Earnings
Plug Power was a top loser this quarter, falling -15.1%.The last earnings report on September 30 showed earnings per share of 49 cents, missing the estimate of $1.25. P/B Ratio (3.601) is normal, around the industry mean (3.775). P/E Ratio (50.264) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.885). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.334). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. TDW's P/S Ratio (4.063) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.409). With 536.06K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.72B.
TDW - rise+48% to 73 cents per share on March 01The last earnings report on September 30 showed earnings per share of 49 cents, missing the estimate of $1.25. P/B Ratio (3.601) is normal, around the industry mean (3.775). P/E Ratio (50.264) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.885). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.334). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. TDW's P/S Ratio (4.063) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.409). With 536.06K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.72B.
Remember Expensify!? I remember when this company had a Super Bowl commercial. I remember its IPO. I am also familiar with its platform, which I still use to this day and was surprised to see how far its fallen.
Can it ever make a come back?
A few things stand out to me:
The company has cleared its debt, a significant move that shifts its financial landscape from leveraged to liquidity-rich. With its balance sheet now boasting only cash, earning steady interest from 5% treasuries and CDs. Furthermore, the company still has an active $41 million stock buyback program that has not used. What are they waiting for?
Financially, Expensify projects a free cash flow (FCF) of $10-12 million this year. When you consider the current market price, the stock is trading at roughly 10 times its FCF, significantly lower than the industry standard for tech companies, which often hovers around 30 times FCF.
Decisions, decisions!
Always do your own research. Some of my trades are great, others are bad! This one has my attention.
SNX Earnings PlaySNX is in a medium term uptrend, squeezing (bullish) and has earnings in 3 weeks. Options volatility is in the sweet spot and should rise a good 10% into earnings. Average 21 day price gain over the last 4 quarters has been $4.55. I'm looking to buy call butterflies centered at the $105 strike. I think I'll also look at the unbalanced downside PUT fly for a credit (Buy 1 100, Sell 3 @ 95, Buy 2 @ 90). Basically, a long PUT butterfly + a short PUT credit spread to pay for it.
NVAX rises impending an earnings report LONGToday NVAX is selling for a tiny fraction of its all-time high as shown in a previous idea. Earnings
is coming this upcoming week. This week NVAX news release showed it had settled a years long
litigation over a failed COVID. In the face of earnings around the corner, was this news release
a coincidence or instead a case of excellent executive and legal timing? I will skip the
conspiracy discussion.
On the chart, NVAX's bullish momentum is clear on its face. A price rise of 22% from a stock
that has been stuck in deeply undervalued territory for a significant time period is remarkable.
I have bought far out of the money call options into 2025 and 2026 some only this past month.
Those from this month are now up over 250% with 11 and 23 months to go to expiration.
I see NVAX as a risky penny medical stock with a high reward potential relative to the
risk. It is a potential buy-out candidate and bankruptcy is less likely. The rich uncle is
MRNA but the richer uncle in PFE might gain some interest. The wisest of capitalists buy out
the competition when there is an opportunity and do not worry about the government crying
monopoly when life-saving and life-extending medical products are involved. Time will tell.
I expect insane profits.
DIS moves higher in realtive strength LONGDisney had an excellent earnings report last week. Today it is moving off its support of the
moving average cloud on the chart and going higher on a day when the general market is
sideways at best. A table shows its strength as compared with other commonly traded stocks.
I will take a long trade here and perhaps hold it until the next earnings.
NXU & Lynx: Could we see a merge/acquisition in the future?Nxu's Strategic Partnership with Lynx Motors
Nxu, Inc. (NASDAQ: NXU), a company specializing in innovative EV charging and energy storage solutions, has announced a strategic partnership and investment in Lynx Motors. This partnership is outlined in a letter of intent (LOI) and represents a significant step in Nxu's commitment to electrification and the future of electric vehicles (EVs).
Key Details of the Partnership
Strategic Investment: Nxu's investment in Lynx Motors is structured as a share exchange, with $3 million in Nxu shares being exchanged for $3 million in Lynx shares. This investment will be reflected as an asset on Nxu's balance sheet.
Board Representation: As part of the transaction, Nxu will receive a seat on Lynx's Board of Directors, indicating a deep level of involvement and influence in Lynx's strategic direction.
Collaborative Development: Nxu aims to assist Lynx in leveraging its vehicle and charging technology to expedite the development of electrified products. Lynx Motors is known for reimagining classic vehicles with modern amenities and powertrains, blending tradition with innovation.
Financial Support: Lynx will issue an interest-free promissory note of $250,000 to Nxu in exchange for a $250,000 bridge loan, further solidifying the financial collaboration between the two companies.
Professional Analysis
Complementary Strengths: This partnership leverages Nxu's expertise in EV charging and energy storage with Lynx's focus on electrifying classic vehicles. It's a strategic alignment that combines technological innovation with a unique market niche.
Market Positioning: Lynx's approach to electrifying popular classic cars, coupled with its robust reservation list, suggests strong market demand. Nxu's involvement could accelerate Lynx's path to significant revenue and profitability.
Impact on Nxu's Market Compliance: The partnership is a step towards Nxu's compliance with Nasdaq's listing standards, potentially increasing shareholder equity and market confidence.
Future Prospects: The collaboration between Nxu and Lynx, especially in the realm of EVs, aligns with the broader trend towards electrification in the automotive industry. This partnership could position both companies favorably in a rapidly evolving market.
Conclusion
The strategic partnership between Nxu and Lynx Motors represents a synergistic collaboration that could enhance both companies' positions in the EV market. By combining Nxu's charging technology with Lynx's innovative approach to vehicle electrification, this partnership holds the potential for significant advancements in the EV sector, offering promising prospects for both companies and their stakeholders.
