EXFY a fintech penny stock at 5% of the ATH LONGEXFY recently had an earnings beat and has bullish momentum. While on a sixty minute chart it
may appear to be overextended, in the context of an all-time-high of about $50 perhaps it
has as much as 20X upside. EXFY rose from the earnings beat and then retraced and reversed the
retracement. I see it as a long wing trade perhaps until the approach to the next earnings.
The volume and volatility indicators suggest bullish momentum is strong and may continue.
Earnings
BYND Long off technical + upcoming earnings potential
Similar pattern setting up.
Long Thesis:
- Double bottom out of a broken downtrend
- HIGH SHORT FLOAT: 38%
- Market near all-time high
Could see a pop ahead of earnings, OR earnings could be the catalyst needed to turn this thing around. Market near ATH, plus high short float could see a nice short squeeze and rally.
Don't like the long-term downtrend, ton of bag holders on the way up.
How to fly to the moon for free with SQRWe buy the SQR token. Yes, getting started is almost free :)
We staking it on the official website. We participate in the Zelay company.
We share the prize of 1,500,000 SQR
We hold SQR and sell it in a year.
Profit.
Fundamentally, the project is very strong. In my opinion, the best of these projects.
Plus is launching its own launchpad soon.
BA- Buy the recovery? or take partial profits? LONGBoeing had a near disastrous start to 2024 with a Malaysian part falling off a MAX jet at 36,000.
Incidentally, going viral is that an iPhone survived the plunge fully functional. 20% got
shaved off the market cap. I bought the low with calls at $215 expiring March 15'24. They did
80% for the week and 16% today. News catalysts are that an East Indian airline company placed
a contract for the purchase of 100 jets of uncertain model. Delta Airlines also did not pull their
existing contract. These catalysts have allowed price to recover about 1/3 of the plunge. The
15-minute chart demonstrates the super trend reversal better than the 60 minute which is
shown here on the idea. The relative volume indicator is about 3 X the running mean showing
trader interest uptick. BA could short squeeze where short sellers quickly buy to cover &
capture profit while the synergistic rise is compounded by near buyers coming in to get ahead
of the chasing? The caution is that the POC line on the intermediate
term volume profile is $ 210 and so getting contracts extended above that has increased
risk based on price distance from the POC. The uptrend instead of a true recovery could be
simply a correction in the overall downtrend. I will take some of the week's profit off
the table and keep a close watch on the price action.
AAPL breaks below its 1 year upward trendAAPL has recently broken below its 1 year upward signaling more selling to come. This pivotal event comes at a time when
Overall market sentiment is showing extreme greed (selling soon follows this level)
Recent rally have been prompted by one stocks excellent earnings (NVDA alone cant hold up the economy)
AAPL has been trend down rather steadily for a month
The long term support being broken indicates more selling likely to come.
Beautiful Breakout and strong fundamentals - AppLovin NASDAQ:APP has an outstanding chart in my opinion. I've been following this stock for years now and waiting for the right time to get in. Although it's already rallied 70% YTD, the momentum this particular stock has combined with it's increasingly impressive earnings reports make it a strong buy.
They have been steadily increasing cash flow on top of accelerating earnings growth. The last 3 quarters it's beat analyst estimates and it's my personal opinion that we are in the midst of a era where web apps as well as mobile apps are being developed very rapidly, increasingly by individuals and smaller companies.
Net Income, Margins and Returns on Equity and Assets are all increasing. No wonder it's more than quadrupled since it's bottom of $9.00
Think of Streamlit, for you coders, and Snowflake's NYSE:SNOW increasing presence in owning these, and similar technologies. NASDAQ:APP is operating in a similar space and they really offer it all when it comes to building applications for your business.
The estimate revisions are surprising and look very strong going into next year.
See the Zack's Estimate Revisions below. (Current Quarter/Next Current Year/Next)
CQ NQ CY NY
Current 0.56 0.59 2.48 3.08
7 Days Ago 0.56 0.59 2.48 3.08
30 Days Ago 0.33 0.31 1.56 1.71
60 Days Ago 0.33 0.31 1.58 1.71
90 Days Ago 0.33 0.31 1.58 1.63
FSR is driving to its earnings LONGFSR is shown here on a 30 minute chart on the move up in the approach to earnings on February
29th. For comparison purposes only TSLA is shown sideways with the purple line. FSR has
started a VWAP band breakout into the area of the mean anchored VWAP where it could pick up
institutionally based trader interest. The growing volumes of trading are obvious and lend
further support to taking a position. I will long long here with both shares and options
as a pre-earnings play. The call options for mid-March are $ 6.00 per contract.
SNOW - buy the disappointment discount sale LONGSNOW beat the earnings estimates by 150% and slightly exceeded revenue estimates. Price
dropped in printing a bear flag in a 22% move yesterday at the close. Buying from the bottom
has begun and I have the idea that I should join. My pre-earnings play was closed going into the
earnings in the high liquidity that proceeds it. I got my ask price on that position. The chart
shows today's buyng volume and volatility. On the slow resumption of bullish price action, I have
taken a long trade from the near bottom after this morning's reversal and call options
ITM for the July monthy.
