RAMA STEEL A MULTI BAGGER IN THE MAKINGRama Steel Tubes Limited has demonstrated notable developments recently:
Sales Growth: In Q2 FY25, the company reported a sales volume of 50,921.67 tons, marking a 42.32% year-over-year increase and a 36.28% rise from the previous quarter.
Green Energy Initiatives: Rama Steel Tubes has entered the renewable energy sector by partnering with Onix Renewable Ltd. to supply steel structures and single-axis trackers for solar projects. Additionally, the company incorporated a wholly-owned subsidiary, ONIX IPP Pvt. Ltd., to focus on green energy ventures.
Market Performance: The stock has experienced significant movements, including a 38% surge over three sessions in September 2024, adding approximately ₹500 crore to its market capitalization.
Financial performance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025 (Q2 FY25) is as follows:
1)Sales Volume: The company reported a sales volume of 50,921.67 tons in Q2 FY25, a 42.32% increase compared to 35,780.33 tons in Q2 FY24.
2)Revenue: The revenue for Q2 FY25 stood at ₹263.05 crore, up 29.37% from ₹203.33 crore in the same quarter the previous year.
Rama Steel Tubes Limited has been actively reducing its debt levels over recent years, reflecting a strategic move to strengthen its financial health. Here's a detailed overview:
1)Total Debt:
As of March 2024, the company's total debt stood at ₹144 crore, a 25.12% reduction from ₹193 crore in March 2023.
2) Debt-to-Equity Ratio:
The debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 0.43 in March 2024 from 0.77 in March 2023, indicating a significant reduction in leverage.
3)Net Debt-to-EBITDA Ratio:
The company has improved its Net Debt-to-EBITDA ratio over the years, showcasing better debt management relative to earnings.
These metrics highlight Rama Steel Tubes Limited's commitment to reducing debt and enhancing financial stability.
ITS A REAL HIDDEN GEM 💎
Earnings
$MSFT Iron Condor Trade Idea for the Pre-Earnings NoiseNASDAQ:MSFT Iron Condor, PRE-EARNINGS
1.5:1 Risk:Reward (i.e.: $150:$100)
+1 BUY $435 Call 1/24
-1 SELL $432.5 Call 1/24
-{CURRENT PRICE $423.61}-
-1 SELL $417.5 Put 1/24
+1 $415 Put 1/24
If the trade goes south this one is totally rollable to a $5 spread IC down the road, especially on the day of expiration.
$PCG - Did market just panic dumped the wrong stock?The recent wildfires in California, particularly the Palisades and Eaton Fires in Los Angeles County, have primarily affected Southern California.
This recent wildfire news caused NYSE:PCG to crash alongside NYSE:EIX (which bounced as well).
However, PG&E's service area is predominantly in Northern and Central California. PG&E will not have to pay back the wildfire fund if deemed prudent.
Furthermore, PG&E is a stable utility with monopoly-like dominance in California’s massive market. It benefits from regulated pricing, essential services, wildfire liability caps, and state support for clean energy and infrastructure upgrades. With strong cash flows, improving safety measures, and alignment with decarbonization trends, PG&E offers resilience, growth potential, and a compelling "buy the fake fear" opportunity. Don’t let short-term noise overshadow its solid fundamentals.
So, did market just panic dumped the wrong stock?
Insiders Are Betting Big on This AI StockArtificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping industries across the globe, with 35% of businesses incorporating AI into their workflows according to Business Insider. While much of the early AI buzz focused on high-profile players like OpenAI and Nvidia, the next phase of AI's integration may lie in specialized applications—and education is poised to be a major frontier.
One company making strides in this space is Nerdy Inc. NYSE:NRDY , which leverages AI to personalize learning across over 3,000 subjects. With growing interest in the NRDY ticker evident on Google Trends and insider activity suggesting confidence from leadership, there may be a unique opportunity brewing for investors looking to capitalize on this late-stage AI play.
The Case for AI in Education
AI’s potential in education is immense. Tools like chatbots and adaptive learning platforms are already being deployed to personalize tutoring and enhance engagement. For instance, Arizona State University has implemented AI-driven tools to track student progress and recommend resources, while Carnegie Mellon uses AI to power its Open Learning Initiative, helping students master subjects faster.
Despite its promise, AI-driven education remains underexplored compared to sectors like healthcare or logistics. This presents an opportunity for companies like Nerdy Inc. to revolutionize how education is delivered at scale while addressing challenges in accessibility and customization.
