US inflation before dollar fallThe dollar edged lower in early European trading on Monday as traders remained cautious ahead of the release of key U.S. inflation data that could provide further clues about FBI policy. Future Federal Reserve System.
As of 3:20 a.m. ET (7:20 p.m. Japan time), the dollar index, which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of six other currencies, was down 0.1% at 105.627.
US consumer price data attracting attention
The new week began with a weaker dollar as traders awaited the release of October's U.S. consumer price index for an update on the Fed's progress in reining in low-level inflation. Last year was the highest level in decades.
Inflation is expected to rise by 0.1% per month. CPI rose 0.4% in September due to an unexpected rise in rents, but also showed that underlying inflationary pressures had eased slightly. October's jobs report, which suggested labor market conditions are easing, could fuel rumors that interest rates could peak if the economic slowdown accelerates further.
But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell suggested last week that the fight against inflation may not be over yet and that the Fed could raise interest rates further, a view echoed by many of his Fed chairmen this week. Supported.
"While it's clear from the federal funds futures curve that the market remains highly skeptical about whether further rate hikes will occur, Powell's comments could be the culmination of recent resistance to gradual price adjustment. There is a sex.”
A number of Fed speakers are expected to contribute this week, especially in terms of leaving open the possibility of further rate hikes that could support the dollar, especially if inflation data shows prices are stabilizing. He is likely to agree with Chairman Powell.
Dxyupdate
DXY continued to rise significantly and gold prices started to fThe DXY index, also known as the USD index, is a measure of the strength of the U.S. dollar relative to six of the United States' major trading partners, including the euro (EUR), yen, and Japanese yen (JPY). ), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK), Swiss Franc (CHF).
The USD Index is calculated from the exchange rates of 6 other currencies (together with the parts that make up the USD Index): EUR 57.6%, JPY 13.6%, GBP 11.9%, CAD 9.1%, SEK 4.2%, CHF 3.6%. Therefore, fluctuations in this index depend not only on the US domestic economy, but also on its correlation with major economies around the world.
To understand this better, let's look back a little at history. When the US Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 1994, the dollar appreciated until 2000 as tech stocks rose. However, the bursting of the dot-com bubble and the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks ended DXY's bullish momentum and caused the US dollar to plummet. DXY fell to historic lows during the 2008 financial crisis.
The DXY index started rising again from his 2011 year. This is mainly due to two factors. First, in 2011, most economies in southern Europe were in a difficult situation due to over-indebtedness, which led to a weak euro and a strong US dollar. Second, the Fed first talked about tapering its bond purchases in 2013 and began raising interest rates in 2015. In 2016, with the election of Donald Trump as US president, the dollar hit a 13-year high amid confidence that the Federal Reserve would increase spending on roads, bridges and industry, as well as raise interest rates. , investors are optimistic about future growth rates. of the US economy.
DXY:Oil prices recovered after a volatile end to OctoberOil prices rose slightly in Asian trade on Wednesday, the first in five months, as traders priced in lower risk premiums from the Israel-Hamas war and focus now shifted to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. I have recovered from the worst month of .
The market also had mixed data on U.S. oil inventories, showing that while overall inventories increased, gasoline and distillate inventories declined significantly.
Oil prices have fallen sharply in recent trading amid growing expectations that Israel and Hamas will not have a significant impact on Middle East oil flows, especially with no Arab powers in sight. Others are also involved in the conflict.
However, the World Bank has warned that the conflict could continue to affect oil supplies and cause prices to rise. However, the organization also predicts that oil prices will remain depressed until 2024 on the back of slowing global economic growth. Concerns over weak demand in China also weighed on oil markets, following disappointing factory activity data released on Tuesday by the world's biggest oil importer. The figures came after a dire business report in the euro zone, raising concerns about a slowdown in global economic growth.
Latest news: Gold price has surpassed the $2,000 mark, as demandGold prices rose above $2,000 amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and demand for safe-haven assets ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. However, the 10-year bond yield has reached 5.02%, the highest level since 2007, and remains high.
The increase in the US government's debt service rate strengthens the strength of the US dollar, leading to increases in the price of both the US dollar and gold. But gold, which doesn't pay interest, is often under selling pressure when the U.S. dollar and government bond yields rise.
Despite these factors and the fact that U.S. real yields have reached a 15-year high of over 2.60%, gold prices remain resilient.
DXY 12Oct2023DXY confirmed this week that its price has been bearish and is currently attempting to break through the reversal area. If the reversal line is successfully penetrated, it will confirm the bearish trend, although there is a possibility of a temporary bullish correction. The initial bearish target is 103.500
DXY Analysis 18Sep2023After Sunday and Monday's closure, the price seems to have stabilized. I have highlighted the area where the price remained. It would be wise to wait for the price to move out of the lower box region. If the price breaks through the bearish trend, there could be a chance of a reversal. However, if the price breaks through the bullish trend, the price will continue to rise.
DXY 23June2023DXY's journey since the last analysis is still in accordance with the roadmap, now there is a change in the character of the trend. there is a possibility of reversal. the price has broken the trendline resistance and formed a new high.
Currently the price is moving close to SnD and is still held by the trendline, there is a possibility of a retrace. when the price drops but does not fall deeper than the invalid area, then the possibility is positive for bullish.
Dollar Index Chart Analysis....
In this situation DXY chart Long tarm create bullish rectangle pattern.So, market
first buy correction @ 111:315 and 111:950 resistance level. Then sell to 109.400 support
zone. If breakout 113.080 resistance level, then market Buy UP to 115.250 resistance level.
AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it,
write in the comments. I will be glad.
DXY Full Analysis And How To Trade USD Pairs In The Next DaysThis is an educational + analytic content that will teach why and how to enter a trade
Make sure you watch the price action closely in each analysis as this is a very important part of our method
Disclaimer : this analysis can change at anytime without notice and it is only for the purpose of assisting traders to make independent investments decisions
DXY Full Analysis And How To Trade USD Pairs In The Next DaysThis is an educational + analytic content that will teach why and how to enter a trade
Make sure you watch the price action closely in each analysis as this is a very important part of our method
Disclaimer : this analysis can change at anytime without notice and it is only for the purpose of assisting traders to make independent investments decisions
DXY New Analysis And What Will Happen With Non Farm Payroll NewsThis is an educational + analytic content that will teach why and how to enter a trade
Make sure you watch the price action closely in each analysis as this is a very important part of our method
Disclaimer : this analysis can change at anytime without notice and it is only for the purpose of assisting traders to make independent investments decisions