Walmart Earnings Trade Setup: Two Key Levels to WatchWalmart ( NYSE:WMT ) has earnings coming up tomorrow, and I’m eyeing two potential trade setups depending on how the market reacts.
Bullish Scenario : If Walmart pumps post-earnings, I’m targeting a move up to $115. Momentum could easily carry it to this key resistance level.
Bearish Pullback & Reversal : If Walmart sells off on earnings, I’ll be looking at the $96 area as a strong level for a long entry. This zone has historical significance and could provide a solid buying opportunity.
Earnings moves can be unpredictable, but these two levels give me a clear game plan.
Let’s see how it plays out!
What’s your take—will WMT rip or dip?
Earnings
Zoetis | ZTS | Long at $156.94Zoetis NYSE:ZTS , the largest global animal health company, generated more than $9 billion in revenue in 2024 and earnings have grown 9.3% per year over the past 5 years. Free cash flow for FY2024 was over $2.2 billion. Dividend consistently raised every year for the past for years (currently 1.28%). The growth of the company isn't expected to slow any time soon, and I believe the animal health care market will grow right alongside the human health care market - if not potentially faster (people love their pets).
Thus, at $156.94, NYSE:ZTS is in a personal buy zone. There may be some near-term risk with the potential for a daily price-gap close near $136.00, but I personally view that as an even better buy opportunity (unless fundamentals change).
Targets
$170.00
$180.00
$200.00
BABA - The company is so back!Partnership with Apple?Hi guys, we would be looking into BABA as a structure and a future proof company, which will give us a neccesary boost towars the price increasing!
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) has recently demonstrated remarkable growth and resilience, positioning itself as a compelling investment opportunity.
As of February 18, 2025, Alibaba's stock is trading at $127.58, reflecting a significant upward trajectory. Over the past month, the stock has surged over 55%, indicating strong market confidence.
A pivotal factor contributing to this momentum is Alibaba's strategic partnership with Apple. Announced on February 13, 2025, this collaboration aims to integrate Alibaba's advanced AI capabilities into iPhones sold in the Chinese market. This alliance not only enhances the user experience but also solidifies Alibaba's position in the AI sector.
Furthermore, Alibaba's commitment to innovation is evident in its restructuring efforts. The company's "1+6+N" plan, unveiled in March 2023, reorganized its operations into six independently managed entities. This strategic move has empowered each unit to pursue growth autonomously, fostering agility and responsiveness in a dynamic market.
Analysts remain optimistic about Alibaba's future. The average 12-month price target stands at $129.13, with projections reaching as high as $151.00. This optimism is underpinned by Alibaba's robust earnings growth forecast of 11.1% per annum and a revenue growth rate of 6.3% per annum.
TIPRANKS.COM
In summary, Alibaba's strategic initiatives, innovative partnerships, and strong financial outlook underscore its potential for sustained growth, making it an attractive prospect for investors.
PARAMOUNT - EPS Beat 12 out of 17 Q's can we extract potential?Hi guys we are going to take a look into Paramount and see if we can extract some potential from this stock!
Fundamentals&Technicals below -
As of February 15, 2025, Paramount Global's Class B stock (ticker: PARA) is trading at $11.30 per share, reflecting a 4.5% increase from the previous close. This marks the fourth consecutive day of gains, though the stock remains 22.3% below its 52-week high of $14.54 achieved on May 3, 2024.
In the third quarter of 2024, Paramount reported net income of $1 million, a significant decline from $295 million in the same period the previous year. Earnings per share reached breakeven, missing analyst expectations of 24 cents. Total revenue decreased to $6.731 billion from $7.133 billion, influenced by a 6% drop in TV media revenue and a 34% decline in filmed entertainment revenue.Despite these challenges, the company's streaming segment showed resilience. Paramount+ added 3.5 million subscribers in the third quarter, bringing the total to 72 million. The streaming service reported an adjusted operating income of $49 million, defying analysts' predictions of a $160.1 million loss.
In 2024, Paramount undertook significant restructuring efforts, including a $6 billion write-down of its cable-TV business and the elimination of approximately 2,000 jobs, representing about 15% of its U.S. workforce. These measures aim to achieve $500 million in cost savings and address challenges in the traditional TV sector.
