DXY DOLLAR INDEX : My vision hello guys not gonna lie i was bearish on dxy last quarter my first target was hit but suddenly price showed signs of bullishness i see price going up for previous year high.
Dxyindex
Bullish bounce off pullback support?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 106.08
1st Support: 105.16
1st Resistance: 107.33
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Anticipating a Stronger DollarThe U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ) has been strengthening since the 2008 crisis, and I expect this trend to continue. I anticipate the Dollar Index (DXY) could reach a target of 120 by the next election or even sooner.
Dxy downgradeDxy trending down, xxxusd going up usdxxx going down, bullish trend at DXY penetrative and crossing bullish resistance,
DYOR always, n keep ur trade safe
DXY reached the critical resistance zone. H4 15.11.2024 DXY reached the critical resistance zone 📉
Honestly, I didn't think they would push the dollar index to the final zone near 107
without a pullback, but they still did. Now they gave a clear reaction downwards
and it is very possible that the correction has started. Of course, we cannot deny
the possibility of retesting the highs and then continuing the fall, but in general,
the first signs of reversal and culmination have already appeared. It is very desirable
to close the week below 106.30 and then the idea of a false
breakdown of the 2-year highs will be confirmed.
TVC:DXY
GBPJPY Long IdeaWith the DXY hovering around significant supply zones, coupled with the cable being primed for a push up to 1.27192 and possibly beyond, we can theoretically map out a path for bulls to hold serve until the High time frame key levels. This potential push up could bring fruitful shorts in the near future. However, I’m bullish on lower time frames. Happy Trading.
Dollar's Rise, Gold's Demise◉ Abstract
The US Dollar Index (DXY) and gold prices have a historically inverse correlation, with a stronger dollar typically reducing gold demand. Key drivers of this relationship include inflation, geopolitical tensions, and interest rates. With a 73-95% negative correlation observed over time, investors should note the current market outlook: the DXY is poised to break out above 107, potentially surging to 114, while gold prices may drop 5% to 2,400 and then 2,300. Understanding this dynamic is crucial for making informed investment decisions and capitalizing on potential trading opportunities.
◉ Introduction
The relationship between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and gold prices is significant and typically characterized by an inverse correlation. Understanding this relationship is crucial for investors and traders in the gold market.
◉ U.S. Dollar Index Overview
The U.S. Dollar Index measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six major foreign currencies, including the euro, Japanese yen, and British pound. It serves as an indicator of the dollar's strength or weakness in global markets. When the index rises, it indicates that the dollar is gaining value relative to these currencies, while a decline suggests a weakening dollar.
◉ Inverse Relationship with Gold Prices
Gold is priced in U.S. dollars on international markets, which directly influences its price based on fluctuations in the dollar's value:
● Strengthening Dollar: When the DXY index increases, it generally leads to a decrease in gold prices. This occurs because a stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for investors using other currencies, thereby reducing demand.
● Weakening Dollar: Conversely, when the DXY index falls, gold prices tend to rise. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for foreign investors, increasing its demand and driving up prices.
Research indicates that this inverse relationship has been consistent over time, particularly in long-term trends. For instance, historical data shows that gold prices often rise when the dollar depreciates, reflecting a negative correlation of approximately 73% to 95% over various time intervals.
◉ Short-Term Deviations
While the long-term trend supports this inverse relationship, short-term anomalies can occur under specific market conditions. For example, during periods of extreme volatility or economic uncertainty, gold and the dollar may exhibit a positive correlation temporarily as both assets are sought after as safe havens. This behaviour can confuse investors who expect the typical inverse relationship to hold.
◉ Additional Influencing Factors
Several other factors also affect gold prices beyond the dollar's strength:
● Inflation: Rising inflation often leads investors to flock to gold as a hedge against currency devaluation.
➖ E.g. In 2022, as inflation rates surged to 9.1%, demand for gold increased by 12% year-over-year, pushing prices higher. Historical data shows that during periods of high inflation from 1974 to 2008, gold prices rose by an average of 14.9% annually.
● Geopolitical Events: Uncertainty from geopolitical tensions can drive demand for gold regardless of dollar fluctuations.
➖ E.g. In late 2023, escalating conflicts such as the Israel-Palestine situation and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war contributed to a surge in gold prices, with reports indicating increases of over 3% in a week due to these tensions
● Interest Rates: When the Fed raises interest rates, it typically strengthens the dollar as higher yields attract foreign capital. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, which can reduce demand.
