The impact of tariffs on the DXYIn the long term, the imposition of tariffs will trigger countermeasures from trading partners 😡, leading to a shrinkage of the global trade scale 😔. The import costs of raw materials for American enterprises will rise, and their export markets will be restricted, which will curb the economic growth of the United States 😩. This will exert depreciation pressure on the US dollar, causing the DXY to decline 📉.
U.S. Tariff Policies
Since April 9th, the United States has imposed tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions, covering key sectors such as automobiles, steel, and semiconductors.😒
Countermeasures of Various Countries
China: On April 4th, China announced that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. On April 9th, the tariff rate was further increased to 84%, covering all U.S. goods.😠
The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods starting from May 16th.😤
Canada: Imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles on April 9th, but exempted auto parts.😏
This upward movement has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟.
💰💰💰 DXY 💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@103 - 100
🎯 TP 96 - 94
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
Dxyshort
DXY:Continue to bear the pressure The recent performance of the US dollar index has been rather weak, approaching several key lows touched last week. Although it has rebounded somewhat and reached 100.279 now, the market's confidence in the prospects of US economic policies has declined. Coupled with the potential policy shift of the Federal Reserve, in the medium to long term, the US dollar is likely to continue to face selling pressure. In terms of trading operation, shorting on rallies is still advisable.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@100.300-100.500
TP:99.500-99.000
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
The DXY shows a downward tendency.In the long run, the implementation of tariffs will prompt trading partners to take countermeasures 😡, resulting in a contraction of the global trade scale 😔. American enterprises will face higher import costs for raw materials, and their export markets will be restricted, thus curbing the economic growth of the United States 😩. This will put depreciation pressure on the US dollar, causing the DXY to decline 📉.
U.S. Tariff Policies
Since April 9th, the United States has levied tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions. These tariffs cover crucial sectors like automobiles, steel, and semiconductors 😒.
Countermeasures of Various Countries
China: On April 4th, China declared that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. Then, on April 9th, the tariff rate was further hiked to 84%, applying to all U.S. goods 😠.
The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods as of May 16th 😤.
Canada: On April 9th, imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles, while exempting auto parts 😏.
💰💰💰 DXY 💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@ 100 - 101
🎯 TP 98 - 97
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
👇The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% within a month! 📈 We sincerely welcome you to join our channel and share in the success with us! 👉
DXY:The US dollar will continue to be under pressure.Trump's approach of "suspension plus intensification" has dealt a blow to the global supply chain and the confidence in energy consumption. The deterioration of consumer confidence and the rise in inflation expectations have eroded the safe-haven status of the US dollar. It is expected that the DXY will continue to face downward pressure next week.
In terms of operation, it is recommended to wait for a rebound and then take short positions.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@102-101
TP:99-98
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
4.11 Interpretation of gold technical ideas4.11 Interpretation of gold operation ideas: Gold prices rose sharply to a new high. How to trade next?
The daily line closed with a big positive line, and the closing price was far away from the previous high. This is a truly effective breakthrough!
There are two types of breakthroughs: 1. The amplitude and strength of the breakthrough! 2. The closing price after the breakthrough!
At present, the intraday pattern of gold prices is unbalanced. The rise and fall depends entirely on the international situation. The US dollar has fallen below 100 points, which has led to panic selling by investors and a sharp rise in gold prices. Therefore, if the situation eases, we must be wary of a rapid decline in gold prices. After a wave of accelerated rises in the morning, today's main focus is on the trend of the afternoon and US markets.
At present, the price of gold is hovering in the 3210 range. If it falls back, it is expected to rebound in the 3200-3190 range. If the European market breaks through the high for the second time and continues to strengthen during the day, then the US stock market will usher in a bullish opportunity again.
