KBH Earnings PlayKBH is in a sweet spot! While options volatility is already elevated (40%), it should continue to raise into earnings. It's posting a nice bullish squeeze on the TTM Squeeze indicator as well as buy signals on the premium Big3 Squeeze (from Simpler Trading). Typically, the stock price rises anywhere from 3-9% between now and the earnings event. That would take us to about $68. I like this long a lot!
Earnings
CrowdStrike (CRWD) - EPS Guidance RaisedCrowdStrike reported earnings last night.
Revenue were in line with Factset expectation but Earnings came in higher than expected.
Revenue Y/Y grew around 33%.
Annual Recurring Revenue growth increased 34%.
Net new ARR growth accelerates to 27% year-over-year and reaches a record $282 million
Earnings for 1Q were raised.
Stops would be below 320 and expecting this to have huge volume and momentum in the coming days.
According to senior management, there has been customers moving over from other competitors to CrowdStrike.
Goodluck!
MVIS Microvision breaks higher from earnings LONGMVIS is a volatile penny stock with daily volumes in the 20JK range and a low float. Yesterday
was a decent earnings beat. MVIX was already trending up into the earnings and now may
sustain that trend up. Volatility and volume indicator support my supposition that the trend
is real. The target of the consolidation period of February 8-13's price level of 2.58 is
13 % upside. I espect this to be a long swing trade lasting a few days. Upon reaching the
target I will take half the position to realize that part of the profit and run the rest.
Is BA Boening ready ?On the daily chart BA had big trend up for November and December but then fell with news
of issues the the Max model which further developed into an FAA inquiry. In the meanwhile
Thailand and India based airlines contracted for more jets and an earnings report beat both
lines especially earnings. It would seem forward earnings are fortified by those new contracts.
The chart shows price currently sitting at the support of the bottom of the high-volume
area of the volume profile and just under the nearby POC line. In confluence, it has been in
consolidation at a Fibonacci level. I consider that BA has been accumulating within a narrow
range and is now well situated for another leg up. The last trend up was about 50% over 2
months. I will take a long trade here anticipating a similar move sometime soon. Targets
are 230 and 250 with call options for August or September also under consideration.
MYO can Myomo continue the push to the earnings report?MYO had impressive week gaining over 35%. It is a volatile penny biotechnology stock
with good earnings back in November new due for another report. On a 120 minute chart
with relative volatility and volume indicators and a volume profile added. The volume and
volativlty of this past week's move is obvious. Price gain has slowed on the approach to the
POC line of the volume profile which appears to be resistance. Price may break that resistance
but could get rejected there. I plan to buy MYO long on a break of resistance with
a buy stop set at 4.04 and a stop loss at 3.96. If MYO rises and gets over 4.04 the order should
fill and if it retests the POC line as support and the support fails, the stop will close the trade.
My expectation however is for the earnings run to take it to the level of the pivot high
in early January for a 25% gain.
Can INTC breakout from a trinagle ? LONGINTC on a 180 minute chart is in a flat bottom triangle since before earnings. The earnings
report was a beat of 20% on earnings and 1.5 % on revenue but apparently disappointed greedy
traders expecting more. Price has been mostly sideways. I saw the dip on Tuesday to Thursday
as an opportunity to take a call option trade for Friday which had a great return. I see INTC
ready to gain price and break out of the triangle. It has a P/E ratio much lower than some of
the high flyers in its subsector making it attractive to value-seeking investors and traders
who like to buy at the lows. Price is now above the long-term POC line where buying pressure
should predominate. Having seen the rise on Friday, some short sellers may begin to buy to
cover and close their positionons especially those with put options from which the time to
realize profits is now.
EXFY a fintech penny stock at 5% of the ATH LONGEXFY recently had an earnings beat and has bullish momentum. While on a sixty minute chart it
may appear to be overextended, in the context of an all-time-high of about $50 perhaps it
has as much as 20X upside. EXFY rose from the earnings beat and then retraced and reversed the
retracement. I see it as a long wing trade perhaps until the approach to the next earnings.
The volume and volatility indicators suggest bullish momentum is strong and may continue.
BYND Long off technical + upcoming earnings potential
Similar pattern setting up.
Long Thesis:
- Double bottom out of a broken downtrend
- HIGH SHORT FLOAT: 38%
- Market near all-time high
Could see a pop ahead of earnings, OR earnings could be the catalyst needed to turn this thing around. Market near ATH, plus high short float could see a nice short squeeze and rally.
Don't like the long-term downtrend, ton of bag holders on the way up.
How to fly to the moon for free with SQRWe buy the SQR token. Yes, getting started is almost free :)
We staking it on the official website. We participate in the Zelay company.
We share the prize of 1,500,000 SQR
We hold SQR and sell it in a year.
Profit.
Fundamentally, the project is very strong. In my opinion, the best of these projects.
Plus is launching its own launchpad soon.
BA- Buy the recovery? or take partial profits? LONGBoeing had a near disastrous start to 2024 with a Malaysian part falling off a MAX jet at 36,000.
