Dollar Breaks above a 2023 HighThe US dollar index remains bullish as the price closes above the 105.883, 2023 high. The bias will likely draw the market towards the 21 November 2022 high, at 107.993, buy-side Liquidity. The 11-month high coincides with a weekly Fair Value Gap. The uncertainty of the US government shutdown will trigger risk aversion along the seasonal shifts as 3rd quarter comes to a close.
Dxylong
"DXY's Upward Trajectory Amid September Caution"In the upcoming week, my optimism remains steadfast. The DXY continues to exhibit an upward trajectory, with its target poised in that direction. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) formation on a higher time frame solidifies my conviction in the DXY's potential for further up move. However, a measure of caution stems as approaching month of September. It's worth noting that historical DXY seasonality contradicts the current chart dynamics.
My focus will be keenly set on the upcoming week, particularly post Wednesday. The release of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) news will undoubtedly steer market sentiments, presenting us with intriguing opportunities. To me, Tuesday and Wednesday hold significance, as these days dedicated to capitalize on potential market moves. In case the circumstances do not align favorably, I will sit and wait for good opportunity
DXY Analysis - Weekly Timeframe (ICT)How convenient it was to stop right at the descending trendline for the week. In my eyes, this is giving time for traders to formulate their "predictions" on where DXY is going to go. I expect some funny business to happen to shake out any support & resistance, as well as breakout traders, culminating with an explosive movement to the upside.
I really like the Weekly Bearish Breaker Block residing above as a point of interest for trades, which may take a while to get there. I will also be observing how price moves towards that area, if it even does.
Next week, keep your guard up. Don't take the bait. Wait for the sheep to get slaughtered, and once you see that already come to past on the charts, that is the time to strike.
AUD/USD clean 4H Technical setupAUDUSD currently has a score of -10, or a Strong Sell rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theAUD has a long percentage of 35.19%, and we see that the USD has a long percentage of 69.73%. This category receives a -2, as institutional traders favor the USD.
Taking a look at AUDUSD, we see that retail traders are 88% long, and 12% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theAUDUSD gets a reading of -1 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa.
Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of -1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to fall during this month.
Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of -2.
Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the USD, inflation favors the USD, unemployment favors the USD and interest rates favor the USD
Check my other USD ideas in mmy profile and follow for more!
Celebrating the Soaring US Dollar and Its Impact on Oil and the The US dollar has been on an impressive rise, leading to a remarkable domino effect on the oil market while simultaneously lowering the Euro. Let's dive into the details and explore the exciting opportunities this presents for all of us!
First and foremost, let's celebrate the recent surge in the US dollar. This upward trajectory has been fueled by a combination of robust economic indicators, positive investor sentiment, and the Federal Reserve's commitment to maintaining a stable currency. As traders, we understand the significance of a strong US dollar, and it's time to capitalize on this favorable trend!
The rising US dollar has an immediate impact on the oil market, as it becomes more expensive for countries with weaker currencies to purchase oil. This translates into increased demand for the US dollar in oil transactions, further driving up its value. So, let's keep an eye on the oil market and identify potential trading opportunities that can be leveraged to our advantage.
Simultaneously, the Euro has experienced a decline against the US dollar. This can be attributed to various factors, including economic uncertainties, political developments, and the divergence in monetary policies between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve. As traders, we can seize this opportunity to capitalize on the Euro's weakness and further strengthen our positions in the US dollar.
Now, let's move on to the call-to-action! I encourage each and every one of you to continue to long the US dollar, as it shows no signs of slowing down. By strategically aligning our trading decisions with this ongoing trend, we can maximize our profits and achieve extraordinary success in the currency markets.
Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and the current market conditions are ripe for us to make a significant impact. Stay informed, keep a close eye on the latest economic news, and utilize the tools at our disposal to make well-informed trading decisions.
As always, I am here to support and guide you on this exciting journey. If you have any questions, need assistance, or simply want to share your success stories, please don't hesitate to comment. Let's make the most of this golden opportunity and continue to thrive in the world of trading!
Wishing you fruitful trades and abundant profits!
DXY| 1H AM BULISH TILL PRICE HITS 106.0Dollar index is providing us bullish patterns that gives clues that the trend will continue till we hit 106.00 strong key level aka three touch pattern completion of HTF, where we could expect some reaction to the downside, though it seems that the dollar is strong fundementaly and trend wiae that could lead to provide fresh ATH. anyways lets take advantage of the bull run.
let me noww what you thinkin comment section, like& share
thanks
DXY| 1H IS STRUGGLING TO HIT 105.00 OR DROP TO 104.00Dollar index showing price correctively moving to climb tops at least until it hits 105.00, but it also goback to test 104.00 demand zone area to take fuel for its journey.am bullish but am also know that there a chance for downside.
let me know what you thinkin comments, like and share
thansk
Dollar Under Pressure as Japan and China Defend Their CurrencyIntroduction:
In recent times, the US dollar has faced increasing challenges as both Japan and China take measures to defend their respective currencies. This shift in global dynamics has raised concerns among traders and investors who heavily rely on the US dollar as their primary asset. However, this situation also presents an opportunity for us to reassess our investment strategies and consider diversifying our portfolios. In this article, we delve into the current state of the US dollar, the actions taken by Japan and China, and why it's time to consider allocating less to the US dollar.
