DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉🔍 We can observe that DXY has been in a bearish trend recently. However, it has experienced a significant move into a key support zone. In the video, we discuss market structure, price action, and the trend. I'm expecting to see a potential reaction and an opportunity to go long if the price action unfolds as described in the video. As always, this is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
Dxynextmove
Expectations for the US Dollar Market from May to August 2024Expectations for the US Dollar Market from May to August 2024
May to Early July 2024:
The US dollar is anticipated to remain strong, with the market reaching a high of 108.459 by July 1, 2024.
First Three Days of July 2024:
After peaking, the dollar is expected to decline, potentially dropping to 105.785 by July 25, 2024.
Stay updated with our forecasts to navigate the US dollar market effectively.
Keywords: US dollar forecast, USD market trends, dollar strength 2024, USD predictions, currency market analysis, USD outlook May to August 2024, forex trading, financial forecasts, USD high and low, July 2024 USD predictions.
Feel free to share your thoughts and join the conversation on the US dollar market outlook.
DXY Weekly Analysis Here's the corrected version:
Last month, we anticipated that the #DXY price would continue to be bearish and take support liquidity from Mon 10 Jul '23. However, the fundamentals contradicted last month's analysis as the #DXY strengthened again after inflation rise and the Fed announced they would keep interest rates fixed until the next meeting. It's probable that we will see a Bullish trend in DXY this year if there's no decrease in inflation or interest rates.
This highlights the importance of fundamentals in this quarter. From a technical perspective, we observe weakness in breaking the support liquidity in #DXY, indicating that it will likely rise again and target Mon 02 Oct '23 for short-term liquidity.
For the long term, we anticipate the price will reach a fair value in the MON 07 Nov '22 liquidity gap as the long-term target.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this presentation, we conduct an in-depth examination of the technical aspects related to the DXY. Our evaluation uncovers a possible trading prospect. We conduct a detailed review of the prevailing price movements, examine the market's framework with precision, and take into account the forces at play in the market. Given the advantageous circumstances, we pinpoint a prospective point of entry. Nonetheless, it is imperative to emphasize the importance of applying strong risk management measures. It is important to remember that the content of this video is intended solely for educational purposes and is not to be interpreted as investment advice.
DXY Analysis: Potential Retracement AheadI'm closely monitoring the DXY (US Dollar Index) for indications of the dollar's trajectory into the weekend and early next week. The US dollar's influence on global markets makes the DXY a critical reference point for traders.
Given the strong correlation between many currency pairs and the US dollar, the DXY's current position at a key resistance level suggests a potential pullback. The dollar appears overextended, and coupled with typical end-of-week trading patterns, we may see a significant retracement impacting broader markets.
Important Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe #DXY is currently exhibiting range-bound behavior within a broader bullish trend on higher timeframes. While the overall bias remains positive, current price action does not present a compelling entry point for a long position. My strategy involves two potential scenarios:
1: Breakdown Scenario: A break below the current range support would provide a discounted long entry opportunity.
2: Breakout and Retest Scenario: A decisive break above the range high, followed by a retest and failure of that level as new resistance, would signal a potential long entry.
Key Technical Considerations:
- Trend Analysis: The higher timeframe bullish trend offers context for potential long setups.
- Market Structure: Understanding the current range structure guides entry and exit points.
- Price Action: Closely monitor price behavior around key support and resistance levels for trade signals.
Disclaimer: This analysis is strictly educational and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own independent research and thoroughly evaluate your risk appetite before executing any trades.
DXY Dollar Index Technical AnalysisThe DXY has demonstrated a notable rally on the 1-day (1D) time frame, exhibiting distinct range-bound price action as it operates within a previously established weekly distribution level. The absence of a discernible trend is evident, with the market remaining in a sideways movement for an extended period. With high-impact news events scheduled for later today, Thursday, and Friday, there is potential for a breakout from the current range, presenting opportunities with dollar pairs.