Incidentally, going viral is that an iPhone survived the plunge fully functional. 20% got
shaved off the market cap. I bought the low with calls at $215 expiring March 15'24. They did
80% for the week and 16% today. News catalysts are that an East Indian airline company placed
a contract for the purchase of 100 jets of uncertain model. Delta Airlines also did not pull their
existing contract. These catalysts have allowed price to recover about 1/3 of the plunge. The
15-minute chart demonstrates the super trend reversal better than the 60 minute which is
shown here on the idea. The relative volume indicator is about 3 X the running mean showing
trader interest uptick. BA could short squeeze where short sellers quickly buy to cover &
capture profit while the synergistic rise is compounded by near buyers coming in to get ahead
of the chasing? The caution is that the POC line on the intermediate
term volume profile is $ 210 and so getting contracts extended above that has increased
risk based on price distance from the POC. The uptrend instead of a true recovery could be
simply a correction in the overall downtrend. I will take some of the week's profit off
the table and keep a close watch on the price action.
AAPL breaks below its 1 year upward trendAAPL has recently broken below its 1 year upward signaling more selling to come. This pivotal event comes at a time when
Overall market sentiment is showing extreme greed (selling soon follows this level)
Recent rally have been prompted by one stocks excellent earnings (NVDA alone cant hold up the economy)
AAPL has been trend down rather steadily for a month
The long term support being broken indicates more selling likely to come.
Beautiful Breakout and strong fundamentals - AppLovin NASDAQ:APP has an outstanding chart in my opinion. I've been following this stock for years now and waiting for the right time to get in. Although it's already rallied 70% YTD, the momentum this particular stock has combined with it's increasingly impressive earnings reports make it a strong buy.
They have been steadily increasing cash flow on top of accelerating earnings growth. The last 3 quarters it's beat analyst estimates and it's my personal opinion that we are in the midst of a era where web apps as well as mobile apps are being developed very rapidly, increasingly by individuals and smaller companies.
Net Income, Margins and Returns on Equity and Assets are all increasing. No wonder it's more than quadrupled since it's bottom of $9.00
Think of Streamlit, for you coders, and Snowflake's NYSE:SNOW increasing presence in owning these, and similar technologies. NASDAQ:APP is operating in a similar space and they really offer it all when it comes to building applications for your business.
The estimate revisions are surprising and look very strong going into next year.
See the Zack's Estimate Revisions below. (Current Quarter/Next Current Year/Next)
CQ NQ CY NY
Current 0.56 0.59 2.48 3.08
7 Days Ago 0.56 0.59 2.48 3.08
30 Days Ago 0.33 0.31 1.56 1.71
60 Days Ago 0.33 0.31 1.58 1.71
90 Days Ago 0.33 0.31 1.58 1.63
FSR is driving to its earnings LONGFSR is shown here on a 30 minute chart on the move up in the approach to earnings on February
29th. For comparison purposes only TSLA is shown sideways with the purple line. FSR has
started a VWAP band breakout into the area of the mean anchored VWAP where it could pick up
institutionally based trader interest. The growing volumes of trading are obvious and lend
further support to taking a position. I will long long here with both shares and options
as a pre-earnings play. The call options for mid-March are $ 6.00 per contract.
SNOW - buy the disappointment discount sale LONGSNOW beat the earnings estimates by 150% and slightly exceeded revenue estimates. Price
dropped in printing a bear flag in a 22% move yesterday at the close. Buying from the bottom
has begun and I have the idea that I should join. My pre-earnings play was closed going into the
earnings in the high liquidity that proceeds it. I got my ask price on that position. The chart
shows today's buyng volume and volatility. On the slow resumption of bullish price action, I have
taken a long trade from the near bottom after this morning's reversal and call options
ITM for the July monthy.
VERX ATH on Earnings LONGVERX on the 15 minute chart demonstrates printing a high tight bull flag pattern in its
bullrun after the earnings report was a two line beat much like the one a quarter ago.
VERX has impressed traders including this one who got in on the ride early. I will trade
this like others recently with a similar pattern. I will hold during the consolidation and
watch for a break above the flag regression channel. I will add upon the break and
set a trailing stop loss of 5% upon a rise of another 5% keeping the profits safe while
underway. See my ideas on SOUN DUOL, VTYX and a few others. Review the link to
the pattern description here. See also my swing long trade ideas for this sector XBI and LABU.
COINBASE(COIN)/BTC CorrelationIn the past months investors have been watching carefully the recovery of Coinbase as one of the biggest partners in the financial industry as crytocurrencies seem to recover from the last downturn. Many investors, traders and fans of crypto have been watching with a lot of hype the launch of the ETFs; which hasn't resulted in what most of them expected: a massive bull run as these instruments got green light from public authorities.
Cathie Wood's ARK investment instruments have been continuously dumping Coinbase shares in the last months, possibly to balance the holdings of the ETF ARKW(ark-funds.com), and the crypto-exchange shows 2 interesting things: certain degree of correlation with BTC and extraordinary earnings.
However the last earnings should have been fuelling this stock but they didn't due to weaknesses in their fundamentals and tough valuations with shallow price targets. If done carefully, COIN can be used to track small spikes in price and short trends in BTC and ETH. The future could be promising for Coinbase, but from a macroeconomic standpoint we are not out of the woods at all.
My observations tell me that the markets like to be bearish on COIN, but for short term wave riding, it could be worth it - just make sure you have appropriate risk management when doing so.