CMG - it might be expensive but the value is there LONGCMG on the weekly chart has been uptrending for a year after being rangebound sideways for a
year. It has seen a volume spike and corresponding price action with the current earnings beat
Price rose 60% in the past year and 16% YTD. This is not linear and nor is it parabolic.
The MACD supports the bullish momentum observation in the price action while the RS indicator
shows good strength in both shorter and longer time frames. This is a blue chip megacap for
sure. While it is not technology like the MAg7, the food business is lucrative. the CEO in the
earnings call announced plans to expand to 7000 stores nationally. This is ambitious. Those who
are ambitious investors or traders and are well funded could consider adding some shares
or even a few options of CMG. I am going with a few options OTM at $3000 six months out.
I believe that I will be well rewarded for the risk taken especially given the expansion plans
and the historical track record here.
Earnings
Earnings Beat and Epic Game Partnership Drive Disney Stock SurgeIn a strategic leap into the gaming universe, The Walt Disney Company ( NYSE:DIS ) has stunned investors and enthusiasts alike with its latest announcement of a staggering $1.5 billion investment in Epic Games, the mastermind behind the global sensation Fortnite. This landmark partnership promises to reshape the landscape of entertainment, ushering in a new era of collaboration between the realms of gaming and beloved Disney franchises.
The excitement reverberated through the markets as Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) shares soared by an impressive 7% in premarket trading following the release of its first-quarter earnings report. Despite revenue remaining steady year-on-year, the company surpassed earnings expectations with an impressive $1.22 per share, outperforming forecasts by a significant margin.
CEO Bob Iger's revelation of Disney's ( NYSE:DIS ) foray into gaming represents a bold step forward, marking the company's most significant investment in the sector to date. With this substantial stake in Epic Games, Disney aims to harness the immense popularity of Fortnite and leverage its vast array of intellectual property, spanning Disney, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, and Avatar, to create captivating new gaming experiences.
The collaboration between Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) and Epic Games holds boundless potential, offering fans the opportunity to immerse themselves in a rich and expansive gaming universe teeming with beloved characters and iconic settings. From pulse-pounding adventures to imaginative worlds, the possibilities are limitless as two entertainment giants join forces to push the boundaries of interactive entertainment.
But Disney's ( NYSE:DIS ) ambitions extend far beyond the realm of gaming. The company's visionary roadmap includes the launch of an ESPN streaming service slated for 2025, further expanding its digital footprint and captivating sports enthusiasts worldwide. Additionally, Disney+ subscribers can look forward to an exclusive version of Taylor Swift's Eras Tour movie, adding yet another dimension to the platform's diverse content offering.
Despite challenges in its Parks business and a decline in linear television, Disney's ( NYSE:DIS ) steadfast commitment to innovation and strategic growth initiatives has garnered support from investors and analysts alike. Ben Barringer, a technology analyst at investment manager Quilter Cheviot, lauded Disney's stable revenue and effective cost management strategies, underscoring the company's resilience in navigating a rapidly evolving entertainment landscape.
Conclusion:
As Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) sets its sights on a future brimming with possibilities, the partnership with Epic Games serves as a testament to its unwavering dedication to captivating audiences across every conceivable platform. With creativity as its compass and innovation as its engine, Disney continues to redefine the boundaries of storytelling, leaving an indelible mark on generations to come.
COIN Completes First Post-IPO BottomAs the first of its kind, this young company has a bright future.
Weekly chart: NASDAQ:COIN has completed its first post-IPO bottom formation and is holding above the completion line despite some selling down in recent weeks.
The company reports Feb 15th. The fundamentals are most likely at or near the bottom completion level. The run up became over-speculated so a minor correction is underway that can dip into the completion level, but support from the bottom formation is strong with Dark Pool buy zone patterns.
Enphase Energy's Strategic Moves Signal a Brighter FutureEnphase Energy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) stands as a beacon of innovation and resilience. Despite facing headwinds in the form of inventory issues and shifting market dynamics, the solar inverter maker is charting a course towards a brighter future. We delve into Enphase's recent developments, strategic shifts, and the prospects that lie ahead.
Navigating Short-Term Challenges:
Enphase Energy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) recently announced its anticipation of an improvement in demand in the near term, sparking a surge in its shares by nearly 13% in extended trading. The company acknowledges the hurdles it faced in Europe, with a significant sequential decrease in revenue in the fourth quarter due to inventory management issues. However, Enphase (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) remains optimistic, citing early signs of recovery in Europe and the potential for a rebound in non-California states.
Adapting to Market Dynamics:
Solar firms, including Enphase, have encountered obstacles such as rising inventory levels in Europe and softening demand in the U.S., attributed in part to regulatory changes like the metering reform in California. Enphase's response to these challenges involves strategic adjustments, including reducing shipments to manage inventory levels and focusing on enhancing demand and margins for its batteries and micro-inverters throughout 2024.
CEO's Vision and Guidance:
Enphase's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) Chief Executive, Badri Kothandaraman, paints a picture of cautious optimism, acknowledging the slowdown in demand while expressing confidence in the company's ability to navigate through it. Kothandaraman highlights the potential turnaround, citing early signs of recovery in Europe and the expected resilience of non-California states. Despite forecasting a seasonally down sell-through demand for the first quarter, Enphase (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) sets its sights on a revenue range of $260 million to $300 million, indicating a proactive stance in managing expectations.
