The impact of tariffs on the DXYIn the long term, the imposition of tariffs will trigger countermeasures from trading partners 😡, leading to a shrinkage of the global trade scale 😔. The import costs of raw materials for American enterprises will rise, and their export markets will be restricted, which will curb the economic growth of the United States 😩. This will exert depreciation pressure on the US dollar, causing the DXY to decline 📉.
U.S. Tariff Policies
Since April 9th, the United States has imposed tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions, covering key sectors such as automobiles, steel, and semiconductors.😒
Countermeasures of Various Countries
China: On April 4th, China announced that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. On April 9th, the tariff rate was further increased to 84%, covering all U.S. goods.😠
The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods starting from May 16th.😤
Canada: Imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles on April 9th, but exempted auto parts.😏
This upward movement has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟.
💰💰💰 DXY 💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@103 - 100
🎯 TP 96 - 94
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
Dxylong
US DOLLAR at Key Support: Will Price Rebound to 103.000TVC:DXY is currently approaching an important support zone, an area where the price has previously shown bullish reactions. This level aligns closely with the psychological $100 , which tends to have strong market attention.
The recent momentum suggests that buyers could step in and drive the price higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the probability of a bounce from this level. If I'm right and buyers regain control, the price could move toward the 103.00 level.
However, a breakout below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially leading to more even more downside.
This is not financial advice!
US DOLLAR at Key Support: Will Price Rebound to 103.350?TVC:DXY is currently testing a key support zone, an area where the price has previously shown strong bullish reactions. The recent price action suggests that buyers may step in and drive the price higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the probability of a bounce from this level. If buyers regain control, the price could move toward the 103.350 level.
However, a breakout below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially opening the door for further downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
"DXY/Dollar Index" Bull Money Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (104.100) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (103.500) Scalping/Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 105.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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"DXY/Dollar Index" Indices Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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DXY:Expect an uptrend based on the daily chart supportOn Tuesday, the price of the U.S. Dollar Index generally fluctuated in a range. The price reached a daily high of 104.345, a low of 103.99, and closed at 104.19.
Looking back at the performance of the U.S. Dollar Index on Tuesday, after the morning opening, the price initially fell under short-term pressure. Subsequently, it halted its decline and resumed its upward movement above the daily support level, but the overall range was limited. The price rose in a volatile manner, and finally closed with a bullish doji.
From a weekly perspective, continue to focus on the 106.60 level, which is a key level for the medium-term trend. Below this level, the medium-term trend is bearish, and the price increase is temporarily regarded as a correction within the medium-term decline.
Meanwhile, from a daily perspective, temporarily pay attention to the 103.90 level, which is crucial for the wave trend. Above this level, adopt a bullish stance for the wave trend. Also, on the four-hour chart, temporarily focus on the support at the 104.10 area. Therefore, before the price breaks below the low of Monday, bet on an upward movement based on the daily support. Only after a downward break will the trend turn bearish.
Currently, there is a lot of news, so everyone must be cautious of market risks.
Trading Strategy:
buy@103.90-104
TP:104.50-104.80
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DXY:Today's Trading StrategyTrump signed an executive order announcing a 25% tariff on all imported cars, aiming to force the return of many automotive manufacturing and related industries through the "tariff stick." However, the actual situation is more complex. Currently, there are significant issues within the US domestic industrial chain system, with declining quality and craftsmanship, failing to meet the needs of many automotive manufacturing enterprises. As a result, this measure is unlikely to achieve the desired effect and may even harm the US itself. The US Dollar Index is the first to bear the brunt. Upon the market's confirmation that Trump has officially signed the order and tariffs will be imposed, the pressure on the US Dollar Index suddenly emerged, squandering the hard-earned advantages accumulated yesterday. This led to a sharp decline in the US Dollar Index early today.
Regarding today's trading strategy, it is recommended to adopt a trading approach based on the market's oscillatory trend. One can seize the opportunity to sell the US Dollar Index short at highs and buy non-US currencies at lows, as the current market demand indicates that the US Dollar Index cannot truly rise, nor will it experience a significant decline for now. Therefore, it is advisable to find opportunities to sell the US Dollar Index short at highs during the market's oscillation.
Trading strategy:
buy@103.70-103.80
TP:104.50-105.00
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DXY:Pay attention to the retest of the daily chart supportOn Tuesday, the price of the US Dollar Index generally declined. The intraday price peaked at 104.444, bottomed out at 103.917, and closed at 104.189.