Looking ahead, Paramount is set to merge with Skydance Media, with the merger expected to complete in early 2025. This strategic move is anticipated to inject significant capital into Paramount, aiding in debt reduction and enabling investments in new content and technologies.
Entry: on market open
Target: 17.00 just below the weak resistance.
SL: 7.50
P.S. We are sitting on a very key support area which has been overviewd long term which is around the 9.00 and 11.00 area, so this gives us additional confidence in the stock increasing.Hopefully the positive earnings report will have another beat in EPS, and would yield great value.
USDJPY CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TARGET WIN CONFIRMED!
Your target has been officially reached!
Congratulations on a successful trade! Your analysis and strategy paid off.
Now that your target is confirmed, what's your next step? Are you closing the trade, adjusting your strategy, or setting new targets?
EUR/USD CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TARGET WIN Congratulations!
Your EUR/USD chart analysis has led to a successful trade, and you've reached your target!
Well done! Your technical analysis skills and market insight have paid off.
What's your next move? Are you:
1. Closing the trade and taking profits?
2. Setting new targets for further growth?
3. Refining your strategy for the next trade?
Share your next step!
Salesforce - Integration of AI with great earnings = growth!Hi guys today we would be looking into Salesforce - with the upcomming Q4 earnings report it's expected for some great growth : Fundamentals below -
Salesforce is poised for a promising earnings report, reflecting its robust performance and strategic advancements. In the third quarter, the company reported an 8% year-over-year revenue increase to $9.44 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations. This growth is attributed to strong client spending on its enterprise cloud services and data cloud, driven by the integration of artificial intelligence to streamline corporate workflows.
The introduction of Agentforce 2.0, an advanced version of its AI agent program, allows users to deploy AI agents within the Slack app and includes enhanced features such as improved reasoning, integration, and customization. The full release is expected in February 2025. Wall Street has responded positively, with analysts maintaining optimistic projections. Salesforce plans to hire 2,000 people to promote its AI software, countering the industry trend of layoffs due to the high costs of AI projects. Salesforce's stock surged by 11% after the initial announcement and has risen 33% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500. Analysts anticipate continued investor enthusiasm and potential gains of up to $80 per share as more businesses adopt the platform.
Analysts are optimistic about Salesforce's financial outlook. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives has raised the Q1 2026 earnings estimate to $1.90 per share, up from the prior estimate of $1.88, maintaining an "Outperform" rating with a $375 price target.
The consensus estimate for Salesforce’s current full-year earnings is $7.48 per share.
The company's stock performance has been strong, with shares trading at $361.99 as of the latest report. The stock has a market cap of $346.06 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 59.54, and a beta of 1.30. The business has a 50-day simple moving average of $309.97 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $272.88.
In summary, Salesforce's strategic focus on AI integration, strong financial performance, and positive market reception position the company for continued success in the upcoming earnings report.
Target: 365 - Just below the ATH so we can have some protection of the trade
SL: 294 - just below the formulated GAP which we covered
COINBASE - Can the great crypto bull run repeat good EPS?Hi guys we are going to have an overlook of Coinbase before their earnings so we can try and extract some great value!
Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) is set to release its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings report on February 13, 2025. Analysts are optimistic, anticipating significant growth driven by increased trading volumes and strategic initiatives.
According to Coin Metrics, Coinbase's trading volumes reached approximately $430 billion in Q4 2024, the highest since 2021, fueled by renewed market optimism post-U.S. election. This surge is expected to result in revenues of around $2 billion, marking a 109% year-over-year increase and a 65% rise from the previous quarter.
Analysts project earnings of $1.90 per share, reflecting an 83% year-over-year increase, and revenues are expected to rise by 87% from the same quarter last year, reaching $1.78 billion.
Coinbase's efforts to diversify its revenue streams are also paying off. Subscription and services revenue is expected to grow by 46.7% year-over-year in Q4 2024, following a 66.3% increase in Q3 2024. This growth underscores the company's successful expansion beyond trading fees.
The company's strategic initiatives, including product expansion and improving regulatory clarity, are enhancing its role in the crypto industry. Notably, there has been strong user growth, with a significant rise in monthly active users and wallet activity, reflecting steady demand.