The market is always full of opportunities! The above strategies are for reference only, and personal opinions are for reference only. The specific operation is subject to real-time operation. If you want to obtain core member signals and increase account profits, please contact Ailen❤️❤️❤️
Gold continues to strengthen and fluctuates widely in the short Gold stabilized near the 200-period moving average at the beginning of this week, and the current upward trend is supported by the daily chart oscillator indicators. Both the daily RSI and MACD remain in the bullish range, with obvious momentum;
The upper target is concentrated in the 3167-3168 US dollar line, which is the historical high set at the beginning of this month; if it successfully breaks through this area, the gold price may enter a new upward channel.
In the short term, the support level below $3100 is concentrated in the 3065-3060 US dollar range, and a break below it will open a downward channel to $3000. The $3000 mark coincides with the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart, which is the key long-short dividing point;
If it falls below this point, it means that gold has entered the correction stage, and bulls need to remain vigilant; but the current fundamentals and market sentiment still strongly support the gold price to maintain high volatility.
Gold continues to rise and break through!Gold was driven by risk aversion news, and soared more than $100 in a single day yesterday, with a huge positive line on the daily line! At present, it has broken through the 3100 mark. It is difficult for gold to continue to be long and short. The next step is more of a big sweep!
At present, the 3100 mark will be the key to the next long and short positions. It is under pressure to continue to be bearish. The key 3055-50 area below is the long breakthrough point, which is also the support area for the two declines in the US market. Once it breaks down, it indicates that the rise started at 2970 yesterday has ended and returned to the short position.
If gold breaks upward and stands above the 3100 mark with the help of news, the long position will gradually rise to 3115-20 and 3135-40 (last Friday's high point) and even test the historical high of 3167 to build a daily double top!
Intraday operation:
The 3100 mark is used as a long-short boundary. If it breaks through, you can consider short-term long positions. After pulling up, refer to the above target position, which is also a resistance position, and arrange short positions again.
Technical analysis of short-term operations in the US market on 4,9 US trading operation interpretation ideas:
Today, there was a bottoming out and rebound. In the morning, it first went south and then north. It fell sharply to 2970 and then quickly counterattacked 3000 after entering the Asian session! I emphasized in the morning that the gold short may be coming to an end! It will enter a short-term sharp decline and then rebound! But the current trend is obvious that today's increase has exceeded expectations!
We must beware of the possibility of a V-reversal in the US market! Although the large-scale purchase of gold caused by the selling of US bonds is still difficult to confirm the long position in the US market!
The intraday increase is close to 90 points! There may be two emotions.
1: The market impact after the tariffs are implemented has not been eliminated
2: If the bullish trend continues in the US market, it may retreat to around 3045 in the future, and continue to be bullish later!
Short-term support: 3045---3030----3000
Pressure level: 3075---3080---3100---3135
4.9 Gold price trend after the Fed meetingIn the early European session, spot gold maintained its amazing intraday gains, and the current price is around $3046/oz, up $64 on the day.
Gold's latest technical trading analysis:
Gold's recent sharp decline from its all-time high has stalled near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the February-April rally. The support level is around the $2957-2956/oz area, or the multi-week low hit on Monday, followed by the 50-day moving average (currently around $2952/oz). If gold falls below the latter, it will be seen as a new trigger by bearish traders and drag gold to the next important support level around $2920/oz, and then all the way down to $2900/oz.
On the other hand, the momentum of gold breaking through the overnight high (around the $3023/oz area) could push gold prices to the $3055-3056/oz barrier. Some follow-up buying should pave the way for gold to return to the $3,100/oz mark, with some intermediate barriers around $3,075-3,080/oz.
Support: 3,030 3,018 3,000
Resistance: 3,045 3,068 3,080
We will update regularly every day to introduce how we manage active thinking and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
4.9 Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!Gold market analysis
Gold idea: We need to pay attention to whether the daily line will rise after reaching a low. The daily line is hovering at the bottom. In a volatile market, we must find a range of volatility. Finding the rhythm is the most important thing. Yesterday, the daily line formed a cross star again. Today, the white market is expected to fluctuate. In addition, there are many fundamentals in the near future. The market has been led by the rhythm. Gold rose well before. The sharp drop was also due to Trump’s tariff policy. The global tariff war is inevitable in the future. It will support the US dollar in the long term and suppress gold. The short-term top of the weekly line may be a long-term top.