From the perspective of the daily chart, the level of 103.80 below serves as a crucial watershed for the wave trend. As long as the price remains above this level, a short-term bullish position is advisable for the time being. Meanwhile, the short-term support of the four-hour chart is in the 104.10 area. Currently, the price in the short term is fluctuating and is likely to continue to retest the support area of the daily chart. Therefore, in trading operations, focus on the support of the daily chart and anticipate an upward movement.
Trading strategy:
buy@103.70-103.80
TP:104.50-105.00
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DXY:Maintain a long position above the daily line supportOn Monday, the price of the US Dollar Index generally showed an upward trend. On that day, the price rose to a maximum of 104.422, dropped to a minimum of 103.814, and closed at 104.285. Looking back at the price performance on Monday, after the opening in the morning, the price initially came under pressure and declined in the short term.
Subsequently, when the price reached the 103.80-90 area, it stopped falling and then started to rise, and finally closed with a large bullish candlestick on the daily chart. Currently, since the retracement and rally on Monday have provided confirmation, if the price remains above the 103.80 level in the subsequent period, a swing long position can be taken.
In the short term, on the four-hour chart, attention should be temporarily paid to the support in the range of 104.00-104.10. After the price reaches this level in the future, further upward movement should be observed. In the short term, attention should be paid to the resistance in the area of 104.50-104.90 on the upside.
Trading strategy:
buy@104.00-104.10
TP:104.50-104.90
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$DXY IdeiaFor the DXY, we expect the week to remain bullish, driven by the ongoing correction after a significant price drop. Our expectation is that the upward movement will extend to the weekly key level premium.
This bullish outlook is reinforced by several factors. First, we observed a bottom SMT with GU, followed by a market structure break on the daily chart. Additionally, the H4 timeframe has shown continuation purges, where lows are rejected, indicating buying strength. Finally, we identified a bearish SMT in bond yields, providing a strong indication that we are following the correct direction.
DXY Update – Two Possible Scenarios! 📢 DXY Update – Two Possible Scenarios! 📢
1️⃣ Bearish Scenario: Looking for sell from the Bearish OB 🎯
2️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If price doesn’t reach the Bearish OB, we shift focus to the Bullish OB for a potential buy ✅
📌 Waiting for price to approach key zones & using confirmations for entry!
📊 Stay updated with our latest analysis – Follow our TradingView page! 🚀
$DXY IdeaFor the DXY, on the monthly chart, we remain in a consolidation bias, as the price is trapped within a range formed by two FVGs. However, when analyzing the yearly candles, we notice a macro bearish bias, since the 2025 candle has swept the 2024 high and is now targeting the annual lows.
Since we trade intraday, it is essential to analyze other timeframes to confirm a trading bias. On the weekly chart, we observe that last week's candle swept the previous week's low and closed within the range, indicating a potential correction. This makes sense, as the DXY has extended significantly in recent weeks and is currently discounted, which may lead the price to a premium zone before resuming its downtrend, in line with our macro bias.
Additionally, based on the economic calendar, there is a possibility that the weekly low will be formed on Monday, which could create an opportunity for a counter-trend trade at the beginning of the week. However, this type of trade carries high risk, requiring caution and confirmation before entry.
For this week, we are looking for bullish opportunities up to equilibrium or until the price shows resistance to continue rising. However, this initial outlook will only be confirmed as price action develops throughout the week.
It is also important to note that this will be a challenging week, due to a lack of significant news events and a Federal Reserve speech on interest rates, which could significantly impact the market and increase volatility.
DXY (Dollar Index) Ready to BUY? | Monthly FVG in Focus! 💰 Smart Money Preparing for a Bullish Move on DXY!
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching a key Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could act as a strong demand zone. If price reaches this level, we will look for confirmation on lower timeframes (H4/M15) before entering buys.
🔍 Why is this Important?
✅ Monthly FVG as a High-Probability Buy Zone
✅ Institutional Order Flow Aligning for a Bullish Reversal
✅ Strong Demand Expected at FVG
✅ DXY Strength = Bearish Pressure on Gold & Majors
📊 Key Market Levels:
🔹 Monthly FVG Buy Zone:
🔹 First Target:
🔹 Breakout Confirmation Above:
🔹 Invalidation Below:
⚡ Trading Plan:
📌 Wait for price to reach the Monthly FVG
📌 Look for Bullish Confirmation on H4/M15 (BOS, CHoCH, Liquidity Grab)
📌 Enter Buys Once Institutional Reversal is Confirmed
📌 Manage Risk – Watch CPI & FOMC Events
💥 Stronger DXY = Weak Gold & Bearish Pressure on Majors!