➖ E.g. During the Federal Reserve's rate hikes from March 2022 to early 2023, many investors moved away from gold as they sought higher returns from bonds and other fixed-income securities. This shift contributed to downward pressure on gold prices during that period.
◉ Technical Standings
● U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY
The US Dollar Index has been stuck in neutral for two years. But if it clears the 107 hurdle, get ready for a surge to 114.
● Gold Spot/USD OANDA:XAUUSD
➖ Gold prices skyrocketed to 2,790, then plunged. Expect a 5% drop to 2,400. If that support cracks, 2,300 is the next safety net.
Shorting the Dollar: A Madman's GameI’m going to take this trade—it's close enough to the level where it would invalidate my idea. I may tighten my stops a bit, but I’m okay with taking a second shot later if I get stopped out.
The Dollar is indeed strong right now, so I’m going against the trend here. I’ll be aggressively taking profits if it dips a bit. If we push past 106.75, I might consider shorting it.
This price action is looking very similar to the July-September 2023 move.
TVC:DXY
What if the USD rally is only just getting started?The USD rally has entered its seventh week and continues to defy its seasonal tendency to weaken in Q4. And that is simply because the macro backdrop 'Trumps' its average performance this time of the year. Today I take a step back to admire the bigger-picture view of the USD index, to show why I think this rally could still just be getting started.
MS
The Impact of Emerging Markets on the Dollar amidst Looming TradThe recent shift in US political landscape has ignited a wave of uncertainty across global markets. A potential escalation of trade tensions with China and other key economies could have far-reaching consequences, particularly for the US dollar and emerging market currencies.
The Dollar's Uncertain Future
The US dollar, long considered a safe-haven asset, faces a crossroads. While a more protectionist stance could initially bolster the dollar's appeal, it could also trigger a chain reaction of economic consequences. Increased tariffs and trade barriers could lead to higher inflation, which could erode the dollar's purchasing power. Moreover, if the US economy weakens as a result of trade disputes, the dollar's demand as a safe-haven currency could diminish.
Emerging Markets in the Crossfire
Emerging market economies, which have often relied on exports to fuel their growth, are particularly vulnerable to escalating trade tensions. A trade war could disrupt global supply chains, increase the cost of imported goods, and reduce demand for emerging market exports. This could lead to currency devaluation, higher inflation, and slower economic growth.
Currency Pegs Under Pressure
Countries that peg their currencies to the US dollar, such as Hong Kong and some Middle Eastern nations, could face significant challenges. If the dollar weakens or strengthens significantly, it could put pressure on these currency pegs, forcing central banks to intervene to maintain the exchange rate. This could deplete foreign exchange reserves and limit monetary policy flexibility.
The Renminbi's Rising Influence
China's renminbi could emerge as a potential beneficiary of a weakened US dollar. As China continues to expand its economic influence and promote the internationalization of its currency, it could become a more attractive alternative to the dollar for global trade and investment. However, a trade war with the US could also negatively impact the renminbi, as it could lead to reduced demand for Chinese exports and capital flight.
Navigating the Uncharted Waters
To mitigate the risks associated with a potential trade war, emerging market economies may need to adopt a combination of strategies. These could include diversifying export markets, promoting domestic consumption, and strengthening financial institutions. Additionally, central banks may need to adjust monetary policy to stabilize currencies and manage inflation.
In conclusion, the potential for increased trade tensions between the US and China could have significant implications for the global economy, the US dollar, and emerging market currencies. While the full impact of these developments remains uncertain, it is clear that businesses, investors, and policymakers around the world will need to closely monitor the situation and adapt their strategies accordingly.
DXY, Is correction on the way ?Hello Traders, Hope you are doing great.
for upcoming days and for a short period of time, we'll probably see a downward correction to Specified level in TVC:DXY , we also have a Divergence on 4H that confirms our theory.
so with a proper trigger we can open a short position. We will also probably find better buy positions in FX:GBPUSD And FX:AUDUSD than the FX:EURUSD .
Trade safe and have a great weekend.
And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post.
If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend.
THANKS.
GBP USD Trade Setup Daily Timeframe. GBP USD has tapped into a Daily Demand Level around price 1.27000, and the price is showing signs of weakness as DXY US Dollar Index tapped into a Daily supply level.
So we will be looking for buying opportunity from the lower timeframe.