Today’s idea: Let’s focus on the 2969-3022 volatility range. If the white market rebounds first and approaches 3022, go short first. On the contrary, if gold breaks and stands on 3022, it will also fluctuate, but the center of gravity of the volatility will rise to the 3000-3055 range. The volatility requires patience to wait for the position, and waiting is also part of the transaction.
Support level: 2990-2969,
Pressure: 3022 3035
4.9 gold rebound increases resistance level and continues shortiFundamentals:
On Tuesday (April 8), the price of gold fluctuated slightly higher in the early US trading. The market is currently expecting a continuous decline, and at the same time paying attention to the logic of short selling at resistance points. After briefly hitting a four-week low on Monday, the price of gold rebounded quickly and rebounded strongly to above $3,000 in the Asian and European trading on Tuesday.
Against this background, gold, as the ultimate safe-haven asset with "zero credit risk", has once again become the main allocation target of market funds. Every macro policy imbalance and external shock will bring cyclical buying to gold, and this time the intensity may be stronger. The current gold price has stabilized at the psychological level of $3,000 and is showing a short-term rising structure. From a technical perspective, the gold price in the daily chart quickly rose after stepping back on the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level ($2,956), showing the resilience of buying. If the gold price breaks through the short-term resistance of $3,020, the upward target will be the $3,055 and $3,080 areas, and further may rise to the $3,100 mark. The key support level below is still around $2956. If it fails, it may test the 50-day moving average support (about $2947). Once this level is lost, it may trigger more technical selling pressure. The biggest variable facing the current market is no longer inflation data, but the destructive impact of Trump's tariff increase on the global trade pattern. The Fed's policy space is opening up rapidly. Driven by the expectation of interest rate cuts and risk aversion demand, gold not only stabilizes the $3,000 mark, but is also likely to re-enter the main upward trend.
Personal operation analysis:
Trend: shock trend
Support: 3000----2983------2965
Resistance: 3008-----3030-------3050
Strategy:
Viewpoint logic:
Short view near 3030, stop loss 3036, take profit near 3000----2970, and track stop loss 300 points.
4.8 Gold continues to run at a low point!Gold stabilized and rebounded on Tuesday (April 8), with an intraday increase of nearly 1%, successfully recovering the losses of the previous trading day. The rebound ended the three-day correction trend, and the gold price rebounded significantly from the key support level of $2,955. The current market focus is on the evolution of the Fed's policy path and the geopolitical trade situation. Under the interweaving of long and short factors, the short-term volatility of gold has risen significantly.
Fundamentals: The struggle between risk aversion and interest rate expectations
The rebound of gold at the beginning of this week was mainly driven by two factors:
1. The escalation of geopolitical trade risks
US President Trump's recent remarks on tariffs have triggered market concerns about the renewed tension in the global trade system.
2. The Fed's interest rate expectations fluctuated sharply
The interest rate futures market has undergone dramatic changes this week: On Monday, the market once bet that the Fed would cut interest rates five times in 2025, a significant shift from the expectation of "one or no interest rate cut" a week ago.
3. The coordination of the US dollar and capital flows
The US dollar index weakened slightly on Tuesday, reducing the cost of holding gold for non-US investors.
Technical aspect: Attack and defense of key support level
From the perspective of the market structure, the trend of gold this week showed typical "sharp drop and slow rise" characteristics:
Support confirmation: On Monday, the gold price accurately tested the support of $2955 and then rebounded. This position corresponds to the neckline of the platform that broke through in mid-March, and formed a double defense line with the 55-day moving average (US$2930). The intraday lows were densely bought, indicating that medium- and long-term investors viewed the correction as an opportunity to build positions.
