Can China's E-commerce Giant Defy Economic Gravity?In a landscape where economic headwinds meet technological innovation, JD.com's recent performance presents a fascinating paradox. Despite China's persistent economic challenges, the e-commerce powerhouse delivered a 5.1% revenue growth and an impressive 29.5% surge in earnings per share, demonstrating resilience in an increasingly competitive market. This dichotomy between macroeconomic pressures and corporate performance raises intriguing questions about the future of digital retail in the world's second-largest economy.
The company's strategic metamorphosis reveals a sophisticated approach to market challenges. By leveraging its robust logistics infrastructure and forging strategic partnerships with former rivals like Alibaba's Taobao, JD.com is rewriting the rules of competitive dynamics in Chinese e-commerce. The firm's participation in government stimulus programs, particularly the 150-billion-yuan trade-in initiative, showcases its ability to align corporate strategy with national economic objectives, creating a powerful synergy that benefits both shareholders and consumers.
However, the true intrigue lies in JD.com's balancing act between growth and profitability. While marketing expenses surged 25.7% and free cash flow turned negative, the company's core retail division achieved a remarkable 6.1% revenue growth. This apparent contradiction points to a larger truth about modern retail: success in today's market requires bold investments in future capabilities, even at the cost of short-term financial metrics. With analysts maintaining an 89% Buy rating and the stock trading at an attractive 8.9 times forward earnings, the market seems to believe in JD.com's long-term vision despite near-term turbulence. Will this calculated gamble on future growth pay off in China's evolving economic landscape?
E-commerce
PDD Holdings: A Strategic Pivot or a Tempestuous Trial?As PDD Holdings, the e-commerce titan behind Pinduoduo and Temu, confronts a landscape fraught with intensifying competition, economic challenges, and evolving consumer preferences, the question of its future trajectory becomes increasingly pressing. Can the company successfully navigate these turbulent waters, or will it succumb to the tempestuous forces at play?
PDD Holdings, once a beacon of e-commerce growth in China, finds itself at a critical juncture. The company's recent second-quarter earnings report, marked by a revenue shortfall and cautious outlook, has sent shockwaves through the market. PDD's strategic pivot, prioritizing long-term value over short-term profitability, while commendable, may face significant challenges in the near term.
As PDD grapples with domestic pressures, the company's international expansion strategy, spearheaded by Temu, presents both opportunities and risks. The potential for global growth is undeniable, but the competitive landscape is fiercely contested, with established players like Amazon and Shein vying for market share.
The question of whether PDD can successfully navigate these challenges is a complex one. On the one hand, the company possesses a strong financial foundation, with a robust cash position that can provide a buffer during difficult times. Additionally, PDD's commitment to user acquisition beyond China could be a critical driver of future growth.
On the other hand, the intensifying competition within the e-commerce sector, coupled with the economic uncertainties in China, pose significant headwinds. PDD's ability to adapt and innovate in such a rapidly evolving environment will be crucial to its long-term success.
Investors are closely watching PDD's every move, with opinions on the company's future sharply divided. Some view the current low valuation as an attractive entry point, particularly considering Temu's potential for international expansion. Others, however, remain cautious, citing the ongoing challenges in China, management's tempered outlook, and the possibility of declining profitability.
Ultimately, the fate of PDD Holdings hinges on its ability to successfully execute its strategic vision, adapt to changing market conditions, and deliver sustainable value to its investors. The road ahead is likely to be fraught with challenges, but with careful navigation and strategic decision-making, PDD may emerge as a resilient and thriving e-commerce powerhouse.
Alibaba Express E-Commerce Resurgence Sparks Bullish EnthusiasmAlibaba Express Surging in Bullish Glory
Alibaba Express (BABA) is on a remarkable bullish run as e-commerce roars back to life. The stock's resurgence can be attributed to robust earnings, strong sales growth, and expanded international reach. Technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Averages are firmly in the bullish zone, affirming investor optimism. With the global shift toward online shopping and Alibaba's strategic positioning, BABA is well-poised for further gains, igniting enthusiasm among investors tracking this bullish trend.
