DJT falls on stratospheric valuations SHORTDJT, the Trump media company, had a massive run up after the DWAC merger only to fade and
fall with the SEC filing showing minimalistic revenue and negative earnings. It moved up in
meme fashion but is now falling as fundamentals come to light. In five months the namesake
will be able to sell if there is any remaining value. In the meanwhile, the board will likely
refuse an early sell permission because that would like cause a " long squeeze". DJT is a good
short right now no matter the locate and carry fees which are very high. I was long DWAC
and am now short DJT using the profits from the merger volatility. Selling volumes are rising
showing the longs are beginning to get squeezed. The relative trend indicator shows
a strong move down.
Earnings
TSLA does the upcoming RoboTaxi announce change things LONGTSLA has the accouncement upcoming. Price will pump for sure. Will it then dump or
change the trend altogether? The forecasts are there. The tea leaves and crystal balls
will tell the rest of the story. In the meanwhile, I will take long trades to play this in
the immediate term. One million taxis making $250 / per day every day per each is
serious potential future growth perhaps at the expense of UBER and LYFT which may get
a bearish bias in the short term on this upcoming announcement. Playing the news
sometimes works.
Technical Patterns of Reinvention: GENYSE:GE reported earnings yesterday and had a minor gap up to the high of the sideways range with some selling for profit toward the end of the day. This company is reinventing. Momentum Runs have developed out of Dark Pool Buy zones for swing trading since the last time it was mentioned.
ETH’s influence on ERC20 products like YFIInfluence on ERC20 Products
ETH’s influence on ERC20 products like YFI can be seen in several ways:
Liquidity: ETH’s large market capitalization and liquidity provide a foundation for ERC20 tokens like YFI to tap into, enabling efficient and reliable transactions.
Smart Contract Interoperability: ETH’s presence ensures that smart contracts, including those for ERC20 tokens like YFI, can interact seamlessly with each other and with the broader Ethereum ecosystem.
Developer Adoption: ETH’s widespread adoption and established developer ecosystem encourage the creation and development of new ERC20 tokens, including DeFi protocols like YFI, which in turn benefits from ETH’s infrastructure.
In summary, ETH’s influence on ERC20 products like YFI is indirect yet significant, providing a stable and liquid foundation for the Ethereum ecosystem and enabling the development and growth of #DeFi protocols like #Yearn.finance.
$TSLA Retesting Critical Support Range After Earnings MissIf you've been following the analysis, we've hit quite a few short-term targets...
NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:TSLA | So far, we've seen a 40%+ move from our entry at $145.
Targets: $180 , $200 , $260 , $300, $450
After 29 weeks of analysis with consistent levels, a plan for scaling in, where to stop, and that big-picture thesis - this earnings leading into the RoboTaxi event will paint the rest of this picture.
Now let's take a look at the earnings readout:
Optimus Development
• A significant new addition to Tesla's innovative portfolio is the development of the Optimus robot, which Elon Musk recently announced is slated for low production by 2025 and high production by 2026.
• Optimus, expected to be utilized internally by Tesla as early as next year, represents a leap into robotics that could revolutionize labor and operational efficiency within Tesla’s manufacturing processes.
• It would be great to learn on the earnings call about the initial integration of Optimus into Tesla’s ecosystem, its production timeline, and the expected financial and operational impacts of this groundbreaking development.
Autonomous Driving
• The Q2 earnings call is anticipated to shed light on Tesla’s progress with its Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities and the Robotaxi service. The delay in the Robotaxi rollout, while initially a setback, has allowed Tesla additional time to refine and enhance its autonomous technology.
• Updates about the integration of FSD into the Robotaxi design -- which is central to Tesla's strategy in autonomous driving -- will be of interest. Tesla's vast real-world driving data fuels its AI, making continuous advancements possible and setting Tesla apart in the race towards fully autonomous vehicles.
• Elon Musk's vision for transforming Tesla into a leader in mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) will also be a focus. With Tesla's autonomous tech, the company is poised to dramatically reduce transportation costs, making mobility more accessible and affordable. The introduction of the Robotaxi and potential partnerships with existing ride-hailing services could significantly expand Tesla’s market reach and influence.
