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Dxylong

DXY Outlook: Bullish Move Fueled by Fundamentals & GeopoliticsTechnical Analysis (4H Chart & Broader Context) 📈🕓 The DXY 4H chart shows a clear bullish trend 🚀, with higher highs and higher lows since early July. DXY has caught a strong bid, breaking above short-term resistance near 98.40 and now eyeing the previous swing high 🎯. This matches the consensus among analysts: DXY remains in a bullish structure, with momentum supported by both technicals and macro factors. Key resistance: Next upside target is the previous high (around 99.60 on the chart), with further resistance at the psychological 100 level 🏁. Support: Immediate support at 98.20, then 97.60 🛡️. Momentum: Strong bullish candles and no major bearish reversal signals on the 4H. Some analysts note positioning is stretched, so a short-term pullback or consolidation is possible before more upside (IG). Fundamental Analysis 💹🌍 Why is DXY rallying? Fed Policy & US Data: The US economy is resilient 💪, with robust services data, strong retail sales, and a recent uptick in core inflation. The Fed is less dovish, with markets now expecting a slower pace of rate cuts 🏦. Interest Rate Differentials: The US keeps a yield advantage as the Fed is less aggressive in cutting rates compared to the ECB and BoJ, especially with Europe and Japan facing weaker growth and possible further easing 🌐. Geopolitical Factors: Ongoing trade tensions (Trump’s tariff threats) and global uncertainty (including Middle East risks) are driving safe-haven flows into the dollar 🛡️🌏. DXY typically strengthens during periods of geopolitical stress. Positioning: CFTC data shows USD long positioning at multi-month highs, which could mean the market is crowded and vulnerable to short-term corrections ⚠️ (IG). Trade Idea (Bullish Bias, Targeting Previous High) 💡💵 Setup: Bias: Bullish, in line with the prevailing trend and macro backdrop 🟢. Entry: Consider buying on a minor pullback to the 98.20–98.40 support zone, or on a confirmed breakout above the recent high 🛒. Target: Previous swing high near 99.60, with a stretch target at 100.00 🎯. Stop: Below 97.60 (recent swing low/support) ⛔. Risk Factors: Overbought positioning could trigger a short-term pullback ⚠️. Any dovish surprise from the Fed or rapid de-escalation in global tensions could cap further gains 🕊️. In summary: The DXY’s bullish trend is underpinned by resilient US data, a hawkish Fed, and global risk aversion. Your bullish bias is well-supported, with the previous high as a logical target. Watch for short-term pullbacks, but the broader trend remains up unless key support is lost. 🚦
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by fxtraderanthony
DXY Potential Bullish Reversal – Target 99.456 DXY Potential Bullish Reversal – Target 99.456 🎯 Technical Analysis Overview: 🔹 Trend Structure: The chart illustrates a recent downtrend, which has been broken as price moved above the descending trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal. 🔹 Pattern Insight: A bullish harmonic pattern is visible (possibly a bullish Bat or Gartley), with the price reacting from the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), aligning with key support near 96.500. The market has respected this zone multiple times, evident from the orange highlighted circles showing price rejections. 🔹 Support & Resistance: Support Zone: ~96.500 Breakout Zone: ~96.985 (current consolidation near this resistance) Target Zone: Marked at 99.456, which aligns with previous structure and fib projection. 🔹 Market Sentiment: Price is consolidating after breaking the downtrend, forming a bullish rectangle (accumulation). The green arrows indicate bullish intent from buyers defending support levels. 🔹 Price Action Signal: Formation of higher lows. Break of structure and close above previous highs. Possible breakout pending above consolidation box. 📊 Conclusion: DXY shows bullish potential as it builds a base around strong support. A confirmed breakout above the rectangle could fuel a rally toward 99.456. Keep an eye on volume and confirmation candles for entry. ✅
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
DXY (Dollar Index) longs to shortsThe dollar has been bearish for several weeks, but we’re now starting to see signs of a potential retracement due to price being in oversold territory. Last week, DXY reacted from a key weekly demand level, suggesting that we could see some short-term bullish movement before any continuation to the downside. I’ll be watching closely for price to either push higher into liquidity or retrace slightly deeper into more discounted demand zones for a cleaner long setup. This would also align with my short setups across other major pairs, making DXY strength a key narrative this week. Confluences for DXY Longs: DXY has been bearish for an extended period — now showing signs of accumulation on higher timeframes Price may retrace upwards to collect liquidity before continuing its macro downtrend Recently reacted from a major weekly demand zone Imbalances and liquidity above, including Asia highs, remain untapped P.S. If price fails to react from any of my current POIs, I’ll patiently wait for new zones to develop and adjust accordingly — always staying aligned with what price tells us. Let’s stay sharp and crush the week ahead!
