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E-retail

XRT Retail Earnings POTENTIALRetail earnings are in full swing this upcoming week! Here is a TA based version of my expectations for the week. In previous quarters the strong USD and the slow down in Consumer Spending hit profits hard. With retail sales up throughout the quarter and consumer confidence at 2016 high, all around beats are expected. Driving retail market capitalization back to Q2 2015 level offers a short-term 8% return. In the longer run, or collectively throughout the remainder of Q2, a 16% return is in the works.
AMEX:XRTLong
by TraderDanER
BBY BlockBuster Bust?HVF pattern developing. A macro perspective: short BBY long-term simply because of online retail dominance for tech products. I'm skeptical that brick and mortar retail will survive. BBY prior CEO placed a cost focus strategy that the new CEO has agreed and does not plan on changing. Cost focus strategies does not help with growth unless the company was operating inefficiently in the first place. Otherwise a cost cutting play is basically a survival strategy for concerns of a bad financial outlook/guidance. Cost focus helps companies to report better quarterly Income Statement. BBY still faces the same fundamental challenges as ODP, M, WMT, TGT, HGG, SHLD, and other retailers. Drop in BBY competition will not save them from enduring the same fate. Thus lower competition will not drive earnings or market shares of BBY up, or any other retailers for that matter - as some analyst have claimed. New products on the floor will not help either when information regarding the products can be found online, eliminating the need for a salesforce or marketing. However disadvantaged consumers might find BBY brick and mortar stores useful temporary. Also form a fundamentally aspect, although BBY is not showing Negative Income (not yet), Annual Cash Flow statements are already showing declines in operation. If this trend continues I expect more smart money exiting. The 10 yr weekly chart already indicates a declining trend from BBY all time high, and as the company scrambles to lean itself to changes in market landscape, remedies like capital injections and liquidity will not save BBY. Until I hear a dramatic change in competitive pricing or some kind of operational advantage similar to AMZN, I don't see BBY outlook getting better. BBY might be a BlockBuster Bust.
NYSE:BBYShort
by TraderMD
3
M: Macy's offering a great short into earningsWe can enter shorts aiming to capture the anticipated sharp decline into earnings. Macy's reports one day before the 'Time at mode' downtrend signal here expires. The two targets seem quite realistic in my opinion, might be a home run trade, don't miss it! If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:MShort
by IvanLabrie
5
EURUSD - Long Bias For This Week Unless This ChangesEURUSD - Bullish market sentiment is evidenced by the daily breakout and close above the key price and confluent long-term Fib resistance level at 1.1043 on 2/3. Adding further weight to a long-side bias for this week, retail net open interest stands at -1.6927, indicating continued long risk exposure is more favorable than taking-on short risk. At least until and unless price closes below the 8/21 EMA support layer, the EMAs cross-over to the downside, or retail positioning pulls back significantly (to more than -1.2 or higher), or reverses into positive territory. Implied volatility is also low this week until Thursday, so risk reversal on entry will be lower than normal until then.
Long
by mbauerfx