🗺️DXY Index Roadmap🗺️⏰(4-hour time frame)⏰🏃♂️The DXY index has been moving in a Descending channel for a month .
🌊According to Elliott's theory , it seems that the DXY index has completed its 5 downward waves near the lower line of the descending channel after breaking the 🟢Support zone($103.78_$102.93) 🟢.
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
💡I expect the DXY index to move towards the upper line of the descending channel and in the first step, we have to wait for the middle line of the descending channel to be broken ( the middle line has already played the role of support and resistance ).
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰.
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Dxysignals
USD Weakens; Currencies ResilientThe Dollar Index (DXY), measuring the greenback against a basket of key currencies, extended its decline to 103.40 (from 103.75) during the holiday trading session.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) outperformed, causing USD/CAD to drop by 0.7% to 1.3615, hitting a one-month low. Canada's year-on-year retail sales for September surged to 2.7%, beating expectations of 2.0%.
The British Pound (GBP/USD) rebounded to 1.2605 (from 1.2540), while the Euro (EUR/USD) rose to 1.0942 (from 1.0905). Germany's IFO Business Climate increased to 87.3 in November, beating forecasts but slightly lower than the previous reading of 86.9.
The Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) extended gains to 0.6585 from 0.6560, nearing its three-month high. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD/USD) climbed to 0.6085 (from 0.6045) on strong sentiment from Australia and risk appetite.
Against the Japanese Yen, the U.S. Dollar (USD/JPY) dipped to 149.45 from 149.65 in subdued trading. The greenback closed lower against Asian and emerging market currencies.
USD/CNH (Dollar-Offshore Chinese Yuan) dropped to 7.1475 from 7.1515, and USD/THB (Dollar-Thai Baht) ended nearly unchanged at 35.40 (from 35.43). USD/SGD fell to 1.3405 from 1.3420.
Global bond yields rose, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield reaching 4.47% (from 4.40%). The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield increased to 4.95% (from 4.90%). Germany's 10-year Bund yield rose by 3 basis points to 2.64%, and Japan's 10-year JGB yield spiked to 0.76% (from 0.71%).
The U.S. stock markets closed stable on Thanksgiving, with the Dow rising 0.27% to 35,383 (from 35,287), and the S&P decreasing to 4,557 (from 4,560). Global equity markets showed mixed performance.
The VIX, measuring U.S. stock market volatility, dropped to its lowest close since January 2020, reaching 12.46, a 2.7% decrease. Increasing expectations suggest that central bank tightening measures have concluded, contributing to calmer stock markets.
DXY is Ready to Go UP🚀🏃♂️The DXY index is moving in the 🟢 Support zone($103.78_$102.93) 🟢 near the SMA(200) and 1 00_SMA(Weekly) .
🕯If we want to look at the last three daily candles of the DXY index from the candlestick pattern, we can see the reversal patterns of Hammer and Morning Star very well.
💡Also, another sign that shows us the end of the downward trend of the DXY index is the Falling Wedge Pattern in the RSI indicator .👇
🔔I expect the DXY index to trend higher in the coming days and attack the 🔴Resistance zone($105.88_$104.630)🔴 again.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, Daily frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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DXY hit our 1 month target. Will it bounce soon?Exactly 1 month ago we made a bearish call on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) after the 1D RSI printed a series of Lower Highs, showcasing a Bearish Divergence:
Target 1 (103.650) has been hit as the price touched the Pivot trend-line of the 11 month Megaphone pattern. We are moving Target 2 higher at 102.500, which is still near the 3.0 Fibonacci extension (the target of the previous 2 Bearish Sequences of the Megaphone) but is also at the bottom of the Channel Up pattern (dotted trend-lines) that may emerge.
With the 1D RSI oversold on that target, as on the July 14 Low, we expect a rebound, and at least on the short-term we will target Resistance 1 (previous Lower High of the bearish sequence) at 104.550 on a potential contact with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
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DXY Index Pair : DXY Index
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Wave and " A " Corrective Wave at Fibonacci Level - 38.20%. Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Rejection from the Upper Trend Line it will reach Lower Trend Line / Demand Zone to complete its " z " Wave
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Breakout / Rejection
Fed stance and BOE rate cut expectations impact bond yields and After the latest monetary policy meeting, financial markets reacted to statements from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the Bank of England (BoE). These reactions led to large changes in bond yields and the value of the dollar.
After the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, markets tilted toward a cautious interpretation of Powell's remarks, even though the Fed maintained its hawkish stance. Despite recognition of the US's strong economic performance, concerns about tightening financial conditions and questions about the reliability of scatterplots have led to suggestions that US interest rates may have peaked. There is. This sentiment has led to lower bond yields and a decline in the value of the dollar. In contrast, three out of nine Monetary Policy Committee members at the BoE meeting supported a 25 basis point rate hike. However, rising UK unemployment and a forecast of zero growth in 2024 pose major challenges, with GBP/USD moving above previous support/resistance levels as the dollar weakens and US yields fall. Rose.
