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Dxyindex

DXY 2 senario with detailhi dear trader this price action for dxy with detail It is near the end of the year, institutions want to put a stop to the money for the Christmas celebration and take it out now... be careful.... My personal opinion is that he may not pay attention to the conversation this year, but this year he will fill the conversation with news of a war with something, but in any case, two scenarios should be considered... My personal opinion is that he will complete scenario 1 later. From the diamond pattern good luck mehdi
TVC:DXY
by mehdi_kb
DXY$ Shorts from 105.800 down towards 105.200As expected our last week scenario (A) played out perfectly like we anticipated which was seeing a bullish reaction from the 4hr demand. For this week's bias we are still temporarily bearish with the dollar as it's approaching a clean 14hr supply zone. As soon as it gets tapped in I will be waiting for my lower time frame confirmation i.e. a Wyckoff distribution schematic and a clean CHOCH to the downside. I would preferably wait for the asian high to get swept inside the zone before looking for a drop in the dollar index. I am bullish long term but, as price has broken structure a few times to the downside I would like to catch sells down towards the next demand at least. My confluences for DXY$ Shorts are as follows: - Price approaching a 14hr supply zone that has broken structure the downside. - Imbalances have fully been filled and momentum has slowed down (good sign for a reversal) - Huge trend line left way below that price would want to grab and theres also lots of liquidity below to target as take profit levels. - In order for price to keep pushing up it will need to enter a level of demand, so as of now we will be trying to catch sells down towards a demand. P.S. Only if my extreme 7hr supply zone gets violated, we will then know if price wants to continue in its bullish trend or not. But as of now I see price dropping more due to the perpetual BOS's. Also, as the dollar is a direct negative correlation to most of my pairs, the bias will suggest a bullish move to take place for EU, GU and gold If DXY$ decides to continue bearish.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
1
The Alarming Volatility of the US Dollar – A Call to Action The recent turbulent fluctuations witnessed in the strength of the US Dollar have left experts bewildered and traders on edge. As we navigate through these uncertain times, it is crucial that we take a moment to pause and reevaluate our trading positions before potentially exposing ourselves to unnecessary risks. The unprecedented volatility of the US Dollar has sent shockwaves across the global financial markets, stemming from a multitude of economic, political, and social events. These complexities have made it exceedingly challenging for even the most experienced traders to predict or decipher the future direction of the dollar accurately. The sudden shifts and erratic movements have destabilized not only its inherent value but also significantly influenced the correlation with other major currencies. Given the circumstances, I implore you all to reflect upon your current dollar trading strategies. It is paramount that we reassess the potential risks and rewards associated with trading the US Dollar in the present climate. As responsible traders, it is vital to exercise caution and adjust our positions accordingly, considering the magnitude of uncertainty that envelopes the dollar's market stability. I strongly encourage you to undertake a thorough analysis of your portfolios, taking into account the potential consequences of sustained volatility and the possible ripple effects on other currencies and financial assets. It is prudent to diversify your holdings, exploring alternative investment options that may help mitigate the potential risks associated with the current dollar turbulence. In these challenging times, it is crucial for us to remain vigilant, responsible, and adaptable in our approach. By taking a pause and reevaluating our dollar trading strategies, we can safeguard our investments and insulate ourselves from sudden and adverse market movements. Remember, preserving capital is equally as important as pursuing profits.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
DXY trending higher following Fed stance and BOE influence stancAfter the latest monetary policy meeting, financial markets reacted to statements from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the Bank of England (BoE). These reactions led to large changes in bond yields and the value of the dollar. Even though the Fed maintained its hawkish stance after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, markets tended to interpret Powell's comments cautiously. Despite recognition of the US's strong economic performance, concerns about tightening financial conditions and questions about the reliability of scatterplots have led to suggestions that US interest rates may have peaked. There is. This sentiment has led to lower bond yields and a drop in the value of the dollar. In contrast, three out of nine Monetary Policy Committee members at the BoE meeting supported a 25 basis point rate hike. However, rising UK unemployment and a forecast of zero growth in 2024 pose major challenges, with GBP/USD moving above previous support/resistance levels as the dollar weakens and US yields fall. Rose. Despite these developments, the pound's upward momentum remains limited. Interest rate forecasts suggest the Bank of England will not consider cutting rates until the third quarter of next year. This is slower than the Fed's market expectations (now revised to Q2 2024).