PDD - Read to Fly?
PDD is ready to fly. Here are some solid reasons:
REASON 1 - Accumulation Completed
Down since February 2021, this e-commerce platform of China has taken a reversal. Entered accumulation zone in March 2022, now enough buying volumes and positive earnings have pushed it out of the accumulation zone. Breakout has occurred at 73 USD key price level, and so now stock seems to have entered advance zone while the key long-term resistance (All Time High) is at 214 USD - a gain of more than 100% possible.
REASON 2 - Higher Revenues & Net Income
The real fuel is provided by better earnings and further higher expectations in the future. Revenue has grown 23% in TTM while income has swelled 260% in TTM - both are impressive signals of continued growth. Further pedestal is provided by positive expectations of end of lock-down in China which can open-up locked industrial growth.
Risk
Still caution is needed as markets aren't out of wood.
JMIA (jumia), e-commerce in africa, but definitely not only it.JUMIA is a German company that operates in Africa and is most known for its e-commerce side.
but, in my opinion, most interesting thing about this company is its other 2 parts of the company.
jumia logistics -> this part of the company offers logistic to the main e-commerce, BUT also is now open to third parties, both local sellers who wants to operate with non-jumia orders, as well as other business that needs someone to transport their goods. it makes me think of something like USPS with amazon when it first started.
jumia pay -> this is the part of the company that takes care of the payments. here the customers of the e-commerce can pay, but can also use this app to pay bills, mobile phone plans and a lot more.
just for your information, it is estimated that HALF of the mobile money of the world is used in Africa, as there are problems for the banks to work with people, which is not a problem we even heard of.
so, jumia pay is in my opinion, and following jumia founders also, the big play of the future. it can even become a fintech company by itself.
point is:
1) logistics in Africa at the moment is like shit for a loooot of reasons (just search for it, there are tons of articles) --> if jumia logistics reach a good logistic development, it will be the to-go company for other business in Africa who needs to transports their goods.
2) Africa is a place where people and banks do not co-operate at the best, and so mobile money and mobile accounts for money storage is a big big thing. --> because of that, as people pay with jumia pay for their goods bought via jumia e-commerce, they get stuck with jumia pay and that part of the company can really grow, and even expands in other businesses like it already did with bills and mobile phone plans.
talking about the stock itself, I did no fundamental research about the pure money thing, just the possibility there are in Africa, and I think that the price would not be that hight from 2 dollars bottom if the company has no future.
so, my play will be.
if 23 USD holds and the price bounce up 3 times or has a strong reaction, it is a good point to buy, and just put stop loss below 23 (22 will be fine). (it would be a double+ bottom)
if the price falls as low as 19 or 20, my buy price is 19.60 with a stop loss of 15.6 which is -20% from the buy point.
as for the target price, I think 89 is fine. I took this price as it is an ATH for sure, but it is not in the 90sh which IMO is a bad place to be stuck in.
last thing is. do not care too much how much your upside % is with price target 89, or ur just gonna HOPE it will work. so stick to SL (stop loss) and let time drive the market.
ofc, if major events happen in the market, this stock can be also destroyed by general pessimists, but it can as well skyrocket.
i will try to post news about this, but I would prefer not to change my initial plan.
PROSUS (1D) - Waiting for DIPHello Traders,
Prosus act as a Fund which is holding around 28% of TENCENT shares + some other interesting businesses (like e-commerce, food delivery, Payment systems, Elearning platforms) ...
For long term hodling this could be interesting pick. But is the Price correct right now or should we wait with Buy orders ?
CHart should show it all. We can see sometjhing like impulsive waves 1-3 are alredy visible withtiny wave 2. So currently finished triangle could be wave 4. = Market is hesitating if the price is alredy good for Long.
