DXY Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaTechnical Outlook:
- The DXY (US Dollar Index) maintains a bullish trajectory within its broader uptrend.
- Recent price action indicates a retracement to a significant daily (1D) support zone.
- This technical setup presents potential buy opportunities in line with the prevailing bullish bias.
Trade Suggestion:
- Entry: Consider long positions upon confirmation of bullish trend shifts on a lower time frame at the current support level.
- Targets: Aim for 105, 105.5, and 106 as price objectives.
- Stop-Loss: Strategically place stop-loss orders below the immediate support to manage risk.
Important Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my individual market assessment for informational purposes. It does not constitute explicit financial advice. Independent research and comprehensive risk management are crucial before executing any trades.
Dxysignals
DXY long
The US Dollar Index, also known as DXY, is used by traders seeking a measure of the value of USD against a basket of currencies used by US trade partners. The index will rise if the Dollar strengthens against these currencies and will fall if the Dollar weakens against these currencies. Plan your technical analysis of the US Dollar Index by tracking its price in the chart and keep up with the latest market movements with news, advice pieces, and the dollar index forecast.
The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe #DXY is currently exhibiting range-bound behavior within a broader bullish trend on higher timeframes. While the overall bias remains positive, current price action does not present a compelling entry point for a long position. My strategy involves two potential scenarios:
1: Breakdown Scenario: A break below the current range support would provide a discounted long entry opportunity.
2: Breakout and Retest Scenario: A decisive break above the range high, followed by a retest and failure of that level as new resistance, would signal a potential long entry.
Key Technical Considerations:
- Trend Analysis: The higher timeframe bullish trend offers context for potential long setups.
- Market Structure: Understanding the current range structure guides entry and exit points.
- Price Action: Closely monitor price behavior around key support and resistance levels for trade signals.
Disclaimer: This analysis is strictly educational and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own independent research and thoroughly evaluate your risk appetite before executing any trades.
DXY IndexPair : DXY Index
Description :
ELLIOT WAVES - " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " AB " Corrective Waves Completed
Retracement for BREAK OF STRUCTURE
BEARISH CHANNEL as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Retracement
FIBONACCI LEVEL - 61.80%
Divergence in RSI
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Impulse Correction Impulse
Breakout the Upper Trend Line of the Corrective Pattern " BULLISH CHANNEL " in Short Time Frame
According to ELLIOT WAVES , It has completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and Corrective Waves " AB "
HEAD & SHOULDER as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame
DXY: The USD kept its weekly rise ahead of the Fed's decisionThe dollar edged higher in early European trading on Wednesday, heading for its biggest monthly gain since September, while the euro edged lower after weak inflation data.
At 04:45 ET (09:45 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.1% higher at 103.352, on track for more than a gain. 2% this month.
Dollar demand has been buoyant this month as traders trimmed expectations for when the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates due to strong U.S. economic data and reaction from central banks. naughty.
The greenback was also supported by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have weighed on risk sentiment amid fears of a broader regional conflict.
The US central bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged, and so the focus will likely be on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's post-meeting press conference to see if he will signal a cut.
Analysts at ING said: “With US data releases - most recently December JOLTS data showing expanding employment opportunities - there appears to be little reason for the FOMC announcement tonight prompted the market to price in well above the current 130 basis point rate cut this year.” in a note. “This would be a neutral/positive development for the USD.”
There's more labor data to study on Wednesday, in the form of ADP Private Payrolls for January, ahead of weekly initial jobless claims on Thursday and then broad data on Friday. - viewed monthly salary reports.
DXY INDEX New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Rejecting from the Lower Trend Line. Completed " 12 " Impulsive Waves and making its " 3rd - wxy " Wave. EXP Fiat and Symmetrical Triangle in Short Time Frame need to wait for Breakout
DeGRAM | DXY pullback and continuationDXY is in an ascending channel, making higher highs and higher closes. It is in the consolidation zone.
If price pullbacks to the support level and the fibo 38.2% level, the market will probably go up to retest the consolidation zone.
We expect the trend to continue and retest the highs.
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DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis - Where Is The USD Heading?DXY Analysis: The Dollar Index (DXY) has exhibited range-bound behavior recently, lacking a clear directional bias. While there are bearish undertones, a confirmed downtrend requires a break below the current range followed by a failed retest. This video explores multiple timeframes (monthly, weekly, daily, 4-hour) to identify potential dollar direction in the coming days and week. Given the key role of the dollar in shaping currency markets, its trading action significantly impacts opportunities in other pairs. However, with the current sideways movement, identifying high-probability trades could be challenging, especially considering the increased risk associated with end-of-week volatility and potential stop-hunting activity.
Disclaimer: This analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
DXY The uptrend is only halfway there. Still time to buy.The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) gave us the most optimal buy entry last time we analyzed it (December 28 2023, see chart below), exactly at the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up:
Our perspective hasn't changed, this is the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up but this consolidation is simply a standard technical re-accumulation within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is exactly what took place during the previous Bullish Leg around the 1D MA50 (August 03 - 10). Even the 1D RSI indicates that we are on a symmetric Bullish Leg.
Our first Target remains the same (104.500), which is exactly on the 0.5 Channel Fibonacci and marginally below the horizontal 0.618 Fibonacci level. If after that the price pulls-back and re-tests the 1D MA200 and holds as in late August 2023 (i.e. close the 1D candle above it), we will buy again and target the 0.786 horizontal Fibonacci level at 15.900.
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DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
According to Elliot Waves it has completed Impulsive Waves " 12345 " and " AB " Corrective Waves. Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Retracement. Break of Structure with Retracement and Divergence
DXY ( USD Index ) Weekly Outlook.... BEARISHMay profits be upon you.