TVC:DXYLong
by NicoTradingMaster
Fed stance and BOE rate cut expectations impact bond yields and After the latest monetary policy meeting, financial markets reacted to statements from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the Bank of England (BoE). These reactions led to large changes in bond yields and the value of the dollar. After the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, markets tilted toward a cautious interpretation of Powell's remarks, even though the Fed maintained its hawkish stance. Despite recognition of the US's strong economic performance, concerns about tightening financial conditions and questions about the reliability of scatterplots have led to suggestions that US interest rates may have peaked. There is. This sentiment has led to lower bond yields and a decline in the value of the dollar. In contrast, three out of nine Monetary Policy Committee members at the BoE meeting supported a 25 basis point rate hike. However, rising UK unemployment and a forecast of zero growth in 2024 pose major challenges, with GBP/USD moving above previous support/resistance levels as the dollar weakens and US yields fall. Rose.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by AstronautPioneer
DXY (Dollar index) Retracement back up to 105.600Following from last week hectic week of news events, we had a nice end on NFP friday giving us a clear indication on what price wants to do. As you can see the dollar has been ranging on the higher time frame, generating liquidity and testing new possible highs however failed to do so. Scenario (A) - We have a strong bearish candle breaching the low of the range, breaking the structure to the downside. This hints that the dollar wants to move in a bearish trend and possibly want to take the HTF trendline below that was left from the previous rally. From this move, we have marked out new supply zones that we can sell from to continue this expansion. As of current price we have entered a nice (4hr) demand zone that has previously caused BOS to the upside this can allow us to buy back up towards the supply above. Already we see a nice reaction within the zone as well as price accumilating so we can possibly look for nice buys on monday once we get a CHOCH on the LTF's. We will then target the 13hr supply zone above as thats our main POI for a potential sell setup to form. Scenario (B) - Is that price continues to the downside and fails this zone to sweep the liquidity below. As theres a lot of asian lows and engineering liquidity, price can easily take this to tap into the daily demand which is a better zone to buy from to target the supply above around 105.500. My confluences for short term dollar (DXY) buys are as follows: - Price tapped into a 4hr demand that broke structure to the upside. - Wyckoff accumilation is starting to formulate due to the slow movement inside the zone. - Imbalances left above from NFP news event that price needs to come fill. - If price wants to continue in this bearish trend it must retrace back to the supply above. - Liquidity from the previous low has also been swept (which is the bottom of the range) - enough liquidity to possibly cause price to retrace back up to 105.600. P.S. From last weeks DXY breakdown (29/10/23), My scenario (A) played out how I expected as price respected my 7hr supply zone that I marked out and melted perfectly from that zone which caused price to break structure to the downside. I am temporarily bearish on the dollar so our next POI's to continue this order flow will be at the 13hr supply or the extreme (7hr) above.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Hassan_fx
2
1970 -> Liquidity levels boosting Demand up Gold is now beginning to consolidate. For us, the 1999 level is significant because if this resistance level gets crossed, the market will actively keep rising until it reaches levels around $2070 ( Weekly Resistance). OANDA:XAUUSD will probably start determining what happens in the future. NFP damaged the TVC:DXY DXY dollar market, which could lead to a sharp increase in gold prices. There are a few significant news events that will be important keeping an eye on this upcoming week: 1. Powell's Addressing the First Round of Jobless Claims 2. GDP in YoY No major news or events should be expected unless the Geopolitical situation escalates. Remember that prices are determined based on: 1. Supply & demand 2. Geopolitical stability vs riskiness 3. Economic Data 4. Major Ecological disasters Wish you the best of luck.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sal98
Downfall in DXY has begun?In my previous post on DXY ,i mentioned how i expected it to move up a tiny bit in wave c of Z before starting to tumble. Well, from the fresh piece of evidence available it seems like that the expected tiny bounce failed which in Elliot wave terms means that wave Z has truncated. That also means that the first leg to the expected downfall towards 93-94$ mark is already in place. A few other things to add to this view: i. The closing price yesterday came below the channel support ii. the horizontal trend support is also broken iii. by breaking the low of 105.36 the index has technically entered a downtrend according to the classic Dow Jones theory(lower high and lower low formation). Note*- This post is for educational purpose only
TVC:DXYShort
by neeraj_2_sharma
2
DXY - Keylevels - DailyDxy is going through a critical period, after several weeks in a row it lost a bit of its price, the ultimate test, that is, the neckline was finally broken and now it seems that it has room to go down. I have mentioned the important areas. The FED meeting in December can help DXY in a comeback if this will be a Hawkish meeting, but at the moment December is quite far away and things for DXY can get complicated if it loses the next level as well. On the other hand, let's not forget that big investors can't wait to sell their dollars to enter the market, so the pressure on the dollar at these moments is getting bigger and bigger.