TVC:DXYLong
by Hassan_fx
DXY Bullish Reversal Setup Toward 98.20 Target Entry Point Marked at: ~97.200 The price has already reacted multiple times around this level, suggesting it's a key support zone. 🛑 Stop Loss Placed at: ~96.930 Just below the support zone, protecting against a breakdown below recent lows. This implies a risk of about 27 pips from the entry. 🎯 Target Point (TP) Marked at: ~98.201 Strong resistance zone from previous price action. Target implies a potential reward of 100+ pips, offering a risk-reward ratio (RRR) of ~3.7:1, which is favorable. 📊 Resistance Area Around 97.419–97.465 This is the first obstacle the price must break through to confirm bullish continuation. The 200 EMA (blue curve) is currently acting as dynamic resistance, aligning near this zone. 📉 Indicators Moving Averages: Red: Likely 50 EMA Blue: Likely 200 EMA Price is currently below both EMAs — so trend is still bearish, but trying to shift. 📌 Strategy Insight The setup anticipates a bullish reversal from 97.200, aiming for a breakout above the 200 EMA and resistance to reach the 98.201 zone. For confirmation, watch for a strong bullish candle close above 97.465, which would validate upside continuation. ⚠️ Risks Price is still under both moving averages → downward momentum may persist. If support at 97.00 breaks, downside acceleration could occur. ✅ Conclusion: This is a bullish breakout setup on DXY with: Defined entry and stop-loss. Clear target. High RRR. But it’s crucial to wait for confirmation above resistance (97.465) before full conviction on the long trade.
TVC:DXY
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
16
Make Dollar Great AgainDXY Big Picture While looking at other DXY charts to use a clean chart for HTF, I saw that it touched historical trend support. It didn't touch only on the TVC chart, so I am adding it with the other charts and accepting that it touched the trend. According to the fractal I added in August last year, the price is moving very well. I expect a correction from these areas. I think we have reached the reversal areas due to both the momentum in the declines and the oversold. The decline fatigue I mentioned is more evident in LTF charts. The price cannot reach the EQ zone of the decline channel that has been going on since February on the daily chart. Although it is a very inclined channel on the 4h chart, it can no longer reach the channel bottom. For this reason, I think this region is where reversal should be sought. After the first 0.38 of this decline, I think a pullback to 0.5 is possible.
TICKMILL:DXYLong
by mooniron
DXY Bullish Reversal & Cup Formation The DXY (US Dollar Index) is exhibiting a strong bullish reversal pattern, with multiple technical signals suggesting upward momentum: 🔍 Technical Analysis Summary: ✅ Support Holding Strong: Price has respected the horizontal support zone around 98.00–98.50 on multiple occasions (highlighted by orange circles and green arrows), forming a solid base. ✅ Breakout from Downtrend: A clear breakout above two descending trendlines (black and blue) indicates a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. ✅ Cup Pattern Formation ☕: A textbook Cup pattern is visible, where price formed a rounded bottom — a bullish continuation formation. The handle is minor and price has broken above the neckline (around 99.00), signaling a potential continuation toward the target. ✅ Bullish Target 🎯: Based on the cup pattern and prior resistance, the projected target is around 101.846, aligning with previous major resistance. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Support Zone: 98.00 – 98.50 Immediate Resistance: 99.50 – 100.00 Major Resistance/Target: 101.846 🧭 Outlook: As long as the price remains above the 98.50 zone, the bullish scenario remains intact. The cup breakout indicates strong buying pressure, and momentum could push DXY toward the 101.846 target in the coming sessions.