💬 Are you buying DXY at the Monthly FVG? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#DXY #DollarIndex #Forex #SmartMoney #ICT #SMC #Liquidity #TradingView #OrderFlow
US DOLLAR Approaching Key Support – Will Buyers Step In?TVC:DXY is approaching a key support level, highlighted by strong buying interest. This area aligns with a trendline support level, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in.
If the price confirms support within this zone through bullish price action—such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing candles—we could see a reversal toward 106.200, a logical target based on previous market structure and price behavior.
However, if the price breaks below this support zone and sustains, the bullish outlook would be invalidated, potentially leading to further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
U.S. Dollar IndexHello Dear Traders
This is the updated analysis of the DXY chart. Last week, I explained its bullish trend to you, and this week I was waiting for the necessary confirmations for entry based on last week’s analysis. With this 1-hour confirmation, we can say that this chart has fully turned bullish, and the targets remain as stated in the previous analysis.
Therefore, we can consider sell entries on the Euro, Pound, Australian Dollar, and New Zealand Dollar, while conversely, we can enter buy positions on the Japanese Yen, Canadian Dollar, and Swiss Franc.
Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
DXY|LONG SETUPHello, I hope you have a great week ahead. This is my outlook for the Dollar Index, and please feel free to leave your comments and share your own perspective with me.
Initially, on the lower timeframes, I expect a rise to the 108.570 level and a potential breakout into this resistance zone. Afterward, I anticipate a drop to 105.888, which could mark the start of a sharp upward trend from this level. This is just my analysis, not a signal.
Short AUDUSD The Perfect Storm: Stagflation, GeopoliticsIn a world increasingly defined by geopolitical volatility and economic uncertainty, a perfect storm is brewing, casting a long shadow over the Australian dollar. The confluence of persistent stagflationary pressures, escalating trade tensions, and a resurgent U.S. dollar is creating a formidable headwind for the AUDUSD pair. This article delves into the intricate web of factors driving this bearish sentiment, offering a comprehensive analysis for macro traders and financial viewers seeking clarity amidst market turbulence.
The Stagflationary Grip: A Global Economic Quagmire
The global economic landscape is ensnared in a precarious dance between "sticky" inflation and a palpable slowdown. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) remains stubbornly elevated, while Producer Price Index (PPI) figures signal continued upward pressure on consumer prices. This persistent inflation, coupled with a weakening housing market, declining consumer confidence, and a sharp contraction in global trade activity (as evidenced by the plummeting Shanghai and China Containerized Freight Indices), paints a stark picture of a "Stagflationary Weakness."
www.census.gov
The Federal Reserve finds itself trapped between a rock and a hard place, grappling with the unenviable task of taming inflation while averting a looming recession. Policy missteps are increasingly probable, further amplifying market anxieties.
Geopolitical Fault Lines and Trade Wars: Fueling the Fire
Adding to the economic woes are escalating geopolitical tensions and trade disputes. The contentious US-Ukraine situation, heightened US-China strategic competition (including technology decoupling and potential military tensions in the South China Sea), and the ever-present threat of cyberattacks are creating an environment of heightened risk aversion.
President Trump's aggressive tariff policies, targeting Canada, Mexico, and China, have ignited fears of retaliatory measures and further disruptions to global trade flows. The market's reaction has been swift and decisive, with the S&P 500 experiencing consecutive weekly declines, reflecting growing investor unease.
The AUDUSD Under Siege: A Technical and Fundamental Breakdown
Against this backdrop, the AUDUSD pair is experiencing a decisive bearish breakdown. The U.S. dollar (DXY), fueled by its safe-haven appeal and the prevailing risk-off sentiment, is exhibiting robust strength, targeting 109.900. This dollar resurgence is exerting significant downward pressure on the risk-sensitive Australian dollar.
Gaining Traction Amidst Global Uncertainty
The AUDUSD has decisively breached the critical 0.64000 level, signaling a clear shift in market sentiment. While rising commodity prices, particularly in energy, have historically provided support for the AUD, the current environment is unique. Geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties are overshadowing the positive impact of rising commodity prices.
Technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), confirm the bearish momentum. The 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages are all trending downwards, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Key Support Zone and Outlook:
We have identified a key support zone between 0.61435 and 0.60838. This zone represents a potential area of consolidation or a temporary pause in the downtrend. However, given the strong bearish momentum and the prevailing fundamental factors, we anticipate a continued downward trajectory.
