$FREY - more money down the drain, headed for the graveyardNYSE:FREY is a company set up to enrich the owners and key players. They have tapped into subsidies in several countries, and the owners have made millions. They have delivered nothing, and plan after plan has been cancelled. After getting tons of money and praise in Norway, they shut down and moved to the US. Because the US government provided a better environment. Still delivering nothing, they now got awarded €122 million from the EU. Watch this money go down the drain, or into owners pockets. No point in doing any technical analysis, this company is heading in one direction only. Be aware of short termed price jumps based on nonsense, it is all part of the process of bankruptcy. As always, do your own due diligence. If this company is alive in its current form in 1 year, I will never post anything in here again.
Earnings
Lyft | LYFT | Long at $9.75First, from a technical analysis perspective, NASDAQ:LYFT has not "officially" found a bottom yet. No one can confidently state it has - their guess is as good as yours. This analysis is full of caution simply around the fact this stock could absolutely dip to below $5.00 in the future.
With that said, NASDAQ:LYFT is currently the #3 travel app in the Apple store (#1 is Uber, #2 is Airbnb). It has a 4.9 (Apple) and 4.7 (Google) star rating and tens of millions of downloads. Car prices, insurance rates, parking fees, gas/electric rates, etc. are pushing more people into the rideshare environment. With a recession knocking on the US's door, the fee-for-service model will make more sense than actually owning for many. But, a recession is a recession and the market hates them... Lyft is currently the only true competitor to Uber and its earnings are likely to grow as the travel environment "modernizes" in the future.
At $9.75, the stock closed all previous lower gaps on the daily chart. Currently, open price gaps (which are often good predictors of future price movement) are all above its current price. A bottom *may* be in, but see intro... I view the current price as a personal buy zone with room for additional shares if the price dips to near $5 (and fundamentals don't change).
A high-growth potential stock in an ever-changing travel environment.
Target #1 = $15.00
Target #2 = $22.00
Target #3 = $30.00
Target #4 = $75.00+ (long-term view...)
GOLD WEEKLY ANALYZING SIGNALSMarket may experience a period of consolidation.
But a a certain time, the market may have a clear directional breakthrough.( It happened)
Gold may have a small shock this week.
Then, at a critical moment , a strong unilateral trend appeared driven by news or data.
This trend tends to have a breakthrough action, but the overall fluctuation may be suppressed to some extent.
IF U SEE A TREND FORMING, YOU CAN CONSIDER FOLLOWING THE TREND, MAINTAINING RETIONALITY AND AVOIDING EXCESSIVE RISKS.
lETS WAIT AND SEE.
SMCI Battered Stock SyndromeI've seen this stock in the news a lot about some accounting irregularities (which have apparently existed for a long time with this company). Last time these allegations surfaced was August 2020 (stock is up 1000% since then).
Anyway, wisemen on the daily, momentum divergences and harmonics look bullish here, so I'll take a small pre-earnings gamble on some otm december calls. Probably due for a relief rally right now and a strong earnings report after the close today could help close the gap around $50.
Very high levels of new inventory in Apartments. I know this because I am a corporate landlord in Seattle, WA.
I get to study and see this data for work in order to predict demand/supply levels and therefor predict rental prices.
In my area/across cities in the US, there is a huge spike in new apartment buildings hitting the market at once. What do new apartments need? Appliances.
Watch for this earnings and there forecast's of earnings.
Watch Movement Post Earnings. Strong bull for this stock as not only small caps have strength, but this company is rolling out there testosterone therapy and also has a cheap price tag.
My targets are listed on the right hand side in bright pink.
BUT, big but, if we lose this support there is nothing holding this thing up for a while until we reach previous support lines. I might be looking for a liquidity grab to the down side right after earnings and will watch for reversals. Manage risk please
RXRX - BIOTECH SQUEEZE PLAY RXRX - Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company that combines automation, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and in vivo validation capabilities to discover novel medicines.
Consolidating since April, look left and see the explosive moves.
Grab cheap long dated calls and wait for news to come out. Easy R/R. Calls swing 100% on small moves and I've got a good bit cheaply Jan 2025 calls. 9 & 10 dollar strikes.
Huge opportunity here to cash in on any news or favorable Earnings Report in a few days.
Short squeeze targets 10-12 dollars, manage your own risk. Will be dumping calls on impulsive move.
$6 looks to be a strong bottom here, under that for any time other than a flash sale, this trade is invalid, and I won't be holding any calls.
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. TRADE YOUR PLAN!
Microsoft (MSFT): Can Earnings Sustain the Trend Channel?With Microsoft set to report earnings, investors are keenly watching updates on AI-related spending, especially growth within Azure and Copilot, as well as broader financials. A significant focus will be on capital expenditures (Capex) for generative AI initiatives, expected to rise from $9.92 billion a year ago to an estimated $14.74 billion in this recent quarter. Beyond revenue and earnings, the market is waiting to see how these hefty investments are shaping the company’s growth trajectory.
