DXY - testing the bottom, rebounding on news daysDXY: Yesterday's USD index re-tested the bottom area then rebounded. On the H4 frame, a set of reversal candles appeared, but this morning's session has a decreasing GAP, so in the short term, it is expected that DXY will test this support zone again and then may increase again. Ace can consider buying with USD today
Dxyindex
DXY Bearish Continuation PredictionDaily DXY Analysis
In the daily chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), we observe a potential continuation of the bearish trend. The price is currently around 104.875, having recently experienced a decline of 0.24%. This suggests a potential further decline in the index.
Technical Analysis:
Bearish Continuation: The chart shows a continuation of the bearish trend, with the price breaking below previous support levels.
Support and Resistance Levels: The next significant support level is around 100.764, which may act as a target for the ongoing downtrend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 43.04, indicating bearish momentum but not yet in oversold territory.
Price Prediction:
Based on the analysis, it is predicted that the DXY will continue its downward movement, potentially reaching the next support level at 100.764. This suggests a bearish outlook for the U.S. Dollar Index in the near term.
Disclaimer:
I am not a financial advisor, and these predictions should not be taken as financial advice.
DXY Weekly Market out look 6 July 2024Weekly: Price has closed bellow the W-FVG+ so we could anticipate the market will go down towards the W-SSL (103.996).
Weekly Bias: Bearish
Daily: The price has been created a D-MSS with a D-FVG-, so we could expect in the up coming week the price could retest the D-FVG- then go to wards down side.
Daily Bias Bearish.
Selling pressure on USD is increasing and in the current contextDXY: USD index today is maintaining below 105.20.
After consecutive drops beyond the support level, the USD is in a continuing downtrend
Investors should pay attention to protect profits with BUY positionsShows that selling pressure on USD is increasing and in the current context, information about the US is getting worse, causing the USD to weaken. Regarding technical factors. Because it has broken out of the uptrend zone, it is expected that the market will have a slight retest of the trend and then continue to decline. You can consider maintaining a sell watch with USD today.
Is the correction coming?If we analyze the current dynamics of TVC:DXY , there is a probability that in the third quarter of 2024 the index will come out of accumulation and reach the levels of 109.535 and 113.148.
Note that the growth of TVC:DXY is usually accompanied by a correction in the financial markets.
DXY: there will be a correction todayDXY: The USD index yesterday fell sharply, penetrating the support zone and creating a head and shoulders pattern that can be clearly observed in the H1 frame in the context of negative information focusing on the US yesterday. And the FOMC meeting somewhat supported the USD's adjustment, but not significantly. Regarding technical factors this morning, DXY tested the neckline again, so it is likely that USD will continue to decline today. Consider maintaining a short position with USD.
TWO POSSIBLE SETUPS ON THE $I currently see a very strong dollar, but is this a classic fueled movement or does it have some foundation?
According to my idea we could see a decline very soon. It could be followed by a rise before taking action, which is why I leave you two possible setups on the dollar.
Always use your head, this is not a copy and paste but reasoning to do together.
USD firm with decision from FedMarkets are awaiting a release of crucial US Final GDP data today, which is expected to tick up from an annualized rate of 1.3% to 1.4%.
A meaningfully higher or lower number might change expectations of when the Fed will begin rate cuts.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the next rate hike is expected in September this year.
In the Forex market, the Australian Dollar is the strongest major currency since the Tokyo open, while the US Dollar is the weakest.
However, it is worth noting that the US Dollar remains within a valid long-term bullish trend.
US New Home Sales data came in just a fraction below expectations yesterday.
The Governor of the Bank of England will be holding a press conference about the Financial Stability Report today.
There will be releases of Unemployment Claims and Pending Home Sales later today in the USA.
The USD price is still on the rise and solid when information about future bond interest rates increases. However, we do not rule out the case that the Fed will reduce inflation to stimulate employment and strengthen the economy. international
DXY:C has bearish GAP reactions amid election newsDXY: The USD index is having transient reactions withinside the establishing consultation of the week with GAP falling sharply in a touchy context because of election news. In phrases of technical factors, with this GAP pressure, it's far viable that the USD will witness a bigger correction that could increase the buildup variety to the 105.6 area. You can keep in mind quick promoting the USD today.
DXY moved into a narrow range but looks bullish**Monthly Chart**
DXY has been moving into a long-term range between 107 and 100 levels (round numbers) from January 2023. Last month candles closed lower after creating manipulation candles on monthly. This month's candle (currently active) tested the low of the previous two months and pushed higher with the NFP announcement last Friday. This moved DXY back into a narrow range.
Note: I don’t trade DXY but I use it as an indication when analyzing other currency pairs linked to USD.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week the DXY closed higher after testing the daily swing low and liquidity pool around 104 level. It closed as a weekly bullish key reversal (low test) candle pattern which indicates a move of the price will be bullish for next week. The next target will be around 106, followed by 107.34 levels.
**Daily Chart**
You can see the impact of NFP and Employment Change that created a massive bullish candle on Friday after testing the Imbalance price action (IPA) for the entire week near the previous daily low and liquidity pool. This candle is a new IPA that will need to be tested for liquidity again this week. I will be looking for a retracement towards at least 50% of this candle which will provide a second confirmation that the move for DXY will be bullish for the upcoming weeks.
This is another indication to look for selling opportunities for other currencies against the USD. Such as EURUSD, AUDUSD, and GBPUSD to go short for this week.
DXY: USD index still maintains bullish stanceDXY: The USD index yesterday received both good and bad news. Therefore, we see that the USD largely maintains a state of accumulation and adjustment. On the Daily frame, a fairly positive candlestick is formed around the 105.70 threshold. However, in today's session, DXY is at risk of a deeper correction to around the 105.50 - 106.00 area and maintains its accumulation state today. You can consider buying USD when DXY returns to the 105.5-105.6 area.
DXY increased in price abnormallySometimes, it’s not worth overcomplicating things.
While the (negative) correlation between real yields and gold has deteriorated in recent months, after-inflation interest rates remain one of the biggest factors driving the performance of the yellow metal.
With the benchmark US 10yr Treasury yield carving out a potential near-term bottom last week and rising to a two-week high today, gold accordingly topped out last week and has fallen to a two-week low. Now moving forward, the key level for bond and gold traders to watch will be the 4.31-2% level that has served as consistent support/resistance dating back to at least 2022. If yields can rally above that level, it could spur on another leg lower in gold prices.
DXY is strong when it releases 1-year bond yields, but this is just a temporary move when things are not going well for US data