DXY Index New Possible Move#DXY ( Dollar Index )
- DESCENDING TRIANGLE Pattern formed Indicating the Trend Reversal and Break out of the Lower Trend Line
- BREAK OF STRUCTURE #BOS
- BEARISH Trend Continuation after the Break of DEMAND ZONE ( 110.237 - 109.477 )
- Buying Divergence in Long Time Frame #LTF
- Completed " 12 " Impulsive Wave and making its " 3 " Wave
Dxysignals
Dollar Index Chart Analysis....
In this situation DXY chart Breakout symetric triangle pattern.So, market need
seems buy correction @ 107:830 and 110:150 resistance level. Then sell to 103.730 support
zone. If breakout 113.500 resistance level, then market Buy UP to 115.250 resistance level.
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Dollar Index Chart Analysis....
In this situation DXY chart Long tarm create bullish rectangle pattern.So, market
first buy correction @ 111:315 and 111:950 resistance level. Then sell to 109.400 support
zone. If breakout 113.080 resistance level, then market Buy UP to 115.250 resistance level.
AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it,
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DXY: Still bullish but potential break of the 2022 patternThe DXY (US Dollar Index) broke last week below the 1D MA50 (blue) for the first time since August 11. Despite the drop, the 2022 Bullish Megaphone (or cylinder) is intact. However along with the emergence of a short-term Channel Down (Lower Highs/ Lower Lows), we see the 1W RSI turning on a Bearish Divergence as with Lower Highs and Lower Lows it is going against the Megaphone's Higher Highs/ Higher Lows.
The patterns shown on the chart must be respected and breakouts followed. We have denoted potential movements based on:
a) Break above the Channel Down = Bullish continuation within the Megaphone.
b) Break above the 1D MA50 = Bullish test of top of Channel Down.
c) Break below the Megaphone but still within the Channel Down = Bearish.
d) Break below the 1D MA100 (green) = Bearish outside the Megaphone, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange).
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20 REASON FOR SHORT DOLLER INDEX1 Structure analysis time frame DAILY
2 target time frame :DAILY
3 Current Move : IMPULSE
4 Entry Time Frame : H4
4.1 Entry TF Structure: BEARISH
4.2 entry move : RETRACEMENT
5 Suppot resistence base : H1 ORDER BLOCK BLOCK
6 FIB: DISCOUNTES AREA
7 candle Pattern: MOMENTUM ENGULFING
8 Chart Pattern: RISING WEDGE BREAKOUT
9 Volume : DRIED
10 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: SIDEWAYS
11 Volatility measure bollinger bands: POSSIABLE DIVERGENCE MOVE
12 strength ADX: BEARISH
13 Sentiment ROC: STRONG BUT ITS A DAILY CORRECTION
14 final comment : GOING DOWN FOR A FINAL TARGET
15 : decision SELL
16 Entry: 110.540
17 Stop losel: 111.090
18 Take profit: 108.260
19 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:4
Excepted Duration : 4 DAYS
DXY Can the Dollar keep falling ahead of next week's Fed Rate?This 1M chart focuses on the U.S. Dollar Index (green trend-line), which is seeing its first serious and sustainable pull-back after a long time as since September 28 it has been trading on Lower Highs and Lower Lows (not seen on this monthly time-frame though). This week the low completed a -4.50% from its peak, which is the strongest pull-back since the January 05 2021 bottom! With the upcoming Fed Rate Decision next week, the question is, is it possible for the USD to continue falling without the Fed changing the narrative, i.e. without continue hiking (raising the rates)?
A simple answer would be no. That is because in general terms since the mid 80s, the USD and the Fed Interest Rate (black trend-line) have been strongly correlated. It is no surprise that the USD's hyper strong rally this year started right when the Fed announced their hiking plan. Why they did that? In order to battle and bring down the raging inflation (blue trend-line) that came with the trillion dollar rescue packages during the COVID lockdowns. That is the key to our question before and provides a more detailed answer.
It is also important to consider the low unemployment rate (red trend-line) in this equation. As you see the only times in the past +30 years that we've had the Inflation peaking and pulling-back while the unemployment was bottom low and with the USD reversing, was when the Fed cut the Interest Rates after at least a year of hiking. So in order to complete the pattern we are currently in and see the USD extend its pull-back is to see the Fed cut back or at least adopt a more accommodative/ less aggressive hike with a specific horizon to stop. And the key to that as mentioned would be for them to be convinced that the current 3 month drop straight on the Inflation Rate is sustainable, thus under control.
Brace for a really really interesting week ahead.
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DXY is facing key support zoneSince the end of September, Dxy has had 3 attempts to conquer 114 figure and failed each time.
On Monday the index broke down the rising trend line that kept price elevated since August and an aggressive drop followed.
At this moment the price hovers above the support area (108-109 zone) and a resumption to the up move can follow.
Dips against 107.50 should be bought for a rise towards 112.