Technically, NASDAQ:MSFT continues to test the lower bound of its trend channel—a level that may weaken with repeated retests. The stock’s reaction to earnings will reveal if this support can hold. The formation suggests a potential head and shoulders pattern, particularly if NASDAQ:MSFT dips below the neckline support at $388 with declining volume.
For now, we’re maintaining our cautious outlook. If Microsoft fails to hold its key support levels, it may confirm the bearish trend we’ve been observing. As always, we’ll provide updates if any significant developments occur after the earnings report.
$ETH Long Setup Bull Run open $2,700 to $4,000 see on chartWhy is Ethereum's price not surging? Will ever ETH price ever reach $3000 this quarter?
Ethereum traders seem to be seeking an answer to the above as the Ethereum price is constantly failing to rise above $2,800. Now that the BTC price is approaching its highs, the second-largest token was expected to follow the trend as it usually did. Unfortunately, the price remains stuck within a range with fewer possibilities of breathing above the resistance.
The current trade setup suggests the trader's attention has shifted away from the token as the bulls are failing to clear the resistance regardless of a substantial increase in the volume. One of the major reasons for the sluggish trend is the drop in spot trading activity. As per the recent update, Ethereum recently experienced a notable transformation, with over $750 million worth of ETH withdrawn from the major exchanges in just a week.
This trend suggests that many investors are opting for long-term holding rather than selling their assets. Having said that, here’s what to expect from the ETH price for the rest of 2024.
The weekly chart of the ETH price suggests the token is consolidating heavily within a narrow range, along the support of the rising parallel channel. Besides, when the price appears to be heading towards the end of the consolidation, the Ichimoku cloud has flipped into a bearish trend.
This may send bearish waves across the markets but the MACD suggests a drop in selling pressure. Moreover, the levels are heading towards a bullish crossover, hence suggesting an extension of a consolidated phase.
The Ethereum price, which formed a new ATH along with Bitcoin in 2021 and also in early 2024, appears to have failed to gain the required momentum. However, the liquidity flow from Bitcoin usually flows into ETH and hence the token is believed to demonstrate huge moves only after the star crypto marks new highs.
AMD (AMD): Trendline test coming - crucial for bullish case!Following the completion of wave 3, NASDAQ:AMD has also completed wave 4 with a near-perfect correction at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The rapid V-shaped recovery after the drop validates our count and points to continued bullish momentum as long as key support levels hold.
AMD’s earnings report on Tuesday aligned with forecasts but projected slightly weaker revenue than expected for the upcoming quarter. This led to a 6% decline in after-hours trading, raising concerns about potential deceleration in AMD’s overall business, even as the company remains a key player in the AI chip sector alongside its competitor, Nvidia.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:AMD now faces a crucial test. The stock must break through the resistance zone between $162 and $174 to confirm further upside potential. Failing to do so could result in a pullback to the trendline, a level that has been respected several times since early 2023. As long as the stock remains above the $120 level, we maintain our bullish outlook. However, losing this level would confirm a bearish trend shift.
We expect continued volatility, particularly post-earnings, and will monitor for a potential move higher or consolidation around these resistance levels. We are optimistic about AMD’s prospects but await further developments at this critical juncture.
DJT - Social truth, or financial truth?This is a difficult case to analyze, as it depends so much on one individual. The hard facts can easily be overthrown by single events, and so NASDAQ:DJT might be highly volatile. If one should try to look at the hard facts, such as financials and technical, it is a hard sell. Barchart.com rates it as a Strong Sell, Tradingview has it as a Sell with only 3 of 22 indicators saying buy. Zacks doesn’t even rate it.
Looking at the chart, it is definitely a short. Price has been dropping since May, and the trend is clearly down. Price has gone up the last week or so, and some indicators (MACD, RSI) have turned up. Price has reached the top of the down channel, and a push down could be expected as I believe the rise lately is not sustainable. Because this is a stock that is solely dependent on one person, there could be irregular and unexpected moves in the stock. Said person might also win an election next month, and this might affect the stock. So be aware of non-stock related events.
Judging on financials and price behavior, this stock is a sell. I will not set a target, as the price is at a low and the level it was at for a very long time up until January this year. It remains to be seen if this level holds, if price keeps following the channel we are looking at a price around $8. I believe this is not at all outrageous, given the financial state of the company, but it is uncharted territory so I will not set it as a target.
Disclaimer: I am not a US citizen. I have no political inclinations, my analysis is purely based on charts and financial statements.
AMD With Bullish Outlook Before EarningsAhead of the quarterly figures, AMD presents a medium-term bullish picture. The OBV shows a long-term hidden bullish divergence, while the price is trending upwards.
We therefore expect the price to move towards USD 169.50 in the near future as there is an unmitigated order block and a potential liquidity grab.
