Dxysignals
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Completed the Breakout of the Daily Descending Trend Line But it hasn't Completed the Retracement. Making Corrective Wave " B " in LTF and STF. Break of Structure , Broke and Retraced Previous Resistance. Divergence - RSI
Entry Precaution :
Israel / Palestine War is affecting the Market , It is unstable so be careful and Use Proper Risk Management
DXY Flashes of a correction. Ready to sell?The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has formed Lower Highs following the October 03 High and is approaching the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the first level of Support and has been intact since August 10. This pattern started after the 1D RSI formed Lower Highs (September 27 and October 03), while the index was still on Higher Highs, thus a Bullish Divergence. The October 03 High is technically a Higher High on a 10-month Megaphone pattern.
The same RSI Bullish Divergence emerged during the previous two tops (March 08 and May 31) and all produced a Channel Down that broke below the 1D MA50 and later made a -4.80% extension. As a result, we consider this still an early strong sell opportunity. This time however we also have the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) posing as a Support, so consider taking profit there if you see a bounce and candle closing above it.
Thus, Target 1 is 103.650 (1D MA200), which is slightly above the Megaphone's pivot (has made numerous bounces both as Resistance and Support) and Target 2 is 102.350 (3.0 Fibonacci extension), which is slightly above the -4.85% projection.
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DXY - Fed Chairman: 'Inflation is still too high'Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that although inflation has cooled, the Fed remains committed to achieving its 2% target.
In a speech in New York on October 19, Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that tightening policy had brought inflation back under control, but stressed that the Fed must remain cautious in pursuing its goals. .
“Inflation remains too high. A few months of positive statistics are just the beginning of giving us confidence that inflation will return to target. But it remains to be seen how long these positive numbers will last, or how inflation will fare in the coming quarters. I don't know yet whether that will happen." He reiterated that Fed officials are "unanimously committed to bringing inflation down to 2%."
The speech raises questions about the Fed's future policy after a series of consecutive interest rate hikes. The Fed has raised interest rates 11 times since March 2022, and the current interest rate is 5.25%. This is the highest level in 22 years.
However, Chairman Powell believes that current interest rates are not too high. "Are the guidelines too strict? I don't think so," he said, but acknowledged that "rising interest rates are making things difficult for everyone."
The Fed also highlighted recent good progress on its goals. The inflation rate as of September was 3.7%, a significant drop from over 9% in the middle of last year. "The latest figures show progress on both our goals of maximum employment and price stability. The economy remains in very good shape."
But the comments came on the same day as reports showed the number of people applying for unemployment benefits last week was the lowest since the start of the year. This indicates that the labor market is tightening, which could put upward pressure on inflation.
In recent days, a number of Fed officials have said the Fed may temporarily pause rate hikes. Even the most pro-tightening members expect the Fed to wait for further economic impact from its last rate hike. The market now expects the Fed to halt rate hikes, at least for now.
The question is when will they start cutting interest rates? “If the environment remains risky and uncertain, we will be more cautious. The Fed will make decisions based on upcoming data, prospects and risks,” Powell said.
DXY - The US dollar index is showing signs of slowing downEconomists said the Fed had completed its monetary tightening cycle, reducing the chances of the U.S. going into recession.
In the Wall Street Journal's latest quarterly survey, economists and business leaders lowered the odds of the U.S. going into recession next year from an average of 54% in July to a more optimistic 48%. This is the first time since the middle of last year that the probability has fallen below 50%.
He mainly attributes his optimism to three factors. Inflation continues to decline, the Federal Reserve has finished raising interest rates, the job market is strong, and economic growth is well above expectations. The survey was conducted October 6-11 among 65 economists. Doug Porter and Scott Anderson, economists at BMO, say the odds of the U.S. going into recession continue to decline as the banking sector crisis eases and the labor market and incomes recover strongly. Rising real income supported consumption.
DXY Index New Week MovePair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Impulsive Waves " 12345 " and Corrective Wave " A " Completed. We have Break of Structure with the Retracement , It can Reject from Fibonacci Level - 50.00 / 61.80%. Bearish Channel in Short Time Frame it will Complete its Retracement and will Complete its " B " Corrective Wave
Entry Precautions :
Because of Israel / Palestine War Market can make false move so be careful
⚠️DXY will Go Down again⏰(15-Min)⏰⚠️DXY Index is running near the Uptrend line and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , the DXY index has succeeded in completing its 5 ascending waves near the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive peaks.