Insider Trading
Recent insider trading activity paints an intriguing picture. CEO Charles K. Cohn has made multiple stock acquisitions , including a purchase of 3,000,000 shares on December 13, 2024, and another acquisition of 2,000,000 shares on December 16, 2024, totaling millions of dollars in recent months. Such moves often signal leadership’s confidence in the company’s future.
Positive Earnings Surprises
Nerdy Inc. has consistently delivered positive earnings surprises :
- Q4 2023: 54.55%
- Q1 2024: 36.36%
- Q2 2024: 33.33%
- Q3 2024: 39.13%
This trend of exceeding expectations suggests that Nerdy is not only executing well but also potentially under-appreciated by the market.
The Strategic Play: Leveraging LEAPS Options
Sprouting companies like Nerdy Inc. often follow a predictable cycle of accumulation and distribution on the part of institutions. After an initial public offering, we typically observe a period of stabilization under SEC-regulation M, which mandates price support from underwriting syndicates.
During this phase, a rally may occur as the public begins to buy in. However, newer applications—like personalized AI learning—often require time to gain mass adoption. Following this rally, we frequently see a sell-off as qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) exit their initial positions.
The most critical phase is accumulation , during which institutions steadily acquire discounted shares. This process may take months or years, but the goal for investors is clear: align with the institutions.
The Setup
- Contract: June 20, 2025 $1.50 Call
- Premium: $0.40 per share
- Position Size: 50 contracts
- Total Risk: $2,000 (plus transaction fees)
This strategy caps downside risk while allowing ample time for institutional accumulation and potential media-driven interest.
Risk vs. Reward
If Nerdy Inc. recaptures its 2020 IPO price of $10 per share, the potential profit is substantial:
($10 market price - $1.50 strike price) x 5,000 shares = $42,500 profit
While ambitious, this scenario aligns with patterns seen in AI-driven stocks like NASDAQ:PLTR and NASDAQ:RGTI which also benefited from strong catalysts and public speculation. Plus NASDAQ:CLBT and NYSE:OPFI to name a few others outside the realm of AI.
A Long-Term Perspective
AI’s role in education is just beginning. Nerdy Inc.’s commitment to personalized learning places it in a unique position to capitalize on this transformative trend. The combination of strong insider activity, positive earnings surprises, and growing interest in AI-powered education makes this a compelling speculative opportunity.
What do you think about AI’s role in transforming education? Will companies like Nerdy Inc. lead the charge, or will traditional methods continue to dominate?
General Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment advice. The information provided does not constitute an offer to buy or sell any securities, nor does it take into account your specific financial situation, objectives, or risk tolerance.
The views expressed are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Investing involves risks, including the loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
For personalized investment recommendations, please consult a licensed financial advisor. The author assumes no liability for actions taken based on the information provided in this post.
The Clever Investor's Bull Case For Nike's NosediveNike NYSE:NKE has long been a household name, a symbol of global athletic excellence, and a stalwart of blue-chip stocks. Yet, the past few years have painted a picture far from the company’s iconic swoosh. Currently trading at $71.29 on the NYSE , Nike is reeling from a series of missteps that prompted analysts, including Zacks, to designate it as a Strong Sell . So, what happened? And more importantly, could this bear case hold the seeds of a bull case for forward-thinking investors?
A Painful Lesson in Hubris
During the COVID-19 online retail boom, Nike made the bold decision to pivot sharply away from its traditional merchant relationships, aiming to dominate the direct-to-consumer (DTC) space. On paper, it was a savvy move. E-commerce was flourishing, and cutting out middlemen promised higher margins. But the reality was far from Nike’s vision. The decision alienated long-time merchant partners, disrupted sales channels, and, ultimately, led to a steep plunge in revenue. The stock followed suit, spiraling downward and rattling investor confidence.
Nike’s story became a cautionary tale of shortsighted strategy, proving that even giants can stumble.
The Reset: A Glimpse of Hope?
Acknowledging its mistakes, Nike has made significant leadership changes. The most notable? The return of Elliott Hill , a company veteran who first walked through Nike’s doors as an intern in 1980. Hill’s comeback signals a return to the company’s roots, potentially reigniting the brand’s foundational values and reconnecting with its core audiences. Could Hill’s presence mark the beginning of a turnaround story for Nike? If he can channel the magic that once made Nike a global powerhouse, the brand’s resurgence could rival some of the most compelling comebacks in corporate history.
Undervalued or Overlooked?
Here’s where the story takes an interesting turn for investors. At $71.29 , Nike’s current share price sits well below the average analyst projection of $84.17 and far from the high-end target of $120 . This significant gap raises the question: Is the market over-discounting Nike’s potential?