In anticipation of these positive developments, Coinbase's stock has surged approximately 81% over the past year, driven by a crypto rally linked to the presidential elections and declining interest rates.
Given these factors, Coinbase is well-positioned for a strong performance in its upcoming earnings report, reflecting its robust growth trajectory and strategic advancements in the crypto industry.
Entry would go as follows :
On market open
Target : 326 below the ATH so we can have a protective and reachable take profit
SL around the GAP which was formulated above the weak support line! : 215
KO Earnings incomingonly a beginner trader and this is not financial advice. I am only using Trading views paper version for practice and have seen a lot of videos on social media regarding boycott of KO after the recent ICE raids. The earnings is for last year Q4 but I feel even if earnings is beat we could see a down fall before a long bullish run. I could be wrong and please share any ideas or tips if you have any.
Randstad: A Value Caution in a Shifting LandscapeRandstad NV (AEX: RAND) currently trades around €41.55 with a market cap of approximately €7.62 billion. While many investors may be drawn to its strong dividend history and solid reputation in staffing, a closer look at the fundamentals and macroeconomic outlook suggests that the market may be overestimating its near‐term growth prospects.
Declining Profitability
A review of Randstad’s recent financials is cause for caution. The company’s net income has shown a marked deterioration over recent years—from €929 million in 2022 to €624 million in 2023 and further down to €272 million on a nine‑month basis in 2024. This steep decline is partly due to mounting operating costs and weakening revenues. From a Buffett perspective, a business with persistent profitability erosion—even one with a storied track record—may have its intrinsic value overstated relative to its current market price.
Earnings Release Timing: Pre‐Market Clarity
Randstad’s Q4 2024 earnings are scheduled for release on February 12, 2025, at 01:00 AM CET—well before the regular trading hours (pre‑market) on the Amsterdam exchange. This timing can sometimes lead to volatility, as the market digests the numbers before the open. In a scenario where the figures further confirm the declining trends in net income and margins, the pre‑market reaction could set the tone for a downtrend next week.

Macroeconomic Headwinds
Beyond company-specific issues, broader economic signals weigh on Randstad’s prospects. Staffing firms are inherently tied to the health of the labor market. Recent reports indicate that while headline figures such as a 143,000-job gain in January might appear robust, underlying trends—including uncertainty over labor market stability and rising concerns over long‑term employment—suggest caution. An environment of higher unemployment (or the fear thereof) can dampen demand for staffing and recruitment services as companies curtail expansion plans. In other words, if fewer people are employed, fewer job openings and less turnover can translate into lower revenues for Randstad over time.

The Technology Disruption Factor
Adding another layer of risk, the accelerating pace of technological advancement—particularly in artificial intelligence—could further disrupt traditional staffing. As AI and automation drive efficiencies, many roles traditionally filled through temporary or permanent placement may become obsolete. This transformation not only dampens the immediate demand for recruitment services but also challenges long‑term earnings growth forecasts. When future cash flows are discounted in a model, even a modest shock to growth expectations can result in a present value that is lower than the current market price.
Index Inclusion and Credit Concerns
Another point to consider is Randstad’s position as the smallest company in the AEX index. Index inclusion is not merely a matter of prestige; it also affects liquidity and investor perception. Losing its spot in the index would heighten uncertainty and could trigger a reassessment of its creditworthiness. A downgraded credit score would raise borrowing costs—further squeezing margins in an already challenging operating environment.
A Cautionary DCF Under a Short‑Term Shock
A refined look at Randstad’s valuation—one that factors in its debt—offers additional perspective on the risks ahead. In our pessimistic scenario—where net income falls to around €300 million, the perpetual growth rate declines to 2.5%, and the discount rate rises to 7% (reflecting increased credit risk)—the resulting firm value (or enterprise value) comes out to approximately €6.67 billion. However, since this figure represents the value of both debt and equity, we must subtract the net debt to determine the value attributable solely to shareholders. Assuming net debt is roughly €1.38 billion, the estimated equity value would be about €5.29 billion. Dividing that by the 175.14 million shares outstanding gives an estimated share price of around €30. This refined approach, which includes the effect of debt, reinforces the view that a short‑term earnings shock combined with a less favorable long‑term outlook could significantly compress Randstad’s share price.
