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Catalyst of the Bull Rally: "Retail"Understanding the Past When we examine the number of retail Bitcoin investors, we see that it stood at 43 million in January 2023. From that point onward, the number of individual investors increased steadily over 12 months, rising by 22% to reach 52.4 million, prior to the acceptance of Spot ETFs. Following the approval of Spot ETFs, this figure saw a slight decline, reaching 51.6 million by the end of February 2024. However, the "ETF Bull" rally, led by the momentum of Spot ETFs, pushed the retail investor count upward, peaking in June 2024 at 54.14 million. After this peak, a downward trend in retail investor numbers began. The Impact of Retail Investors on Price Historical data reveals a close relationship between the growth in the number of retail investors and Bitcoin’s price movement. Returning to January 2023, we observe that as the retail investor count rose significantly, Bitcoin’s price surged by over 300% in the same period. However, after reaching its peak in June 2024, the retail investor count plateaued, and Bitcoin’s price also struggled to reach new highs thereafter. Conclusion The rise in the number of retail investors remains a crucial catalyst for Bitcoin bulls. If this trend sees a strong resurgence, with retail investor interest growing substantially once again, Bitcoin's price could be poised to test new highs. Just as in the past, retail interest could provide the needed tailwind for Bitcoin; hence, renewed growth in the retail investor base may offer a vital opportunity for the next bull rally. Thanks for reading.
BLong
by burakkesmeci
10
General Chart Work SessionI am recording these sessions to show the work I do on charts in general. I am gracious to my mentor @timwest for showing me this style of stock analysis! I am not perfect at it, but I review charts quite often to look at different potential developments and create/test ideas using this method. Of course, you will see other tools I enjoy using on my charts as well. In this video I am reviewing the following: NYSE:HD , NASDAQ:PTON , NYSE:NCLH , and, briefly, $BBW. All of these I consider to be in general uptrends and personally have a bias to the long side. Of course, anything can happen in the markets, so only time will tell how these ideas continue to play out. Hope you enjoy, and best of luck out there!
NYSE:BBWLong
by redykhouse
Euro lower as US inflation dips slightlyThe euro is lower on Thursday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0908, down 0.28%. The German economy has been struggling but there was positive news as German retail sales rose 1.6% in August and 1.5% in July, after declines of 1.1% in June and 1.4% in May. The four monthly releases were all published today due to a technical problem in June. US inflation for September was within expectations and the market reaction has been muted. Headline CPI continued its downswing and rose 2.4% y/y, down from 2.5% in August but above the market estimate of 2.3%. The decline in inflation was driven by a decrease in energy prices, particularly gasoline. On a monthly basis, CPI rose 0.2% in September, unchanged from August but above the market estimate of 0.1%. Core CPI remains a bit high and came in at 3.3% y/y, above the August reading of 3.2% and the market estimate of 3.2%. Still, the Fed has demonstrated that it is willing to slash rates by 50 basis points despite inflation running above the 2% target. Today’s inflation data hasn’t changed market expectations for the November meeting, which remain at around 85% for a cut of 25 basis points. The Fed minutes reflected optimism about the US economy, a signal that more rate cuts are in the pipeline. There was only one dissenting vote against the 50-bps cut in September, but the minutes indicated that some dovish members voted with the majority although they would have preferred a modest 25 bps cut. Jerome Powell may not have the same support for another jumbo cut if the labor market remains solid. That could mean cuts of 25 bps at the November and December meetings. EUR/USD has pushed below support at 1.0920 and is testing support at 1.0901. Below, there is support at 1.0865 1.0956 and 1.0975 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
A2Z Cust2Mate Solutions Announces New Funding InitiativeA2Z Cust2Mate Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ: AZ) , a retail technology leader, announced a successful capital raise through a direct stock offering. The company agreed to sell over 5.4 million common shares to accredited investors at US$0.75 per share, which is in line with the current market price. This move is expected to provide A2Z with additional funds, which will be used for working capital and overall corporate operations. One of the standout aspects of this deal is that it does not involve any warrant coverage—an element that many investors tend to look out for as it can potentially dilute their holdings. This shows that A2Z’s management is confident in the company’s current valuation and is prioritising their shareholders' interests. Furthermore, the funding round was supported by existing shareholders and insiders, indicating their belief in A2Z’s growth trajectory and future success. The funds raised are earmarked for expansion and development efforts, signalling A2Z’s ambitions to scale its operations and enhance its innovative technology solutions on a global level. This fundraising exercise reflects A2Z's proactive approach to strengthening its financial position without engaging a placement agent, which also demonstrates cost efficiency. The company has secured this capital under favorable terms, which is an encouraging sign for investors and stakeholders alike. This offering was made under an existing registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), ensuring transparency and compliance with regulatory standards. For investors, this signifies a step towards a brighter, more expansive future for A2Z, one backed by solid financial planning and the support of its core shareholders. As A2Z continues its journey in the tech world, this new funding will be key in driving its growth initiatives, setting the company up for more innovative developments and greater market reach in the near future.