Impact of Strong Dollar and Risk Aversion"
Traders should closely monitor the DXY and global risk sentiment for further confirmation of the bearish trend. Any sustained break of the 0.64000 level would confirm the current outlook.
The AUDUSD pair is currently navigating a perfect storm of stagflationary pressures, geopolitical risks, and a resurgent U.S. dollar. This confluence of factors has created a compelling bearish outlook, with technical indicators and fundamental analysis aligning to support continued downward momentum.
In this environment, vigilance and a deep understanding of the global macroeconomic landscape are paramount. Traders must remain attuned to the evolving geopolitical and economic narratives, adapting their strategies to navigate the turbulent waters of the current market. FX:AUDUSD CAPITALCOM:DXY
#DXY 4HDXY (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bullish reversal pattern. This suggests that the downtrend is losing momentum, and a potential upward move could follow if the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price confirms a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, signaling increased bullish pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a confirmed breakout above the wedge resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the recent swing low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The falling wedge suggests potential bullish momentum. A confirmed breakout with strong price action can provide better validation for the buy setup.
U.S. Dollar IndexU.S. Dollar Index - Daily
Dear traders,
I sincerely apologize for my absence during this time; I have lost my father, who has passed away. I have not been well over the past two weeks, and I regret not being able to provide an analysis.
DXY Chart Update
I have updated the DXY chart and present it to you now. We know that in smart money analysis, it shows us the primary market trend structure, and by mapping the daily structure, it indicates that this chart is in an upward trend. Currently, we are looking for suitable areas to buy the dollar.
Confirmation of Major High and Market Movements
After confirming the major high with the price reaching the first standard pullback, which I indicated on the chart with IDM, and ultimately reaching the Decisional Order Block, we experienced a good upward move together with a proper buy. However, unfortunately, our major high was not broken, and the market pursued a downward phase towards the IFC Candles.
Current Status and Key Levels
Now, at the beginning of this week, with the price reaching this important IFC block and receiving confirmation in the 4-hour timeframe, we can set our target at the important resistance level of 109.533, which I have designated as my first target. Additionally, there is a 4-hour resistance at the price of 107.182 that should be closely monitored.
Based on this dollar chart, this week we can look to sell euros, pounds, Australian dollars, and New Zealand dollars while buying Japanese yen, Canadian dollars, and Swiss francs. However, it is essential that we also examine other charts and find entry points on those charts as well. My focus this week is on buying the dollar and selling other currencies. I will be updating the entry points for the other charts today and sharing them in my channel.
Fundamental News
In his latest speech, Jerome Powell, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, emphasized the continuation of contractionary policies to control inflation and mentioned the ongoing strengthening of the dollar. He highlighted positive signs in the U.S. economic growth, which increases the likelihood of a rise in the dollar's value this week.
Source: Jerome Powell's speech at the Federal Reserve meeting, February 2025.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
DXY Week of 23 Feb 25: BullishFollowing the previous post, 24 Feb 25 may be the start of the bullish rally for DXY.
Possible Wyckoff Re-accumulation pattern
Falling Wedge hints bullish reversal
Liquidity Zone established
Plan to Long DXY and target for recent high, and stop loss at recent low. About 2.45 Reward:Risk Ratio
Trade Idea for U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Feb 19, 2025📌 Current Market Context
DXY is trading at 107.023 , slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (106.344).
This level is a key golden ratio support, where strong reversals often happen.
The uptrend from Sept 2024 suggests that bulls are still in control unless this retracement turns into a full reversal.
📈 Bullish Trade Idea (Buy Setup)
✅ Entry: Look for bullish price action (rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or a strong bounce) near 106.344 - 106.500 .
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 108.035 (78.6% Fib)
Target 2 : 110.189 (previous high)
📍 Stop-Loss: Below 105.800 (just under 61.8% retracement to avoid stop hunts).
📊 Risk/Reward: ~1:2 or better.
📉 Bearish Trade Idea (Sell Setup)
❌ Trigger: If DXY closes below 106.344 on a daily candle , it could signal further downside.
📉 Entry: Sell below 106.200 after confirmation.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 105.156 (50% Fib)
Target 2 : 103.968 (38.2% Fib)
📍 Stop-Loss: Above 107.000 (to avoid fakeouts).
📊 Risk/Reward: 1:2 minimum.
🛠️ Risk Management Notes
Watch for fundamental news (FOMC, inflation data, rate decisions) that could cause volatility.
Use partial take profits to secure gains along the way.
If entering a buy trade, consider trailing stops once price reaches 108.035.