Conclusion
In the spirit of Warren Buffett’s careful, long‑term analysis, the case for Randstad appears to be one of caution rather than opportunity. Persistent declines in profitability, headwinds from both macroeconomic signals and technological disruption, and risks associated with its index position all point toward a stock that may be overpriced relative to its intrinsic value. With the pre‑market earnings release scheduled for February 12 (01:00 AM CET), investors should be prepared for potential downside pressure in the coming week if the results confirm these concerns.
In summary, while Randstad remains a well‑managed company with a solid track record, its recent decline in profitability, exposure to macroeconomic headwinds, and risks from technological disruption suggest that its current price may be overoptimistic. A simple DCF analysis—even one that factors in debt—underscores this caution: under a short‑term earnings shock scenario, the estimated share price could drop to around €30. For value investors who prize long‑term clarity and rational assessment, these multiple signals warrant a careful reassessment of Randstad’s outlook.
LLY - in preparation for strong earnings report!Moving on to our next great Stock set up - LLY
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) has demonstrated robust financial performance, driven by its innovative pharmaceutical offerings, particularly in the weight-loss segment.
In the third quarter of 2024, the company reported a 20% year-over-year increase in revenue, totaling $11.44 billion. This growth was primarily attributed to a 15% rise in sales volume and a 6% increase in realized prices. Key contributors to this success were the weight-loss drugs Mounjaro and Zepbound.
Looking ahead, analysts are optimistic about Eli Lilly's financial trajectory. The company is expected to report fourth-quarter 2024 revenue of approximately $13.5 billion, marking a 45% increase compared to the same period in the previous year. This projection includes significant contributions from Mounjaro and Zepbound, with anticipated revenues of $3.5 billion and $1.9 billion, respectively.
Analysts have expressed positive sentiments, with 10 out of 11 surveyed by Visible Alpha rating the stock as a "buy" and setting an average price target of nearly $986, approximately 21% higher than current levels.
Overall, Eli Lilly's strategic focus on innovative treatments and its strong product pipeline have positioned the company for continued financial success.
So far we believe that the strong fundamentals , and current growth provided by the weight loss drug that has had tremendeous success we would see a positive outcome on their earnigns and growth potetial.
Entry: 813
Target 1: 857 - 1st weak resistance
Target 2:950 - 2nd strong resistance
SL: 750 around the strong support area
Technically, Weekly candle close: Fundamentally, Better EPSWe need the two signals.
This week it touched the lower trenline of daily channel. yet no candlestick confirmation.
1st, candle stick pattern close on weekly basis.
2nd: Quaterly report is expected in next two weeks which will confirm the technical movement.
A positive report will boost the bullish sentiment to first @70 area and upon break the trenline resistance, it will move further to 100.... matlab century to marega..
A negative report will dump it and price may drop to its monthly fibb level at 60% around 45 area.
Lets' wait and see. I will think about the position next week upon weekly candlestick closure.
PLR (Path of Least Resistance) Strategy Explanation - $SHOPHi guys this is a follow up to a post I have just published about my trading idea on shorting NYSE:SHOP ,
It really doesn't matter if you want to short the market or long the market as it works either way, but for the sake of the example I'll take a 6 months period from the Shopify chart following earnings to better explain you my strategy...
This right here is the NYSE:SHOP chart from approx. Jan/2024 to end of Aug/2024,
2 Earnings have been announced, both having great positive surprises, but regardless of the positive surprise (typically bullish indicator), the stock fell of 45%+.
Let's add the earnings dates to the chart so that you can better visualize them:
What you care about in this image is the earnings dates lined out, as you can see the surprise was positive yet both fell more than 10% in just a day, that I will take as the upcoming trend for at least the time being, till the next earning is announced (so, if for example the 13/Feb earning ended up being bearish, my overview on the market till at least the next earning on 8/May, will be bearish, so all of the trades I will take will be shorts).
Now I will line out the trend and the BoSs (breaks of structure) just to better visualize the trend:
As you can see the Earning date candles signed the beginning of a down trend twice, pre-announced by the Earning candle itself.