It is imperative to clarify that this analysis is intended exclusively for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Preping for MondayThe DXY is presently confined within a range, evident on both the 1-day (1D) and 4-hour (4H) time frames. Given that it is the end of the week, I am exercising caution about active market participation, considering the customary manipulation observed on Fridays as smart money strategically targets stops, aligning them with the upcoming week's trend. In this video, we evaluate the dollar index and contemplate potential trade scenarios with dollar pairs for the approaching week. It is important to emphasize that this content is intended strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis - Where Is The USD Heading?DXY Analysis: The Dollar Index (DXY) has exhibited range-bound behavior recently, lacking a clear directional bias. While there are bearish undertones, a confirmed downtrend requires a break below the current range followed by a failed retest. This video explores multiple timeframes (monthly, weekly, daily, 4-hour) to identify potential dollar direction in the coming days and week. Given the key role of the dollar in shaping currency markets, its trading action significantly impacts opportunities in other pairs. However, with the current sideways movement, identifying high-probability trades could be challenging, especially considering the increased risk associated with end-of-week volatility and potential stop-hunting activity.
Disclaimer: This analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
DXY Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaDXY Technical Analysis and Trade Idea. The DXY is currently range bound, the higher time frame is bearish i'm looking for a break of the current range and a possible trade opportunity if it sets up. As always, everything explained in the video in detail and this not to be construed as financial advice.
DXY Shorts from 102.400 Down towards 101.000The DXY forecast remains bearish in my view; however, there is a notable strong bullish retracement occurring. I perceive this retracement as temporary, as the price is retracing back to a premium supply level. I anticipate a distribution to take place in either the 1-hour supply zone I've identified or...
Alternatively, if the price continues to climb higher, fully mitigating the imbalance, it may enter my preferred 14-hour supply zone, which previously caused a break of structure to the downside. Should the price decline without touching these two zones, I will then be on the lookout for a buying opportunity around 101.000.
Confluences for DXY dollar sells are as follows:
- Dollar is temporarily bearish due to the break of structures on the higher timeframe.
- Currently price has reacted off a demand so I can expect bullish pressure to get exhausted.
- Price is slowing down foreshadowing a potential wyckoff distribution to play out.
- Lots of liquidity still left below in the form trend line liquidity and major imbalances.
- Candlestick anatomy shows that price might have a bearish drop as its mitigated an imbalance above partially
P.S. While my current stance is bearish in the market, this minor bullish retracement appears temporary, and I anticipate the price to resume its downward trajectory. However, considering the presence of numerous imbalances, I prefer to observe price movements before deciding on my course of action.
Have a great trading week ahead guys!
Taking a Look At The Dollar Index To Kick Off 2024 DXY / USDTaking a Look At The Dollar Index To Kick Off 2024 DXY / USD As everything hinges off the us dollar I think it is important to take a close look at the dollar index as we trade into the London Open today. In the video I give you my top down approach looking at the DXY
DXY Preparing for Another Leg Down! Grab This Next Short Entry!DXY confirmed its breakout from the bull channel to the downside and is currently showing some minor support at the 200EMA. I would expect the price gap from here to the 9EMA at 105.000 to close followed by another leg down. We have to be careful to not get caught in a 2 legged trap, which is also a possible outcome at this level.
How do we trade this?
Wait for a sell signal at the 9EMA with a strong bear bar closing on or near its low before entering a short.
Key Points
1. 200EMA Showing Some Support
2. Two Pushes down, Third Probable
3. Gap to fill to the 9EMA around 105.000.
4. Look for another Short entry at 105.000 with a sell signal
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
DXY Daily Chart Analysis - Will DXY Return to the Bull Channel?DXY finally broke out of the bull channel it has been in since July of this year. A strong bull response off of the 30EMA brought the price back to the bull channel. We are now waiting to see if the price can re-enter the channel, or if it fails and confirms a breakout to the downside.
Key Points:
1. Bear breakout of the Bull Channel, waiting for confirmation
2. Strong bull response on 30EMA below the channel
3. Price is currently testing the channel
4. RSI is near 50 and is not supportive of either direction
5. Before trading DXY, wait to see if the price confirms or denies a breakout
Since we are in a bull trend, the probability of a confirmed breakout to the downside is less than the trend continuing to the upside. I think it is best to wait for a Daily close within the bull channel before entering a long or a bear candle closing near its low below the 30EMA before shorting. The bias ought to remain bull until we have confirmation of a break to the downside.