Analyst Expectations vs. Performance:
Enphase's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) fourth-quarter revenue slightly fell short of analysts' expectations, standing at $302.6 million compared to the anticipated $327.9 million. The company's first-quarter revenue forecast also falls below analysts' estimates, but Enphase (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) remains steadfast in its strategic direction, focusing on operational excellence and seizing opportunities for growth amidst challenges.
Conclusion:
Enphase Energy's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) journey exemplifies the resilience and adaptability required to thrive in today's dynamic energy landscape. Despite short-term challenges, the company's strategic maneuvers, coupled with the vision of its leadership, signal a promising trajectory ahead. As Enphase (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) navigates through the current headwinds, it emerges as a compelling player poised to capitalize on the opportunities that lie beyond. Investors and industry observers alike would do well to keep a keen eye on Enphase Energy as it continues to shape the future of renewable energy.
Negative Divergence; targe 200 SMA <$250 (20% correction)We've been forming a negative divergence on the daily for 2-3 months now.
CRWD has been red hot.
Margins are barely positive over the last few quarters (after a long-time being negative). But CRWD is still a $72 billion company trading at 24x revenue.
Now is the time to do the mature thing and to take some profits.
I'd suggest looking at the 200 SMA for re-entry (around $230-250 as a guess).
BP Shares Soar Amidst Plans to Boost Shareholder ReturnsBP Corp ( NYSE:BP ), the British oil giant, witnessed a significant surge in its stock prices, jumping by more than 5%, following its announcement to enhance shareholder returns. Despite experiencing a notable decline in its annual profit, the company’s strategic moves to accelerate share buybacks and increase dividends have invigorated investor confidence.
Accelerated Share Repurchases and Dividend Increases
NYSE:BP ’s proactive approach towards enhancing shareholder value includes a rapid pace of share repurchases, with plans to execute a $1.75 billion buyback before reporting first-quarter results. Additionally, the company has committed to a substantial $3.5 billion share buyback for the first half of the year. Moreover, BP announced a 10% increase in dividend per ordinary share for the final quarter of 2023, reflecting its dedication to rewarding investors.
Financial Performance Analysis
Despite a steep fall in its underlying replacement cost profit, dropping from a record $27.7 billion to $13.8 billion for 2023, NYSE:BP managed to surpass analyst expectations for fourth-quarter net profit, demonstrating resilience amidst challenging market conditions. The company’s robust operational performance in gas trading offset the impact of significantly lower industry refining margins.
Market Response and Analyst Insights
The market responded positively to NYSE:BP ’s commitment to shareholder returns, with shares ending Tuesday’s session 5.5% higher. Analysts at RBC Capital Markets viewed NYSE:BP ’s extended commitment to share buybacks through 2025 as a favorable surprise, indicating confidence in future performance. The clarity provided by BP regarding its shareholder return plans has been particularly well-received by oil investors.
Leadership and Strategic Challenges
NYSE:BP ’s strategic decisions come amidst pressure from activist investors, urging the company to prioritize oil and gas investments over clean energy initiatives. The recent appointment of Murray Auchincloss as permanent CEO follows a period of leadership transition, raising questions about the company's direction under new management.
Climate Change Agenda
NYSE:BP ’s stance on climate change has evolved, with the firm initially pledging ambitious emissions reduction targets. However, subsequent adjustments to its climate plans have stirred debate, reflecting the delicate balance between sustainability goals and meeting global energy demand.
Conclusion
NYSE:BP ’s proactive measures to boost shareholder returns amid a challenging economic landscape demonstrate its commitment to delivering value to investors. While facing pressure from activist investors and navigating leadership changes, the company remains focused on its strategy of delivering sustainable long-term value while balancing environmental responsibilities with meeting energy demand. As NYSE:BP charts its course in the evolving energy landscape, its ability to adapt and innovate will be critical in shaping its future trajectory.
AMC Faces Uphill Battle Amidst Dwindling Box Office & Debt Woes
As the curtain falls on another tumultuous year for AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ), investors brace themselves for what could be a defining moment in the company's trajectory. With AMC (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) stock plummeting to new lows and a bleak outlook for the cinema industry, CEO Adam Aron finds himself navigating treacherous waters filled with debt obligations and shifting consumer preferences.
The recent plunge in AMC's stock price, hitting a new 52-week low of $3.63 per share, reflects the harsh reality facing the cinema giant. Despite the optimism surrounding the industry's recovery post-pandemic, AMC's (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) struggles persist, exacerbated by external factors such as the lingering effects of the 2023 Writers Guild of America strike.
The impact of the strike on the 2024 box office cannot be understated. With projections suggesting a staggering decline of at least $1 billion in domestic box office revenue, AMC (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) and its peers face an uphill battle to reignite consumer interest in traditional moviegoing experiences. The rise of streaming platforms continues to pose a formidable challenge, forcing AMC (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) to reimagine its business model and adapt to an evolving landscape.
One of the key concerns weighing on AMC's (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) performance is its ballooning debt. The company's aggressive measures to pay down debt, including dilution through share offerings, have left investors wary. AMC's (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) outstanding shares surged by 29.52% in 2023 alone, reflecting a pattern of dilution that threatens to erode shareholder value over time.
