Morgan Stanley - Pre-earnings Long Opportunity on retestI caught the breakout of this HTF selling channel and sold at the top. We are now retesting the orange selling channel with support from our strong buying teal channel and below it, yellow.
With banks announcing earnings in a little over a week, this could see us at $100 really quickly
Happy Trading :)
- TraderDaddyOG
Earnings
Lululemon: Unwarrented Selling Offers Excellent OpportunityNASDAQ:LULU Lululemon Athletica's Q4 performance exceeded expectations, with revenues rising 16% and gross margins growing by 4.3%. However, increased competition and price-conscious consumers have led to a decreased market cap and short-term headwinds.
Gross margins remain at 58% leading the industry and showing the prominence of the brand.
Lululemon has had great success internationally and continues to grow in Mainland China, and continues to remain a prominent brand in the United States.
Full-year diluted EPS came in at $12.20, jumping 83% y/y. With a P/E ratio of 30.57x, this entails a great deal of underlying intrinsic value.
During the year, Lululemon opened 56 net new stores, ending the year with 711 stores, showing no signs of slowing down and continues to innovate forward to keep up with competitors. While the retail environment in the United States has been recently challenging, I believe that the long-term fundamentals of the company outweigh any short-term headwinds, and the recent selloff provides an excellent opportunity for value.
I encourage potential investors to remain unemotional in volatile price action, and trust the fundamentals and management of a prominent brand and a very cash-positive business.
My one year price target remains at the technical support level of $515 with an upside of 44%.
TMF long trade setup 3X Bullish TreasuriesTMF on the 4H chart is set up at the bottom descending support trendline of a symmetrical
triangle in the approach to the apex. Price appears ready to reach for the upper descending
resistance trend line and the Echo Indicator ( Lux Algo ) makes that forecast. Current
ambiguities in a rate cut soon upcoming will make values of Treasuries a complicated matter.
I am taking a long trade targeting 54 with a stop loss at 50 in consideration of the triangle
pattern. I have existing positions in TLT.
Can ROKU run before earnings? LONGROKU on a daily chart is sitting on support in consolidation since the trend down after the
last earnings report. In three weeks there will be another report. The prior report showed
negative earnings but it did beat the estimates while revenues were a mild surprise. I expect
ROKU has done some belt trimming to try to get expenses decreased while growing revenues.
My long trade here is from thin support but targets the Fibonacci level of a retracement
back to recent high pivots. The target is 80 representing 30% upside. A stop loss will be
initially set at 61 but then raised 3.5% every time price rises 3% to gradually tighten it.
I will take a good part of the hopeful profits off the table a few days before the upcoming
report.
Goldman Sachs, the Buyback King?Goldman Sachs, one of the very few giant financial services companies left, is intending to do the first mega buyback program that will exceed One TRILLION dollars into 2025. Gasp.
So the chart shows the initial buybacks commencing and the support of its stock price during the very dicey sideways trend.
The company reports earnings Monday, April 15. Enough time to catch another swing run to earnings if the current consolidation breaks out to the upside.
NYSE:GS is a Sell Side Institution and admits it is heavily vested in NASDAQ:NVDA and other big tech stocks at this time. GS benefits from higher interest rates holding through this year.
VOR - a b iotechnology penny stock LONGVOR is a on daily chart. It is a biotechnology startup which is burning cash. As a resut this is
a speculative long trade for this company with products to treat leukemia ( blood cancer).
Price has crossed over the POC line of the volume profile and also completed an
anchored mean VWAP cross over. The Price Momentum Oscillator is reversing and buying
volume has increased since the earnings report showed less of a loss than forecasted.
I see 30% upside to the high pivot in mid-January. In conjunction with stop- loss set at the mean
anchored VWAP this is a R to r of about 3.
AU - a gold mining stock rises with spot gold LONGAU AngloGold Ashanti has operations in a variety of locations including North America and Africa.
With spot gold rising and mostly fixed operational costs, AU stands to improve its overall
margins. Here on a weekly chart, price has crossed over the POC line of the volume
profile and the mean anchored VWAP line. The Price Momentum Oscillator and Relative
Trend Index indicators are showing reversals from bearish to bullish. Price action is in
a symmetrical triangle. Price has 20% upside before reaching the descending resistance
trendline which may take a month or so. I will open a long trade here looking for a best
entry on a 120-240 minute chart.