As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
DXY, ready to challenge the year's (2023) High.Ever since the greenback (DXY) hit the year's (2023) low at 99.595 on 14th July 2023 the price has steadily rise from the base of the descending channel and attempted to breakout on 17th August and finally broke out last Friday, 1st September on the back of the NFP fundamentals.
Last Thursday daily candle closed above the EMA-200 and also broke out of the descending channel with the Friday's candle.
The DXY is ready for an upside swing to a yearly (2023) high of 105.834 and potentially furthering up to 107.342 in the days to come. What an exciting time for the DXY.
DXY is adequately supported by the EMA-200, 100 and 20 on the Daily Time Frame.
DXY, to longThe DXY has formed a doji on the Daily frame which shows indecision in the price, however the DXY has been able to consolidate above the 103,917 support with a strong rejection wick above it which gives me a bullish signal to the trendline resistance at 104.991 with a possibility of breaking above the ascending channel to the next required resistance of 105.654.
This could cause the dollar quotes to sell in the coming week.
DXY - Tool to assess Risk on/ Risk off scenariosHi guys. Welcome to my TA analysis on the dollar index. ALot of talk has been going on about whether or not we are in a bull market for bitcoin and if equities will rally further or not. In order to assess or determine if its likely that we are, the dollar is used by many analysts to gauge at what the sentiment is, whether "RISK ON" or "RISK OFF". As such i also have come to analyze and use DXY as such a tool.
RISK ON = When dollar is decreasing in price, other assets tend to go up. ( Hence we hear people mention "oh, the dollar is inversely related to stocks, crypto)
RISK OFF = sentiment is scared to invest and people flock to the safety of cash/dollar, Increasing the value of the dollar and prices of other assets decrease in price
With that lets look into what i see in the charts for DXY.
This analysis is done on the 2 day timeframe.
I've zoomed out to include about 17 years of data.
So PRICE ACTION
As you can see its interacting with the Red line that is drawn on chart. This is the 200 Day Moving Average. If you look left at all the examples i put up, everytime price action goes down we are below this line for atleast 100 days to as long as couple of years. WE also decline between 2% to as much as 20%.
The 2 recent times, we were under it for 380 days and 488 days with price dropping further down. Ofcourse our current price action doesnt have to do this but because it occured previously it is not out of the question.
At the least expect sideways action, which is also not a bad thing for RISK ON mentality.
BUT as of now we have CONFIRMED below the 200 dma on the 2 day timeframe. I expect the dollar to drop more in the intermediate to longer term of atleast 3 months to a 1 year even. The longer the dollar stays below, the stronger RISK ON mentality gets. This would validate the recent Crypto uptrend and may push equities, housing and others up too.
To further support my thesis, check out the 2 indicators i put up
1. RSI - I believe we have further sell off on the RSI and im expecting it to do below the 20 level, as it did in the examples i circled with white. Also notice the white horizontal resistance line i drew. As long as we stay below here, it validates my thesis of dollar staying down. Im expecting atleast 1 touch point near or below the 20 level. RSI is a close indicator of price action, when it points down, price usually follows and vice versa.
2. ADX and DI - Ths tracks momentum. As highlighted red line is crossing up, indicating bearish momentum to pick up. When price action is below the 200 dma and a bearish cross occurs we usually go down in price.
CONCLUSION: With everything mentioned, in my opinion i believe DXY to go down further in price, it staying in a downtrend for atleast 3 months to 1 year. Supporting the idea that maybe we are in the beginning stages of a crypto bull market and we may see equities rally more.
Thanks for tuning in. Hope this helped. If you like the content, please BOOST, COMMENT and FOLLOW. Check out my other charts on DXY. If you liked what you read, i also do potential buy/sell analysis on stock/ cryptos.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Everything expressed in my posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading please do manage your risk and protect yourselves with stop losses.