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
DXY: US dollar To Drop Further Around 95?The US dollar has been steadily declining since the new president was elected in the USA. This decline has been accompanied by the ongoing trade wars. Numerous economic indicators have supported this trend, and we anticipate further depreciation in the coming days or weeks. Before trading, it’s essential to conduct your own analysis and gain a comprehensive understanding of the market. We wish you the best of success in trading. Good luck and trade safely. Like and comment for more, and as always, happy trading! Team Setupsfx_
TVC:DXYShort
by Setupsfx_
4
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 98.91 1st Support: 98.36 1st Resistance: 99.60 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
1
DXY 4H Breakout? Bulls Eye Momentum Shift!Hey There; The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) appears to have reached a critical turning point from a technical analysis perspective. According to Elliott Wave Theory, following a five-wave downtrend, the AB corrective wave has been completed, and a bullish movement towards the C wave is emerging. This scenario could signal a transition from a bearish market to a bullish one. Technical Outlook: - A move towards 104.460 on the DXY may indicate that the market is entering a strong recovery phase. - The completion of the AB corrective wave suggests that buyers are stepping in, driving upward momentum in price action. - The C wave typically retraces a portion of the prior decline, creating potential for a higher price level. Macroeconomic Factors: - U.S. monetary policy and inflation data remain key determinants of the dollar index’s trajectory. - Increased global risk appetite may bolster the dollar’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. - U.S. Treasury yields could provide additional support for DXY’s upward movement. If DXY successfully reaches 104.460, this could confirm a shift into a bullish trend. However, the strength and sustainability of the C wave will depend on supportive volume and momentum indicators. The interplay between technical and fundamental factors could drive a solid recovery in the dollar index. Should this scenario unfold, it may mark the beginning of a renewed period of dollar strength against global currencies. However, market dynamics and macroeconomic developments must be monitored closely to validate this outlook. Guys, every single like from you is my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing my analysis. A huge thank you to everyone who supports me with their likes!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by TraderTilki
1
DXY Technical Outlook – Strong Support Test and Bullish Reversa Chart Summary The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) chart illustrates a significant technical structure between strong historical support and resistance zones, with potential for a bullish reversal after a key level retest. 🟢 Key Support Zone: 99.000 – 98.000 📍 Labeled as "STRONG SUPPORT", this zone has held multiple times: Previous bounce: Early 2023 ✅ Mid-2024 rebound ✅ Current price action once again shows a reaction from this level with a bullish candle forming 🔥 📌 EMA Confluence: The 200 EMA (blue) sits at 102.401 The 50 EMA (red) at 103.725 Price is currently below both EMAs but near the 200 EMA, suggesting potential for a mean reversion bounce 📈 🔴 Resistance Zones to Watch: Resistance Zone: 109.000 – 110.000 ⛔ Historically rejected in late 2023 and again in early 2025 🧱 Acting as a supply zone — watch for rejection or breakout ATH Supply Zone: 113.000 – 114.000 🚨 This is a major psychological and technical barrier 🫡 Marked as “NEW ATH” – would need strong momentum and fundamentals for a breakout above this level 📈 Price Action Expectations: With strong support respected again, a bullish reversal toward 109.000 – 110.000 appears likely (as illustrated by the arrow). If momentum continues, a retest of ATH zone is on the cards 🔭 However, a failure to hold support could lead to breakdown below 98.000 – watch closely 🔍 🧭 Strategic Insight Bullish Bias while above support (98.000 zone) Reversal Confirmation needed above 102.401 (200 EMA) and 103.725 (50 EMA) Watch for rejection near 110.000 resistance before ATH test 📌 Final Note: 🧊 World Eyes on this Level – As highlighted on the chart, the current support area is under global observation, reinforcing its importance. 🕵️‍♂️ Stay alert for breakout volume and fundamental catalysts (e.g., Fed decisions, CPI, jobs data).
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
26
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Bullish Reversal Setup – 1H Chart Analy ENTRY POINT: 100.005 → This is the area where the trade is suggested to enter long (buy). 🟥 STOP LOSS: Around 99.307 → Placed below strong support to manage risk. 🟦 SUPPORT ZONE: 99.776 - 99.307 → Strong historical demand zone, price has bounced from here before. 🟪 BREAKOUT ZONE: Near 100.5 → If price breaks the trendline here, it may trigger bullish momentum. 🎯 TARGET POINT: 103.096 → This is the take profit zone (blue box) with a potential gain of +3.29%. 📊 Trade Setup Summary: ✅ Buy Setup: Price approaching support zone, forming a potential reversal. ⚠️ Watch for breakout: Above the trendline to confirm bullish move. ✨ Great Risk-to-Reward: Small risk (tight stop), big reward.
TVC:DXYLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
12