the broader bullish trajectory of the dollar, aiming towards tapping into a 2-month supply zone where a major bearish reaction is expected. Therefore, if I anticipate the dollar to initially rise and then drop, I also expect EURUSD and GBPUSD to continue their downward trends accordingly. Note that this is my current bias, and I will adjust it based on evolving market trends. It's essential to consider various zones and scenarios for a comprehensive analysis." This version maintains your original message while improving clarity and readability. Feel free to adjust it further based on your preferences!
TVC:DXYLong
by Hassan_fx
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this presentation, we conduct an in-depth examination of the technical aspects related to the DXY. Our evaluation uncovers a possible trading prospect. We conduct a detailed review of the prevailing price movements, examine the market's framework with precision, and take into account the forces at play in the market. Given the advantageous circumstances, we pinpoint a prospective point of entry. Nonetheless, it is imperative to emphasize the importance of applying strong risk management measures. It is important to remember that the content of this video is intended solely for educational purposes and is not to be interpreted as investment advice.
TVC:DXY
by tradingwithanthony
Emerging Markets Struggle as the Mighty Dollar FlexesThe recent strength of the US dollar is posing a significant challenge for emerging markets around the world. Their currencies are weakening, creating a ripple effect across their economies. This article explores the reasons behind the dollar's dominance, the impact on emerging markets, and potential policy responses. A Rising Dollar: The Driving Forces The US dollar has been on a tear in recent months, appreciating against most major currencies. This surge can be attributed to several factors, including: • US Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation are attracting investors seeking higher returns on dollar-denominated assets. This increased demand strengthens the dollar. • Global Economic Uncertainty: As concerns about a global economic slowdown grow, investors flock to the perceived safety of the US dollar, seen as a safe haven asset during times of turmoil. • Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing war in Ukraine and heightened tensions between the US and China are further fueling risk aversion, pushing investors towards the dollar. Emerging Markets Under Pressure The rise of the US dollar presents a major headache for emerging markets. Weakening local currencies lead to several problems: • Imported Inflation: When the local currency weakens, the cost of imported goods rises. This can exacerbate inflation in emerging markets, which are already grappling with rising prices due to global supply chain disruptions. • Debt Burden: Many emerging market economies have significant dollar-denominated debt. A weaker local currency increases the cost of servicing this debt, putting a strain on government finances. • Capital Flight: The strengthening dollar can trigger capital outflows from emerging markets as investors seek better returns elsewhere. This can lead to currency depreciation and hinder economic growth. Policy Responses: Verbal Intervention and Beyond Emerging markets are not sitting idly by as their currencies weaken. Several are exploring policy options to counter the dollar's might: • Verbal Intervention: Central banks in some emerging markets, like Malaysia, have resorted to verbal intervention, signaling their commitment to supporting their currencies. However, this approach has limited long-term effectiveness. • Interest Rate Hikes: Some central banks, such as Brazil, are considering raising interest rates to attract capital inflows and stabilize their currencies. However, this risks slowing down economic growth. • Currency Intervention: Central banks may intervene directly in the foreign exchange market by selling dollars and buying local currency to prop it up. This approach can be expensive and depletes foreign exchange reserves. JPMorgan and ANZ Weigh In: The Need for More Tools Financial institutions are also analyzing the situation. JPMorgan Asset Management suggests that more verbal intervention may be necessary from emerging markets to manage volatility. However, analysts at ANZ bank believe that China, a major emerging market with significant influence, may need to deploy a wider range of tools, potentially including capital controls, to limit the depreciation of its currency, the yuan. Looking Ahead: A Delicate Balancing Act The coming months will be critical for emerging markets. Central banks face a delicate balancing act, trying to tame inflation without stifling economic growth. The strength of the US dollar will be a major factor influencing their decisions. The ability of emerging markets to navigate this challenging environment will have a significant impact on the global economic outlook.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
Major clues in USD indicate Bear market Late summer/ early fallHi guys. When trading its always important to learn/educate to find an edge on the markets. There are so many charts you can access to analyze/compare, etc. Its known that many ticker symbols can be used in certain ways to help understand markets in a deeper way. The DXY or U.S. Dollar Index is an asset that i use to assess Risk mentality. So keeping it simple: If dollar RISES -> it indicates a RISK OFF mentality -> so people leave risky investments to enter the safety that is cash If dollar FALLS in price -> it indicates a RISK ON mentality -> this means peoplpe are leaving the safety of the dollar to take risk in other investments. Im bringing you this analysis to assess the health of the broader markets and whether or not we are at risk of a down fall/ recession especially with tensions significantly rising in the Middle east. So jumping right in. I got 3 Red resistance trend lines drawn. This trendline, in part reflects Bull runs in broader markets. 2 from past history 1 which is associated with our current Price action. As you can see, this Resistance begins at the TOP price of DXY. Price is then supressed from a certain amount of time, before a breakout back ABOVE. Everytime we have broken the resistance trendline. The dollar starts a massive Bull run when measured: The 1st one lasted about 700 days The 2nd one lasted about 460 days. So the question i asked was how does this relate to the S&P and other markets. Does the breakout above resistance from the start cause drops in all markets? When i looked, i was surprised. Fall in other markets does NOT happen right off the breakout. In fact, when i measured after the resistance breakouts it takes roughly 133-189 days before S&P begins a BEAR market. As indicated by black lines. 1st example it took 133 days after breakout 2nd example took 189 days after breakout. We have recently broken out ABOVE the red resistance trendline. So if you consider previous history, our next Bear market i believe will begin sometime late Summer or early Fall. Now remember previous history does not have to repeat. It just helps us find patterns and consider things. It is however possible, if actual war does breakout. Things may change, as it would be considered a Black swan event. However, until it happens this is the likely scenario in my OPINION. Our current movements i think is just a pullback before continuing higher. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on DXY in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
TVC:DXYLong
by SafofAllTrades