Consider this: Despite recent missteps, Nike remains a blue-chip stock with a global footprint, brand recognition, and membership in the prestigious Dow Jones Index . For dividend-focused investors, Nike’s recovery could signal not just capital appreciation but also the potential for dividend increases as the company regains its footing. Could this make Nike an attractive opportunity for those with the patience to look several years down the line?
A Strategic Play: LEAPS Options
Likeminded investors intrigued by Nike’s potential but wary of committing significant capital to the stock outright might find value in a LEAPS options strategy . Consider the January 16, 2026, call option with a $70 strike price . It boasts an implied volatility of 30.6685, an open interest sitting at 1,547, and a daily traded volume of 68—demonstrating decent liquidity for a contract set to expire one year out. That’s plenty of time for Nike to hit one of the analyst targets. Let’s dig into this.
Scenario Analysis — Account size: $100,000 | Max Risk: 4% (aggressive) | Analyst 1-year price target @ $120
1. Starter Position
Because some liquidity was already absorbed at the current price level, some investors might be inclined to wait for price to drop below $70. At that point, we might secure a Long-Term Equity Anticipation Securities (LEAPS) contract with the better strike price of $70. The options chain tells us we might expect to pay a $10 premium for such a contract. With a maximum 4% risk, we can secure 50% of our position here, meaning we’d spend $2,000 to control $14,000 worth of equity in blue-chip Nike stock.
2. Final Position
The next position we might be interested in adding is at the $65 level. This would account for the lower half of the liquidity imbalance. In many cases, the market may not even penetrate that deeply. However, the tide is against us here, which is why we are being more careful with how we build our position, regardless of the risk-aversion benefits of using options contracts. Estimating from the options chain, we might expect to pay another $10 in premium for the $65 strike price. This brings our total cost of this position to $4,000.
3. Risk Management
One of the reasons I love simple options strategies like this is because the risk is built into the contract. In other words, if the stock absolutely plummets to zero, the most we stand to lose is $4,000 in this example, versus $27,000 if we were to buy the shares outright. This is the primary reason options contracts are the preferred method of acquisition for institutions. You just can’t beat the risk management. Don’t you wish you had 372 days to be right on every trade with a downside capped to a fraction of what you normally risk? Exactly.
4. Exit Strategy 1:
Because I believe in Nike’s comeback story, I’d be willing to hold this trade for the high analyst projection of $120. By the time these levels are reached, investors usually have a change of heart. Additionally, I’d be inclined to keep my shares if we do happen to reach $120 in a year. This way, I can generate income through covered calls/puts without risking my capital. If the stock falls to discounted levels again, I’d be inclined to buy more using a similar strategy.
5. Exit Strategy 2:
If we wanted to realize the capital gains from this trade, we could simply liquidate the two contracts for a potential gain or execute the contracts to capture the gains directly. Here’s what would happen in the latter case:
On our $70 position, we paid a $10 premium. The price of each of those shares is now worth $120. Subtracting our premium and strike price from the target price, we’re left with a potential profit of $8,000 ($40 in profit per share × 200 shares) for our starter position.
On our $65 position, we paid a $10 premium. The price of each of those shares is now worth $120 as well. Subtracting our premium and strike price from the target price, we’re left with a potential profit of $9,000 ($45 in profit per share × 200 shares) for our final position. That leaves us with a total profit of $17,000 (minus transaction fees). Meanwhile, we only ever risked 4% of our account—or $4,000—and had a whole year to be right. Not bad, right?
Risk Aversion With Options
Investors should be aware that the maximum risk is the premium paid for the option. If Nike does not reach its intended targets by the expiration date, the premium could be lost entirely. However, with the flexibility to sell the contract before expiration if conditions change, this strategy offers multiple exit points to mitigate risk.
This approach allows investors to position themselves for potential upside while risking only a defined percentage of their account—in this case, 4% of total account size .
Betting on Leadership and Legacy
While the past may haunt Nike’s valuation today, its future may hinge on leadership—and that’s where Elliott Hill’s return is especially intriguing. Nike is betting on his deep understanding of the company’s DNA to restore the trust and innovation that have historically defined the brand. If Hill can effectively bridge the gap between tradition and modernity, could Nike regain the compelling flame that once set it apart?
The Bigger Picture
Zooming out, the broader retail sector is stabilizing after years of disruption. As supply chains normalize and consumer spending shifts post-pandemic, there may be a window for Nike to execute a well-timed rebound. Investors have seen this before: beaten-down companies surprising the market with a revival that rewards those willing to take the risk.