Hopefully there will be another leg down to green support zone.
There could be our Low Risk / High Reward setup to enter LONG position. (For LONG term !!) short term it could dip deeper. ;)
Patience folks. Trade safe.
$BABA sniper edition #1*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Recap: My team started a long $BABA position November 18, 2021 at $161 per share.
My team averaged down on our position today at $122 per share bringing our share average to $141.5.
Our First Entry: $161
Our 2nd Entry: $122
Take Profit 1: $180
Take Profit 2: $193
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$JMIA technical analysisHello, today I've analyzed NYSE:JMIA . I'm looking for constructive criticism since this is my first published idea. My short term sentiment for this stock is bearish but in the long term this stock will shine!
This stock has been beaten down not because of bad fundamentals or catalysts but It has been dragged down with the rest of the disruptive company stocks. I see this as a great opportunity for getting good deals.
Why It will keep going down
Current market sentiment towards inovative tech and e-commerce is bearish.
Bearish continuation pattern.
Bearish momentum towards the downside not slowing down.
Broke straight through previous support.
Price targets
My short term price target is bearish towards $28.
My mid term price target is bullish but this depends heavily on how fast the market rebounds. There for I will not set a mid term pt.
My long term price target for this stock is $68.
Conclusion
Personally I believe this company has a fundamental idea and It will dominate the African e-commerce market since It has no competitors in this space.
This stock is a buy even at these prices, but I would wait for It to go down to the low $26 high $29 levels before buying more shares.
OBS
Note that I'm a little biased towards this stock since I hold shares in It! My GAV is $37 and I will be averaging down.
Vroom, bounce opportunity 47.27% institutional ownership, backed by BlackRock, Vanguard, Invesco, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, among others.
50% below its all-time high from September last year.
Touching a support level around $35, it can hit $ 40-45 on a bounce.
The next bottom is at $30.
A triangle is closed, the break is close.
Vroom is "a New York City-based used car retailer and e-commerce company that enables consumers to buy, sell and finance cars online."
Shop on the move! Squeeze and S Triangle on the Day.We had a Squeeze on the week and are about to have a Squeeze on the Day both with Momentum above zero :) . We are coming to the end of the S Triangle and with that are going to come new highs. The next couple weeks should be interesting.... GL!
BTW... I own SHOP, AAPL, ENPH, TSLA, and of course SPCE (Goldmine!) All are on the move and I recommend all of these. Other that SPCE who's profits will surge later this year all of these have high Revenue and Net Profit Margins.
Others I follow and buy or swing time to time MKTX, QCOM, SNE, TTD, NIO, CRWD, DDOG, SQ, IRBT, MA, V, GS, JPM and of course AMZN.. and many more
ETSY Post-Holiday RetracementETSY made a really strong movement over the holiday season, and is currently at the upper channel resistance that I marked in an earlier post. The e-commerce sector has been booming over the holiday season, and I'm seeing some hints of a retracement that could begin as the holiday season concludes. ETSY is up 11% this week, and 50% from mid-November.
Will be interesting to see next week's price action:
Target 1: .23 retracement ~$170
Target 2: .38 retracement ~$155
Comments are appreciated.
FVRR- Profit taking timeFVRR has been outperforming many E-commerce stocks since early Sept. While overall E-commerce group is in red since early Sept crash, FVRR has bucked the trend and posted the double digit growth.
I think early signs of waning momentum are clear and it is a good time to scale back on the aggressive momentum strategy and do some profit-taking.
BABA Looks Extremely Attractive Before EarningsEarnings are this Friday, and this e-commerce giant is bound to report some really solid numbers due to COVID. The stock recently moved above its 50-day moving average and has been trading in a rising channel. Fuel from earnings could provide the catalyst for the next big move up. Any weakness should be considered a buying opportunity - BABA has a bright future ahead.