HPQ - fall -9.68% to 81 cents per share on February 28The last earnings report on October 31 showed earnings per share of 90 cents, meeting the estimate of 90 cents. P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.135). P/E Ratio (8.834) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.053). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.119) is also within normal values, averaging (56.300). Dividend Yield (0.037) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.536) is also within normal values, averaging (10.021). With 9.43M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 28.54B.
TJX - rise+8.74% to $1.12 per share on February 28The last earnings report on October 31 showed earnings per share of $1.03, beating the estimate of 99 cents. TJX's P/B Ratio (16.556) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.038). P/E Ratio (28.031) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.022). TJX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.960) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.334). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.207) is also within normal values, averaging (2.053). With 4.69M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 113.26B.
HCP runs to earnings on March 4th LONGHCP is a computer infrastructure company. The December earnings were a 160% beat. Given the
quicky evolving AI supertrend, the earnings might be expected to be another big beat. However,
that could be baked into the price. However, the explosive volatility of the last trading session
say otherwise. I will take a long trade here and chase this stock. I see it as pulling out of a
pullback and continuing on higher time frames.
CCO dips then rises ahead of earnings LONGClear channels is in the TV network subscription package and distribution business; It's earnings
approach on Monday Feb 26th. On the 15 minute chart, in the past week it dipped to pick up
buying interest and then responded with a good rise into the finish of the trading week. On
the chart are various signs of bullish momentum including buying volume spikes, golden crosses
of the pair of Hull Moving Averages, the confirmatory reversal of the Price Volume Trend
and a squeeze release on that indicator. I will take a long trade here. The strike $ 2.00 for
March 15th did 300% on Friday the 23th. I picked up some at $10 per contract.
( If you wonder what screener & its setting I used to find CCO, like this idea and send me
a private message please)
AXTI saw a massive pump this past week REVERSAL SHORTAXTI a penny stock in the semi-conductor supply chain business saw a great price gain this past
week going more than 65% The call options ran 2000% on Friday along. On the 15 minute chart,
I see signs it is in high overbought territory and setup for a reversal. Price fell below the longer
of the two paired Hull Moving Averages which death crossed. The price volume trend indicator
put in a massive bullish trend and then went flatline while the mass index indicator triggered
a reversal. I have closed my call options and opened put contracts costing $130 each. I have
considered that they could do 2000% a few days just as the call options did on Friday.
Fundamentally, I beleive that semi-conductors have a down week ahead, see the idea uploaed
for SOXS.
( If you wonder how i screened for and found AXTI like this idea and drop me a private
message)
RSG - fall -16.23% to $1.29 per share on February 27The last earnings report on September 30 showed earnings per share of $1.54, beating the estimate of $1.43. P/B Ratio (5.634) is normal, around the industry mean (4.741). P/E Ratio (35.849) is within average values for comparable stocks, (45.795). RSG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.230) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.225). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.994) is also within normal values, averaging (104.394). With 1.07M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 58.20B.
A - fall -11.59% to $1.22 per share on February 27The last earnings report on October 31 showed earnings per share of $1.38, beating the estimate of $1.35. P/B Ratio (6.618) is normal, around the industry mean (25.768). P/E Ratio (31.511) is within average values for comparable stocks, (78.874). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.536) is also within normal values, averaging (6.641). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.721) is also within normal values, averaging (41.728). With 1.88M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 38.69B.
PNW - fall -104% to -13 cents per share on February 27The last earnings report on September 30 showed earnings per share of $3.5, beating the estimate of $3.4. P/B Ratio (1.254) is normal, around the industry mean (1.535). P/E Ratio (16.826) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.523). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.254) is also within normal values, averaging (2.586). Dividend Yield (0.049) settles around the average of (0.051) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.700) is also within normal values, averaging (3.327). With 1.84M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 7.99B.
HSIC - fall -47% to 70 cents per share on February 27The last earnings report on September 30 showed earnings per share of $1.32, meeting the estimate of $1.32. P/B Ratio (2.843) is normal, around the industry mean (13.831). P/E Ratio (23.627) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.428). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.888) is also within normal values, averaging (4.510). HSIC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (0.837) is also within normal values, averaging (8.131). With 2.99M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 10.38B.
UHS - rise+13.33% to $2.89 per share on February 27The last earnings report on September 30 showed earnings per share of $2.55, beating the estimate of $2.37. P/B Ratio (1.849) is normal, around the industry mean (4.444). P/E Ratio (17.259) is within average values for comparable stocks, (74.151). UHS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.421). UHS has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.005) as compared to the industry average of (0.023). P/S Ratio (0.831) is also within normal values, averaging (18.732). With 524.30K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 11.21B.
Report earnings to fall -25% to 94 cents per share on February 2The last earnings report on September 30 showed earnings per share of $1.26, beating the estimate of $1.13. AMT's P/B Ratio (19.531) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.290). P/E Ratio (126.620) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.760). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.616) is also within normal values, averaging (7.055). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.019) is also within normal values, averaging (6.554). With 1.42M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 88.54B.
EBAY is expected to report earnings to $1.03 per share on Feb 27The last earnings report on September 30 showed earnings per share of $1.03, beating the estimate of $1. P/B Ratio (3.871) is normal, around the industry mean (17.683). P/E Ratio (8.837) is within average values for comparable stocks, (77.417). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.347) is also within normal values, averaging (3.530). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.356) is also within normal values, averaging (4.177). With 7.12M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 22.84B.
LOW is expected to report earnings to fall -49% to $1.68 per shaThe last earnings report on October 31 showed earnings per share of $3.27, beating the estimate of $3.02. P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (8.869). P/E Ratio (17.834) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.574). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.190) is also within normal values, averaging (2.899). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.524) is also within normal values, averaging (84.116). With 2.10M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 133.75B.