TVC:DXYShort
by sfc95
USDZMW/Technical AnalysisWe might see a strong buy side liquidity on USD/ZMW, W formation formed on Monthly Time Frame after price hit our MTG at k15 which is likely to head back to k22.50 Zone, it has also broken another liquidity zone (OB) at k19.28 meaning that we still have a strong bullish run, Price might be heading back to fill the VOID from the heavy sell liquidity we had from July 2021 - August 2021. Kwacha is yet to depreciate drastically till proper Fundamental and Economic Policies are put in place.
Long
by Mutobo
DXY continued to rise significantly and gold prices started to fThe DXY index, also known as the USD index, is a measure of the strength of the U.S. dollar relative to six of the United States' major trading partners, including the euro (EUR), yen, and Japanese yen (JPY). ), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK), Swiss Franc (CHF). The USD Index is calculated from the exchange rates of 6 other currencies (together with the parts that make up the USD Index): EUR 57.6%, JPY 13.6%, GBP 11.9%, CAD 9.1%, SEK 4.2%, CHF 3.6%. Therefore, fluctuations in this index depend not only on the US domestic economy, but also on its correlation with major economies around the world. To understand this better, let's look back a little at history. When the US Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 1994, the dollar appreciated until 2000 as tech stocks rose. However, the bursting of the dot-com bubble and the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks ended DXY's bullish momentum and caused the US dollar to plummet. DXY fell to historic lows during the 2008 financial crisis. The DXY index started rising again from his 2011 year. This is mainly due to two factors. First, in 2011, most economies in southern Europe were in a difficult situation due to over-indebtedness, which led to a weak euro and a strong US dollar. Second, the Fed first talked about tapering its bond purchases in 2013 and began raising interest rates in 2015. In 2016, with the election of Donald Trump as US president, the dollar hit a 13-year high amid confidence that the Federal Reserve would increase spending on roads, bridges and industry, as well as raise interest rates. , investors are optimistic about future growth rates. of the US economy.
TVC:DXYLong
by Chart_MasterPro
DXY Peaks as Leverage Combined Positions for USD Index RiseIt is with great concern that I bring to your notice the recent surge in leverage combined positions for the USD index, coinciding with the apparent peak of the Dollar Index (DXY). This convergence of events has prompted us to urge you to exercise caution and consider pausing your USD trading activities. Over the past few weeks, we have witnessed the DXY reaching new heights, bolstered by a series of positive economic indicators and widespread optimism. However, it is crucial to recognize that such prolonged upward trends tend to have limitations, often leading to market corrections or reversals. The mounting leverage combined positions for the USD index indicate an increasing number of traders speculating on the dollar's continued ascent. While this may seem enticing, history has shown us that excessive optimism and overleveraging can be precursors to market downturns. As responsible traders, it is our duty to approach these situations with a level-headed perspective. Therefore, we strongly advise you to pause and reevaluate your USD trading strategies, taking into account the current market conditions and the potential risks associated with the DXY's peak. Consider diversifying your portfolio, exploring alternative currency pairs, or even temporarily shifting your focus to other assets that exhibit more favorable risk-reward ratios. By exercising prudence during this phase of heightened optimism, you can better protect your capital and avoid potential losses. Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint, and preserving your financial stability is paramount. In conclusion, we urge you to approach USD trading with caution, recognizing the potential risks associated with the DXY's current peak and the surge in leverage combined positions. Take this opportunity to reassess your strategies, diversify your portfolio, and consider alternative trading options. By doing so, you will be better positioned to adapt and thrive in the ever-evolving world of trading.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
DXY:Oil prices recovered after a volatile end to OctoberOil prices rose slightly in Asian trade on Wednesday, the first in five months, as traders priced in lower risk premiums from the Israel-Hamas war and focus now shifted to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. I have recovered from the worst month of . The market also had mixed data on U.S. oil inventories, showing that while overall inventories increased, gasoline and distillate inventories declined significantly. Oil prices have fallen sharply in recent trading amid growing expectations that Israel and Hamas will not have a significant impact on Middle East oil flows, especially with no Arab powers in sight. Others are also involved in the conflict. However, the World Bank has warned that the conflict could continue to affect oil supplies and cause prices to rise. However, the organization also predicts that oil prices will remain depressed until 2024 on the back of slowing global economic growth. Concerns over weak demand in China also weighed on oil markets, following disappointing factory activity data released on Tuesday by the world's biggest oil importer. The figures came after a dire business report in the euro zone, raising concerns about a slowdown in global economic growth.
TVC:DXYLong
by Chart_MasterPro