What about DXY and the effect on BTC?There are several factors that could contribute to a sharp increase in the value of the US dollar in the future:
Strong economy: If the US economy is doing well compared to other economies, it can boost confidence in the US dollar and attract investors. Strong GDP growth, low unemployment, high investment and innovation may be factors contributing to increased demand for dollars.
Higher interest rates: An increase in interest rates by the US central bank (Federal Reserve) may increase the attractiveness of the US dollar. Higher interest rates can attract capital from other countries and boost demand for dollars, which could lead to dollar growth.
Geopolitical instability: In the event of political or geopolitical uncertainties, such as conflicts, trade disputes or global crises, the US dollar can be seen as a safe haven. In such situations, the demand for dollars could increase, which could result in an increase in its value.
Dominance of the dollar in the international market: The US dollar is still the most used reserve currency in the world and the main currency for international trade. If this dominance continues, it may strengthen the dollar's position and contribute to its growth.
A rise in the value of the dollar can affect the price of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC), in several ways:
Inverse relationship: There is a tendency for the value of the dollar and the price of cryptocurrencies to have an inverse relationship. This means that if the value of the dollar increases, it can result in a decrease in the price of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin. This is because investors may turn to stronger traditional currencies such as the dollar and leave riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies.
Currency Pairs: If the dollar strengthens against other currencies, it may affect trading between cryptocurrencies and those other fiat currencies. For example, if the value of the dollar increases against the euro, then the value of Bitcoin in the BTC/EUR exchange rate may decrease.
Global Economic Factors: A rise in the value of the dollar may be a result of a strong US economy, which may signal the risk of lower volatility and less uncertainty. This may cause some investors to prefer traditional assets such as the dollar instead of cryptocurrencies, which are considered riskier.
So what friends? are you still going to feed this money machine?
Try my indicator for trading and generally keep an eye on things
Dxylong
DXY MOMENTUM 108The dollar is keep on the rise while the FED Pause there Hikes.
So we wait this zone 108 for filling its 4hr GAPS. But tonight More FEDs member speech. ISM later 10pm asia .
This is my view and my top of the DOLLAR. only this month ranging around 108.
Trade at your own risk.
Follow for more ...This idea is base
$DXY Quarter 3 (Q3) AnalysisThe U.S. Dollar Index had a bullish Q3 and has been bullish month after month. There is a bullish bounce off the EMA ribbon with $101 acting as a strong support level. I believe DXY is headed towards the top of the Bollinger Band with wicks forming above at approximately $112-114 (marked by the white circle).
🏆Holy Grail🏆 Shows the DXY Index will increase🚀🏃♂️The DXY index has been moving above the Uptrend line for more than 2 months .
✅ The DXY index managed to break the 🔴 Resistance zone($105.8-$104.5) 🔴 last week.
↘️ In the last week, we saw the DXY pull back to the 🔴 Resistance zone($105.8-$104.5) 🔴.
🏆Today, I analyzed the possible trend of the DXY Index for the coming week using the 🏆Holy Grail Strategy🏆 .
📚Getting to know the 🏆Holy Grail strategy🏆
Holy Grail is one of the strategies described by Linda Raschke and Laurence Connors in their book “Street Smarts”. The name of the strategy is mocking because it is super simple. It suits timeframes from M1 to MN and any instrument in Forex, futures, and stock markets.
The desktop of the strategy consists of one simple Exponential Moving Average (20), applied to Close prices, and the ADX indicator with standard parameters and the marked level 30.
The idea of the strategy is that ADX shows the strength of the trend on a certain period. Some traders think that a reversal of this indicator top-down signals a trend reversal but this is not always true, the correctness of this idea depends on whether we are trading in a flat or trend. We do not care about flats, so this is what the EMA (20) is necessary for: its slope shows the direction of the current trend.
📚A signal to buy
A signal to buy by the Holy Grail forms when ADX rises above 30, following the growth of the price; after that, the price must pull back to the EMA (20) and touch it. When the candlestick that has touched the EMA closes, place a buying order above the high of the candlestick with the initial Stop Loss below its low. As for the Take Profit, place it slightly below the highest local high that formed after the price pulled back to the EMA (20). If the next candlestick does not trigger the buying order, and its high turns out below the preceding candlestick, place the order above this candlestick. And if its low renews the low of the previous candlestick, place the SL below the former. Of course, ADX will be falling alongside the price. However, for the signal to be valid, ADX must not fall below 30.