The entry strategy is now simple, the idea behind it is to "follow the path of least resistance".. by that I mean that, if your bias is bullish, who enter on candles that are of the opposite direction to the one you are heading to? - Sure you might say that it is to get better entries as ofc, on a short bias, higher sale points = better profits, but the goal here is not maximizing profits, but raising the odds exponentially so that you can take surer trades.
I've tested this strategy from Feb/2021 and so far the win rate is 95.6% (123 out of 136 trades profited .
The way the entries are spread is this:
Basically every time a bearish candle - that closes lower than the previous bearish candle did - is created, a short position of 1% of total equity is generated.
The period begins from the beginning of the current earnings season, and closes the day before the next earnings season as it works within a 3 months frame.
Each entry HAS to be the lowest bearish candle of the period, example:
Only these candles marked in blue count as entries for short positions as their close is lower of more than 0.5% than the previous one,
The pink ones are higher than the lowest up to that point, so they do not count as entries as they are technically part of a pullback that is moving in the opposite direction where you are heading.
So, going back to the entries, we enter on the close of the lowest bearish candle close up to that point.
For safety, we trail the stop loss to the previous high, this is where well defined trend lines come handy:
The thick black line is the trend line, and as new lows are broken, I mark those as BoS (break of structure) and until a new one is created, the SL will go to the previous high, and so it goes.
(viceversa for buys).
We then proceed to target the FVGs left behind by previous quarters:
As you can see there are massive gaps in the chart that we will target and identify as FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) and set the TP at the close (lowest point) of the fair value gap.
Now comes in your exit strategy...
There really are 3 ways that you can tackle this:
1- You set up TP to the lowest FVG of the series (if there are multiple like in this case)
2- You set up TP to the first FVG still open during the quarter following the Earnings Period
3- You tackle both TPs and take each FVG as a partial close to the position (example: if there are 2 FVGs you take out 50% of the position on the first and 50% on the last).
But what to do if your positions didn't reach TP (FVG close) before the next Earning or there is no FVG to begin with???
- In the case the TP you have marked out at the close of the FVG didn't reach, you'll proceed to close the position 1 day before the next Earnings is coming, unless your conviction that the FVG will fill in is so high, then you can let those run at your own risk:
- In the case in which a FVG is not present then you'll target the previous High (in case of a buy) or Low (in case of a sell) as your TP, utilize the previous low (in case of buy) or previous high (in case of sell) as SL and just let it run:
as you can see the 4 trades were all profitable, made little money but sure money in just 15 days
Unless I forget anything, this right here, is my strategy.
Simple, straight forward, high success rate and doesn't leave anything up to the case.
If you have any questions PLEASE leave a comment below and I'll do my best to reply in time ;)
Wells Fargo are we good to participate in the banking industry?Hi guys ,off to our next opportuntiy WFC , currently one of the bigger banks in the US which have some good upside potential!
Fundamentals :
Financial Performance
In the third quarter of 2024, Wells Fargo reported a net income of $5.1 billion.
This performance reflects the company's resilience and adaptability in a dynamic economic environment.
Wells Fargo offers a comprehensive range of services, including banking, insurance, investments, mortgage, leasing, and credit cards. The company operates approximately 5,200 branches and 13,000 ATMs, serving one in three U.S. households and more than 10% of small businesses in the U.S.
The company has been under a regulator-imposed asset cap of approximately $1.95 trillion since February 2018, following past regulatory issues. There is anticipation that this cap may be lifted in 2025, which could significantly enhance Wells Fargo's growth and profitability.
Wells Fargo remains a significant player in the financial services industry, demonstrating both strengths and challenges. The company's extensive range of services and substantial asset base position it well for future opportunities, while ongoing regulatory and market challenges require careful navigation.
Entry : On market open
Target: 87.15
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Morgan Stanley, can we follow up on great earnings call?Hi guys, we are next looking into Morgan Stanley. Currently they had a fantastic 2024 , with great growth and great beat over their earnings calls.
Fundamental overview :
Morgan Stanley has adopted a bullish stance on U.S. equities, forecasting the S&P 500 to potentially reach 7,400 by 2025. This optimism is based on anticipated solid earnings growth and accommodative monetary policy, which could enhance the firm's equity trading and investment advisory revenues.
Increased Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Activity
The return of Donald Trump to the White House is expected to stimulate a surge in M&A activity, driven by lower borrowing costs and deregulation. Morgan Stanley predicts a 50% increase in M&A deals in 2025 compared to the previous year, which would significantly boost its advisory and underwriting services.