Final Thought: Risk or Reward?
Nike’s bear case is clear, but so is its potential. The decisions that led to its downturn are being addressed, and its leadership is realigning to focus on long-term growth. The stock’s current valuation may reflect fear, but what if it’s actually an opportunity disguised as risk?
Could this be the moment when contrarian investors start looking at Nike not as a struggling giant, but as a phoenix waiting to rise? History has shown that the market rewards those who can see beyond the headlines. Could Nike’s bear case be the bull story lying in wait? For those with patience and vision, the next chapter might be worth watching closely.
What’s your take on Nike’s potential comeback? Would a LEAPS options strategy make sense for you? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
General Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment advice. The information provided does not constitute an offer to buy or sell any securities, nor does it take into account your specific financial situation, objectives, or risk tolerance.
The views expressed are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Investing involves risks, including the loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
For personalized investment recommendations, please consult a licensed financial advisor. The author assumes no liability for actions taken based on the information provided in this post.
NASDAQ - In preparation for the great Q4 earnings!Hi guys, we would take a look into the NASDAQ 100 today.
Currently we have some of the biggest companies which will show their Q4 earnings by the end of January, just to name a few - Microsoft,AMD,Netflix,Google,JP Morgan,BlackRock,TSM,Tesla
These companies represent a very big portion of the NASDAQ Composite, and if they deliver some great numbers this would give the necessary boost that we need to push the price towards our target.
Currently from a fundamental perspective these earning calls , would end up providing the necessary benefitiary to boost up the prices , due to the sheer volume that would be generated.
From a Technical perspective : We can see that the price is currently situated on a very strong support level, with an additional boost from the RSI indicator which is showcasing a formulation of an Ascending pattern ahead.
Entry: 21,135
Target 1: 21,500
Target 2: 21,855
Target 3: 22,350
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Market Outlook for Next Week (US):Key Catalysts to Watch:
Earnings Reports:
Major U.S. banks, including Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup, will release their Q4 2024 earnings next week. These reports will provide critical insights into the financial sector's health and could drive significant market movements.
Economic Data:
Updates on corporate profits and other macroeconomic indicators will be closely monitored. Recent data showed a decline in U.S. corporate profits (-0.4%), suggesting potential headwinds for business performance.
Federal Reserve Statements:
Investors will look for signals from the Fed on monetary policy, particularly regarding future rate hikes or pauses. Any comments related to inflation or labor market strength could sway market sentiment.
Outlook:
Given these catalysts, heightened volatility is expected. Markets may face headwinds if corporate earnings disappoint or if Fed commentary hints at continued hawkishness. However, stronger-than-expected earnings or dovish Fed signals could provide tailwinds for equities. Overall, next week’s direction will likely depend on a mix of earnings surprises and macroeconomic data outcomes.
COSTCO - Time to break above and beyond the All time HighHi guys , today we are going to overview one of the retail giants COSTCO.
Fundamentals :
Revenue Growth and Profitability :
Consistent Revenue Growth: Costco has demonstrated steady revenue growth, driven by an expanding membership base, increased same-store sales, and international expansion.
Profit Margins: While Costco operates with low gross margins due to its focus on low pricing, its operating margins benefit significantly from recurring membership income. This structure ensures financial stability even in competitive environments.
Financial Health:
Balance Sheet Strength: Costco has a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels and ample liquidity. Its ability to generate robust free cash flow supports both operations and shareholder returns.
Dividend Growth: Costco pays a reliable dividend, which has seen consistent growth over the years. Additionally, the company occasionally issues special dividends, highlighting its commitment to returning value to shareholders
Valuation Metrics:
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Costco often trades at a premium valuation compared to peers due to its consistent performance and strong brand equity.
Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio: Reflecting its robust revenue generation capabilities, Costco’s P/S ratio is higher than the retail industry average but supported by predictable growth.
And some potential risks : Thin Margins: Costco’s low-margin strategy leaves little room for error, and rising costs (e.g., labor, logistics) could pressure profitability.
Economic Sensitivity: While generally resilient, Costco could face challenges if economic conditions significantly impact discretionary spending or if competition intensifies.
Foreign Exchange Risk: With international operations, Costco is exposed to currency fluctuations that could affect earnings.