The recent $350 million at-the-market offering, coupled with additional share issuances to service debt obligations, underscores the urgency of AMC's (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ) financial predicament. As the company strives to strike a delicate balance between debt reduction and shareholder interests, the path forward remains fraught with uncertainty.
Against this backdrop, AMC's upcoming earnings report for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2023, assumes critical importance. Investors eagerly await insights into the company's performance and strategic initiatives to navigate the challenges ahead.
The earnings webcast scheduled for February 28, 2024, offers a platform for stakeholders to gauge AMC's prospects and pose pertinent questions to company executives. Amidst mounting concerns, CEO Adam Aron faces the daunting task of restoring investor confidence and charting a course towards sustainable growth.
However, amidst the gloom, there are glimmers of hope for AMC (NYSE: NYSE:AMC ). The company's relentless pursuit of innovation, including initiatives like AMC Theatres Distribution and partnerships with leading artists, demonstrates a commitment to diversifying revenue streams and enhancing the cinema experience.
As AMC endeavors to weather the storm, it remains to be seen whether the company can emerge stronger from its current challenges. With the global cinema landscape undergoing seismic shifts, AMC's fate hangs in the balance, with stakeholders eagerly awaiting the next chapter in this unfolding saga.
GE HealthCare Surpasses Expectations with Strong Q4 PerformanceGeneral Electric's healthcare division (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GEHC ), GE HealthCare, has emerged as a standout performer in the fourth quarter, exceeding both revenue and earnings estimates. Despite ongoing challenges in the global market, the company has demonstrated resilience and delivered robust financial results, much to the delight of investors and analysts alike.
Earnings Overview
GE HealthCare's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GEHC ) adjusted annual profit forecast of $4.20 to $4.35 per share signals a promising outlook for the company. This projection, surpassing analysts' estimates, reflects the effectiveness of the company's strategic initiatives and operational efficiency measures. With the midpoint of the forecast exceeding expectations, GE HealthCare (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GEHC ) is poised for sustained growth and profitability in the coming quarters.
The impressive earnings performance in the fourth quarter further underscores GE HealthCare's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GEHC ) resilience and ability to navigate through challenging economic conditions. Excluding items, the company reported earnings of $1.18 per share, comfortably surpassing analysts' estimates of $1.07. This notable achievement reflects the strength of GE HealthCare's diversified portfolio and its ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the healthcare sector.
Revenue Result
Moreover, GE HealthCare's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GEHC ) robust revenue of $5.21 billion in the fourth quarter highlights its strong market position and competitive advantage. The company's ability to beat analysts' revenue expectations by a significant margin demonstrates its continued focus on driving top-line growth through innovation and customer-centric solutions. With a solid pipeline of products and services, GE HealthCare (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GEHC ) is well-positioned to capitalize on evolving market trends and emerging opportunities in the healthcare industry.
Investors Sentiment
Investors have reacted positively to GE HealthCare's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GEHC ) stellar performance, with the company's stock price witnessing a notable uptick following the earnings announcement. This vote of confidence from the market underscores the strong fundamentals and growth prospects of GE HealthCare, reaffirming its status as a key player in the healthcare ecosystem.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, GE HealthCare's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GEHC ) impressive fourth-quarter performance underscores its resilience, strategic agility, and commitment to driving value for its stakeholders. With a robust earnings forecast, strong revenue growth, and a track record of innovation, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities and deliver sustainable long-term growth. As GE HealthCare (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GEHC ) continues to expand its footprint and strengthen its market presence, investors can look forward to continued value creation and success in the dynamic healthcare landscape.
Spotify's Growth Story: Breaking Records and Setting Bold GoalsSpotify (NYSE: NYSE:SPOT ) has emerged as a juggernaut, continually breaking barriers and setting new standards. The latest report from the Swedish music streaming giant reveals an impressive surge in user growth, defying expectations and propelling its stock to new heights.
Unveiling Remarkable Performance:
Spotify's (NYSE: NYSE:SPOT ) fourth-quarter results have left analysts and investors astounded. The company not only surpassed forecasts but also demonstrated resilience in the face of challenges, with its monthly active users and premium subscribers soaring to unprecedented levels. Despite a slight revenue miss, Spotify's strategic maneuvers, including price adjustments and podcast investments, have positioned it for a prosperous future.
Diversification and Expansion:
Beyond music, Spotify's (NYSE: NYSE:SPOT ) foray into podcasts and audiobooks underscores its commitment to diversification and innovation. With an eye on capturing the burgeoning audio entertainment market, the company has strategically aligned itself with influential hosts and witnessed exponential growth in podcast advertising. This strategic pivot not only enhances user engagement but also opens new revenue streams, reinforcing Spotify's position as a multifaceted entertainment platform.
CEO's Vision and Strategic Imperatives:
Under the stewardship of CEO Daniel Ek, Spotify's (NYSE: NYSE:SPOT ) vision of reaching 1 billion users by 2030 is not merely a lofty ambition but a strategic imperative driving every decision. Ek's emphasis on profitability, evidenced by recent cost-cutting measures and operational efficiencies, reflects a maturing company poised for sustained success. As Spotify navigates through the complexities of a dynamic industry landscape, Ek's leadership and strategic foresight continue to inspire confidence among stakeholders.