NASDAQ:AZLong
by HASHInvests200
Nike (NKE): Analysis and Expectations Ahead of EarningsWe have analyzed this stock in the past privately, but we never published it, and it's a shame because we anticipated lower prices but have no proof of it. Still, we are looking for lower prices on NYSE:NKE , as we are about to finish Wave 4, most likely between $93 and $106. NYSE:NKE will publish its earnings this week on Tuesday after market close. Heading into those results, the bar was low, as inflation keeps shoppers cautious. Some analysts have said that even if those results come in better than expected, Wall Street's reservations could be hard to shake. However, others believe that with a new CEO on the way, investors might cut the company some slack. So, the market might be ready for a push, but this sector is under much pressure as shoppers are finding it harder to spend money compared to previous years. It will be very interesting to follow NYSE:NKE and see if our outlook is correct or not. As shown in the chart, this scenario will be invalidated if the price breaks through $115.82. We foresee a good entry opportunity between $60 and $50, where the most traded volume of the last 9 years has been. We will update this stock when we know more. ✅
NYSE:NKELong
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
A Deeply Undervalued Play in Retail Tech Space (NASDAQ: AZ)A2Z Cust2Mate Solutions Corp, (NASDAQ: AZ) a cutting-edge retail technology company, is poised to redefine the shopping experience with its advanced smart cart technology. Operating in a market that is rapidly transitioning from traditional checkout systems to more sophisticated, data-driven tools, A2Z Cust2Mate finds itself at the forefront of this technological revolution. However, despite its robust prospects and impressive offerings, the company’s share price remains depressed, largely due to a lack of visibility among investors. As the market becomes more familiar with A2Z’s unique value proposition, there’s potential for a significant re-rating of its stock, which is currently deeply undervalued. The retail technology sector is undergoing a major shift, with the global market for smart retail systems projected to experience substantial growth in the coming years. As traditional self-checkout systems face increasing scrutiny due to inefficiencies and security concerns, smart cart technology is emerging as a viable and attractive alternative for retailers. A2Z Cust2Mate’s smart carts offer a seamless shopping experience that combines real-time item recognition, personalized promotions, and automatic checkout capabilities—positioning the company as a key player in the evolution of the retail industry. Globally, the demand for smarter retail solutions has been driven by the need for enhanced customer experiences and improved operational efficiencies. Retailers are investing in technologies that can reduce shrinkage (theft) and optimize in-store experiences. A2Z’s smart carts not only solve these pain points but also provide retailers with valuable data insights that can be leveraged for targeted advertising and better customer engagement. Peer Valuation A2Z Cust2Mate is currently trading at a significant discount compared to its peers in the retail technology space. Companies like Standard Cognition and Tracxpoint, which operate in similar sectors, have garnered valuations exceeding $1 billion. Meanwhile, A2Z’s current market capitalisation stands at around $45 million, a stark contrast that highlights the company’s deep undervaluation. Competitors like Caper, which was acquired by Instacart at an approximate 35x revenue multiple, further emphasize how much upside potential A2Z could have if properly valued. The primary reason for A2Z Cust2Mate’s undervalued stock price is a lack of visibility and awareness among investors. While the company has secured notable contracts and developed a highly innovative product, its achievements have flown under the radar. This lack of recognition in the market has led to a disconnect between the company’s intrinsic value and its current share price. Furthermore, the challenges posed by the broader market, such as delays due to geopolitical events and operational hurdles, have weighed on investor sentiment. However, as A2Z continues to execute on its growth strategy, especially with the upcoming release of its cost-effective third-generation smart carts, visibility is likely to improve. The company’s ability to secure larger, long-term contracts will serve as key catalysts for investor interest, helping to close the valuation gap. With a peer group that commands significantly higher valuations and a proven track record of securing contracts with major retailers, A2Z presents a compelling investment opportunity. As visibility increases and the company continues to deliver on its promises, there is considerable potential for the stock to re-rate to its true value. At a current price of around $0.86 per share, A2Z offers a significant upside, with a target price of $3.00 reflecting the company’s long-term growth prospects. For investors seeking exposure to innovative retail technology, A2Z Cust2Mate is a stock worth watching.