Technical analysis : The company has been running on a very healthy uptrend throughought 2024 and has had 4 green earning seasons which gives a positive bullish trend conversion,with analysists focusing on another green earnings in their Q4 report this gives us the necessary confirmations for a up-trend:
Entry has been made at : 921
Target will be above the ATH : 1030
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
S&P 500 rangeThe S&P 500 Index has been ranging sideways since the US Election gap up on November 6th 2024. SPX support is by the October 2024 high 5850 area. Resistance is by the 6050 zone, even though there was an attempt to hit 6100 in the beginning of December before the FOMC rate cut and government shutdown fear drop on December 18th. Trading a range simplifies long and short entries and exits. However, it only works while the trading range continues. If there's a breakout or breakdown then this range will be invalidated. For the time being, my trade idea is straightforward on SPX. Go long at 5850 and go short at 6050. I think the market is in wait and see mode until Mega Cap earnings in a few weeks. A note of caution, options data is currently extremely bearish through the end of this month.
Mega Cap earnings dates:
1/28
MSFT 4:05pm
GOOG 4:05pm
1/29
TSLA 4:05
1/30
AMZN 4pm
META 4:05pm
AAPL 4:30pm
SPX options data:
1/10 expiry
Put Volume Total 152,200
Call Volume Total 69,422
Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.19
Put Open Interest Total 425,831
Call Open Interest Total 108,857
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.91
1/17 expiry
Put Volume Total 129,140
Call Volume Total 97,195
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.33
Put Open Interest Total 1,917,625
Call Open Interest Total 1,013,708
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.89
1/24 expiry
Put Volume Total 11,864
Call Volume Total 8,911
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.33
Put Open Interest Total 156,526
Call Open Interest Total 46,537
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.36
1/31 expiry
Put Volume Total 36,487
Call Volume Total 12,299
Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.97
Put Open Interest Total 449,738
Call Open Interest Total 116,092
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.87
Nobody appreciates it !!!Following the recent significant decline, DOGE has now developed an ascending triangle pattern on the daily chart, which might indicate a bullish trend. Keep in mind that this analysis is based on the daily time frame.
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The Crypto Market Game: How to Win Against Fear and Manipulation
Did you really think profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they’ll let you buy low, hold, and sell high without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win.
They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will create panic, causing you to sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there’s fear, not sell—because your panic gives them cheap assets.
This is how the game works: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sell-off. They make it look like the end of the world so you abandon everything. And when the market rises again, you’re left sitting there asking, “What just happened?”
This is not an accident. It’s a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear, forcing you to give up. When you panic, they profit. They don’t just play the market—they play you. That’s why most people never succeed: they fall into the same traps over and over again.
People don’t realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They block out the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever.
We’ve seen this play out hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them back to you at the top—leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened.
Don’t play their game. Play your own.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Lockheed Martin - Extremely oversold - Very high potential aheadHi guys we are looking into one of the Defence Giants in the U.S.
Lockheed Martin (LMT) stands out as a leader in the aerospace and defense industry, offering a compelling investment opportunity for those seeking stability and long-term growth. The company benefits from a robust pipeline of government contracts, providing consistent revenue and resilience against market volatility. Its focus on cutting-edge technologies, including hypersonic systems, missile defense, and space exploration, ensures a competitive edge and positions it well for future growth.
Lockheed Martin's commitment to innovation and operational efficiency has driven strong financial performance, with reliable cash flow supporting shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks. As global defense budgets remain strong, LMT is poised to capitalize on increased demand for advanced defense and aerospace solutions, making it an attractive choice for investors.
Currently as we can see the price has been extremely oversold and is currently sitting very low in the RSI level - 1H,4H and 1D time frames.
I believe there is a lot of potential to be collected here, and a great Q4 earnings can help boost that possiblity!
Entry: 467
Target 1: 495
Target 2: 530
Target 3: 577
Target 4: 630
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Microsoft preparing for Q4 earnings - positive outcome?Hi guys , we are looking into one of the Magnificent 7 - and one of the biggest TECH giants - MSFT.
Microsoft had a fantastic 2024 growth wise and stability / expansion wise.
The stock remains a strong investment choice due to its diversified business model, consistent revenue growth, and leadership in key sectors like cloud computing (Azure), enterprise software, and AI innovation. With its robust balance sheet, steady dividend payouts, and adaptability in evolving markets, Microsoft is well-positioned for long-term growth, appealing to both growth and income-focused investors.
I am expecting some great numbers from their Q4 earnings which would lead towards us reaching our targets.
Entry: 429
Target: 456
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Carvana - continuation of a strong sell off?Hi guys , we would be taking a look into CARVANA Short position.