Market Response and Investor Sentiment:
Spotify's (NYSE: NYSE:SPOT ) stellar performance in the fourth quarter has not gone unnoticed, as evidenced by the bullish response from investors. With shares surging to a two-year high, market sentiment towards Spotify remains overwhelmingly positive, underscoring the company's status as a top contender in the digital entertainment sphere. As the company charts its course for the future, investor confidence serves as a testament to Spotify's (NYSE: NYSE:SPOT ) unwavering commitment to growth and innovation.
Conclusion:
In an era defined by rapid technological advancements and shifting consumer preferences, Spotify stands out as a beacon of innovation and resilience. With a relentless focus on user growth, profitability, and strategic expansion, the company continues to redefine the boundaries of digital entertainment. As Spotify (NYSE: NYSE:SPOT ) embarks on its journey towards 1 billion users, one thing remains clear – the music streaming giant is not just setting records; it's rewriting the playbook for success in the digital age.
Super Micro Computer Just Hit a New All-Time High
Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) has been making waves in the stock market, hitting a new all-time high fueled by a remarkable 2023 and a phenomenal earnings report to kick off 2024. As the stock continues its ascent, investors are left wondering if there's still time to climb aboard or if they've missed the boat. Let's delve into the factors driving Supermicro's success, particularly its role in the booming artificial intelligence (AI) market, and explore the potential for further growth.
The AI Boost:
One of the key drivers behind Supermicro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) recent surge is its pivotal role in the AI revolution, with a spotlight on its collaboration with Nvidia, the leading graphics processing unit (GPU) supplier worldwide. Nvidia's GPUs are crucial for the intensive calculations required in processing vast datasets and building AI models. Supermicro ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) steps in with its highly customizable line of servers tailored to various needs, from engineering simulations to drug discovery and AI deep learning.
The Numbers Speak:
Supermicro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) second-quarter fiscal year 2024 results were nothing short of impressive, boasting sales of $3.66 billion, a staggering 103% increase from the previous year. The company not only surpassed its own guidance but also laid out robust projections for the upcoming quarter and the entire fiscal year. With Q3 revenue expected to reach approximately $3.9 billion, reflecting a remarkable 205% growth, and an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of $5.22, the outlook appears promising for Super Micro Computer.
Conclusion:
Super Micro Computer's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) journey to new all-time highs has been undeniably fueled by the AI boom, robust financial performance, and optimistic projections for the future. The article wraps up by summarizing the company's strengths, potential challenges, and the considerations investors should weigh when deciding whether to join the ride or exercise caution in the face of industry forecasts. Supermicro's ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) success story, as outlined in this article, paints a picture of a company on the cutting edge of technological innovation, but the road ahead may not be without its twists and turns.
EDU - New Oriental Education & Technology Group - BreakoutCompany info:
New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Inc. offers educational services. The Company offers foreign language training, test preparation courses for admissions and assessment tests in the United States, the PRC and Commonwealth countries.
Earnings:
Earnings came out very strong this morning.
Revenue came in 869.60 and the street has looking around 814.
Earnings beat as well (surprise by 0.03).
Technicals:
The chart is breaking out of the pennant and with fundamental driver, this can be explosive.
Macro:
Overnight, there has been positive news out of China. PBOC lowered the reserve requirements by 50bps and there is growing expectation that stimulus is right around the corner, which should help Chinese stocks.
Will enter with the 5 min chart and update target along the way but initially run up to 100 looks promising.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): A Promising Future in AIAdvanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) emerges as a compelling investment option poised for significant growth in 2024. As the demand for artificial intelligence (AI) and graphics processing units (GPUs) continues to surge, NASDAQ:AMD 's strategic moves and recent product unveilings indicate a promising trajectory. We delve into the factors driving NASDAQ:AMD 's potential for a soaring stock performance in the coming year.
1. AI Market Growth and AMD's MI300X Breakthrough:
The AI market, valued at nearly $200 billion in the previous year, is projected to witness a staggering compound annual growth rate of 37% through 2030, reaching over $1 trillion. AMD, recognizing this immense potential, unveiled its latest powerhouse, the MI300X GPU, in December. Positioned to challenge Nvidia's dominance, the MI300X promises to be a game-changer, offering competitive performance for training and surpassing Nvidia's H100 for inference by 10% to 20%. This strategic move positions NASDAQ:AMD as a formidable player in the rapidly expanding AI sector.
2. Strategic Partnerships with Tech Giants:
NASDAQ:AMD 's foray into AI is reinforced by strategic partnerships with industry giants, enhancing its market presence and credibility. Microsoft, a key ally with a close partnership with OpenAI, announced its adoption of NASDAQ:AMD 's new GPU in Azure, optimizing AI capabilities. This collaboration not only underscores AMD's technological prowess but also positions the company favorably in the cloud computing domain. With a similar agreement in place with Meta Platforms, NASDAQ:AMD secures a foothold among tech's most influential players, setting the stage for sustained growth.
3. Improved PC Market and Revenue Surge:
Beyond the AI realm, NASDAQ:AMD is capitalizing on a gradually improving PC market. Data from Gartner reveals a 0.3% increase in global PC shipments in Q4 2023, marking the first positive growth in over a year. This trend aligns with NASDAQ:AMD 's financial performance, as evidenced by a 42% YoY rise in revenue in its client segment during Q3 2023, reaching $1.4 billion. As macroeconomic headwinds subside, NASDAQ:AMD is poised to leverage a resurging PC market, contributing to its stellar growth outlook for 2024.