Resistance distribution: The first resistance above is at US$3040 (daily line R1), and after breaking through, it may test US$3057 (March 20 pivot point) and US$3097 (R2). The historical high of US$3167 is still a psychological barrier, but it is difficult to challenge it directly in the short term.
In the short term, the trend of gold will depend on two major catalysts: 1. The minutes of the Fed's March meeting on Wednesday: If the minutes suggest an open attitude towards rate cuts, it may push gold prices to test the $3,050-3,070 range; conversely, if the emphasis is on inflation stickiness, it may trigger long profit-taking. 2. Progress in trade negotiations: Any substantive implementation or easing of tariff policies may trigger fluctuations of more than 5% in gold prices. In the medium term, the upward trend of gold has not been broken. Institutional research reports show that the current global central bank's demand for gold purchases is still at a historical high, and in the downward cycle of interest rates, the relative attractiveness of interest-free assets will continue to stand out. If the technical side breaks through $3,057, it will open up space for the impact of the previous high; the defense strength of the $2,950-2,930 area needs to be closely monitored below.
4.8 Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!Spot gold rebounded slightly during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 8), once rising above the 3,000 mark, and is currently trading around $2,995.51 per ounce. Spot gold may rebound to $3,049 per ounce, as the price has previously completed a five-wave cycle starting from $3,168.
Analysts pointed out that the peak of wave d is around $3,049, which can be used as a rebound target. It is still difficult to judge whether this cycle is an impulse wave cycle or a correction wave cycle.
If it is an impulse wave cycle, it means that the downward trend will extend to well below $2,950. The correction wave cycle shows that despite the sharp drop from $3,168, the upward trend from $2,831 remains intact.
The information shown on the daily chart is very clear. The sharp drop in the past few days seems to be driven by wave (4), which may end near the strong support level of $2,970. The next wave (5) will push the upward trend above $3167.
Resistance level: 3015----3038-----3050
Pressure level: 3000---29833-----2970
4.8 Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideasGold price has fallen below the previous row support band in the daily trend. The K-line continues to be under pressure from the short-term moving average and maintains a weaker trend of shock. In the short term, pay attention to the pressure band around 3030. In the 4-hour level trend, the K-line is currently under pressure from the short-term moving average and is maintaining a low-level shock repair. The strength and continuation of the intraday rebound are not too large. Pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. At present, after continuous shocks in the small-level cycle trend, the technical pattern has begun to gradually adjust. The K-line has begun to slowly stand on the short-term moving average and tends to have a certain rebound space in the short-term trend. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Operational suggestions:
Short near 3017-8, stop loss 3023.9, or long near 2945-6, stop loss 2939.1.
Real-time market intraday guidance.
We will update regularly every day to introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
4.8 Gold Bollinger Bands bearish signal appearsRecently, the spot gold price once fell below the psychological barrier of $3,000, triggering technical concerns in the market about whether the gold bull market has reached its peak. On Monday (April 7) in the North American session, spot gold is currently trying to recover to around $3,030, but the technical indicators have shown obvious divergence.
Fundamental analysis
The market's concerns about US inflation continue to ferment, and the intensification of global trade frictions is driving the market's concerns about economic stagflation. The Fed's policy stance has also undergone subtle changes. The market has begun to price in five possible interest rate cuts this year. The CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut in May has soared from 33.3% last Friday to 49.3%.
At present, traders are turning their attention to the US inflation data to be released this week, which will provide important clues for assessing the US economic situation.
Technical analysts' interpretation:
Bollinger band breakthrough signal indicates a short-term correction
On the daily chart, gold prices have formed a clear upward channel since mid-March, but recently touched the upper track of the Bollinger band and began to fall. It is worth noting that the middle track of the Bollinger Band 3006.13 has become a key support level. After breaking through the historical high of 3167.60, the price has shown a typical upward exhaustion pattern. The MACD indicator shows DIFF: 43.46, DEA: 48.65, MACD: -10.39, and the green kinetic energy column has begun to expand, indicating that the short-term downward momentum is accumulating.