In fixed income, Morgan Stanley identifies securitized credit, particularly U.S. mortgage-backed securities (MBS), as a promising area. The firm believes that moderating monetary policy, coupled with strong consumer and corporate balance sheets, will create favorable conditions for this sector, potentially enhancing its fixed income revenues.
Technical Overview :
Currently we have surpassed a strong resistance line which has been upgraded to a supprot line because of the strong growth at 2024. Currently this Ascending channel should take us to a 2x price level from 83 level to 166 level.
Entry: 127
Target : 166
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Carvana - continuation of a strong sell off?Hi guys , we would be taking a look into CARVANA Short position.
Fundamentals :
1. High Debt Levels
Carvana's capital-intensive business model, combined with aggressive expansion, has led to a substantial accumulation of debt. The company has issued high-interest debt to finance operations, acquisitions, and inventory growth. This debt burden poses a risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment, as refinancing could become more expensive or unattainable.
2. Profitability Concerns
Despite significant revenue growth over the years, Carvana has consistently struggled to achieve profitability. Operating losses remain high, and the company’s path to sustainable positive earnings remains uncertain. Elevated operating costs, including vehicle reconditioning, marketing, and logistics, have weighed heavily on margins.
3. Cash Flow Problems
Carvana has a history of negative free cash flow, reflecting its inability to generate sufficient cash from operations to fund its business activities. This reliance on external financing is unsustainable in the long term and could lead to liquidity issues if the company fails to improve its cash flow position.
4. Declining Market Sentiment
Carvana’s stock has been highly volatile, experiencing dramatic price swings due to market concerns over its financial stability and business model. Analysts and investors have expressed skepticism about the company's ability to weather economic downturns, especially as demand for used vehicles normalizes post-pandemic.
5. Macroeconomic Challenges
The broader macroeconomic environment has added pressure to Carvana’s business. Rising interest rates have made vehicle financing more expensive for consumers, potentially dampening demand for used cars. Additionally, inflationary pressures on operational costs and declining vehicle prices further strain Carvana’s already thin margins.
6. Competitive Pressure
Carvana operates in a highly competitive market, facing established players like CarMax and emerging online-only platforms. The intense competition has limited its pricing power, forcing the company to invest heavily in customer acquisition and retention, further straining profitability.
7. Regulatory and Legal Risks
The company has faced legal challenges, including consumer complaints and regulatory scrutiny over its vehicle titling and registration practices. Such issues could lead to reputational damage, fines, or increased compliance costs.
Technical Spectrum:
They reached a good strong upper level, and then failed to deliver and sustain around that area.
Entry: 176$
Target: 130$
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
COSTCO - Time to break above and beyond the All time HighHi guys , today we are going to overview one of the retail giants COSTCO.
Fundamentals :
Revenue Growth and Profitability :
Consistent Revenue Growth: Costco has demonstrated steady revenue growth, driven by an expanding membership base, increased same-store sales, and international expansion.
Profit Margins: While Costco operates with low gross margins due to its focus on low pricing, its operating margins benefit significantly from recurring membership income. This structure ensures financial stability even in competitive environments.
Financial Health:
Balance Sheet Strength: Costco has a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels and ample liquidity. Its ability to generate robust free cash flow supports both operations and shareholder returns.
Dividend Growth: Costco pays a reliable dividend, which has seen consistent growth over the years. Additionally, the company occasionally issues special dividends, highlighting its commitment to returning value to shareholders
Valuation Metrics:
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Costco often trades at a premium valuation compared to peers due to its consistent performance and strong brand equity.
Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio: Reflecting its robust revenue generation capabilities, Costco’s P/S ratio is higher than the retail industry average but supported by predictable growth.
And some potential risks : Thin Margins: Costco’s low-margin strategy leaves little room for error, and rising costs (e.g., labor, logistics) could pressure profitability.
Economic Sensitivity: While generally resilient, Costco could face challenges if economic conditions significantly impact discretionary spending or if competition intensifies.
Foreign Exchange Risk: With international operations, Costco is exposed to currency fluctuations that could affect earnings.