Fundamentals :
1. High Debt Levels
Carvana's capital-intensive business model, combined with aggressive expansion, has led to a substantial accumulation of debt. The company has issued high-interest debt to finance operations, acquisitions, and inventory growth. This debt burden poses a risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment, as refinancing could become more expensive or unattainable.
2. Profitability Concerns
Despite significant revenue growth over the years, Carvana has consistently struggled to achieve profitability. Operating losses remain high, and the company’s path to sustainable positive earnings remains uncertain. Elevated operating costs, including vehicle reconditioning, marketing, and logistics, have weighed heavily on margins.
3. Cash Flow Problems
Carvana has a history of negative free cash flow, reflecting its inability to generate sufficient cash from operations to fund its business activities. This reliance on external financing is unsustainable in the long term and could lead to liquidity issues if the company fails to improve its cash flow position.
4. Declining Market Sentiment
Carvana’s stock has been highly volatile, experiencing dramatic price swings due to market concerns over its financial stability and business model. Analysts and investors have expressed skepticism about the company's ability to weather economic downturns, especially as demand for used vehicles normalizes post-pandemic.
5. Macroeconomic Challenges
The broader macroeconomic environment has added pressure to Carvana’s business. Rising interest rates have made vehicle financing more expensive for consumers, potentially dampening demand for used cars. Additionally, inflationary pressures on operational costs and declining vehicle prices further strain Carvana’s already thin margins.
6. Competitive Pressure
Carvana operates in a highly competitive market, facing established players like CarMax and emerging online-only platforms. The intense competition has limited its pricing power, forcing the company to invest heavily in customer acquisition and retention, further straining profitability.
7. Regulatory and Legal Risks
The company has faced legal challenges, including consumer complaints and regulatory scrutiny over its vehicle titling and registration practices. Such issues could lead to reputational damage, fines, or increased compliance costs.
Technical Spectrum:
They reached a good strong upper level, and then failed to deliver and sustain around that area.
Entry: 176$
Target: 130$
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Goldman Sachs - The desired growth,earnings will help capitalizeHi guys, continuing with our Banking trend, we are going to take a look at Goldman Sachs -
Fundamentals
Goldman Sachs is set for a strong 2025, driven by robust U.S. GDP growth forecasts of 2.5%, fueled by AI-driven investments and federal incentives. The firm expects the S&P 500 to rise to 6,500, supported by steady earnings growth and favorable monetary policy, with Fed rate cuts stimulating economic activity. Strategic initiatives in asset management, emphasizing portfolio recalibration amidst shifting economic conditions, position Goldman Sachs to capitalize on market dynamics. These factors align to create a favorable financial outlook for the year.
Technicals :
Similiar to the previous banking groups, they had a fantastic 2024, with great growth after the beggining of the year. Their stock formulated a very strong Ascending channel after it crushed the previous storng Resistance level at 390 around april last year.
Entry: 577
Target: 678
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Morgan Stanley, can we follow up on great earnings call?Hi guys, we are next looking into Morgan Stanley. Currently they had a fantastic 2024 , with great growth and great beat over their earnings calls.
Fundamental overview :
Morgan Stanley has adopted a bullish stance on U.S. equities, forecasting the S&P 500 to potentially reach 7,400 by 2025. This optimism is based on anticipated solid earnings growth and accommodative monetary policy, which could enhance the firm's equity trading and investment advisory revenues.
Increased Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Activity
The return of Donald Trump to the White House is expected to stimulate a surge in M&A activity, driven by lower borrowing costs and deregulation. Morgan Stanley predicts a 50% increase in M&A deals in 2025 compared to the previous year, which would significantly boost its advisory and underwriting services.
In fixed income, Morgan Stanley identifies securitized credit, particularly U.S. mortgage-backed securities (MBS), as a promising area. The firm believes that moderating monetary policy, coupled with strong consumer and corporate balance sheets, will create favorable conditions for this sector, potentially enhancing its fixed income revenues.
Technical Overview :
Currently we have surpassed a strong resistance line which has been upgraded to a supprot line because of the strong growth at 2024. Currently this Ascending channel should take us to a 2x price level from 83 level to 166 level.
Entry: 127
Target : 166
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Bank of America - Follow up on already great bull run?Hi guys, today we are starting with an overview of Bank of America.
Fundamentals :
Bank of America is positioned for a strong financial year in 2025 due to several factors: anticipated economic growth, Fed interest rate cuts stimulating loan demand, and significant growth in net interest income from well-managed portfolios. The bank expects a boost in investment banking and trading revenues, supported by regulatory changes and market activity. Additionally, technological innovation and a shift toward an "asset-light" economy are seen as long-term growth drivers. Positive analyst outlooks further reinforce confidence in its prospects for the year.