DXY Approaching multiple Support levels but no confirmed buy yetThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been pulling back since the September 28 High. Technically it has been trading within a long-term Bullish Megaphone pattern since the start of the year. Today the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since August 15. With the 1D RSI approaching the 41.00 Support, which has formed 3 out of the 4 total Lows of the Megaphone, this is starting to align major markers for a long-term buy that targets the next .382 Fibonacci extension in line, the 5.382 at 118.00.
For us it would be best to enter after confirmation as the selling pressure from the bond yields is strong and that confirmation can be given after the MACD makes a Bullish Cross. Until then it would be best to stay on the sidelines. As you see the Megaphone's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) is considerably lower than then 1D MA50 this time.
We are only willing to sell if the price breaks below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is slightly below the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Megaphone, giving us good tolerance levels hence a solid confirmation. In that case we will be targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
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Dollar Index Waite To Contamination.......
AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
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Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it,
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Analysis Update DXY : 📅10/7/2022Analysis Update DXY :
Due to the failure of the downward trend and a suitable pullback, the price is expected to correct upwards.
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Follow and like is an incentive for more and more detailed analysis, my friend
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👤 Alireza hajighasem : @alirezahajighasem
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📅 10.7.2022
DXY Can drop even lower. Buy and sell levels long-term.The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been pulling back since the September 28 High. Technically it has been trading within a long-term Bullish Megaphone pattern since the start of the year. As you see, the price is below the 4H MA50 (red trend-line), and since at least May 30, the Low is formed at least on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is the level to enter if you are looking for a long-term buy that targets the next .382 Fibonacci extension in line, the 5.382 at 117.825. There is also the 62.20 1W RSI Support to consider before entering. Note that if the 4H MA50 breaks upwards first, it is a bullish break-out signal.
We are only willing to sell if the price breaks below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is slightly below the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Megaphone, giving us good tolerance levels hence a solid confirmation. In that case we will be targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
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DXY top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Dxy- Stalling near hightsAfter the strong reversal from near the ascending trend line, DXY managed to get back above resistance, but the index is lacking conviction and is unable to continue.
Instead, DXY is stalling and is putting in Pin Bars on our daily chart.
This can be an indication that a correction could follow and a break back under resistance, now support would bring confirmation.
I've become slightly bearish on USD for now.
Wait and see is my approach on Usd pairs
DXY Two levels it can reverse massively on this 30 year Channel!The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been rising all year in the aftermath of the Fed to decide to raise the interest rates in their battle to lower the extreme levels of inflation. As a result, the USD has been gaining against the basket of major world currencies. From a technical perspective though, the time is approaching that it may reverse massively downwards as it is meeting two key long-term rejection levels.
The first and most important is the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 30 year Channel Down pattern, which started after the August 1992 Low! As you see this Channel has so far two Lower Lows (green arrows) and two Lower Highs (red arrows). The most recent of the latter was printed on last week's 1W candle. The price hit the top of the Channel Down and got instantly rejected. However, with this week's worse than expected CPI, we see the current 1W candle in green, attempting to hit the top again. Until we close a weekly candle above it, we have to consider this level as a possible long-term trend reversal/ rejection for the DXY.
If the USD Index does break and close above it, then we will come across very quickly another key long-term rejection level, and that is the Higher Highs trend-line of the 13 year Channel Up pattern that started in the aftermath of the Housing Crisis in 2009. As you see, so far the Higher Highs trend-line has made three contacts with that line (red Flags). The next (if the Channel Down breaks) should be around 114.00. That is the second long-term candidate level for rejection.
This historic price action shows that potentially, going short at the current levels on the U.S. Dollar, offers a low Risk high Return set-up, at least on the long-term. Of course, the macroeconomic environment has to keep up in order for the technicals to play out, especially being in this highly inflationary environment. A key factor is the Fed's Interest Rate (blue trend-line). As mentioned above, this has been rising since the start of the year, causing this parabolic rally on DXY. We see that in the course of the past 30 years, every time the Interest Rate dropped, the DXY was following downwards.
As a result, if the Fed decides by the start of next year that the job has been done and that inflation may be (partially at least) controlled, the can start cutting the Interest Rate back in order to stimulate the stock market, which has been suffering all year long. A mere hint/ announcement by the Fed of such intention early, can cause the DXY to reverse before the Interest Rate even starts decreasing, as it happened after 2006. The times we live in are unique in terms of the fundamentals and more likely than not the battle to control an inflation caused by years of abuse can take an equal amount to years.
At last, if you are a long-term investor looking for a confirmed level to sell, that would be below the Higher Lows trend-line, as it happened in December 2002.
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DXY can rise to 112 and even aboveSince the beginning of the year, the trend for the USD is up and, after breaking above the important phycological 100 figure, the index is trading in an ascending channel and every correction on Usd is bought.
Recently, the index reached 110 and a correction followed, this drop was quickly reversed once CPI data were released and the price is now again above 108.50-1.09 zone resistance.
I expect a new leg up from Usd and 112 can be the target.
Pairs like EurUsd and GbpUsd should be sold on eventually rallies