VERX ATH on Earnings LONGVERX on the 15 minute chart demonstrates printing a high tight bull flag pattern in its
bullrun after the earnings report was a two line beat much like the one a quarter ago.
VERX has impressed traders including this one who got in on the ride early. I will trade
this like others recently with a similar pattern. I will hold during the consolidation and
watch for a break above the flag regression channel. I will add upon the break and
set a trailing stop loss of 5% upon a rise of another 5% keeping the profits safe while
underway. See my ideas on SOUN DUOL, VTYX and a few others. Review the link to
the pattern description here. See also my swing long trade ideas for this sector XBI and LABU.
COINBASE(COIN)/BTC CorrelationIn the past months investors have been watching carefully the recovery of Coinbase as one of the biggest partners in the financial industry as crytocurrencies seem to recover from the last downturn. Many investors, traders and fans of crypto have been watching with a lot of hype the launch of the ETFs; which hasn't resulted in what most of them expected: a massive bull run as these instruments got green light from public authorities.
Cathie Wood's ARK investment instruments have been continuously dumping Coinbase shares in the last months, possibly to balance the holdings of the ETF ARKW(ark-funds.com), and the crypto-exchange shows 2 interesting things: certain degree of correlation with BTC and extraordinary earnings.
However the last earnings should have been fuelling this stock but they didn't due to weaknesses in their fundamentals and tough valuations with shallow price targets. If done carefully, COIN can be used to track small spikes in price and short trends in BTC and ETH. The future could be promising for Coinbase, but from a macroeconomic standpoint we are not out of the woods at all.
My observations tell me that the markets like to be bearish on COIN, but for short term wave riding, it could be worth it - just make sure you have appropriate risk management when doing so.
Plug Power was a top loser this quarter, falling -15.1%.The last earnings report on September 30 showed earnings per share of 49 cents, missing the estimate of $1.25. P/B Ratio (3.601) is normal, around the industry mean (3.775). P/E Ratio (50.264) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.885). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.334). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. TDW's P/S Ratio (4.063) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.409). With 536.06K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.72B.
TDW - rise+48% to 73 cents per share on March 01The last earnings report on September 30 showed earnings per share of 49 cents, missing the estimate of $1.25. P/B Ratio (3.601) is normal, around the industry mean (3.775). P/E Ratio (50.264) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.885). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.334). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. TDW's P/S Ratio (4.063) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.409). With 536.06K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.72B.
Remember Expensify!? I remember when this company had a Super Bowl commercial. I remember its IPO. I am also familiar with its platform, which I still use to this day and was surprised to see how far its fallen.
Can it ever make a come back?
A few things stand out to me:
The company has cleared its debt, a significant move that shifts its financial landscape from leveraged to liquidity-rich. With its balance sheet now boasting only cash, earning steady interest from 5% treasuries and CDs. Furthermore, the company still has an active $41 million stock buyback program that has not used. What are they waiting for?
Financially, Expensify projects a free cash flow (FCF) of $10-12 million this year. When you consider the current market price, the stock is trading at roughly 10 times its FCF, significantly lower than the industry standard for tech companies, which often hovers around 30 times FCF.
Decisions, decisions!
Always do your own research. Some of my trades are great, others are bad! This one has my attention.
SNX Earnings PlaySNX is in a medium term uptrend, squeezing (bullish) and has earnings in 3 weeks. Options volatility is in the sweet spot and should rise a good 10% into earnings. Average 21 day price gain over the last 4 quarters has been $4.55. I'm looking to buy call butterflies centered at the $105 strike. I think I'll also look at the unbalanced downside PUT fly for a credit (Buy 1 100, Sell 3 @ 95, Buy 2 @ 90). Basically, a long PUT butterfly + a short PUT credit spread to pay for it.
NVAX rises impending an earnings report LONGToday NVAX is selling for a tiny fraction of its all-time high as shown in a previous idea. Earnings
is coming this upcoming week. This week NVAX news release showed it had settled a years long
litigation over a failed COVID. In the face of earnings around the corner, was this news release
a coincidence or instead a case of excellent executive and legal timing? I will skip the
conspiracy discussion.
On the chart, NVAX's bullish momentum is clear on its face. A price rise of 22% from a stock
that has been stuck in deeply undervalued territory for a significant time period is remarkable.
I have bought far out of the money call options into 2025 and 2026 some only this past month.
Those from this month are now up over 250% with 11 and 23 months to go to expiration.
I see NVAX as a risky penny medical stock with a high reward potential relative to the
risk. It is a potential buy-out candidate and bankruptcy is less likely. The rich uncle is
MRNA but the richer uncle in PFE might gain some interest. The wisest of capitalists buy out
the competition when there is an opportunity and do not worry about the government crying
monopoly when life-saving and life-extending medical products are involved. Time will tell.
I expect insane profits.