RSI indicator shows overbought correction
The 120-minute chart shows that the RSI indicator has fallen from the overbought area to a neutral level of 40.37. At the same time, the CCI indicator has dropped to -45.05, further confirming the trend of short-term overbought correction.
Key support and resistance level analysis
The current gold price faces multiple technical resistances, among which 3055.00 and 3085.00 constitute the main resistance range for short-term rebound. The lower support levels are mainly concentrated at $3005.00 and $2971.31, and these two levels will determine whether the gold price can remain above the psychological level of $3,000. In particular, the $2971.31 level, as a recent low, may trigger a deeper adjustment if it is lost.
From the long-term daily chart, gold prices formed an accelerated upward channel after breaking through $2950.00. The recent high of $3167.60 is just at the upper track of the channel. This trend of peaking and falling is in line with the classic channel trading theory.
Outlook
Bull Outlook: If the US inflation data exceeds expectations, the market's expectations for a more aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve will be further strengthened, and gold prices are expected to re-challenge the high of $3167.60 after a correction. Technically, gold prices need to return to above $3055.00 to reactivate upward momentum. The widening of the Bollinger Band width indicates that volatility is increasing, which provides potential trading opportunities for bulls.
Bear Outlook: In the short term, the downward divergence of the upper track of the Bollinger Band indicates that gold prices may face further corrections. The MACD histogram turned green and continued to expand, suggesting that downward momentum is accumulating. If the gold price falls below the key support of $2,971.31, it may trigger a deeper adjustment, and the next target will be $2,950.00 or even $2,920.00.
4.7 Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideas! US market4.7 Interpretation of gold late trading operation ideas:
Falling more than 70 points in the morning, it quickly rebounded and reversed! How will gold evolve tonight?
This V-reversal market frequently appears in these three trading days. It is difficult for us to encounter it once or twice a month. This increases the risk of trading. Once you make a mistake, it will be a reversal of dozens of points! When trading, you must strictly use the "stop loss".
We note that the three V-reversals in this stage have common characteristics. The stop in the last trading intensive period means that "3130" can be used as a reference for stage support and pressure. Then these three are: 3130, 3050, 2970---2980
The decline caused by the backlog of sell orders and insufficient liquidity! For gold, it will cause multiple stimulations, panic selling, and funds leaving the market for a short time to avoid risks. Selling gold to fill the gap in other markets and many other factors, and the central banks around the world that intend to reserve gold will not wait! They will still buy strategically, so the trend determines that the decline is limited.
2880 and 2630 are the two main observation positions.
After the small-cycle funds rebounded in the morning, the market entered a triangular consolidation state, the highs were gradually decreasing, and the lows were flattening. This is an obvious sign of market wait-and-see sentiment. The probability of a V-reversal phase or a continuous unilateral trend in the evening increased! If you follow this logic, gold should be under pressure around 3035-3038 during the rebound phase of 16-18 points!
And then continue to fall. Of course, if the EU further expresses its tariffs! It may cause the short-term volatility of the market to intensify!
Any unilateral trend needs to be confirmed in the US market. In the evening, whether it is a V-reversal from north to south or a continuation of the Asian and European market, it is normal. The overall framework will not deviate from the framework of 3130, 3050, 2980!
We will update regularly every day to introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
DXY Bearish trend continues on SSL and Bearish ORDER BLOCKDXY is known for extreme liquidity grabs especially after Trump's tariff announcements. Until we see countries remove tariffs and companies changing factory locations DXY will still be week. A decent pullback this week?? Probably not, Next? Maybe STAY SHARP!!
