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Dxyindex

DXY to continue declineDXY started a recovery from 100.257 from the heavy decline due to the pause in the interest rate hikes back in December 13th, 2023. The index started to recover from 28th December and to 102.723 due to the positive news from the last Friday NFP fundamentals. Price was quickly knocked down by the negative news on the ISMs late Friday. DXY January candle has done a retracement unto the 61.8%-78.6% (EMA 20) of the December bearish candle. As a result of the retracement on the December candle, the DXY is expected to retest the weekly EMA 200 on the key level 100.500 and as at the ending of last Friday, price was resisted by the weekly resistance. On the Daily, the DXY index is expected to retest the EMA 200 at 101.706 and subsequently retest the key level 101.500 again. The important fundamentals this week are mainly the Thursday's Core CPI m/m and the Friday's PP1 m/m where the economists are projecting a negative news for the CPI. We need to keep an eagle eye on the news this week to make informed decisions.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AbeikuGlobal_FX
2
The Huge Crisis is coming... Despite the news that the USA is weak and no longer can hold a hegemony of world currency, I think we will see massive shifts in the economic environment over the next 2-3 years. And everything will begin to change this year. I've been spotted with the DXY chart for many years, and my previous scenarios worked great, so I think it is time to share my vision on TV. According to my chart of DXY, I suggest that we look at the massive accumulation that has continued for 10 years. We will see the USD hunt all over the World in the coming years. All assets will lose their value massively. It will be the biggest re-distribution of assets and values since GD1929 and WW2. My analysis gives me the following expectations: The main targets for the year will be 121/129/136 . The scenario is a rapid rise from current levels to around 105-105.5, followed by a small 1-week accumulation. For some reason, it seems this should take 4 to 8 weeks, and the maximum signals from the chart for further growth will be completed by the end of February 2024. So far, I consider an impulse from 101 to 105 (conditionally) as the initial necessary signal - I understand that the cleaner it is (minimum pullbacks, constant growth, higher high, higher low on the younger TFs), the stronger the move will be. When the initial signal (impulse 101-105) is completed, we will see the beginnings of the shift in economic media content. They will talk more about economic weakness than ever before. Today's mega-bull expectations will be smashed completely. Trade with stoplosses. Always think about risks and hold to your money management strategy.
TVC:DXYLong
by ego1smo
1
What should we expect from DXY Index by the end of 2023❗️❓🗺️👋Hi everyone (Reading time less than 3 minutes⏰) . 📚One of the most important Indices that we should have an analysis of is the DXY index because it has a direct impact on the Forex , Cryptocurrency , and stock and etc markets. So, in this post, I'm going to show you the 🗺️ Roadmap 🗺️ for DXY until at least the End of 2023 and Early 2024 . 💡I used the Monthly time frame and Elliott wave theory to display the DXY index roadmap better. 💡First of all, it is better to know that the DXY index has formed an Ascending Channel since 2008 and is moving in it. 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , the DXY index has succeeded in completing its 5 impulsive waves in the ascending channel so that the 3rd wave was an extended wave . 🌊As a result, it seems that Corrective waves have started, and to confirm this, it is better to wait for the break of the lower line of the ascending channel. 🔔I expect the DXY to move between 🔴Heavy Resistance zone($107.62-$103.10)🔴 and 🟢Support zone($101.64-$99.58)🟢 by the end of 2023 and early 2024, and in mid-2024 , the DXY will begin to trend Down , and Financial markets will likely turn 🚀Green🚀 . DXY Index Analyze ( DXYUSD ), Monthly time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DXY
by pejman_zwin
7
DXY Daily Technical analysis on DXY daily chart reveals several key points: Positive Reaction at 100 Support Zone: The price has shown a positive response at the strong support zone of 100, continuously rising throughout the past week. Breaking the downtrend structure at 102.25 signals the strength of buying pressure. Expected Correction and Continued Upside: Anticipate a price correction towards the 101 level before resuming the upward journey towards 103. However, it's crucial to note that on the daily timeframe, further observation is needed to confirm higher lows before making trading decisions. Anticipated Week's Volatility: Foresee potential oscillations and the formation of a sideways pattern (SW) at the beginning of the week. Market volatility may intensify, especially with the release of CPI data on Thursday. Monitoring Market Signals: Watch the market's reaction post the CPI announcement for crucial insights into the next move for DXY. Exercise caution and refrain from establishing specific trading plans solely based on the daily timeframe, emphasizing careful observation to confirm trends.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by MasterShadow
DXY Shorts from 102.400 Down towards 101.000The DXY forecast remains bearish in my view; however, there is a notable strong bullish retracement occurring. I perceive this retracement as temporary, as the price is retracing back to a premium supply level. I anticipate a distribution to take place in either the 1-hour supply zone I've identified or... Alternatively, if the price continues to climb higher, fully mitigating the imbalance, it may enter my preferred 14-hour supply zone, which previously caused a break of structure to the downside. Should the price decline without touching these two zones, I will then be on the lookout for a buying opportunity around 101.000. Confluences for DXY dollar sells are as follows: - Dollar is temporarily bearish due to the break of structures on the higher timeframe. - Currently price has reacted off a demand so I can expect bullish pressure to get exhausted. - Price is slowing down foreshadowing a potential wyckoff distribution to play out. - Lots of liquidity still left below in the form trend line liquidity and major imbalances. - Candlestick anatomy shows that price might have a bearish drop as its mitigated an imbalance above partially P.S. While my current stance is bearish in the market, this minor bullish retracement appears temporary, and I anticipate the price to resume its downward trajectory. However, considering the presence of numerous imbalances, I prefer to observe price movements before deciding on my course of action. Have a great trading week ahead guys!