Technical analysis : The company has been running on a very healthy uptrend throughought 2024 and has had 4 green earning seasons which gives a positive bullish trend conversion,with analysists focusing on another green earnings in their Q4 report this gives us the necessary confirmations for a up-trend:
Entry has been made at : 921
Target will be above the ATH : 1030
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Brief overview ahead of the $AMD earningsToday's NASDAQ:AMD earnings report, due after market close, promises to be intriguing
Historically, the movement after earnings over the last 10 years has averaged around +/-10.2%
Theoretically, NASDAQ:AMD could significantly benefit from the DeepSeek news, given that AMD has integrated the advanced DeepSeek-V3 model into its Instinct MI300X GPUs. However, this development has not yet been reflected in AMD's stock price
A drop in the stock price post-earnings could set up an interesting scenario. The bullish order block between $93-$102 on Chart 1 might offer a prime entry point for a bounce-back
Over the past five years, NASDAQ:AMD 's fundamental ratios shown in Chart 2 have generally looked solid. However, the current P/S ratio of 7.7 could ideally decrease a bit for better valuation
It's also worth noting that other chip stocks like NASDAQ:ASML and $RLCX saw positive movements post-earnings last week, though this doesn't guarantee a similar outcome for NASDAQ:AMD
$HSY: A Potential Bargain for Dividend InvestorsThe chocolate giant NYSE:HSY might be approaching a price bottom ahead of Thursday's earnings
The stock of The Hershey Company ( NYSE:HSY ) has now triggered my favorite technical indicator, a Bollinger Bands and RSI oversold signal on a weekly chart (see Chart 1)
This suggests that we might see a price reversal soon if the company effectively addresses its current challenges
Earnings Expectations and Volatility:
The options market anticipates a price movement of approximately +/-3.8% following Thursday's earnings
Recent Price Pressures:
- Surging Cocoa Prices:
Cocoa prices have skyrocketed (see Chart 2), but I believe this might be a bubble ready to burst as such short-term sharp rises are usually not sustainable
- Declining Demand:
There's been a noticeable decrease in sweets consumption, influenced by the rising trend of weight loss medications. I can't imagine that humanity will be deprived of sweets forever 😅
Fundamental Insights:
Chart 3 highlights key financial metrics for NYSE:HSY :
- Market Capitalization: ~$30 billion
- Cash Reserves: Approximately $600 million
- Debt: $5.6 billion, indicating a manageable financial structure for a company of Hershey's stature to weather further market turbulence
- P/E Ratio: Now at 17, which starts to look appealing
- Dividend Yield: At 3.7%, it's particularly attractive for European investors seeking income
Investment Considerations:
Given that this potential reversal signal appears on a weekly chart, expect significant volatility around the earnings announcement
Also the bottoming process can take several months and a capitulation event after earnings could be possible
However, with these signals, an attempt at a price recovery around earnings seems quite probable
ARM - Great AI, Great Financials,formulating Ascending ChannelHi guys we would be looking into ARM Holdings - some fundamentals below
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) has demonstrated impressive financial performance, driven by its strategic positioning in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence (AI) sector. The company's energy-efficient chip designs have become integral to AI applications, leading to significant revenue growth and increased market valuation.
In the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024, Arm reported a 47% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $928 million for the fourth quarter. This surge was primarily due to record-high royalty revenues, with the latest Armv9 technology contributing around 20% of these royalties.
Analysts have recognized Arm's strong market position. Raymond James initiated coverage with an "overweight" rating and a price target of $160, citing Arm's significant role in generative AI and its robust ecosystem.
Similarly, Wells Fargo set a price target of $155, highlighting the transition to Arm's latest technology as a key revenue driver.
Arm's inclusion in the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index reflects its growing prominence in the semiconductor industry. The company's American depositary receipts have surged approximately 150% since its Nasdaq debut, underscoring investor confidence in its growth trajectory.
Overall, Arm's strategic focus on AI and its innovative chip designs have positioned the company for sustained financial success, making it an attractive consideration for investors seeking exposure to the burgeoning AI market.
Technicals - We have formulated a great Ascending Channel, which is looking to capitalize on great earnings which is due to tomorrow -
Entry: 155
Target: 180 - The Target is just below the strong resistance level which is around 190 mark.