DXY/ USD The US Dollar flat with dust settling over Nonfarm Payrolls number. The Greenback is being rebalanced with markets looking for a December rate cut from the Fed. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is back above pivotal support at 105.50, heading to 106.00The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000)Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.
Dxyusd
DXY/USD to strong setupUS Dollar defends its ground as markets digest FOMC minutes
In Tuesday's session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) which measures the value of the Greenback against a basket of currencies, fluctuated near 107.00 following the release of key economic data. In the meantime, markets digest President-elect Donald Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on three of its largest trading partners and look for clues in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes from the Novemeber meeting.In Tuesday's session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) which measures the value of the Greenback against a basket of currencies, fluctuated near 107.00 following the release of key economic data. In the meantime, markets digest President-elect Donald Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on three of its largest trading partners and look for clues in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes from the Novemeber meeting.
The US Dollar Index has exhibited a bullish bias, driven by strong economic data and a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) stance. Despite recent pullbacks due to profit-taking and geopolitical uncertainty, the uptrend remains intact. Technical indicators suggest potential consolidation with overbought conditions easing.
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US dollar market trendYesterday, the deputy governor of the Bank of Japan said that "the market is unstable and there will be no interest rate hikes". This is a relatively "dovish" statement. In addition, the upcoming September interest rate cut conveys a good opportunity to enter the market.
That is, the US dollar will still fall. Although the market is narrow today, the US dollar continued to rise at the end of the trading day, but it should not last long.
Personal analysis: looking for high points and shorting
DXY ( BREAKOUT AND AGAIN INSIDE CHANNEL ) (4H)DXY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price inside sensitive area , trading nearly turning level at 103.221 .
Upward Zone : as long as the price should be breaking turning level at 103.221 , refers active upward zone , currently the price trading below turning level at 103.221 , to rising inside resistance zone between 103.690 & 104.477 , first thing for this rising reach of a resistance level (1) at 103.690 , by closing 4h candle above it easily reach next level at 104.477 , to confirm a rising , the price should be breaking resistance zone because in this zone have been many sales before .
Downward Zone: until the price trading below turning level around 103.221 , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 102.736 , to confirm true decline , the price it will be breaking 102.736 , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support
level (2) at 102.310 , called support zone have been buying increase in this zone before .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 103.690 , 104.477 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 102.736 , 102.310 .
Gold Set for Explosive Breakout! Key Levels & Patterns to Watch!Daily Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: Daily
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart indicates a strong uptrend with the formation of higher highs and higher lows. This suggests that the market is in a bullish phase.
Flag Pattern: The price action has formed a flag pattern, which is a continuation pattern. The
breakout from this pattern could lead to further upward movement.
Channels:
The price has been moving within an ascending channel, indicating sustained upward momentum. A descending channel breakout in the past led to the current ascending channel, showing a reversal and continuation of the bullish trend.
Conclusion:
The daily chart shows a strong bullish trend with key levels to watch for potential entries and take-profit targets. The flag pattern and ascending channel support the bullish outlook.
4-Hour Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-Hour
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Flag Pattern: The price action is forming a flag pattern similar to the daily chart. This reinforces the bullish continuation expectation.
Channels:
Descending Channel: A descending channel was broken, leading to the current ascending channel.
Ascending Channels: Multiple ascending channels are observed, indicating strong bullish momentum with higher lows and higher highs.
Conclusion:
The 4-hour chart aligns with the daily chart, showing strong bullish momentum with clear patterns and channels supporting further upward movement. Watching the key levels mentioned can help identify entry points and targets.
1-Hour Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 1-Hour
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Flag Pattern: A smaller flag pattern is forming, suggesting a short-term bullish continuation.
Channels:
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing strong upward momentum.
Holding Channels: The price has respected the ascending channels, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Conclusion:
The 1-hour chart provides a detailed view of the recent price action, confirming the bullish trend seen in higher time frames. The ascending channels and flag pattern suggest continued upward movement with key levels acting as potential targets.
Overall Summary
The analysis across daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour charts shows a consistent bullish trend with the formation of higher highs and higher lows. Flag patterns and ascending channels indicate strong upward momentum, with key liquidity zones and take-profit targets identified for potential trading opportunities.
DXY MARKET FORCASTSince the beginning of the week, the DXY has been giving us a correction after last week's impulse move. The market has already broken above the correction area, which was a downtrend in the smaller timeframes. Therefore, I'm expecting the DXY to continue pushing up further, as it has been respecting the setups from my previous analysis. This means the DXY will likely continue rising, and on the other side, we'll be looking for sell opportunities in the gold market and dollar pairs.
Taking a Look At The Dollar Index To Kick Off 2024 DXY / USDTaking a Look At The Dollar Index To Kick Off 2024 DXY / USD As everything hinges off the us dollar I think it is important to take a close look at the dollar index as we trade into the London Open today. In the video I give you my top down approach looking at the DXY
DXY Index will Go Down to 🟢Heavy Support zone🟢(1-Hour)⏰✅The DXY index managed to break the Uptrend line and 🟢 Support zone 🟢.
💫Currently, DXY reacted well to the Resistance line and formed a 💫Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern💫 near this line in the 1-hour time frame ⏰.
🔔I expect the DXY to trend lower in the coming hours , enter the 🟢 Heavy Support zone 🟢, and fall to at least the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
💵DXY💵 will have an upward trend in the Coming Months🚀Hi everyone👋.