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Hassan_fx
1
When Will Crypto/Equities top this Bull cycleMost of the asset we trade are traded against Dollar. So, to figure out when markets are going to peak out, we must look at DXY, which measures the strength of the dollar. In this post we will analyze the last bull/bear cycle and use that to predict what may happen in the current cycle. The Last Bull Cycle for equities/Crypto started when DXY topped out last time, which happened during Covid dump. The Last Bull Cycle ended and Bear Started when DXY Bottomed and Trend shifted to bull on Weekly marked by Weekly Break of Structure in November 2021. To figure out when Crypto/Equities will peak this cycle we will have figure out when will DXY bottom this cycle. I gave a full Wave Elliott wave count for DXY back in September last year predicting extended downtrend for DXY so far it has played out perfectly. Based on how PA has developed for DXY it looks like we are in corrective wave 4 of 5 waves down and final wave down is yet to come. The full wave count is posted here: I am confident that this is the fourth wave because the current bounce is not likely to be able to break structure on weekly as it did not happen from a significant source of Support or supply. To mark the bottom of DXY we need a weekly Break of structure I have highlighted that in the chart, we need a significant weekly close above 104.5 to mark change of trend which is unlikely to happen. Now let's use Wyckoff to further strengthen the argument that a final 5th wave down is yet to come we will use Wyckoff mode for that. Do you see the perfect match with model 1 Wyckoff Accumulation: Wyckoff Works like a charm on HTF, check out my Cardano prediction post in the description below where I predicted the bottom is 21 cents for Cardano using Wyckoff models. Now there are two weekly supply zones right below where DXY bounced from early last year which have the capacity to act as Springs for the next move up, the lower zone coincides with the lower trending of the parallel channel so highly likely that it marks the bottom for DXY, If not then DXY loses it multiyear uptrend and we are looking at a bull run of unimaginable proportion , but it very unlikely. Now even though these zones can mark the bottom for DXY, it doesn't mean Equities and Crypto will top immediately, notice in the last cycle, DXY spent quite some time at the lows before it broke weekly structure and that's what caused entire market to peak, and we started the bear run. So, it's possible it can happen in the similar fashion this time as well, or it can be an explosive move up, which is a real possibility because Wyckoff springs are very explosive, and if it causes weekly Break of structure that will be the top of the markets. With the current bounce being the wave 4 of the 5 wave down for DXY a correction is possible across the markets, notice in the chart I have highlighted in circle where we are in current cycle compared to last one, we are getting a bounce DXY right now just like we did last time in the middle of the bull run. This will cause turbulence in the markets and initiate a short-term correction, which aligns well with crypto as we all are expecting pre-halving dump like we have experienced in all previous cycles. Now we know at what level we are likely to bounce let's try to predict the timeline as to when we will see the bottom form on DXY. I have used Trend based fib time to predict the next pivot in DXY, it pulled from start of last bull run, we can see how perfectly all the pivots fall on the time fibs, so there no reason to think it won't do that next time as well. The next Pivot falls in May 2024. One can argue that DXY can to the upside and follow the red arrow in the chart below, but it's unlikely because of the reason discussed above. Now once it hits the pivot to the downside, we must monitor what it does. As mentioned above to mark the peak of bull cycle we need a weekly break of structure on DXY, whenever that happed after the pivot you know you need sell all and get out of the market without hesitation or short the market and make generational wealth over the course of year or 2. CAUTION: What's interesting to note here is, the next fib time date for DXY pivot coincides perfectly with the full length of the last bull cycle which was 84 weeks, if we measure 84 weeks since BTC and Equities bottomed this cycle it ends perfectly within few days of the next fib time pivot. So, it's possible the current bull run may be cut short, and we see an explosive move in DXY, A spring move like I mentioned above instead of slow grind up on DXY like it happened last time in previous cycle. Now don't be scared just yet, that all hope is lost for bulls if that happens, The Wyckoff accumulation model can fail and DXY doesn't make a significant move up and starts to drop after few months of up. The possibility of this happening is there but it's low, in the end we must watch DXY and when it gets there and see what happens.