The US Dollar's Vulnerability:
For decades, the US dollar has held its position as the world's primary reserve currency. However, recent economic developments have put pressure on its supremacy. Japan and China, two of the largest economies globally, have taken proactive steps to defend their currencies, challenging the US dollar's dominance. Japan's commitment to maintaining a weaker yen and China's efforts to stabilize the renminbi have created a more balanced global currency landscape.
The Rise of Japan and China:
Both Japan and China have demonstrated their determination to protect their currencies. Japan's monetary policies, such as negative interest rates and quantitative easing, have contributed to a weaker yen, boosting its export competitiveness. China, on the other hand, has implemented measures to stabilize the renminbi, preventing excessive depreciation and promoting stability in international trade.
The Benefits of Diversification:
While the US dollar remains a significant player in the global economy, recent events highlight the importance of diversifying our investment portfolios. Allocating less to the US dollar and exploring alternative currencies can provide numerous benefits, including:
1. Reduced Risk: Diversification allows us to spread risk across different currencies and economies, mitigating the impact of any potential downturn in the US dollar.
2. Increased Opportunities: By diversifying, we gain exposure to emerging markets and currencies that may offer higher growth potential, providing us with new investment opportunities.
3. Enhanced Resilience: A diversified portfolio is more resilient in the face of currency fluctuations, economic uncertainties, or geopolitical events, ensuring our investments remain stable over the long term.
4. Improved Returns: Diversification helps us capture the potential gains from different currencies, reducing the reliance on a single currency's performance.
Call-to-Action: Embrace Diversification Today!
As traders, we have the power to adapt to changing market conditions and seize opportunities when they arise. The current scenario, with Japan and China defending their currencies, presents an ideal moment to reassess our investment strategies and allocate less to the US dollar.
Consider exploring alternative currencies such as the yen or renminbi, which offer potential benefits and diversification advantages. Additionally, explore other investment avenues like emerging markets or commodities, which can further enhance the resilience and growth potential of your portfolio.
In conclusion, let us embrace this shift in global dynamics as an opportunity to diversify our portfolios, reducing our reliance on the US dollar. By embracing diversification, we position ourselves for greater resilience, increased opportunities, and improved returns. Now is the time to act and adapt our investment strategies to navigate the evolving global currency landscape successfully.
DXY| 4H structure looks solid and looking the trend to resume.Dollar has been strong for while and now that it has filled and taken out Wed/Fri lows to grap liquidity, I expect it to resume its rally, so am bullish, but keep in mind that no one knows where the market rallies from, we can only predict it, that mean if it drops further, I will update you guys, so stay with me, hit the flow button.
like, flow and please hit boost button and let me know your comments.
🚨DXY Index is Ready to Fall🚨(1-hour)🏃♂️The DXY Index is moving in a 🔴Heavy Resistance Zone🔴.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , the DXY index is near the end of five impulsive waves .
🔔I expect wave 5 to end near the Resistance line and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and start to fall.
DXY Index Analyze ( DXYUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)We have more clues on the Weekly timeframe.
Most recently, price broke out of a descending trendline and immediately rebalanced into a small Weekly Bisi (annotated by red arrow), which is usually indicative of rapid continuations to follow.
As a prediction, I see price digging into the Monthly Sibi and the nested Weekly Breaker Block and possibly Weekly Orderblock before a potential HTF reversal. The highlighted Weekly iFVG/Bisi would likely be used as support once price gets into that range.
Based on the current price action, bias, and high-impact news drivers coming out this week such as CPI, PPI, Consumer Price Index, Retail Sales and Unemployment Claims), we could see a potential low of the week on Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday.
XAUUSD Possibilities!!!The last week wasn't a good one supposed to be for stock market because of PMI and Unemployment Data which lead DXY to surge again, in general some Data such as CPI and retail sales can declare the next trend for stock market.
All traders' attentions focus on CPI before FED Meeting and CPI might be reach to 3.6%,
beside that if Core CPI decreased probably have no effect on Yields bond.
The possibility of a 0.25% increase in interest rates by November has increased after the very favorable release of the US Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), and we can hope for further strengthening of the US dollar in the event of a favorable release of data next week.
On the one hand, gold is under the pressure of high real interest rates and on the other hand, the strengthening of DXY. Currently, gold is in valuable ranges, and as mentioned in the video of the monthly report, the valuable ranges of gold for the long-term view are the ranges of 1890, 1860, 1830, and 1790 dollars.
It should be kept in mind that if the dollar index stabilizes above the range of 105, there is a possibility that the downward movement of gold will continue to the range of 1893 dollars.
if You have any opinion about this topic, it would be appreciated to share with me.
Behzad.J
DXY Ready to FlyDear all,
I would like to draw your attention to the recent chart analysis of DXY. As per the chart, DXY has broken dynamic resistance and is showing bullish momentum on the daily and weekly timeframes. Therefore, it is expected that all financial markets may experience a potential downturn soon. It is recommended that you exercise caution and refrain from entering long positions for now.