💡The DXY index managed to break the 🔴 Resistance zone($103.80-$103.38) 🔴 last week.
🌊According to the Elliott wave theory , DXY completed the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) with the Expanding Ending Diagonal .
🔔I expect the DXY index to go up in the 🌙Coming Months🌙 and break the upcoming 🔴 Resistance zones 🔴 one by one.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY, to longThe DXY has formed a doji on the Daily frame which shows indecision in the price, however the DXY has been able to consolidate above the 103,917 support with a strong rejection wick above it which gives me a bullish signal to the trendline resistance at 104.991 with a possibility of breaking above the ascending channel to the next required resistance of 105.654.
This could cause the dollar quotes to sell in the coming week.
DXY 29June2023DXY analysis is still in accordance with the analysis some time ago, still in the a-b-c correction period. if we pull the fibo extension, from wave a to wave b, we can know the forecast of wave c will end.
fibo extension 1.618 is adjacent to the SnD H4 area. it could be that the price is heading in that direction.
DXY Weekly OutlookWeekly Timeframe
- DXY tapped the Weekly Fair Value Gap & 0.5 Level of the whole move.
- As Per 37 Year Seasonality chart, DXY will go to tap May Highs & Weekly Liquidity Upside.
Daily Timeframe :
- On Daily time frame withing the Weekly FVG, we get a Daily Orderblock.
- This orderblock is acting as a support and price is giving a good reaction from the orderblock.
- So far Price stays above this order block, expecting the price to move towards 104.699 - 105.883 Levels.
12 HR Timeframe
This chart is from the perspective of Pattern & Elliot Wave Count.
- On 12 HR it's forming Wave 4 Bull flag with ABC subwaves.
- Breakout from this bull flag will confirm that the price is heading for the extended 5th Wave.
DXY Weekly CloseOnly a personal opinion - DXY Weekly
Seems positive for the USD today; look out two weeks, and it can still remain around the 102 level.
It will be sideways in the area 102-103 for the following week, now attempting to go to area 103.
If it break, the area 103 will continue to the area 104,448.
Perhaps the usd will receive some good news.
Plan A or Plan B on this index?Hello, my dear friends and fellow traders.
What we are going to look at today is the US dollar index. When looking at the daily chart this is a good setup for the price of this index to go up. if we see if this index can be taken long position, according to the daily time scale in this index, it is at the lower side. Very dangerous one to take a long position. But it has the potential to go up.
So, keep the trailing stop small in this. If you take it for a long time, there is a 1:2 RR chance of giving it. Also, it has a 1:8 chance of giving a good move to go up.
However, due to the current opposition, there are chances to stop this rally. So, the first profit target in this should be 1:2. Then if you want you can keep 1:8 but it depends on the system.
Till then wishing you a good luck on this strategy. See you in my next post.
It is wise to follow your risk management before taking entry.
I love to share my ideas. Feel free to revise the text and provide feedback. It makes it so personal and improve us in better ways.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
Thanks & regards,
Alpha Trading Station
Disclaimer: This view is for educational purpose only & any stock mentioned here should not be taken as a trading/investing advice. We may or may not have position in the stocks mentioned here. Please consult your financial advisor before investing. Because Price is the "King of Market".
DXY to rise up to %15 in the next year or so?I am attempting to call a bottom here on the DXY, time will tell but we have some pretty good reasons to believe that the action will start soon. UVXY is moving up , stocks are getting hammered and thus I think this bull flag formation could play out well. Momentum and rsi moving up potentially and smart money could be buying as well. Target is the extension of the flag pole. Not financial advice, DYOR.
DXY Daily TA Neutral BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% DXY, 60% Cash.
* FOMC WATCH . US November CPI was estimated to come in at 0.3% but instead came in at 0.1% , compared to October's 0.4% it's fair to say that it eased a bit. Meanwhile Core CPI rose 0.2% in November compared to 0.3% in October. The last FOMC rate hike is expected to be announced tomorrow, though there is still a chance for another 75bps rate hike, the majority of speculators are anticipating 50bps. If they go with 50bps, it's reasonable to expect volatility tomorrow followed by further downside to DXY; however, if they go with 75bps, DXY should see a bit of a reversal in the short/medium-term. In a surprising move which is likely due to national security interests, China banned exports of their Loongson military grade processors to Russia ; Russia had apparently been testing them for a while as opposed to Intel and AMD processors due to Western sanctions. The USA is preparing to send their Patriot Air Defense system to Ukraine in response to Russia continuing to bombard key energy infrastructure as Ukraine approaches their coldest parts of winter.
DXY, Cryptos, US Equities, US Equity Futures, JPYUSD, HSI, NI225, N100 and Short-Term US Treasurys are up. While Commodities, GBPUSD, EURUSD, CNYUSD, Long-Term US Treasurys and VIX are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; Next GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate 12/15; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23. *
Price is currently attempting to bounce here at $104.06 before retesting the uptrend line from May 2021 at $103.15 support for the first time since February 2022. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $105.27, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending up slightly at 34, the next resistance is at 39.43 and the next support at 23.34. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently testing 29.40 support. MACD remains bullish and is on the verge of crossing over bearish as it trends sideways at -1.21 support; if it breaks below this support level it would be a bearish crossover. ADX is currently trending up slightly at 33 as Price continues to fall, this is bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely retest the 200MA at ~$105.80 as resistance . However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely retest the uptrend line from May 2021 at $103.15 support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $105.80.