4.7 Gold short-term operation technical strategyLast week, gold and Dow Jones started to plummet across the board, and the short-selling of the band was a carnival. First of all, our initial short-selling target of 38,500 under the Dow Jones 45,000 has been completed. The only key support is the 36,300 line, and gold has also fallen to the 2970 line. There is no bottom at present, but there is a rebound in the key support level, so don't chase the low in the morning! From the closing point of view, the weekly line finally closed with a long upper shadow line and a quasi-inverted hammer pattern. After the end of this pattern, the market has been in the short stage this week. The intraday rebound is still mainly high-altitude. The market has a large amplitude, and the small stop loss has lost its meaning. At this time, the entry position is very important. In terms of points, the intraday rebound 3045-55 area continues to be high-altitude.
Short-term support: 3038, 3018, 2980, 2960
Do a good job of pushing the position protection! ! !
4.7 Gold opened lower and continued to fall!!!Gold fell sharply again at the opening of the morning session. The root cause is that the United States imposed tariffs on many countries and the countermeasures of various countries have triggered panic in the global financial market. The U.S. stock market fell sharply and the U.S. dollar index fluctuated. This macroeconomic uncertainty has increased the safe-haven demand for gold, but the liquidity problems caused by market panic may cause investors to sell gold in exchange for cash, so it will suppress the price of gold. The overall market sentiment is relatively complex, and the long-short game is fierce. From the disk, gold has gradually turned short!
In the current situation, don’t expect gold to rise sharply in a short period of time to form a rebound. The gold content of following the trend is still rising. We will go short in the morning when we wait for a rebound! The upper pressure level focuses on the closing price of 3036 last week, and the further pressure level is the top and bottom conversion level of 3054! You can ambush and short near 3050 in the morning! The falling market is all the way down, don’t blindly guess the bottom!
Specific strategy
Gold 3050 short, stop loss 3056, target 3000
Non-agricultural gold is expected to fall sharply. On Friday (April 4), at 20:30 Beijing time, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the highly anticipated March non-farm payrolls report, which put pressure on gold.
Fundamentals: Today, gold is expected to fall sharply. The market continues to short at resistance points.
Market volatility is expected to increase during the period. The long-short game of the US dollar index near the 102 mark will determine whether it can continue to rise. If it breaks through 103, it may further suppress gold and non-US currencies. Gold is looking for direction in the range of 3080-3100 US dollars/ounce. If risk aversion picks up, it may retest the 3100 mark; on the contrary, if the US dollar continues to strengthen, breaking through 3080 will open up downside space. The decline in US stock futures may continue until early next week.
4.5 Gold falls off a cliff and waits to stabilize! ! !Gold 4-hour level: The last wave of pull-up started from the low point of 2999 to 3167. Yesterday, it fell back and tested the 618 split position 3063. The current support is still valid, which is also the MA66 day position; From the perspective of macd, it is still short-selling and has not been fully repaired. Wait until it crosses below the zero axis, and then slowly stabilizes and tends to golden cross in the future market, then a wave of trend pull-up will gradually form, and it will take time; if 3063 cannot be maintained, the two split positions below are 3035 and 3018, and attention should be paid to stabilization.
Intraday support: 3035 3018 3005
Resistance: 3045 3070 3100
DXY:Today's trading strategyTrump's announced comprehensive tariff plan has triggered global attention. As for the U.S. Dollar Index, on Thursday, the price of the U.S. Dollar Index generally showed a significant downward trend. On that day, the price rose to a high of 103.931 at most, dropped to a low of 101.232, and closed at 101.937.
Looking back at the performance of the U.S. Dollar Index price on Thursday, after the opening in the morning, the price continued to decline in the short term. Subsequently, the price remained weak all the way with almost no rebound. It underwent short-term oscillatory consolidation and finally closed with a large bearish candlestick on the daily chart. For now, pay attention to the resistance in the 102.80 area and the level of 102.40, and keep a continuous watch for further bearish pressure.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@102.50-102.60
TP:101.50-101.30
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!