Energy Storage
• Tesla's energy storage segment is likely to be a focal point of the Q2 earnings, following its impressive growth. In 2023 and 2024, this segment's contribution to gross profit notably rose, accounting for less than 8% of revenue in Q1 but potentially reaching or exceeding 14% if revenue doubles sequentially as anticipated
• Last quarter, energy storage constituted 10.9% of Tesla’s $3.69 billion in gross profit, a significant increase from 3.7% in Q1 2023. The segment boasts a higher margin profile than Tesla’s automotive operations, achieving over a 24% gross margin in the first quarter. Despite this impressive growth, the expected surge in Q2 revenue will likely not substantially impact EPS, due to the automotive margin stabilizing around 18%
• Additionally, the role of energy storage in Tesla's long-term strategy to create a more sustainable energy ecosystem will be examined, with expectations for clear plans on how Tesla intends to leverage its tech capabilities to maintain leadership in this high-potential market.
China Market
• Tesla's strategy and performance in China will be another significant topic in the Q2 earnings report. Given the dynamic and highly competitive nature of the Chinese EV market, Tesla is expected to outline how it is adapting its business strategy to address local competition and regulatory challenges. This includes detailing efforts to optimize its Shanghai Gigafactory's output and innovations specific to the Chinese market
• Interest in Tesla’s customer engagement and marketing strategies in China, especially how Tesla plans to compete with local EV giants like NYSE:NIO , will be high. Furthermore, Tesla’s approach to managing supply chain issues, tariffs, and geopolitical tensions that could affect its operations will be critical.
Earnings Estimates
Q2 2024
• Sales $24.7B -- down 1% YoY
• GAAP EPS $0.48 -- down 38% YoY
FY Outlook
• Sales $99.4B -- up 33% YoY
• GAAP EPS $2.18 -- down 49% YoY
Forward looking, the future looks bright...
Kraft Heinz | KHC | Long at $32.00Kraft Heinz NASDAQ:KHC currently has a 4.88% dividend and anticipated earnings growth (though modest) through 2027. Inflation benefits the food industry and Kraft Heinz may do well moving forward. From a technical analysis standpoint, the chart is in the accumulation zone around my selected simple moving average and may be preparing for a larger move up. Currently in a personal buy zone at $32.00.
Target #1 = $42
Target #2 = $47
GOOG: Risk for HFT Gap on EarningsThe mighty NASDAQ:GOOG has hit the Market Saturation Phase and its advertising AI is one of the primary problems. Alphabet is losing small business advertisers in droves as prices skyrocket to advertise on Google Ads while results are dismal for the advertisers.
This run down is due to speculation that is not based on financial data. It may find support at this level, but it is vulnerable to an HFT gap down. It is never a good sign to see selling a few days ahead of an earnings report. A gap up would be based on Year over Year, not quarterly improvement.
Apple's Highest Dollar Volume Day EVERI was pretty surprised to see that just a few weeks ago, on a random summer June day, over 51 billion dollars worth of Apple was traded.
That's 51 BILLION DOLLARS of Apple traded in just 24 hours.
After doing some research I also realized that this was a record for Apple. At no other point in history has this much Apple traded. This is hard to ignore for any large investor and it has me thinking the following:
1. What large investor exited this position?
2. By extension, which large investor bought the position?
3. There's no way this was just day trading volume, clearly there was a large change of hands and ownership.
4. For $51 billion worth of trading activity, it's also fascinating the stock barely moved during that transaction. Perhaps it was at an agreed upon price.
We all know Buffett has an outsized stake, as do others, is it possible one of them just exited? And who was the buyer? An ETF or Mutual Fund?
I'll be watching the filings closely going forward to see who this was and what it says about Apple's potential. If it turns out to be Buffett, and knowing his skillful investment approach, I do think that'll be a rather critical sign for Apple's future.
DIS which way will it go?Disneyland’s largest union coalition overwhelmingly voted to authorize a strike Friday, July 19 as Disney negotiators and union officials prepare to head back to the bargaining table. I think this stock could recover around $92.76 which it has recovered before a few times going back to 2015. 200 EMA is where the $92 mark is on the monthly view and the RSI seems to bounce on the line I draw on my chart. If the price does recover at $92, it can swing up to 103.63 and as high as 117.89 if earnings are good. If the workers decide to strike into earnings, the stock could go as low as $71.
Long gold price
The position of 2452-2448 is a strong support. From the trend point of view, it is a good position to go long.
Focus on the impact after the opening of the Asian market.
TVC:GOLD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P MCX:GOLD1! OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! BINANCE:BTCUSDT NYMEX:WTI1!