Technicals : Currently from 2023 until and through 2024 , BAC has had a fantastic ascending year, with good revenue which showcased a great Ascending channel formulating. Currently I want the gap which was a strong resistance to be tested again, so we can move forward to the higher levels.
Entry: 44.50
Target 55.60
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
AI: The Future, and NVIDIA’s Crown !Artificial Intelligence? isn't just the next big thing—it's the thing.
The stock market? It’s not always about valuation—it’s about vision. Investors flock to what’s sexy and transformative, and AI is just that. NVIDIA's high profit margins and dominant position make it the clear winner. Yes, the stock might look expensive on paper, but the market rewards growth, potential, and leadership in the next frontier.
AI is the future, and NVIDIA is writing the playbook. Fundamentals matter, but in this era, the narrative of being the leader in a groundbreaking field is what drives the market.
Not a financial advice.
City Group - Can the 3rd biggest US bank deliver?Hi guys, we would be looking next into City Group, the 3rd biggest Banking coroporation in the US. Currently they have been quite undervalued in comparission to it's counter-part in the eyes of JP Morgan. They still are holding a tremendeous amount of assets and have a lot of potential for an upswing!
Under CEO Jane Fraser's leadership, Citigroup has streamlined its operations, focusing on five core business areas and exiting consumer markets in 14 countries. This strategic transformation is expected to enhance efficiency and profitability. Analyst Mike Mayo projects that Citigroup's return on tangible equity could increase from the current 7% to 11-12% by 2026, with earnings potentially reaching $10 per share. He also suggests that the stock could double in value over the next three years.
Analyst Recommendations
Analysts have set an average price target of $82.14 for Citigroup, with estimates ranging from $66.00 to $110.00, indicating a potential upside from the current trading price.
Citigroup's current valuation, trading below its tangible book value of $90, presents an attractive opportunity for investors. The company's diversified revenue streams, including a global services operation, a top-tier investment bank, and a leading credit card company, position it well for sustained growth
Citigroup's strategic initiatives and favorable analyst outlooks suggest a positive trajectory for the stock in 2025. Investors may find Citigroup an appealing option for potential growth in the financial sector.
Entry on Market Open
Target 1: 90
Target 2: 110
Target 3: 166
Target 4: 240
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Wells Fargo are we good to participate in the banking industry?Hi guys ,off to our next opportuntiy WFC , currently one of the bigger banks in the US which have some good upside potential!
Fundamentals :
Financial Performance
In the third quarter of 2024, Wells Fargo reported a net income of $5.1 billion.
This performance reflects the company's resilience and adaptability in a dynamic economic environment.
Wells Fargo offers a comprehensive range of services, including banking, insurance, investments, mortgage, leasing, and credit cards. The company operates approximately 5,200 branches and 13,000 ATMs, serving one in three U.S. households and more than 10% of small businesses in the U.S.
The company has been under a regulator-imposed asset cap of approximately $1.95 trillion since February 2018, following past regulatory issues. There is anticipation that this cap may be lifted in 2025, which could significantly enhance Wells Fargo's growth and profitability.
Wells Fargo remains a significant player in the financial services industry, demonstrating both strengths and challenges. The company's extensive range of services and substantial asset base position it well for future opportunities, while ongoing regulatory and market challenges require careful navigation.
Entry : On market open
Target: 87.15
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
TSMC- Expectating Fantastic Earnings Report ,let's capitalize!Hi guys we would be looking at this fantastic company let's dive into the Fundamentals!
A Stellar Year for TSMC: Redefining Excellence in Semiconductor Manufacturing
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) has once again solidified its position as a global leader in the semiconductor industry with a truly outstanding financial year. The company's ability to navigate an ever-evolving market landscape and consistently deliver cutting-edge technology is nothing short of remarkable.
Exceptional Financial Performance
TSMC's financial results for the year have been phenomenal, reflecting its unparalleled operational efficiency and strategic foresight. Despite industry challenges, the company achieved record-breaking revenue and profitability, driven by robust demand for its advanced nodes and innovative solutions. TSMC's dedication to staying ahead of the curve has enabled it to maintain a dominant market share while attracting key clients in industries ranging from consumer electronics to automotive.