🔔According to the Holy Grail strategy and the Hammer Candlestick Pattern, which indicates the completion of the pullback to the broken 🔴 Resistance zone($105.8-$104.5) 🔴, I expect DXY to have an upward trend in the coming week and can increase to the 🔴 Resistance zone($109.3-$107.7) 🔴.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Dollar Breaks above a 2023 HighThe US dollar index remains bullish as the price closes above the 105.883, 2023 high. The bias will likely draw the market towards the 21 November 2022 high, at 107.993, buy-side Liquidity. The 11-month high coincides with a weekly Fair Value Gap. The uncertainty of the US government shutdown will trigger risk aversion along the seasonal shifts as 3rd quarter comes to a close.
"DXY's Upward Trajectory Amid September Caution"In the upcoming week, my optimism remains steadfast. The DXY continues to exhibit an upward trajectory, with its target poised in that direction. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) formation on a higher time frame solidifies my conviction in the DXY's potential for further up move. However, a measure of caution stems as approaching month of September. It's worth noting that historical DXY seasonality contradicts the current chart dynamics.
My focus will be keenly set on the upcoming week, particularly post Wednesday. The release of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) news will undoubtedly steer market sentiments, presenting us with intriguing opportunities. To me, Tuesday and Wednesday hold significance, as these days dedicated to capitalize on potential market moves. In case the circumstances do not align favorably, I will sit and wait for good opportunity
DXY Analysis - Weekly Timeframe (ICT)How convenient it was to stop right at the descending trendline for the week. In my eyes, this is giving time for traders to formulate their "predictions" on where DXY is going to go. I expect some funny business to happen to shake out any support & resistance, as well as breakout traders, culminating with an explosive movement to the upside.
I really like the Weekly Bearish Breaker Block residing above as a point of interest for trades, which may take a while to get there. I will also be observing how price moves towards that area, if it even does.
Next week, keep your guard up. Don't take the bait. Wait for the sheep to get slaughtered, and once you see that already come to past on the charts, that is the time to strike.
AUD/USD clean 4H Technical setupAUDUSD currently has a score of -10, or a Strong Sell rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theAUD has a long percentage of 35.19%, and we see that the USD has a long percentage of 69.73%. This category receives a -2, as institutional traders favor the USD.
Taking a look at AUDUSD, we see that retail traders are 88% long, and 12% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theAUDUSD gets a reading of -1 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa.
Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of -1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to fall during this month.
Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of -2.
Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the USD, inflation favors the USD, unemployment favors the USD and interest rates favor the USD
Check my other USD ideas in mmy profile and follow for more!
Celebrating the Soaring US Dollar and Its Impact on Oil and the The US dollar has been on an impressive rise, leading to a remarkable domino effect on the oil market while simultaneously lowering the Euro. Let's dive into the details and explore the exciting opportunities this presents for all of us!
First and foremost, let's celebrate the recent surge in the US dollar. This upward trajectory has been fueled by a combination of robust economic indicators, positive investor sentiment, and the Federal Reserve's commitment to maintaining a stable currency. As traders, we understand the significance of a strong US dollar, and it's time to capitalize on this favorable trend!
The rising US dollar has an immediate impact on the oil market, as it becomes more expensive for countries with weaker currencies to purchase oil. This translates into increased demand for the US dollar in oil transactions, further driving up its value. So, let's keep an eye on the oil market and identify potential trading opportunities that can be leveraged to our advantage.
Simultaneously, the Euro has experienced a decline against the US dollar. This can be attributed to various factors, including economic uncertainties, political developments, and the divergence in monetary policies between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve. As traders, we can seize this opportunity to capitalize on the Euro's weakness and further strengthen our positions in the US dollar.
Now, let's move on to the call-to-action! I encourage each and every one of you to continue to long the US dollar, as it shows no signs of slowing down. By strategically aligning our trading decisions with this ongoing trend, we can maximize our profits and achieve extraordinary success in the currency markets.
Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and the current market conditions are ripe for us to make a significant impact. Stay informed, keep a close eye on the latest economic news, and utilize the tools at our disposal to make well-informed trading decisions.
As always, I am here to support and guide you on this exciting journey. If you have any questions, need assistance, or simply want to share your success stories, please don't hesitate to comment. Let's make the most of this golden opportunity and continue to thrive in the world of trading!
Wishing you fruitful trades and abundant profits!
DXY| 1H AM BULISH TILL PRICE HITS 106.0Dollar index is providing us bullish patterns that gives clues that the trend will continue till we hit 106.00 strong key level aka three touch pattern completion of HTF, where we could expect some reaction to the downside, though it seems that the dollar is strong fundementaly and trend wiae that could lead to provide fresh ATH. anyways lets take advantage of the bull run.
let me noww what you thinkin comment section, like& share
thanks
DXY| 1H IS STRUGGLING TO HIT 105.00 OR DROP TO 104.00Dollar index showing price correctively moving to climb tops at least until it hits 105.00, but it also goback to test 104.00 demand zone area to take fuel for its journey.am bullish but am also know that there a chance for downside.
let me know what you thinkin comments, like and share
thansk