Continuously analyze accurately for a month. Good at account management. The current market is exactly where I am good at trading. So you should not continue to be in a state of loss. Follow me. Guaranteed profits will not disappoint you.
Bullish on SMCI - Symmetrical Triangle FormationSMCI looks has clearly formed a symmetrical triangle. I expect a triangle breakout at earnings or possible before earnings if really good news is expected. Because this is a symmetrical triangle, you have to play the direction of the breakout. Have a tight stop loss at 800 and prepare for take off to retest $1220 💰. If this breaks out bullish, this will be a 45%+ move 🚀. On a side note, I'm expecting a stock split announcement and a killer earnings to catapult this thing. Hold on 💺
AMD - buy the dipNASDAQ:AMD has seen a failed breakout out of a cup and handle 3c pattern. It has performed the worst out of the whole sector year to date. Earnings is coming up on July 30th, I believe this is a perfect setup for a rip to ATH, as AMD is seen as the biggest potential competitor for nvidia AI gpus. Cloud providers are buying every GPU they can lay their hands on, which is why I believe AMD will post great earnings, with strong growth in DC, target is ATH in the week following earnings which is why I am buying long diagonals (sep/aug) and bull spreads for August after earnings.
MSFT: Technical Weakness Ahead of EarningsNASDAQ:MSFT reports next week but is having some selling pressure ahead of its report. The two very small-bodied indecision candlesticks with wicks and tails, and now followed by a larger down day, indicate weakness for potentially more downside. However, because weak to moderate support levels are not far off, selling short is not a good idea for swing traders.
DOMT "Billionaire revenues and profits that are a joke Q1 financials. Revenue is up 2.1 billion Egyptian pounds, but profits are down compared to the last 10 quarters. The company blames flat product prices while raw material costs are skyrocketing. Seriously, what's the deal? Are they just waiting for us to tell them to raise prices or cut costs? If they're asking for my advice, I'd say they need to get their act together. Oh, and by the way, the full H1 report is coming out in two weeks, so stay tuned.
DJT stock: Dead cat rebound or wave of support?Trump Media & Technology Group Corp's stock surged following news of an attempted assassination on major shareholder Donald Trump at a political rally on Sunday.
Given the fervent nature of Trump's supporters, it's plausible that voters could turn to their wallets before casting ballots in November as the presidential race heats up. Drawing parallels to the recent activity surrounding the GameStop stock, a meme rally cannot be entirely ruled out, potentially presenting a lucrative opportunity for speculators.
For this scenario to materialize, high trading volumes in the stock need to persist. The average trading volume over the past two weeks is around 10 million shares. If today's activity surpasses this figure, it could indicate sustained interest in the stock following yesterday's massive gap up and record trading volume.
Although DJT stock closed $6 lower than its opening price, it currently hovers around the crucial $40 level. If the bulls can maintain the price above this level before today's close, it could signal a further bullish trend. Conversely, if the price were to fall below the $40 mark, we might see the stock trading at its early July levels of $30.
This trade is highly speculative, and while the current political climate could easily add more fuel to the fire, it's crucial to monitor the fundamentals. DJT reported a loss for Q1, but with Q2 earnings around the corner, investors should stay vigilant. Call spreads with 30-40 DTE (shortly before Q2 earnings report) might be an interesting play here regardless of the direction you're betting on.
I think Netflix is going to take a hit on this Month EarningsPersonally don't like Netflix business model focus right now.
Too many voice overs foreign movies, Producing too many low quality shows and movies.
NFLX falling behind the competition this Year only reason I have it now is because T Mobile offers Netflix for free.
I Could Be Wrong but Do not see netflix as a buy right now.
$TSLA not done going higher. $320-$330 by July 24. GET LONGSo we already know that Tesla deliveries came in 9000 more than what was expected, 438,000 expected verse 447,000 that Elon Musk posted on Twitter a couple weeks ago. Last quarter earnings per share of $.47 was slightly missed, and on July 23 they’re expected $.60 per share earnings. So IMO, That could indicate that even a slight earnings beat on revenue and earnings, would propel the stock to complete wave three at 2.618 Fibonacci level.
never mind, the whole Robo-taxi delay, which caused an 8% decline on Thursday along with the rest of the Big tech Nasdaq. I don’t think robotaxi is realistically a factor in their valuation just yet.