Commitment to Innovation
The cornerstone of TSMC's success lies in its relentless pursuit of technological excellence. As the pioneer in advanced semiconductor nodes such as 3nm and 5nm, TSMC has continued to set benchmarks for the industry. These advancements not only empower its clients to develop cutting-edge products but also contribute significantly to technological progress on a global scale. The company's commitment to research and development is evident in its consistent rollout of groundbreaking processes and technologies.
Resilience and Sustainability
TSMC's financial triumph is also a testament to its resilience and adaptability. In the face of global supply chain disruptions and geopolitical uncertainties, the company demonstrated remarkable agility, ensuring seamless operations and timely delivery to its partners. Moreover, TSMC has taken proactive steps toward sustainability, aiming to achieve carbon neutrality and reinforce its leadership as a responsible corporate entity.
Partner of Choice
One of TSMC's greatest strengths is its ability to forge strong, long-term partnerships with some of the world's most influential tech companies. By offering unparalleled manufacturing capabilities and a collaborative approach, TSMC has become the trusted partner for industry giants. This mutual trust and cooperation have been instrumental in driving its financial and operational success.
Entry : 200
Target: 255
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
STZ - Potential upside to recover the dip?Hi guys , we are goign to take a look the company with tracker STZ -
STZ has consistently demonstrated its commitment to excellence and innovation, making it a standout in its industry. The company's robust financial health is a testament to its sound business strategies and disciplined execution. Their impressive revenue growth and sustainable profitability highlight a well-managed operation poised for long-term success.
Beyond financials, STZ is a forward-thinking organization with a clear vision for the future. Their investment in cutting-edge technologies, customer-centric solutions, and sustainable practices showcases their adaptability and focus on staying ahead in a rapidly evolving market.
What truly sets STZ apart is its leadership and dedication to fostering a culture of innovation and collaboration. This forward momentum positions STZ as a reliable partner for investors and stakeholders alike, promising a bright and prosperous future.
My entry would be : 222
Target 1 : 245.29
Target 2 : 272.88
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD A Comprehensive GuideMastering the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): A Comprehensive Guide
Understanding the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): A Beginner’s Guide
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a popular and powerful momentum and trend-following indicator used by traders across various markets. Developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s, MACD helps traders identify potential trend reversals, momentum strength, and buy or sell signals.
What is MACD?
MACD is based on the relationship between two moving averages of an asset’s price. It consists of three main components:
MACD Line:
Calculated as the difference between the 12-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 26-period EMA.
Signal Line:
A 9-period EMA of the MACD Line.
Serves as a trigger for buy or sell signals.
Histogram:
The difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line.
Visual representation of momentum changes.
How to Interpret MACD
Crossovers:
Bullish Crossover: When the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line, it signals upward momentum and is often interpreted as a buy signal.
Bearish Crossover: When the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line, it indicates downward momentum and is often seen as a sell signal.
Centerline Crossovers:
When the MACD Line crosses above the zero line, it indicates bullish momentum.
When the MACD Line crosses below the zero line, it signals bearish momentum.
Divergence:
Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes lower lows, but the MACD makes higher lows. This can indicate a potential upward reversal.
Bearish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes higher highs, but the MACD makes lower highs. This can suggest a potential downward reversal.
Strengths of MACD
Versatile: Combines trend-following and momentum analysis.
Easy to Use: Simple to interpret for traders of all skill levels.
Effective in Trending Markets: Provides clear signals during strong trends.
Limitations of MACD
Lagging Indicator: Since it relies on moving averages, MACD may provide signals after a trend has already started.
False Signals: In sideways or choppy markets, MACD can produce misleading crossovers.
Best Practices for Using MACD
Combine with Other Indicators:
Use MACD with support and resistance levels, RSI, or Bollinger Bands for confirmation of signals.
Combine it with volume analysis to validate momentum strength.
Adjust Periods for Your Strategy:
Shorten the EMA periods (e.g., 8, 18, and 6) for more responsive signals in fast-moving markets.
Lengthen the periods (e.g., 21, 50, and 9) for smoother signals in slower markets.
Understand Market Context:
Avoid relying solely on MACD in range-bound markets where false signals are more common.
Example of MACD in Action
Imagine a stock is in an uptrend, and the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line while the histogram turns positive. This is a bullish signal suggesting that the upward momentum is strengthening. Conversely, if the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line during a downtrend, it signals that bearish momentum may continue.
Conclusion
The MACD is a robust indicator that helps traders identify trends, momentum shifts, and potential buy/sell opportunities. While it’s easy to use, its effectiveness improves when combined with other technical tools and a solid understanding of market dynamics. As always, backtest your strategies and practice using the MACD on historical data before applying it to live trades.