DXY IndexPair : DXY Index
Description :
Completed Impulse and HH - HL , Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern for Trend Reversal it will Follow LL - LH until it completed the Retracement for the Wedge and Break of structure. Demand Zone at Fibonacci Level 38.20% can React as strong Support
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it Rejects with Strong Price Action
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Wave and " A " Corrective Wave , It will Complete its " B " Corrective Wave at Daily S / R Level. Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Retest
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Completed Reject the Falling Wedge or S / R Level
DXY Index New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
Completed the Breakout of the Daily Descending Trend Line But it hasn't Completed the Retracement. Making Corrective Wave " B " in LTF and STF. Break of Structure , Broke and Retraced Previous Resistance. Divergence - RSI
Entry Precaution :
Israel / Palestine War is affecting the Market , It is unstable so be careful and Use Proper Risk Management
DXY Flashes of a correction. Ready to sell?The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has formed Lower Highs following the October 03 High and is approaching the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the first level of Support and has been intact since August 10. This pattern started after the 1D RSI formed Lower Highs (September 27 and October 03), while the index was still on Higher Highs, thus a Bullish Divergence. The October 03 High is technically a Higher High on a 10-month Megaphone pattern.
The same RSI Bullish Divergence emerged during the previous two tops (March 08 and May 31) and all produced a Channel Down that broke below the 1D MA50 and later made a -4.80% extension. As a result, we consider this still an early strong sell opportunity. This time however we also have the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) posing as a Support, so consider taking profit there if you see a bounce and candle closing above it.
Thus, Target 1 is 103.650 (1D MA200), which is slightly above the Megaphone's pivot (has made numerous bounces both as Resistance and Support) and Target 2 is 102.350 (3.0 Fibonacci extension), which is slightly above the -4.85% projection.
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DXY - Fed Chairman: 'Inflation is still too high'Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that although inflation has cooled, the Fed remains committed to achieving its 2% target.
In a speech in New York on October 19, Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that tightening policy had brought inflation back under control, but stressed that the Fed must remain cautious in pursuing its goals. .
“Inflation remains too high. A few months of positive statistics are just the beginning of giving us confidence that inflation will return to target. But it remains to be seen how long these positive numbers will last, or how inflation will fare in the coming quarters. I don't know yet whether that will happen." He reiterated that Fed officials are "unanimously committed to bringing inflation down to 2%."
The speech raises questions about the Fed's future policy after a series of consecutive interest rate hikes. The Fed has raised interest rates 11 times since March 2022, and the current interest rate is 5.25%. This is the highest level in 22 years.
However, Chairman Powell believes that current interest rates are not too high. "Are the guidelines too strict? I don't think so," he said, but acknowledged that "rising interest rates are making things difficult for everyone."
The Fed also highlighted recent good progress on its goals. The inflation rate as of September was 3.7%, a significant drop from over 9% in the middle of last year. "The latest figures show progress on both our goals of maximum employment and price stability. The economy remains in very good shape."
But the comments came on the same day as reports showed the number of people applying for unemployment benefits last week was the lowest since the start of the year. This indicates that the labor market is tightening, which could put upward pressure on inflation.
In recent days, a number of Fed officials have said the Fed may temporarily pause rate hikes. Even the most pro-tightening members expect the Fed to wait for further economic impact from its last rate hike. The market now expects the Fed to halt rate hikes, at least for now.
The question is when will they start cutting interest rates? “If the environment remains risky and uncertain, we will be more cautious. The Fed will make decisions based on upcoming data, prospects and risks,” Powell said.
DXY - The US dollar index is showing signs of slowing downEconomists said the Fed had completed its monetary tightening cycle, reducing the chances of the U.S. going into recession.
In the Wall Street Journal's latest quarterly survey, economists and business leaders lowered the odds of the U.S. going into recession next year from an average of 54% in July to a more optimistic 48%. This is the first time since the middle of last year that the probability has fallen below 50%.
He mainly attributes his optimism to three factors. Inflation continues to decline, the Federal Reserve has finished raising interest rates, the job market is strong, and economic growth is well above expectations. The survey was conducted October 6-11 among 65 economists. Doug Porter and Scott Anderson, economists at BMO, say the odds of the U.S. going into recession continue to decline as the banking sector crisis eases and the labor market and incomes recover strongly. Rising real income supported consumption.
DXY Index New Week MovePair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Impulsive Waves " 12345 " and Corrective Wave " A " Completed. We have Break of Structure with the Retracement , It can Reject from Fibonacci Level - 50.00 / 61.80%. Bearish Channel in Short Time Frame it will Complete its Retracement and will Complete its " B " Corrective Wave
Entry Precautions :
Because of Israel / Palestine War Market can make false move so be careful
⚠️DXY will Go Down again⏰(15-Min)⏰⚠️DXY Index is running near the Uptrend line and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , the DXY index has succeeded in completing its 5 ascending waves near the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive peaks.
🔔I expect the DXY Index to trend lower in the coming hours and at least go down to the 🟢 Support zone($106.330_$106.160) 🟢.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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💸DXY Index💸 will Go Up by Falling Wedge Pattern⏰(1-Hour)⏰✅The DXY Index has completed a Falling Wedge Pattern in the 🟢Heavy Support zone($105.80_$104.530)🟢 and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two consecutive valleys .
🔔I expect the DXY Index will go UP after breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern to the 🔴 Resistance zone 🔴.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY NEW MACRO ANALYSISClosing of the day or week below or above this level will determine the DXY movement.
Before this jump in the last analysis, I wrote that divergences were formed and that dxy should now jump.
News along with divergences pushed the price.
If the price keeps this level, the expectation is 108, as was the plan all this time, but we will see what the price shows