4. Earnings-Per-Share (EPS) Projections:
Projections for NASDAQ:AMD 's EPS indicate substantial upside potential, aligning with the company's growth prospects. As the company diversifies its product offerings and strengthens its position in both AI and PC markets, analysts anticipate a significant surge in the stock's value in the next fiscal year. This positive sentiment is further supported by NASDAQ:AMD 's continuous innovation and market responsiveness.
5. Technical Outlook and Investor Sentiment:
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:AMD is riding a rising trend channel in the medium long term. This positive trend signifies investor confidence and a growing interest in the company's potential. With no apparent resistance in the price chart, the stock's upward momentum is reinforced by strong positive momentum. While acknowledging the potential for overbought conditions, the absence of resistance and the ongoing positive trend suggest further room for growth.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMD ) stands at the forefront of a transformative era in semiconductor technology, driven by the burgeoning demand for AI and the resurgence of the PC market. With its MI300X GPU poised to challenge industry leaders and strategic partnerships amplifying its market reach, NASDAQ:AMD is positioned for substantial growth in 2024. As EPS estimates align with the company's potential and technical indicators signal a positive trajectory, investors may find AMD a compelling opportunity for significant returns in the coming year.
Exxon Mobil's Resilience: Surging Profits & Strategic Moves
Exxon Mobil ( NYSE:XOM ) has emerged from the challenging landscape of 2023 with a commendable financial performance, reporting a robust $36 billion profit for the year. The energy giant's earnings defied industry trends, surpassing estimates and signaling optimism for the future.
Beating Estimates
The beating of estimates is largely attributed to Exxon's ( NYSE:XOM ) adept navigation of volatile markets, particularly in fuels trading, and an upswing in oil and gas production. Despite the overall industry experiencing a one-third dip in profits due to fluctuating oil and gas prices in the aftermath of geopolitical events like the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Exxon CEO Darren Woods expressed confidence in the sector's normalization throughout 2023.
One key highlight is Exxon's ( NYSE:XOM ) strategic focus on its core oil production areas, notably the U.S. Permian Basin and Guyana. The company "opportunistically accelerated drilling activity" in these regions, demonstrating a commitment to robust production. Additionally, Exxon ventured into lithium production to meet the surging demand for electric vehicle batteries, aligning its strategies with the evolving energy landscape.
Financial Strength
The closing of 2023 showcased Exxon's ( NYSE:XOM ) financial strength, setting the stage for a promising 2024. Peter McNally, Global Sector Lead for Industrials Materials and Energy at Third Bridge, emphasized Exxon's strong financial position as it heads into the new year. However, the impending acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources is poised to be a game-changer, significantly increasing investments in the U.S. Exxon ( NYSE:XOM ) expects to finalize the deal in the second quarter, raising anticipation among investors.
Despite the positive narrative, Exxon did incur a $2.5 billion impairment charge for California properties that have been on the market for over a year. This, however, did not overshadow the company's overall performance, as annual income only fell 35% to $38.57 billion when excluding this charge.
Trading Division
Exxon's success in the fourth quarter was bolstered by a profitable trading division, which contributed a $1.1 billion boost to operating profit in the fuels business. CFO Kathryn Mikells highlighted the company's decision to consolidate global trading into a single division, a move that proved fruitful. Mikells also noted that this trend is expected to be an ongoing contributor to the company's positive results.
Furthermore, Exxon exceeded its cost-cutting targets, surpassing the $9 billion goal set in 2019 by an additional $700 million. The company's commitment to efficiency and fiscal responsibility is evident in its ability to deliver results even in challenging market conditions.
Future Outlook
Looking ahead, Exxon ( NYSE:XOM ) plans to allocate $23 billion to $25 billion in capital spending for the year, a strategic move to prepare for projects slated for 2025. The company's proactive approach and resilience in the face of industry headwinds position it as a key player to watch in the evolving energy landscape.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Exxon Mobil's ( NYSE:XOM ) 2023 performance not only defied industry trends but also set the stage for a promising 2024. With strategic moves, a focus on core production areas, and a resilient trading division, Exxon Mobil ( NYSE:XOM ) is navigating the dynamic energy sector with confidence and forward-looking vision.
In-Depth Analysis of LODHA (NSE: LODHA)Technical Overview:
1. RSI Divergence and Weekly Chart Support:
LODHA's weekly chart indicates substantial support at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence. RSI is a crucial momentum indicator, and divergence can signal potential trend reversals. The presence of RSI support on the weekly chart suggests a strong technical foundation.
Fundamental Highlights:
1. Q3 Earnings Performance:
Lodha reported robust Q3 earnings with a significant increase in EBITDA, reflecting commendable operational performance. The improved EBITDA margin is indicative of enhanced profitability.
2. Net Profit Growth:
Q3 consolidated net profit has shown substantial growth on both a year-on-year (YoY) and quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) basis. This positive trend in net profit underscores the company's ability to generate earnings.
3. Revenue Expansion:
Q3 revenue growth, both YoY and QoQ, highlights the company's capacity to increase sales, contributing to overall financial strength.
Trade Execution Strategy:
Entry:
Consider entering a long position at the current market price (CMP) of 1056. This entry aligns with the technical support identified on the weekly chart and is further supported by positive fundamental developments.
Stop Loss Placement:
Place a stop loss at 980. This stop loss level is strategically chosen to provide a reasonable buffer against potential price fluctuations while safeguarding the trade from adverse market movements.