DXY is now consolidating in between a bullish FVG and an bearish FVG.
But it has been bearish, with downward momentum.
I suspect it will continue this way, as price has found INTERNAL LQ in the bearish FVG, and is now seeking the EXTERNAL LQ at the lows.
I believe the low at 100.320 is the DOL (Draw On Liquidity).
Leave a comment, as I like to receive feedback from viewers!
Thank you.
May profits be upon you.
DXY Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe DXY has exhibited a prolonged period of consolidation, while the higher time frame reveals a robust downtrend. In the video analysis, we observe notable price action, identifying a triple top with a spike above, potentially indicative of a stop run, suggesting the likelihood of continued downward movement. Additionally, the video explores the prospect of a break below the current range low, followed by a retest and subsequent failure, presenting a potential selling opportunity. It is crucial to emphasize that the information provided herein is not intended as financial advice.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video, we take a close look at the Dollar Index (DXY) on higher timeframes to assess the prevailing bullish momentum and its potential implications for traders. We'll delve into market structure, price action, and explore a potential trade setup.
Important Disclaimer: The information presented here is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading carries inherent risk, and proper risk management is essential. Capital preservation remains paramount.
DXY to continue declineDXY started a recovery from 100.257 from the heavy decline due to the pause in the interest rate hikes back in December 13th, 2023. The index started to recover from 28th December and to 102.723 due to the positive news from the last Friday NFP fundamentals. Price was quickly knocked down by the negative news on the ISMs late Friday.
DXY January candle has done a retracement unto the 61.8%-78.6% (EMA 20) of the December bearish candle. As a result of the retracement on the December candle, the DXY is expected to retest the weekly EMA 200 on the key level 100.500 and as at the ending of last Friday, price was resisted by the weekly resistance.
On the Daily, the DXY index is expected to retest the EMA 200 at 101.706 and subsequently retest the key level 101.500 again.
The important fundamentals this week are mainly the Thursday's Core CPI m/m and the Friday's PP1 m/m where the economists are projecting a negative news for the CPI. We need to keep an eagle eye on the news this week to make informed decisions.
What should we expect from DXY Index by the end of 2023❗️❓🗺️👋Hi everyone (Reading time less than 3 minutes⏰) .
📚One of the most important Indices that we should have an analysis of is the DXY index because it has a direct impact on the Forex , Cryptocurrency , and stock and etc markets. So, in this post, I'm going to show you the 🗺️ Roadmap 🗺️ for DXY until at least the End of 2023 and Early 2024 .
💡I used the Monthly time frame and Elliott wave theory to display the DXY index roadmap better.
💡First of all, it is better to know that the DXY index has formed an Ascending Channel since 2008 and is moving in it.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , the DXY index has succeeded in completing its 5 impulsive waves in the ascending channel so that the 3rd wave was an extended wave .
🌊As a result, it seems that Corrective waves have started, and to confirm this, it is better to wait for the break of the lower line of the ascending channel.
🔔I expect the DXY to move between 🔴Heavy Resistance zone($107.62-$103.10)🔴 and 🟢Support zone($101.64-$99.58)🟢 by the end of 2023 and early 2024, and in mid-2024 , the DXY will begin to trend Down , and Financial markets will likely turn 🚀Green🚀 .
DXY Index Analyze ( DXYUSD ), Monthly time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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DXY : Short Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the DXY chart. The price is moving in a descending channel and has pulled back to the indicated key level. If the price cannot break this level and this level plays the role of a resistance level, we expect the price to maintain its downward trend and the price will fall to around 100,700. Good luck.
DXY: Morgan Stanley changes USD forecast to neutral following FeMorgan Stanley updated its outlook for the US dollar, moving to a neutral stance, a significant shift from its previous forecast of an 8% gain in the Dollar Spot Index in the fourth quarter. two of the year. The adjustment comes as a response to the Federal Reserve's recent dovishness and the resulting decline in Treasury yields.
The bank recorded a slight decrease of 0.2% in the Dollar Spot Index, causing its currency strategy to be reevaluated. Due to evolving economic conditions, Morgan Stanley strategists have now advised clients to stay away from short positions in the eurodollar.
Instead, they recommend shorting the euro against the yen, positioning for potential currency fluctuations in the current market environment. This guide shows a strategic pivot in forex trading, in line with the latest economic indicators and central bank policy direction.
DXY Analysis. Was that Bottom? Hello everyone. I want share my idea about dollar index price action.
At 23 November i shared my idea where i said dollar was dead and it were going to fall and it happened ( I will link in that idea that post) In my last stop i said that price was my interesting price where we are now.
Yesterday we had some aggressive buyers, they have good reaction at weekly LVL but will be that reaction sing of trend change? i think its sing of correction. we have here pretty bearish movement which broke lot of resistances which were strong, in my opinion long dollar is early, if it will have some strong reaction at daily resistance then we can say it was correction but lets see what will be trend from New Year. Here is second reason why i think that, US20 bond is still pretty bearish, their economy is not strong enough yet for rise dollar price but who knows, i short both in November ( i will link that analysis in this idea)
For my idea i have some scenes.
Scene 1 - price took buy orders at weekly support which was lot of and it had reaction after big fall but sellers is still strong and price still fall down.
Scene 2 - price don't have enough seller, for that it testing daily resistance where seller will active, it will make correction and continue fall.
Scene 3 - price took lot of strong buy orders, this weekly support zone was interesting also for hedge funds and for new year trend will change which will be sing for new Position signals.
Always manage your risk and make your own research!!!