NASDAQ:AZLong
by HASHInvests200
Walmart’s (WMT) Earnings Could Signal Economic TrendsAt first glance, Walmart's earnings might not seem critical, but they provide key insights into consumer behavior and could serve as an indicator for future retail sales. If Walmart reports disappointing earnings, it could signal broader economic concerns. As one of the largest retailers in the U.S., a decline in Walmart's customer base may indicate that consumers are tightening their belts, which is never a good sign for the economy. This is why we're closely monitoring Walmart. Sometimes, stocks can act as a barometer for the market. While we’re hopeful for a strong earnings report, we're also anticipating a potential price dip into the $43 to $36 range. Whether this occurs immediately or in the coming weeks is uncertain, but we believe it’s a likely scenario. If Walmart’s price drops into this range, it could present a compelling buying opportunity. The golden pocket Fibonacci retracement aligns with this area, and there’s also a significant, yet untagged, liquidation level at $40 that we're keeping an eye on. We’ll be closely watching Walmart’s earnings and price movements. If we see a negative earnings report and a subsequent drop in price, we’ll provide updates and discuss potential strategies. 🤝
NYSE:WMTShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
Target (TGT): Ready to Break Out of Its DowntrendWith Target, we have another major player in the US retail market, and we prefer its price structure over Walmart's. After completing Wave (3), Target experienced a significant sell-off, forming Wave (4). Currently, it appears that an inverse head and shoulders pattern is developing, which could signal a bullish reversal. The neckline looks particularly strong, and I will have a bullish outlook once this neckline is reclaimed. There is a breakout gap following the completion of Wave (4), which might be revisited. However, for a well-formed head and shoulders pattern, we should see some momentum soon to create two shoulders at the same level. As long as the Wave (4) level at the Point of Control (POC) holds, we expect more upside, either after a slight dip into the breakout gap or immediately following the earnings report next week.
NYSE:TGTLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3
Starbucks: Brewing Long-Term Success Amid Short-Term ChallengesTrading at 23.4% below our estimate of its fair value Earnings are forecast to grow 9.78% per year Earnings have grown 10.8% per year over the past 5 years Pays a reliable dividend of 3.04% Starbucks Corporation's recent earnings report might have raised some concerns, but there are several reasons to remain optimistic about SBUX stock. Despite a challenging quarter, Starbucks is strategically investing in digital innovation and expanding its global footprint, positioning itself for long-term gains. The company's focus on sustainability and enhancing customer experience highlights its commitment to quality. Moreover, Starbucks' diverse product offerings and loyalty programs provide a solid foundation for future growth. With strategic cost-cutting measures and a strong financial position, Starbucks is poised to rebound and deliver value to its investors.
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by Maximus20000
Possible entries to a Liverpool LongThis seems like a great buying point, looking at all the technicals, it would be hard for price to keep pushing down. However, the moving averages do tend to work as resistance and support, so it could be possible for price to drop there. However, It's unlikely price will continue to move down by much. And if so, price is likely to keep on rising. As this company has proven to be a go-to store for Mexicans looking for presents during the holidays, special events, sports gear and many others. Despite big competitors, this brand has lasted the test of time.
BMV:LIVEPOL/C-1Long
by DarkMessiah777
Macro Monday 36~U.S. Johnson Redbook Index (U.S Retail Sales)Macro Monday 36 The Redbook Index – U.S Physical Retail Store Sales (Released Tomorrow Tuesday 4th March 2024) This Johnson Redbook Index is very useful at providing the most current insights into consumer spending habits in the U.S. It is released every week covering the prior Mon – Sun consumer spend period in physical outlets around the U.S. The index is compiled by Johnson Redbook Service by surveying a sample of 9000 retailers, and tracks year-over-year changes in sales of stores that have been opened for at least one year. The Redbook Index historically tracks sales information from physical stores (Brick and Mortar Stores). Their website describes that they monitor "retail sales" and "same-store sales" which typically refers to physical locations, however some stores also now have an additional online presence, thus in recent years efforts have been made to incorporate some of the online sales data into the index, however this is a secondary and marginal. The Chart The Redbook Index provides the YoY percentage increase or decrease of USD in retail sales in the United States. It is released every week covering the prior Mon – Sun spend period giving a real time read on current consumer spending It being a YoY data release means the percentage change in the Redbook Index is typically measured by comparing the current week's retail sales to those of the same week in the previous year. This calculation is expressed as a percentage to show the increase or decrease in sales over that time period. Example: If retail sales for the current week are $110,000 and sales for the same week last year were $100,000, the percentage change would be * 100, resulting in a 10% increase. The chart above illustrates the following: ▫️ The average % from 2005 to 2024 is 3.59% (black line in middle). We shall use this as our average midline barometer of retail sales. ▫️ Moderate levels of retail sales appear to fluctuate between +6% and -0.1% (white area in the middle). ▫️ We have an Exuberance Zone (Green) for when retail sales were over extended to the upside and a Recessionary Zone (Red) which was penetrated during the last two recessions. ▫️ You can see that in the mid 2000's we bounced off the Recessionary -0.1% zone three times as the index also made a series of lower highs (see arrow). This could be perceived as waning or struggling retail spending ahead of the crash. At present we have a series of lower highs and we have bounced off the Recessionary Level (-0.1%) once, if we see continued lower highs and more bounces from the red zone, this could be a concerning repeating pattern. You will be able to press play on my TradingView page at any stage over coming months to see where this index has moved on this chart. Lets see how this index performs over coming weeks and months. PUKA
ECONOMICS:USRI
by PukaCharts