Target Setting:
Set a target of 1230. The target is determined based on the technical support and the positive fundamental backdrop, reflecting an anticipated upward price movement.
Risk Factors and Considerations:
1. Market Conditions:
Monitor broader market conditions and potential external factors that may impact the stock or overall market sentiment.
2. Corporate Developments:
Stay informed about any corporate developments, announcements, or industry-specific news that could influence the stock.
3. Continuous Monitoring:
Regularly monitor the trade for any shifts in the technical setup or unforeseen market developments. Be prepared to adjust the strategy based on evolving conditions.
Conclusion:
LODHA presents a compelling opportunity with a combination of technical support and positive fundamental indicators, particularly strong Q3 earnings. The trade is initiated with a comprehensive risk management strategy. Regular monitoring and adaptability are key to navigating dynamic market conditions.
Meta's Meteoric Rise: Unveiling Record ProfitsMeta (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ), the parent company of social media giant Facebook, is making waves in the business world after an impressive fourth-quarter earnings report that surpassed expectations and sent its stock soaring by 14% in after-hours trading. The company's robust performance is underlined by a tripled profit, a landmark first-ever dividend payment, and a $50 billion share buyback, signaling a newfound confidence in its financial position.
Financial Highlights
The financial highlights include earnings per share of $5.33, beating the expected $4.96, and revenue of $40.1 billion, surpassing the anticipated $39.18 billion. Daily active users (DAUs) and monthly active users (MAUs) also exceeded expectations, demonstrating the sustained growth of Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) user base. The average revenue per user (ARPU) reached $13.12, outperforming the forecasted $12.81, showcasing the company's ability to monetize its user engagement effectively.
The impressive results are attributed to Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) online advertising business rebounding from challenges faced in 2022. Sales surged by 25% year over year, reaching $32.2 billion, the fastest growth rate since mid-2021. Simultaneously, the company implemented cost-cutting measures, with expenses decreasing by 8% year over year to $23.73 billion. The operating margin more than doubled to 41%, reflecting increased profitability.
Net Income
Net income skyrocketed to $14 billion, tripling from $4.65 billion a year earlier. Meta's strategic decisions, such as the announcement of its first-ever dividend payment of 50 cents per share on March 26, illustrate its commitment to delivering value to investors. The company's cash and equivalents ballooned to $65.4 billion at the end of 2023, up from $40.7 billion a year earlier, further supporting its shareholder-friendly initiatives.
The bullish momentum continues a trend from 2023 when Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) stock nearly tripled, reaching a record high in January. As of the latest trading data, Meta's( NASDAQ:META ) market capitalization has surged to almost $1.2 trillion, solidifying its position as one of the tech industry's heavyweights.
Sales Report
Sales in Meta's Reality Labs unit surpassed $1 billion in the quarter, underlining the growing importance of virtual reality. However, the virtual reality unit reported losses of $4.65 billion, emphasizing the challenges and investment required to establish a foothold in this evolving market.
Despite Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) financial success, the company faces scrutiny from lawmakers, as CEO Mark Zuckerberg and other executives recently testified before the Senate Judiciary Committee. The hearing addressed concerns about child exploitation on Meta's family of apps, underscoring the ongoing challenges faced by social media platforms regarding user safety and mental health.
Future Outlook
Looking ahead, Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) anticipates first-quarter sales in the range of $34.5 billion to $37 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. The company remains committed to advancing artificial intelligence and the metaverse, with Zuckerberg emphasizing continued investments in these areas. Notably, despite growth, Meta's headcount decreased by 22% year over year, reflecting the efficiency achieved through organizational changes and layoffs.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Meta's ( NASDAQ:META ) stellar financial performance, marked by record profits, a historic dividend, and a thriving stock price, showcases the company's resilience and adaptability in the rapidly evolving tech landscape. As it continues to navigate challenges in user safety and content moderation, Meta's strategic focus on innovation and financial strength positions it for continued success in the ever-expanding digital frontier.
Forget morgan stanleys downgradestanley fools, these same imbeciles will be the ones to downgrade an equity or in this case a competitor right after their competitor just proved their worth recently after consecutive earnings beat. These are the same people or entity who is waiting to scoop up shares of SOFI at their PRICE TARGET.
the ones in control of the big funds, with the click of a finger be able to buy and short any amount they want if the please, manipulation at its finest. As Sofi hit a high of mid 9s on monday Jan 29/2024 there was major resistance more like manipulation at a key resistance, as the run was too much even from a technical perspective yes it was overbought. However their fundamentals are only getting better, and they are afraid. Banks rating another bank who would have guessed, thats like trump grading Biden.
anyways back to the technicality sorry for my rant.
As we observe the two timeslines provided the weekly, and four hourtime frame the weekly candle is slightly leaning towards the bullish momentum based on the green candlebar. However the volume still being red signalling sellers have momentum.
The current price action is currently in the same position when price closed on friday before reporting earnings on monday. the four hour RSI is above 40 pointing to the upside and the two last candles to the right are close to the ichimoku cloud so if only buyers were to step in again around this price range and close above 8 will be a good start.