NGD - a gold mining penny stock is bullish LONGNGD on the highly reliable monthly chart has signs of bullish momentum including a cross over
the POC line of the volume profile,a monthly volume bar over the running mean for the first
time in two years price crossing over the mean anchored VWAP and both the trend and
the momentum indicators making reversals. I will open a long trade of both shares as well
as a lot of call options for mid- November striking OTM at $ 1.50. This junior miner
stands to gain earnings when gold prices rise proportionately more than established global
mining operations. My target is 3.5 just under two standard deviations above VWAP. I will
take off 1/3 of the position at 2.7 at the first standard deviation above VWAP in best practices
for risk management.
SWIMMING with the WHALES, a dangerous move, NEXT TARGET $Whales waited, Retail traders PLUNGED, then WHALES SOLD. Know your game. Dont get maneuvered into the FEARLESS CROUD.
Whales red downtrend regression. Showing a deep analysis behind the scenes of BITCOIN. Shows who’s in, who’s out within the time as the white trend moves. Follow each zigzag and know how it all started.
Next target is kept secret: this helps keep smart money intruders from changing directions.
JPM Earnings Next Week: Will Buybacks Hold Up the Stock?NYSE:JPM reached New Highs recently with a huge number of buybacks driving the stock upward so fast and so high. The big bank has also been busy gobbling up regional banks for two years now. JPM's floor traders, trading aggressively in a few key industries, are doing well.
However, Revenues and Earnings were down last quarter over the prior quarter. And Volume is trending slightly lower over the quarter. An overextended run into earnings often sees profit-taking ahead of or on the day of the report.
Smaller funds are in speculative mode chasing the buybacks. Why did smaller funds rush to buy on earnings last quarter? Year over Year comparisons show revenues and earnings are up. Year over year often distorts current values.
What matters is the most current data, quarter over quarter, for the Buy Side Institutions.
EXK ffalling wedge breakout after silver mining earnings LONGEXK is a silver mining company with operations in USA Canada and Mexcio. On the daily chart,
it has been in a falling wedge for more than six months. The earnings report was a 40% beat on
earnings and 2% on revenue. Price broke above the wedge one week earlier. The price action
has been supported by higher volumes. The Price Momentum Oscillator and Relative Trend
Index indicators provide further documentation of the bullish momentum. I will initiate
long trades of shares and call options here. I am targeting 3.5 for 40% upside. I will take
off 1/3 of the trade upon reaching 3.0 and convert the stop loss to a trailing 5%.
HOOD post earnings continuation LONGHOOD reversed from a triple bottom at earnings and has been uptrending since then.
Fundamentally accounts and money inflow has increased. HOOD now has a credit card with
3% cash back. Low commissions, options, IPOs IRAs are all part of HOOD's services.
The Price Momentum Oscillator and Relative Trend Index indicator both support a bullish bias.
I will take a long position here at the beginning of another quarter while rate cuts may
trading and HOOD's current trend. The trend is forecasted to continue. I see a Doji candle
as suitable for the long entry.
AVTX - a potential continuation WATCHAVTX popped on a big revenue beat on March 28th. It is now priced at about 3% of the ATH
of last July. With the massive price jump came a 15X relative volume. The question is
whether price has retraced into support and can rally again in the next market session.
This remains to be seen. i will put AVTX on the top of my watch list and take a long trade
if I see signs of continuation with volume supporting the move.
HL- a silver mining pennystock LONGHL shown on the reliable daiy chart while spot silver is uptrending. demonstrates multiple
bullish signs including a cross over the POC line of the volume profile and now the confluence
of a 200-50-20 triple convergence coindident with a cross of the long anchored mean VWAP
and a gaint ( "gib ass green") engulfing green price candle of 7% magnitude with volume above
the running mean. The Price Momentum Oscillator and Relative Trend Index lend further
support to a bullish bias here. I will take a long trade in HL of both shares and call options to
complement my positions in gold. Targets are 4.9, 5.4 and 6.8 yielding the potential of a very
profitable trade over in next six weeks before earnings and perhaps beyond that.