🔔I expect the DXY Index to trend lower in the coming hours and at least go down to the 🟢 Support zone($106.330_$106.160) 🟢.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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💸DXY Index💸 will Go Up by Falling Wedge Pattern⏰(1-Hour)⏰✅The DXY Index has completed a Falling Wedge Pattern in the 🟢Heavy Support zone($105.80_$104.530)🟢 and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two consecutive valleys .
🔔I expect the DXY Index will go UP after breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern to the 🔴 Resistance zone 🔴.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY NEW MACRO ANALYSISClosing of the day or week below or above this level will determine the DXY movement.
Before this jump in the last analysis, I wrote that divergences were formed and that dxy should now jump.
News along with divergences pushed the price.
If the price keeps this level, the expectation is 108, as was the plan all this time, but we will see what the price shows
DXY Index will Go Down to 🟢Heavy Support zone🟢(1-Hour)⏰✅The DXY index managed to break the Uptrend line and 🟢 Support zone 🟢.
💫Currently, DXY reacted well to the Resistance line and formed a 💫Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern💫 near this line in the 1-hour time frame ⏰.
🔔I expect the DXY to trend lower in the coming hours , enter the 🟢 Heavy Support zone 🟢, and fall to at least the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
USD is showing positive signals amid tensions in the Middle EastEarlier this week, the safe-haven dollar strengthened against the euro as military clashes between Israel and the Palestinian Islamic militant group Hamas raised concerns that the conflict could spread beyond Gaza. However, the dollar weakened against other major currencies.
Yesterday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel's response to the multi-pronged attack by Palestinian armed groups from Gaza would "transform the Middle East." Risk sentiment is fragile as Israel announces it is mobilizing 300,000 reservists and imposing a complete blockade of Gaza amid potential attacks in response to weekend attacks by Hamas.
Fed member Bostic told the American Bankers Association that even if the Fed raises interest rates to slow the economy while keeping inflation in check, there is no prospect of a recession. Joseph Trevisani, a senior analyst at FX Street in New York, said Bostic's response comes amid the eruption of conflict in the Gaza Strip.
Analysts also said the decline in U.S. yields initially reflected comments from Fed officials that there may not be a need for further rate hikes given the rise in long-term yields, and the port sector becoming a safe-haven asset following a monetary policy clash. He said this was due to comments from traders who were looking for. Hamas and Israel.
Traders are currently waiting for key US inflation figures to be released today, October 11th. Investors are also keeping an eye on developments surrounding the conflict between Israel and the Palestinian Islamic group Hamas.
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Retracement. Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " A " Corrective Wave. We have Strong Divergence and Break of Structure
Entry Precautions :
Don't Enter until its Rejects from Previous Support or Complete its Retracement
DeGRAM | Dollar index. Long to resistanceDXY broke the ascending channel and moved lower. However, the trend is bullish.
Price action is slowing as it approaches support.
We expect the price to go lower from the previous low because we don't have a proper higher high, and in order to make new highs, the price has to go lower.
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DXY will Fall by Head and Shoulders Pattern⏰(1-Hour)⏰✅The DXY Index has managed to form a Head and Shoulders Pattern in the 🔴Resistance zone🔴.
🔨DXY broke the 🟢 Support zone 🟢 and Neckline hours ago.
🔔I expect DXY to start falling again to 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡and Uptrend line after completing the pullback to Neckline .
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY King Dollar has still fuel on this rally.The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is on a strong 3 month rally that has taken the market by surprise. However if we look on the (much) larger time-frames such as today's 1M (monthly), we see that this move wasn't so unexpected.
First of all, the price rebounded just before it hit the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). On a large scale, DXY is simply extending the Channel Up pattern that emerged after the market broken above the Lower Highs of 1985 on the January 2015 candle. Fed wanted to believe it but this break-out extended the Channel Up that has already started on the 2008 bottom, the peak of the Housing Crisis. The central bank policies certainly achieved at keeping the greenback the most desired currency in the world.
Now back to the analysis, we can see that the 1M RSI symmetry suggests that the price might be on the final bullish wave before a new correction to or even below the 1M MA50. Still though, the current bullish wave has much room to grow before it exhausts.
Do you think it will keep rising and maybe reverse by Q2 2024?
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DeGRAM | Dollar Index longDXY is in a bullish trend and broke and closed above the 106.000 level.
Price action is trading in the ascending channel. If price pullbacks to support level,we can look for buying opportunities.
We expect the resistance zone to be tested because the price broke a significant level of resistance.
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🚨DXY Index is Ready to Fall🚨(1-hour)🏃♂️The DXY Index is moving in a 🔴Heavy Resistance Zone🔴.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , the DXY index is near the end of five impulsive waves .
🔔I expect wave 5 to end near the Resistance line and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and start to fall.
DXY Index Analyze ( DXYUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.