DXY Update and Levelsafter good impulse move to the upside there is certainty of price going into pullback mode
because
. price recently broken the trend line which was from weekly side so the next liquidity zone is supply from monthly which is 1% away and on other hand price can try to retest the fvg which nearby 0.5% below the current price (105.998) or the round figure 105 can act as support
my take - before going to 107 zone price should retrace and get some liquidity from fvg
Is a DXY Pullback on the Horizon? Key Price Action Signals Is a DXY Pullback on the Horizon? Key Price Action Signals to Keep an Eye On
👀👉 The DXY Dollar Index has shown robust bullish momentum recently—but is it overextended? A pullback at a major support level could offer a valuable entry opportunity. I’m watching this zone closely for a possible buy setup aligned with the key criteria covered in the video. In this analysis, we’ll explore essential price action signals to watch and discuss strategies for positioning in the next potential move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.* 📊✅
DXY makes it to the most important resistance zone.H4 12.11.2024💸 Dollar Index DXY makes it to the most important resistance zone 📉
The dollar index still managed to break through to the most important resistance zone 105.80-106.35 from which I expect a medium-term reversal. Honestly, I didn't think it would be pushed to it, but as it is. Other currencies against the dollar have almost reached their reversal zones, lacking the final rebound. As for me, the level of 106 on the index and the area near it is strong. The situation is a copy of 2016, when the index was also pushed hard, and then a long-term reversal was made to weaken it.
TVC:DXY
DXY (dollar index) Out lookMy bias for the dollar is that it may start to slow down and experience some pullbacks, likely to fill the imbalances below and capture some liquidity. However, I also see Scenario A playing out, which could push the price upward and continue the bullish trend.
Given the current market conditions, I expect these retracements, which also align with my outlook for EU and GU.
Confluences supporting my bullish bias on the dollar:
- The DXY has been very bullish and has broken significant structure to the upside.
- The DXY has surpassed the key psychological level of 105.00.
- There is still a lot of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
- Clean demand zones are in place, reinforcing my bullish outlook.
P.S. Be cautious and watch for the major red news on Wednesday, specifically the CPI event, as it will provide key insight for the forecast. I expect the dollar to retrace ahead of the news, but once it's released, I anticipate the dollar will shoot back up.
DXY "DOLLAR INDEX" Bank Bullish Robbery Plan To Steal MoneyHola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
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Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
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Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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DXY IndexDXY Index
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves at Extreme Point of Interest ( POI ). Bullish Channel as an Corrective pattern in Short Time Frame and Rejection from Resistance Level with a Strong Divergence
Bullish rise?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 104.42
1st Support: 103.45
1st Resistance: 106.04
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Dollar long to short (A controversial idea)It is no surprise that we have seen an influx of buyers in the dollar market since september when the news about Trump running for the election for a second time built alot of trust in the dollar. However, I don't believe this will last for very long.
Market open we will see either one of two scenarios play out...
scenario A: price will push up slightly causing a further BOS to the upside and taking ASH liquidity before then retracing into the 2H demand in order to mitigate the weekly supply deeper.
Scenario B: Price will drop taking out the buyers from the 2H demand as this area is not yet validated by a structural break, price will then fill the 8H IMB and continue its push upwards into the weekly supply which is further validated against my XAU/USD breakdown.
In conclusion, if not this week then within the next coming weeks we will see price react from this weekly supply or the weekly IMB above in order to continue in its overall downtrend.
REMEMBER all it takes for the DXY to continue dropping is a major news event
The Breakout! With The Easiest Chart Thank you for taking your time to watch this video and if you enjoyed it, Please feel free to ask any question in the comments and leave a like!
Is the DXY dollar index ready for a correction ? H4 08.11.2024💸 Is the DXY dollar index ready for a correction ⁉️
Looking back to 2016 when Trump first became US President, the dollar index initially reacted with a sharp rise and then a prolonged fall. I wonder if history will repeat itself again or if the market will take his second presidency more calmly in the distance.
DXY formed a sellers' zone at 104.80-105.16, but the far resistance zone at 106 remains intact. It's not a sure thing that it will get there, but I keep the option in my head just in case. The priority for me is to fall from the nearest sellers' zone with the targets of 103.30 and lower to 102.30. I will specify in the process.
TVC:DXY
Trade idea - AUDUSD Long1H
Corrective approach towards entry zone.
Market moving in Bull Flag formation.
-27 Fibonacci completion aligning with entry zone.
= Confirmation to place Buy limit.
1.5% risk.
Aiming to take full profit at Daily TP.
