Dxytradingsetup
DXY is bottomingWhat is clear is that USD is weak but also is clear that the market can't be unidirectional indefinitely.
Usd counterparts started the year strong but the new highs (and new lows for the index) are marginal and lacking power. So far all that USD could do was to have some intraday correction and I think this is about to change and we will have a lasting correction.
That being said I will look for opportunities of buying USD and my preferred pairs are EurUsd, AudUsd and NzdUsd for short and UsdJpy&UsdCad for long trades
DXY- Dollar bears should be very careful now!I was pretty bearish USD till now and I wasn't disappointed by now and although in the long run I maintain my bearish outlook on DXY, at this point a drastic correction can be just around the corner.
With DXY approaching a strong support and old congestion zone around 89, I think Dollar bears should be very careful.
From the risk point of view also I can't see a favorable trade on the short side so, in my opinion, we should look to buy USD especially with NZD,AUD and CAD
DXY- Correction underway?A great volatility day for USD Index yesterday and, after opening with a gap up, the index fell in the afternoon and from a technical point of view, just filled the gap.
Now it seems like we have a strong base on 90 and slightly under and I expect a correction to follow.
Pairs that I have in focus for selling are EurUsd, NzdUsd and AudUsd
DXY- Important breakAs I said before, I'm very bearish USD, and till now things worked that way.
Now, after breaking down the flag formation, we have another important break for USD index: the horizontal support and previous low.
In my opinion rallies on USD should be sold and we can soon have new local highs for EurUsd, AudUsd, GbpUsd and NzdUsd
DXY- USD shows no life at allLast week I said that I expect a new low from USD Index and my opinion doesn't change.
After a short-lived rebound from 90.60 support, DXY opened last night with a gap and dropped again, not being able at least to close the hole gap.
This tells me that a break under the support area could be just around the corner and DXY can have a new leg down even under 90 psychological support.
Under these conditions, EurUsd is my first choice to buy.
DXY- Could it go under 90.50?Two weeks ago I said that I expect 92 support to fall , and now we have this break, and Dollar index is trading at 90.65 at the time of writing. More important is that DXY is now just above another support situated at 90.50.
If we look closely at the chart we can see that after finding support at 90.50, USD Index made a short term double bottom that I've spoken about and although we have a correction at that point this was very short-lived and the index reversed and broke under the flag pattern support.
I expect USD to remain weak and, indeed, we can have a break under 90.50 support. The next support is around 89 zone and, in this situation, EurUsd can be the best bet for rising and challenge 1.25
DXY- Double bottom on H1, correction underway?As I correctly anticipated, DXY broke under 92 important support and that lead to a 1.5% loss for the index, a strong break above 1.2 for EurUsd and GbpUsd reaching 1.35.
Now the index found support in 90.50 area and has formed a small double bottom visible on H1 chart. The neckline of the pattern is broken and we can expect a correction to 91.50 zone resistance.
I will look to sell rallies for EurUsd, GbpUsd, AudUsd and NzdUsd in this context.
DXY to break supportAs I said over the weekend, I expect 92 support to fall, and if we look closely at the price action in USD major pairs we can see that each and every dollar's attempt to strengthen was sold by bears.
Considering 3 months of consolidation above this support and the fact that the index is pushing and pressing down I expect this break not only to happen but for USD to spiral down in the medium term.
My favorite pairs for buying in this context are: EurUsd, GbpUsd and AudUsd
DXY- A break under 92 means disaster for USD (weekly outlook)For 3 months now, DXY is trading in a range between 92 zone support and 94.50 zone resistance.
Although the 92 support has not been broken yet, USD seems very weak with all rallies being very well caped by bears.
I believe that this support will fall eventually and USD will spiral down to 88 support.
In this context AUD, NZD, GBP, and EUR should be bought against the dollar and I'm looking for a medium-term gain of around 5% for these pairs
DXY Lacks powerFor now, DXY is trading above 92 important support, and although this is an important support USD looks very weak overall.
The price seems to press on this support and we can assist a break soon.
That being said USD is bearish on medium-term and only a break and sustained buying power above 93 would shift things in bulls favor.
Dollar Index- To see range trading92 zone proved to be strong support for DXY and last week the price turned from this zone putting in a nice bullish engulfing from here.
The price corrected the recent up move and now looks ready to challenge the range resistance at around 94.
In this context i will look for selling opportunities in EurUsd, AudUsd, NzdUsd and GbpUsd
USD- Up against the ropesUsd failed to have a meaningful correction to 96, as I initially thought and, after a false break of the trend line resistance is now trading in horizontal support.
The situation for USD in all its major counterparts is not at all "in the pink" and I believe this support will fall next week.
That being said I will look to buy dips on EurUsd, GbpUsd, AudUsd and NzdUsd
DXY- To break or not to break?To break is my opinion...
As I said in my previous analyzes, I'm bullish DXY.
The index has clear support above 92 and at this moment is trading just in trend line resistance. I believe this resistance will give up and will see an upwards acceleration for DXY.
My target is 96 with interim resistance just under 95
Usd should be bought on corrections against its counterparts
DXY- Waiting for bullish confirmationI'm bullish USD on medium-term, and the price action for Usd Index comes to confirm my outlook.
92-92.50 zone is extremely strong support for the index and now we have a false break under the previous low which gives me reasons to expect higher prices.
A clear confirmation for bulls comes with a break of the down trend-line and, as I said in past occasions, DXY could reach 96 resistance
DXY- Would history repeat its self?For 2 months now, DXY is in a consolidation with no clear direction.
I'm bullish USD in the medium term for quite some time and if we look at the last long consolidation from the beginning of 2018 we can see the structures are similar.
If history is to repeat its self we can expect the major pairs to fall and with AudUsd already in a downtrend, UsdCad with clear support and NzdUsd in the final stages of a H&S, here is where I will look for opportunities to buy USD
DXY-Trendline and 93.00 resistance aheadDXY
Due to the stimulus talks sluggishness has caused the DXY to reach the current bottom level and broad risk on mode helps the other major currency pairs against greenback but DXY has managed to re bounce from 92.477 And reached the upper side of the trend line and today DXY firmly broken the trend line too and 93.000 will act as major barrier for the bull. DXY is currently in consolidation phase we can expect strong bullish run in coming days