I dont have it included but if you look at the monthly candle which is only 1 day of febuary about to close so far it started off with a red bearish candle but the wick or shadow is below the body meaning buyers are trying to gain traction at the beginning of FEB. a new monthly cycle, as buyers lost momentum in the 9s and majorly in the 8s confidence was lost profits were taken. However this only provides another opportunity for those who have actually did their due diligence and research and not follow fools who make sofis earnings seem miniscule.
mon 04 dec 2023 price hit a low of 7.65 192.288M volume,
week of mon 11 dec 2023 price hit a low of 7.83 271.359M
week of 16 jan 2024 hit a low of 7.21 (buyers deemed the price cheap and entered long) 166.489M
week of 22 jan 2024 hit a low of7.52 278.154M
week of mon 29 jan 2024 hit a low of 7.57 with a volume of 592.118M
JNJ is expected to report earnings to fall -14.29% to $2.28 per The last earnings report on September 30 showed earnings per share of $2.66, beating the estimate of $2.51. P/B Ratio (5.353) is normal, around the industry mean (5.180). P/E Ratio (29.715) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.823). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.572) is also within normal values, averaging (3.115). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.199) is also within normal values, averaging (3.589). With 6.92M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 381.26B.
Merck's Keytruda Triumphs in Q4 Reports
Merck & Co ( NYSE:MRK ) has emerged victorious in its fourth-quarter performance, exceeding market expectations fueled by the remarkable success of its flagship cancer immunotherapy drug, Keytruda. The pharmaceutical giant reported robust financials, driven by a 21% surge in Keytruda sales, catapulting it to the status of the world's best-selling prescription medicine. This stellar performance not only defied analyst predictions but also positioned Merck ( NYSE:MRK ) as a frontrunner in the pharmaceutical industry.
Keytruda's Stellar Performance:
Keytruda's sales reached an impressive $6.6 billion in Q4, outpacing estimates and contributing to a total annual revenue of $25 billion. The drug's success is attributed to Merck's strategic efforts to expand its usage in earlier stage cancers. Despite its impending patent expiration by the end of the decade, Keytruda remains a formidable asset for Merck ( NYSE:MRK ), overshadowing even the peak sales of AbbVie's blockbuster arthritis drug, Humira.
Strategic Moves to Counter Patent Exclusivity Loss:
Aware of the looming patent exclusivity loss, Merck ( NYSE:MRK ) has proactively engaged in strategic initiatives to mitigate the impact. The pharmaceutical giant recently entered into multiple deals, including a significant $5.5 billion collaboration with Japan's Daiichi Sankyo for the co-development of three promising cancer drugs. These moves signify Merck's commitment to maintaining its competitive edge and market leadership in the evolving pharmaceutical landscape.
Optimistic Outlook and Pipeline Expansion:
Merck ( NYSE:MRK ) has revised its outlook for the mid-2030s, projecting adjusted annual sales for new oncology products to exceed $20 billion, up from the initial estimate of over $10 billion. The company has similarly elevated its mid-2030s forecast for cardiometabolic products to approximately $15 billion, demonstrating confidence in the potential of its diversified portfolio.
Financial Resilience and Restructuring Efforts:
Despite taking a charge of $1.69 a share related to the Daiichi deal, Merck ( NYSE:MRK ) reported adjusted earnings of 3 cents per share in Q4, defying expectations of an 11 cents per share loss. The company's Q4 revenue of $14.6 billion, a 6% increase from estimates, further underscores its financial resilience. Merck has also initiated a restructuring program aimed at optimizing manufacturing operations for both human and animal health, projecting completion by the end of 2031. While this program incurs approximately $4 billion in cumulative pre-tax costs, Merck's proactive stance signals a commitment to long-term operational efficiency.
Conclusion:
Merck's ( NYSE:MRK ) stellar Q4 results, fueled by Keytruda's exceptional sales performance and strategic initiatives, position the company for a decade of resilience in the face of impending challenges. The pharmaceutical giant's optimistic outlook, robust financials, and proactive measures to address patent exclusivity loss underscore its commitment to innovation, strategic partnerships, and sustained growth.
Unveiling the Complex Landscape of Sally Beauty's Q1 PerformanceSally Beauty Holdings Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:SBH ) stands as a distinctive player, catering to both everyday consumers and salon professionals with a diverse array of salon-quality beauty products. The recently unveiled Q1 FY2024 earnings report, however, paints a nuanced picture of the company's performance. While some aspects hint at resilience, others raise concerns, leaving investors and industry observers eager to decipher the path forward.
Understanding the Financial Landscape:
The Q1 results saw Sally Beauty ( NYSE:SBH ) reporting revenue in line with expectations but registering a 2.7% year-on-year decline, settling at $931.3 million. Delving into the financial metrics, the company's GAAP profit per share dropped from $0.52 to $0.35 over the same quarter last year, signaling a notable dip in profitability.
Analysts anticipated an EPS of $0.37, marking a 4.5% miss. Despite the slight revenue beat, the market responded with caution, as reflected in the stock's flat performance, currently trading at $12.4 per share with a market capitalization of $1.32 billion.
Key Performance Indicators:
Several key performance indicators merit attention when dissecting Sally Beauty's Q1 results:
1. Free Cash Flow Challenges:
- The company reported a free cash flow of $20.47 million, reflecting a 31.6% decrease from the same quarter last year. This reduction in free cash flow raises questions about the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic uncertainties.