Price consolidation with earnings ahead, great fundamentals!Over the last five years, the company has experienced rising revenues, though growth began to decelerate in FY 2022. Quarterly revenue data from 2023 and 2024 indicates that FY 2024 will achieve at least a 10% year-over-year revenue increase. YETI's revenue is typically seasonal, peaking during the holiday season. FY 2023 revenues were impacted by a voluntary product recall, which was completed before FY 2024 began.
Currently, YETI is trading at over one standard deviation below its two-year average P/E ratio, at approximately a 16% discount from historical averages, with an implied stock value in the range of $43.06 to $49.05 per share.
The company is largely equity-funded and has a $300 million credit line based on SOFR. As of Q2 2024, it pays 7.3% on $80 million of debt, and its cash-to-debt ratio is greater than one, indicating no need for additional capital to cover all debt obligations.
Since August 2022, insider purchases have far exceeded insider sales, with 468,637 shares acquired at an average cost basis of $39.24 per share. The current stock price is below this cost basis, highlighting the stock's discount. The significant volume of insider buying relative to sales further underscores this discount. Additionally, YETI is authorized to repurchase $300 million in stock in FY 2024.
Four hedge funds hold substantial positions in YETI, with each either adding to or establishing new positions in 2024. Their cost basis for these holdings ranges from $38.58 to $42.49.
I recommend a BUY rating for YETI, with a target price of $46.89. The current stock price is trading below all analyst recommendations and below the average hedge fund cost basis, making it an attractive value buy.
This post was rephrased with chatGPT, but is my work. All data is supported by research with a different software.
Chipotle (CMG): Awaiting strong correction in bearish waveAfter the recent 50-1 stock split, we revisited Chipotle's chart, refining our analysis for a clearer picture. With the adjusted setup, we’re more confident in our outlook for a potential bearish correction. Our initial turn-around zone was spot-on when factoring in the split, and we remain committed to our analysis.
Today, NYSE:CMG reached the targeted Wave B area at the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci level. Immediate reactions are often rare, but we believe a reversal could materialize soon. We’re eyeing the range between $43-$26, near the trendline, as a potential target zone for the next phase in this corrective wave pattern.
In the second quarter, Chipotle posted an 18.2% year-over-year revenue growth, boosted by an 11.1% rise in comparable restaurant sales and over 8% transaction growth. The earnings report tomorrow will likely attract more investor attention, but our approach focuses on technical entries at key levels rather than earnings reactions.
We have alerts set and are prepared to buy when the scenario aligns. Until then, patience and disciplined timing will guide our approach.
Ford (F): Eyeing Earnings for Potential Resistance FlipFord is set to release its earnings report in a few hours, and analysts generally anticipate that results will meet or slightly exceed consensus expectations. Currently, Ford is trading around a significant resistance level, and a breakout above this level could mark an important shift, opening the door for further gains. Our outlook remains bullish, with expectations that Ford will fill the large gap visible on the chart in the coming months.
Recent analyst targets align with our view, with ratings from Barclays, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley averaging around $13 for Ford stock. This target range corresponds well with our technical analysis, reinforcing our approach to Ford.
However, we’re holding off on any immediate action until after the earnings report to avoid an unpredictable reaction. We’ll be monitoring the market’s response closely, avoiding impulsive moves, as the true direction often becomes clearer after the initial post-earnings volatility.
Until then, patience remains crucial—trade the plan, stay disciplined, and seize the opportunity when it aligns with our setup.
Deutsche Bank (DBK): Earnings beat but loan losses double We missed the optimal entry for Deutsche Bank (DBK), but the analysis was accurate overall. The earnings report showed some resilience with a revenue increase of 5.2% year-over-year, reaching €7.50 billion, slightly above analyst expectations of €7.30 billion. The stock reacted with a modest dip, but nothing significant. However, Deutsche Bank reported a notable rise in loan losses, which doubled to €494 million in Q3 2024 compared to €245 million a year ago, aligning closely with the €482 million forecasted by analysts.
From a technical standpoint, our primary count still appears valid, though it’s a bit on the lower side. This could indicate that wave 3 might not be the longest wave in this count, which is atypical but possible as long as it’s not the shortest.
We’re targeting a potential endpoint for wave 5 within the HTF resistance zone, aligning with the 50-61.8% Fibonacci extension level, where we could look for a long position if the setup confirms. We will continue to monitor DBK closely as this potential target level nears and adjust accordingly.
AAPL POTENTIAL UPSIDE RUNNASDAQ:AAPL - Sellers halted at a Daily Buy Liquidity Level (Major Level) with the 4h showing Potential change in 4h trend narrative due to the Broken structure to the upside. If price can break above and hold 232.20 I will look for buy opportunities througout the week as long as the 4h can continue to show healthy bullish price action fueled by market anticipation leading up to Earnings on Thursday.
INDEX ROTATIONS BEFORE Based on what we can observe in this 4-hour chart, there is a clear rotation or reduction in gains within the DIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) and IWM (Russell 2000) sectors. This suggests that capital may be shifting towards the QQQ (Nasdaq 100), where major tech companies have yet to report their earnings.