DXY- Great chances for a riseAfter the low back in February, 100.50 held strongly, and also yesterday, after a drop in that zone, bulls took control leaving a bullish engulfing on our daily chart.
At the time of writing the index is trading at 101.39 and there are good chances of a rise above 103.
I'm bullish as long as 100.50 is intact
Dxyindex
DXY DAILY CHART - KEYLEVELS TO WATCHDXY for me at this point is neutral, im waiting for a broken trend or new lows for more ideas and targets.
More DXY will stay here, more the trust in other valutes willl be decreased.
So if here will be a consolidation zone, we will see USD more HIGHER , but for this, we need to a broken daily trend.
Dont be fomo at this point.
💋Last KISS💋 of 🥇Gold🥇 to the lost 🟢Support zone🟢Gold was able to break the 🟢 support zone($ 1990.6- $ 1961.7) 🟢 by a red long-body candle and huge volume( Breakout Candle 🔨).
If we look at the gold chart in the 15-minute time frame from the theory of Elliott waves, we will find that wave 4 returning to the support zone plays the role of a pullback(💋Last Kiss💋).
Another sign that we can confirm the end of wave 4 is the formation of the Head and Shoulders pattern in the 5-minute time frame (for better clarity, of course).
🔔I expect wave 5 to end near the support line.
If you want to have a better view of this analysis, I suggest you take a look at the following post.👇
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY brief gain and long position 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the support area and channel support ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside, we can see more gain 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction ❌🧨
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
🥇Gold🥇is playing the Yo-Yo game (Falling this time)🪀Gold seems to be playing 🪀yo-yo🪀, and this time it is its turn to go down.
Gold is running near the resistance line and 🔴resistance zone($ 2015- $ 2012)🔴.
If we look at Gold from the theory of Elliott waves , we can understand that Gold finished the last Zigzag wave (C) near the 🔴resistance zone($ 2015- $ 2012)🔴.
I expect gold to at least fall to the 🟢support zone($ 1990.6- $ 1961.7)🟢.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
🥇Gold🥇has completed the pullback and is ready to FALL again❗️As I expected in the previous post, Gold executed the Expanding Ending Diagonal pattern well and managed to break the lower line of this pattern and the uptrend line.
Gold has now completed a pullback to lines with wave 4.
I expect wave 5 to end at the 🟢support zone($ 1990.6- $ 1961.7)🟢 or support line.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 30-minute Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BUY DOLLAR BEFORE FED NEWS I am currently bearish on GOLD using DXY projection, selling from 2,000 to 1985 and 1975 respectfully. fed news will be dropping today so i am expecting a pump before a dump.. DXY is bearish long term but SMTF shows bullish back to 102.400 area.. what do you see for the fed news today ? Discuss.
DXY Index Next Possible MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Divergence
EXP Fiat as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame
Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Wave
Break of Structure
Symmetrical Triangle
Completed " ABC " Correction in Short Time Frame
Bullish Channel as Correction in STF
Rejection from Upper Trendline or Fibonacci Level ( 78.60% - 100% )
DXY - Long term | Market outlookInvestors focus on further actions of the US Federal Reserve in the field of monetary policy. Most experts believe that in May, the regulator will raise the interest rate above 5.0%, after which it will keep it at this level, and by the end of the year, it may begin to reduce the cost of borrowing again. Under the conditions, the comments of American officials are of particular interest. Thus, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank (FRB) of Atlanta, Rafael Bostic, noted that it is necessary to increase the rate again, after which it is worth stopping and assessing how quickly inflation returns to the target levels. The official added that the US economy remains strong, price increases are high, and there is a lot of work to be done in the fight against it. St. Louis Fed President, James Bullard, in an interview with Reuters, confirmed that monetary policy tightening could continue amid the release of recent economic data, as inflation is not declining and economic recovery is slow.
DXY brief gain to the resistance area 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the support area and channel support ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside, we can see more gain 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction ❌🧨
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
EURUSD falls by Fan Principle at Top pattern💣EURUSD is falling by Fan Principle at the top pattern; if the third line breaks down, expect EURUSD to reach the support line.
Since DXY will be bullish, there is a very high probability of completing Fan Principle at top pattern.👇
🔅Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY close to great daily support area 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the support area and channel support ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside, we can see more gain 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction ❌🧨
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
DXY: CBDC's Total Takeover? 🏛Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
For the past eight decades, the U.S. dollar has been the dominant global currency following the Second World War. It has been widely accepted worldwide, with only a few exceptions, and is commonly recognized by the image of Andrew Jackson and the seal of the U.S. Treasury, making it the most recognizable export of the United States.
The U.S. dollar became the reserve currency of the world following the Second World War, mainly because the United States was the dominant global economic and military power at the time. The Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944 also played a crucial role in establishing the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency. Under this agreement, other countries agreed to peg their currencies to the U.S. dollar, which was backed by gold. This made the U.S. dollar a stable and reliable currency for international transactions, leading to its widespread acceptance as a reserve currency. Additionally, the U.S. had a large trade surplus, making it easier for other countries to hold dollars as reserves to pay for U.S. goods and services.
