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How did the market react to soft US inflation? Huge, unexpected moves occurred across several markets after the US inflation report for October was released last Thursday. For those that missed the news, US inflation came in softer-than-expected at 7.7% (vs. 8.0% expected, and down from 8.2% in the previous month) suggesting that the US Federal Reserve's policy tightening has started to work its magic, and they might be able to start slowing the pace of its hikes moving forward. The market is firming toward a 50-basis-points rate hike from the US Fed in November now, after four consecutive 75-basis-points rate hikes. This is a scenario that some assets have rejoiced, and others lamented. Confidence in the US dollar, as the only buy, has finally shown signs of wavering after the inflation print. The upside potential for the US dollar may be muted moving forward but we might have to wait until we see a sustainable trend in inflation cooling. Even so, DXY experienced its worst week since March 2020, falling almost 4% against a basket of its trading partners last week. More interestingly, the DXY fell -2.1% on Thursday alone, its largest daily loss in 13 years. The forex pair that gained the most against the US dollar was the Japanese yen, up more than 5% on the week, and now trading comfortably below 140. The pound, euro, Aussie dollar, and NZ dollar all gained between 4% and 3% at the same time. With the weakening US dollar, gold and silver climbed 5.4% to $1,770 per ounce (3-month high) and 4.1% to $21.7 per ounce (5-month high), respectively on the weekly timeframe. Moving in line with metals, and against the US dollar, US stocks experienced a significant rally on Thursday and Friday. Thursday’s rally was its largest in 2 years with the tech heavy Nasdaq100 surging a phenomenal 7.2%, outpacing the S&P500 and the Dow gains. The Nasdaq was supported by a cratering in the US 10-year Treasury yields, which fell 30-basis-points to 3.8%.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
The dollar may enter a correctionAfter the severe selling wave that the dollar was exposed to in the middle of last week due to inflation data that came less than its predecessors, we may witness a correction of the dollar and its related currencies that may bring it back to levels of 108. The dollar may reach the levels of 105, which is a very strong support, and it is likely that the price may bounce from this support, since the selling wave was severe and from high levels, so most likely the dollar may bounce from this support to levels of 108. 🔥💥 Like, Shared and subscription 💥🔥 Note: If you are a beginner trader, you should be aware of these rules: 1: Do not covet 2: Don't trade too much 3: Secure your positions after entering the profit 4: Enter contracts that fit your portfolio 5: Adhere to all recommendations
TVC:DXYLong
by zaidhatem
DXY - Dollar under pressureWith the anticipation of the inflation data that will be released on Thursday, the dollar is still under many selling pressures, but now it has reached pivotal areas, breaking it may lead it to lower levels, but if the data comes in its favour, it may regain its strength again. Now the price is near a daily bullish trend and near buying areas (demand), as well as it is on the edge of the lowest descending channel on the 4 hour frame. Everything will be revealed on Thursday, so please be careful in your trading until Thursday. 🔥💥 Like, Shared and subscription 💥🔥 Note: If you are a beginner trader, you should be aware of these rules: 1: Do not covet 2: Don't trade too much 3: Secure your positions after entering the profit 4: Enter contracts that fit your portfolio 5: Adhere to all recommendations
TVC:DXY
by zaidhatem