2. Gross Margin Contraction:
- The gross margin (GAAP) contracted from 50.8% to 50.2% year-on-year, suggesting potential pressure on profitability. Understanding the factors contributing to this margin contraction is crucial in evaluating the sustainability of the business model.
3. Same-Store Sales and Store Count Dynamics:
- While the same-store sales remained flat year on year, the company's store count decreased by 23 over the last 12 months. This prompts an exploration into the strategic decisions behind store closures and their impact on Sally Beauty's overall market presence.
4. Competitive Landscape and Growth Prospects:
- Positioned as a mid-sized retailer, Sally Beauty faces the challenge of competing against larger counterparts with better economies of scale. The report highlights a four-year decline in revenue, emphasizing the need for the company to navigate market headwinds and explore avenues for sustainable growth.
Analyzing the Retail Environment:
The beauty and cosmetics retail sector is undergoing a transformation, influenced by evolving consumer preferences and the surge in e-commerce. Sally Beauty ( NYSE:SBH ), straddling the line between catering to consumers and salon professionals, must adapt to these shifts in buying behavior.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, Sally Beauty's ( NYSE:SBH ) Q1 FY2024 results present a mixed bag of challenges and potential opportunities. While the company has demonstrated resilience in certain segments, concerns about declining revenue, compressed margins, and store closures linger. Investors and industry observers keen on the future trajectory of Sally Beauty ( NYSE:SBH ) will closely monitor the company's strategic initiatives, seeking clarity on its ability to navigate the complex retail landscape and unlock sustained growth.
As the stock hovers at $12.4 per share, the coming months will likely be crucial in determining whether Sally Beauty ( NYSE:SBH ) can overcome the obstacles presented in its Q1 report and chart a course towards renewed success in the beauty retail sector.
Bottom Formation with Dark Pool Buy Zones: DISNYSE:DIS reports earnings next week and is attempting to complete the bottom formation that started last summer. The stock must now sustain above the bottom completion level at $95.
Even though the market is over-speculating many index components, this stock is more likely to have sideways trends or platforms if the price holds above the new support level to complete its bottom.
Dark Pool buy zones are evident within the bottom formation, providing fundamental and technical support.
Malibu Boats Inc. Faces Challenges and Prepares for RecoveryMalibu Boats Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MBUU ) has long been a stalwart, known for its high-quality performance sport boats and a strong market presence in the United States. However, the company recently weathered a stormy fiscal quarter, marked by a significant downturn in key financial metrics. As the industry faces headwinds in the form of weak retail demand and rising costs, Malibu Boats ( NASDAQ:MBUU ) is not just acknowledging the challenges but actively recalibrating its strategy to navigate the turbulent waters and emerge stronger.
Financial Downturn:
The second quarter of fiscal year 2024 saw Malibu Boats ( NASDAQ:MBUU ) grappling with a substantial contraction in its business operations. Net sales plummeted by 37.7% to $211.1 million, reflecting a challenging economic environment for the recreational boating industry. Unit volume, a crucial indicator of market demand, dropped by 43.7% to 1,373 units. Gross profit, net income, and adjusted EBITDA followed suit with declines of 50.5%, 72.1%, and 60.2%, respectively.
CEO Acknowledgment and Strategic Shift:
Malibu Boats' CEO, Jack Springer, did not shy away from addressing the factors contributing to the downturn. He attributed the challenges to weak retail demand, increased dealer flooring program costs, rising interest rates, and elevated inventory levels. In response, the company is actively recalibrating its wholesale production to align with retail demand, demonstrating a proactive approach to address the core issues.
Springer expressed cautious optimism, highlighting signs of resilience in the brand following a year-end sales event. The upcoming boat show season is anticipated to provide crucial insights into the potential for a retail recovery. This strategic shift indicates a commitment to adaptability and responsiveness to market dynamics.
Long-Term Commitment to Growth:
Despite the short-term setbacks, Malibu Boats ( NASDAQ:MBUU ) remains steadfast in its commitment to a growth strategy. Leveraging its operational capabilities and variable cost structure, the company aims to navigate the current market turbulence and drive long-term shareholder value. The focus on strategic investments and market share growth showcases confidence in the underlying strength of the brand.
Guidance and Financial Outlook:
Looking ahead, Malibu Boats ( NASDAQ:MBUU ) has provided guidance for the full fiscal year 2024. Anticipating a net sales decline in the mid-to-high thirties percentage range year-over-year, the company acknowledges the challenges but maintains a forward-looking perspective. The adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be down by 800 to 900 basis points, reflecting a realistic assessment of the current economic landscape.
Balance Sheet Resilience:
Examining the company's balance sheet as of December 31, 2023, reveals a resilient financial position. With a cash position of $55.7 million and total assets of $879.9 million, Malibu Boats ( NASDAQ:MBUU ) demonstrates financial stability even in the face of adversity. Liabilities stand at $251.3 million, with stockholders' equity at $628.7 million, indicating a healthy balance sheet and the ability to weather short-term challenges.
Conclusion:
Malibu Boats Inc., ( NASDAQ:MBUU ) finds itself at a crossroads, facing short-term headwinds in the midst of economic uncertainty. However, the company's strategic recalibration, commitment to growth, and resilient financial position suggest that it is well-positioned to navigate the current challenges. Investors and enthusiasts alike will be closely watching as Malibu Boats ( NASDAQ:MBUU ) charts a course for recovery in the dynamic waters of the recreational boating industry.