The dominance of the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency has been a source of both admiration and resentment among other countries and superpowers. Many countries have benefited from the stability and liquidity that the U.S. dollar provides as a reserve currency, allowing them to conduct international trade and investments with greater ease. However, some countries have also experienced the negative effects of dollar dominance, such as the risk of currency fluctuations and the potential for U.S. monetary policy decisions to have spillover effects on their own economies.
The U.S. dollar was not only commonly used in international transactions but also widely held as a long-term store of value across the globe. Central banks worldwide held more U.S. dollars than any other currency. This resulted in low borrowing costs for Americans, which allowed middle-class people to buy homes. Furthermore, the U.S. government was able to incur significant debts without apparent consequences due to the dollar's global dominance. Americans may not have been aware of this situation, but it had a favorable impact on their daily lives. Occasionally, the Congress discussed the debt ceiling, but it seemed like an abstract topic that most people did not care about since America controlled the global reserve currency and could print U.S. dollars. This privilege made money cheap, and Americans enjoyed benefits that were not available to other countries. However, the thought of losing this dominance was too terrible to contemplate, and concerns began to arise around the time the Russian military entered Ukraine about a year ago. The consequences of such a loss would be dire, and it was a worrisome issue.
The Russian military's invasion of Ukraine was destabilizing, as wars typically are. However, it was the West's reaction to the invasion that raised concerns. U.S. policymakers, led by USA President Joe Biden and supported by Republican senators, seemed intent on not only toppling the Russian government but also disrupting the post-World War II economic order that had benefitted the U.S. for decades. The sanctions weren't expected to harm the U.S. economy more than the Russian economy. Russia's economy is not heavily reliant on financial services but on natural resources such as oil, gas, iron, and coal. Despite the sanctions imposed on Russia, its Ruble remains stable against the US dollar, which suggests that the sanctions did not have a significant long-term impact on Russia's economy. The seizure of Russia's central bank's dollar reserves was intended to collapse Russia's credit system and cause bank runs, but it didn't happen. The USA did not consider the dangers when using the dollar, the sign of security and unity, as a weapon. The result of this is unsurprising, many countries lost confidence in the dollar. And so, Russia, Brazil, Pakistan, India, Malaysia, France, China, and Saudi Arabia are conducting business in currencies other than the US dollar, such as the Chinese currency Yuan. This is happening at a fast pace and shutting out the US dollar, which is losing trust from other countries due to its use as a weapon and excessive printing, leading to inflation and currency devaluation.
💭Final Thoughts 💭
We look to history to speculate on the future. As the saying goes, history repeats itself.
During the First World War, the German government borrowed heavily to finance the war effort, resulting in a significant increase in national debt. The government continued to print money to pay for its expenses, which led to hyperinflation and a collapse of the German economy in the early 1920s. In 1923, the German mark was practically worthless, and people had to carry wheelbarrows of money to buy basic goods. This hyperinflation had a devastating effect on the German people, wiping out their savings and pensions and causing widespread poverty and social unrest. The situation stabilized when the German government introduced a new currency, the Rentenmark, backed by mortgages on agricultural and industrial land which restored some degree of confidence in the currency.
The German government basically inflated their currency due to excessive debt accumulated from war. The United States has a similar history with wars, relying on the reserve currency status to recover from the economic damage of these wars. However, considering the large economical impact of Russia and BRICS's contribution the the economy, it could be catastrophic due to the current state of the US economy.
The BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) are exploring the possibility of creating a new reserve currency as an alternative to the US dollar-dominated international financial system. The proposal was discussed at a virtual meeting of the BRICS finance ministers and central bank governors, with a goal to decrease the dependency on the US dollar and increase trade between member countries. However, no specific details were provided yet about the potential reserve currency. However, it's highly likely that this "new reserve" will be in digital form, as a CBDC (central bank digital currency).
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GBPUSD needs a break of at least ➖5%👇GBPUSD seems to have completed its impulse wave 5 🔴resistance zone($ 1.267-$ 1.24) 🔴 so that Regular Divergence(RD-) can be seen between the end of the main wave 3 and the main wave 5. And also, the main wave 3 is Extended.
When wave 3 is extended, wave 1 and wave 5 tend towards size equality 100% or 61.8% relation = In this example, exactly 61.8% has been met.✅
Another sign that we can confirm at the end of the main wave 5 is the formation of a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern in the resistance zone.
In addition, since the DXY index is expected to take an upward trend, then my expectation of GBPUSD falling can be reasonable.👇
So I expect GBPUSD to at least decline(➖5%) to the end of wave 4 (close to the 🟢support zone($ 1.183- $ 1.165)🟢).
🔅British Pound/ U.S.Dollar Analyze ( GBPUSD ), Daily time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.