GOLD TRADING IDEA 16 NOVEMBERAs per our last gold analysis reports , we have been supporting gold bullish bias, the reason being the improved CPI report sentiment holding more weight as well as the producer price index yesterday adding on it,
summarizing all thing the new fear , uncertainty & doubt , new war sanctions by US on Russia & Iran , Poland uncertainty causing the demand in safe heaven,
so fundamentals & Technical are still supporting our bullish bias in gold,
We have retail sales data today @ 7.00 PM IST, which will be a kicker for any upside or down side direction.
Trade setups for today.
1. Pullback to 1765-1766 is buy Targeting 1785-1786
2.Break above 1781 is buy Targeting 1800
3.A short pullback to 1768-1770 is buy Targeting 1790-1795.
4. A deeper pullback to 1801-1802 is sell targeting 1770.
5. Safe sell below 1763
Dxytradingsetup
dxy #1dxy is at a nice turning point after a nice bearish push to end the week dxy tries to climb back up on market open
upside right now is a bit limited unless i see a break above 107.500
failing to break the daily pivot at the moment and also opening below a weekly pivot im currently looking for another bearish push down for dxy which should pump gold a bit
DXY Index New Possible Move#DXY ( Dollar Index )
- DESCENDING TRIANGLE Pattern formed Indicating the Trend Reversal and Break out of the Lower Trend Line
- BREAK OF STRUCTURE #BOS
- BEARISH Trend Continuation after the Break of DEMAND ZONE ( 110.237 - 109.477 )
- Buying Divergence in Long Time Frame #LTF
- Completed " 12 " Impulsive Wave and making its " 3 " Wave
dxy next move2 scenarios can happen the dollar is bullish right now since it just recently broke a high now i would like a pull back but tbh it could just keep pushing up to the high b4 coming back down but once price gets to that high i will see how price action develops
this is just more confirmation on golds sells we are already in for the pull back
110.360-110-800 area where i see it pushing to
dxy #1this is a turning point for dxy it did create a lower high last week close also opened with a gap
also has a lot of trend line liquidity resting below and the external trend is still down
now on the flip side there is equal highs and also dxy could push up to the 112 area which would be a nice discounted move
DXY New Week Possible Move#DXY - DOLLAR
FALLING WEDGE Pattern in Long Time Frame #LTF and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
Impulse Correction Impulse Completed the " ABC " Corrective Wave will Again Follow Impulsive Wave ( Bullish )
Buying Divergence in #RSI
Falling Wedge Pattern also in Short Time Frame #STF and Breakout of the Upper Trend Line #UTL and Completed the Retest
Bullish Moves Expected till the Upper Trend Line #UTL or Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
20 REASON FOR SHORT DOLLER INDEX1 Structure analysis time frame DAILY
2 target time frame :DAILY
3 Current Move : IMPULSE
4 Entry Time Frame : H4
4.1 Entry TF Structure: BEARISH
4.2 entry move : RETRACEMENT
5 Suppot resistence base : H1 ORDER BLOCK BLOCK
6 FIB: DISCOUNTES AREA
7 candle Pattern: MOMENTUM ENGULFING
8 Chart Pattern: RISING WEDGE BREAKOUT
9 Volume : DRIED
10 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: SIDEWAYS
11 Volatility measure bollinger bands: POSSIABLE DIVERGENCE MOVE
12 strength ADX: BEARISH
13 Sentiment ROC: STRONG BUT ITS A DAILY CORRECTION
14 final comment : GOING DOWN FOR A FINAL TARGET
15 : decision SELL
16 Entry: 110.540
17 Stop losel: 111.090
18 Take profit: 108.260
19 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:4
Excepted Duration : 4 DAYS
dxy up or downa niceeeeee down move giving you direction on all the other dxy pairs but this dollar weakness could be coming to a pause as it approaches this key level
now with that being said it could just break down at this level and go fill that fair value gap and cause a nice up move for gold
we have to see how price develops here but it is a point of intrest everyone should be watching
DXY remains extremely strongIn my previous DXY analysis I said that 113 should provide strong resistance and a drop from here is probable.
Although we indeed has a drop, this was short-lived and didn't reach my 110 target and reversed from the ascending trend line indicating that bulls are not done yet.
Now the price is again close to this resistance and the Morning Star candle formation combined with yesterday's Pin Bar gives us an indication of upside pressing and imminent upbreak.
Confirmation for this bullish outlook comes with a break above 113 and, considering the 400 pips base of the symmetrical triangle, the target can be around 117.
A break under recent low would put a pause in this bullish scenario.
DXY Dollar Next Possible MoveTechnical Analysis Chart Update
DXY - Dollar
Time Frame - H1
We have Bullish Channel Pattern as a Correction in Long Time Frame #LTF and according to that it will Reject from the Lower Trend Line #LTL and Current Strong Demand Zone
We have Buying Divergence in #RSI
It is also Following the Elliot waves in Short Time Frame #STF and it has completed " 1234 " Impulsive waves and it will Complete its " 5 " Impulsive wave at Daily Resistance Level
dxy is not done!!!theres equal highs here so i beleive we see a test to that orderblock which is right by a key pivot level dxy still has a bit more upside when it gets to that level ill see what it does but if bears come in we could finally see dxy make a nice move down but until then its not done yet !!!!
DXY: UNDER THE RISING WEDGE.Hello traders, I hope you all are doing good. Here's an update on DXY (the US Dollar Currency Index). I hope this idea will be helpful for you all.
Time frame: 1 Day.
Update: The US Dollars Index has been outperforming for a pretty long time. As you can see in the chart, a beautiful rising wedge pattern has been respectfully followed throughout the year. Till now, this pattern has not been broken down but we can clearly see that the DXY is under the rejection zone. It has been continuously falling down for the last 6 days and according to the analysis, it must reach down to the lower support level at 108 for a proper pattern.
The interesting thing to notice will be whether DXY will hold the support or will it break down below the lower trendline. Well, time will tell that part of the story and for now we better focus on the red candles forming on DXY. If DXY shows rejection till the lower trendline, we can expect the market to show some greens but we better be careful and take our trades wisely.
I am signing off for now. Trade safely until we meet again.
Thank you for all your support.
DXY US Dollar Bearish DivergenceThe US dollar is losing strength after getting rejected from the 2nd top. It also formed bearish divergence.
Currently, it is holding above the trend-line support and a breakdown below it, would be a bearish confirmation for it and if it gave a close above 2nd top then that would confirm more upside move in the price of the US dollar.
dxy where is the dollar going!we are at a very very key area right at this bullish order block on the 4hr dxy needed to pull back to in order for it to be the next leg up only if it holds of course but this is a area you want to watch if your trading and dxy pairs could be giving entries on a lot of pairs for a medium to long term swing
a break below this level can show bullish ness in dxy pairs but once again the trend is up so it has to show us bears are in control by break that green area which i dont see after a major pull back that size with no news
i would love to see the bulls take control soon but this is the 4hr so we have to wait for some more closes showing rejections at this level