AAPL on a wide view continues SHORTAAPL on the weekly continues to fall from a double top put in at 195 in July 23 and this past
January. China issues are looming with competition domestically within China, factory issues
and the recession. The hart shows an established trend down seeking support at the Fibonacci
level in blue. The predictive algo looking back an the regression line pattern forecasts a
continued fall through the fib zone into the 125 area. Indicators are all consistent with the
same. I have a deep respect for advanced mathematics and will comply with the forecast.
AAPL is a short and the little retrace up is an opportunity to add to my positions.
RH appears ready to rise from its base LONGRestoration Hardware on the weekly chart rose from COVID and then retraced for almost
two years. It appears now ready to experience some investor and trader interest once again.
It is rising from the POC line of its long term volume profile. The trend strength indicator just
inflected and curled upward. I like to catch trends early to get as much of a move as
possible and before the chasing begins. This is a possible megacap short squeeze set up.
Targets are 380 and 480 as horizontal levels of importance.
STRO a biotech startup flips into positive earnings LONGSTRO on a 240 minute chart got trader interest out of earnings that were projected to be net
cash outflow into reported actual earnings. This is a remarkable turnaround. The RSI lines
surged. The predictive algorithm which relies on a lookback of the regression line for analysis
toward the future forecasts a move up much higher. I will take a long trade here seeking 50-60%
in a month although the forecast is for a doubling.
LUNR a space exploation penny stock with momentum LONGLUNR got an injection of trader and investor interest this week on the news that their lunar
lander ( robotic unmanned) is launch ready. While it is a publically owned company, 50% is
insiders, 40% retail investors and 10% institutions. In is in the shadow of NASA in Houston from
whom it has drawn employees. Of particular importance last spring when there was a news
catalyst , price went to the moon into the 45 level. This time around is early in the cycle.
In February from liftoff to descent and landing took two weeks. Volumes topped out at 7M
shares per day. Current volume is about 760K. Price was flat in the Friday after-hours trading
on expected diminished trading. I expect LUNR to be actively traded until the news starts
getting old. After that, the 50% insiders some of what are just rank and file employees
but some of which are executive types with larger share quantities may find away to augment
the news cycle. My stop loss is 5 at the Friday afternoon low pivot. My target is near to the
head and shoulders of the February high pivot. I especially note a 425% earnings beat ( they
only burned 20% of the cash burning projection set by the analysts. Earnings is soon to arrive.
This could turn out to be a Tim Sykes' "supernova" with news digestion associated momentum
synergized with another earnings beat ( the earnings is probably all grants from NASA and the
Pentagon). I assert this could turn out to a a great trade.
GM may be pivoting down SHORTGM on the weekly chart has ascended to the top of the high volume area of the long term
volume profile. The predictive algorithm forecasts a bounce down from that level. The
MACD indicator shows lines crossing over the histogram while the RSI lines are in the 60s
about the same level as the market pivot in 2022. The Supply / Demand indicator has the lines
with zero slopes ( flat) and ready for a reversal. Fundamentally, GM is challenged by the
dynamic between EVs and hybrids moving foward and federal mandates on fleet production
efficiency quota. I will take a short trade here along with Ford.
F Bearish Bias Again SHORTFORD ( F) on a weekly chart is in a falling wedge pattern. Fundamentally, it is challenged
by the EV vs hybrid dynamic, weak EV sales and the federal slowly ramping up MPG
requirements as potentially rising gasoline prices affecting consumer decisions away from the
gas consuming F-150 where the profits are the highest. Unless F can breakout of the falling
wedge, price could compress further in the wedge with a move down as far as 9.
At present F is testing the upper resistance descending trendline. The predictive algorithm
suggests it will be rejected and fall. I am entering a short trade here for a long term swing.
ETH WHALES VS RETAIL TRADERS (MUST SEE)ETH will fall to $2,816. Can be more. I will confirm very easy by looking at my METRICS RATE REPORT if more falling needs to happen. Order Blocks in tact measured by volume. ATR and PIPS agree with OB.
Fibonacci with correct settings on a 4hr TF.
Whales waited for Retail to make the first move, then the white trend crosses the whales yellow trend. Whales waited. Retail followed the Elliott waves to finally end it, then the whales manipulated.
Retail traders were controlling the game. Sadly it came to an end but will regain power.
Regression Trends with guides set to proper wicks along with 2 moving averages set to a correct measure to show trend will move up soon. Please see MA's from the beginning until the end. See how trend meets up with it.