TVC:DXY
by zakoraio
AUDUSD H4 / Looking for LONG ENTRY 📈 Hello Traders! This is my idea related to AUDUSD H4. I expect a retracement from the resistance level, where we have also an OB. It's a good opportunity to entry long if the strategi is confirmed. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
Long
by GoodTradeST
3
Usd/Jpy short signalTrade Idea for USD/JPY Bias: Counter-Trend While current fundamentals might suggest different directions for USD/JPY, there are unique circumstances hinting at a possible counter-trend scenario: Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Intervention History: As USD/JPY approaches the pivotal 150 level, it's crucial to remember that the BoJ has previously intervened in the forex market around this point. If the pair gets too close to this threshold, we might see the BoJ step in again, influencing the direction of USD/JPY. Changing Rate Expectations from the FED: The buzz around the financial markets suggests the Federal Reserve might be leaning towards rate cuts in 2024. Such anticipations can sway forex markets, potentially leading to fluctuations in the USD/JPY pair.
Short
by Elite_Forex
DXY (Dollar) Shorts from 101.300 or 102.000My outlook for the dollar remains bearish, but it's currently in a bullish retracement phase triggered by the reaction at my identified 17hr demand (POI) from last week. I anticipate price to continue its upward movement to eventually reach a premium level. In this scenario, I'll be looking for selling opportunities around the 4hr supply zone or the 14hr supply at the top. While the 4hr supply is still a possibility, it's not the optimal choice for sells due to its location within a trend line that I anticipate being taken out. Instead, I foresee a reaction at the 14hr supply, located within the 0.786 Fibonacci range and having caused a break of structure. Therefore, I'll be patiently waiting for some form of distribution to unfold once the bullish pressure is exhausted. Confluences for DXY dollar sells are as follows: - Dollar is temporarily bearish due to the break of structures on the higher timeframe. - Currently price has reacted off a demand so I can expect bullish pressure to get exhausted. - Price is slowing down foreshadowing a potential wyckoff distribution to play out. - Lots of liquidity still left below in the form of equal lows and trend line liquidity. P.S. Although I am currently bearish on the market, my overall sentiment is bullish. The recent reaction off the 17hr demand might spark an upward rally. Additionally, there's a 9hr demand zone where I anticipate another bullish reaction. HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
USD Holds Near 5-Month Low on US Inflation ConcernsIn a fragile holiday trading session on Tuesday, the US Dollar Index remained at 101.6, hovering close to its lowest point in five months. This comes as additional signs of declining US inflation reinforce bets on the Federal Reserve initiating interest rate cuts next year. Published data on Friday revealed that the core PCE index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, dropped to 3.2% in November from October's 3.4%, below the anticipated 3.3%. Moreover, Thursday's figures showed weaker-than-expected economic growth in the US for Q3, along with a slight increase in unemployment benefit claims in the recent period. The US dollar trades near multi-month lows against major currencies, facing the risk of further depreciation compared to the yen. This concern amplifies as BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Monday that the likelihood of achieving the 2% inflation target is "gradually increasing."
TVC:DXY
by Larissa-Trader
DXY (Dollar Index) Shorts from 101.800 down to 100.800The outlook for the Dollar this week is a continuation of its bearish trajectory. With a recent downside break in structure, I anticipate a correction, expecting the price to retrace into the 14-hour supply zone. Upon entering my Point of Interest (POI), I'll wait for price distribution and a change in character as a signal that the dollar is prepared for a decline. Additionally, I acknowledge the presence of imbalances above the supply, suggesting the potential for a break beyond this supply into a more premium area. Confluences for Dollar Sells are as follows: - This bias aligns with the current bearish trend that has been perpetuated. - Lots of major trend lines, equal lows and asian lows below on the higher time frame. - There's a14hr supply zone that has broken structure to the downside causing BOS. - For price to maintain its bearish trend it must react off a supply to trigger another sell off. P.S. While the dollar maintains an overall bullish stance on the higher time frame, it's only a matter of time before price sweeps liquidity and reacts strongly to a major supply. However, given the current bearish movement, It's advisable to follow the existing trend instead of opposing it for the time being. If you guys have any interesting perspectives on this market, feel free to share down below!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
🗺️DXY Index Roadmap🗺️🏃‍♂️The DXY index has been moving in the Descending Channel for over two months . 🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , the DXY Index is near the end of the main wave 5 . 🌊If we want to look at the microwaves of the main wave 5 in the 1-hour time frame , we will find that the DXY index is on the way to completing the microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys . 🔔I expect the DXY Index to start rising after touching the 🟢 Support zone($101.30-$100.80) 🟢, Support lines , and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and complete the main wave 5. The increase of the DXY index can fill the upper 🔵 GAP 🔵 and attack the upper line of the descending channel. U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DXYLong
by pejman_zwin
8