🎄Merry Christmas🎄(Token name from you, Analysis with me)🎁🎁🎁🎄Merry Christmas!
💫Happy Holidays! I hope all of your Christmas wishes come true.
🎁I thought to myself how I can repay your kindness and support , so I decided to analyze some of the most requested Tokens for analysis for you this Christmas so that maybe I can give you a Gift in this way.
✏️If you consider analyzing a Token , please write me the Name of the Token in the Comment of this post and I will try to analyze 2 to 3 tokens for you daily , I will be happy to write the Reason for choosing the Token you want in the comment .
📈 Tokens that get the most "🔺 Agree 🔺" under this post will be Prioritized for analysis .
👍 Agree : The sign of "🔺" is under each comment.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: Please respect each other's opinions, and if you have a different idea, express it with respect so that we can help each other progress.
🔄If you like, share this post with your friends so that we can have their opinions. Please don't forget to ✅LIKE✅ this post.
🙏In the end, I hope that this Christmas will be the best moment for you, that you will always be happy, and that we will honor the place of those who are not with us in this world this Christmas.
Earnings
Gold Buy LevelsIn this Picture I will show Buy Levels of Gold High Risk Low Risk and full Margin believe me I will trade also in this setup but market will respects all these levels 80 to 110 pips in just hour or 2
and this is H1 hour timeframe kindly wait for level and don't trade on our own don't loss money and enjoy Christmas Holiday we will meet tomorrow inshallah
CTAS “Cintas” for earningsI believe CTAS “Cintas” will fall for earnings due to the declining workforce in America especially with theory of AI threatening a significant amount of jobs in our near future. I can only see them lowering their forward guidance in this type of economic environment. Also forming a head and shoulders pattern on all charts up to the 1D. Let’s see how this plays out!
FDX "FedEx" EarningsI see FDX forming a Bullish Pennant after surpassing a 52-week high and going into earnings. We have also seen record highs in online sales which signify an exceptional increase in Shipping/Transportation. I see this benefitting both FDX and UPS for their upcoming earnings reports and forward guidance. Let's see how this plays out!
FRONTLINE PLC Long - Dollar Cost AverageThis is an analysis of Frontline PLC - a Norwegian oil transportation company, the following is strictly my own personal opinion and does not constitute financial advice.
Key numbers:
Dividend yield expected 2024 - 17%
P/B - 2.03
P/E - 5.41
Market cap 47 178 MNOK (4.5 BUSD)
Analyst estimates:
Analyst estimate average for FRO is 267.5 NOK which is equivalent to a 32.3% increase from todays price.
Key information:
FRO has had a significant increase in price the past 6 months, and analysts estimate an increase in both dividends and growth for the company in the coming years.
Technical analysis:
FRO made a bullish divergence on the 195-200 support level recently, after a significant sell off the past few weeks the stock did not even drop as a result of dividends being paid out to stock holders, and I see this as a sign of the stock being about to reverse the downwards trend and begin to move back towards my price target of 260-280.
Strategy:
I am currently in possession of FRO shares with a GAV of 150 NOK/Share as well as increasing my position on friday for 200 NOK/Share. I am looking to hold these shares until price reaches 260-300 NOK/Share depending on coming events. If the price keeps moving down, I will look to hold my position until the stock reaches my price target regardless, as the dividend payout is significant. This might change if significantly bearish news arise, but I do not see that as a high probability at this moment.
If price reaches my profit target, I will again look at analyst estimates and given there is no change I will exit my position for a significant gain. If analyst estimates increase I will either close part of my position or hold it until bearish divergence on the 4H timeframes.
wait until is readyIn the week of December 12, 2023, the EUR/USD pair is subject to several influences:
- The EUR/USD is under pressure, potentially facing further losses, especially if the European Central Bank (ECB) takes a different stance than the US Federal Reserve. It is currently stabilizing around 1.0780 but has previously dipped to the support level at 1.0723, suggesting bearish control.
- The euro has weakened recently, influenced by the cautious repricing of the ECB's policy expectations, with the pair moving back to the middle of the year's trading range between 1.0500 and 1.1000.
- The pair has fallen below the 200-day moving average, a significant bearish technical signal; however, the weight of this technical setup might be moderated by upcoming economic data events.
- Expectations of ECB interest rate cuts and the Fed's policy decisions will play crucial roles in determining the currency pair's movement. Any deviation from expected policy could sway the pair significantly.
- Technically, the trend is bearish, with key support levels at 1.0700, 1.0655, and 1.0580. Resistance lies at 1.1000, which would need to be broken for a bullish trend reversal
The direction of the EUR/USD pair will likely be shaped by the outcomes of the central bank meetings and the announcement of US inflation numbers. The technical indicators are pointing to bearish sentiment, but the fundamental events mentioned could lead to volatility and potential trend changes.
Crypto101 - How to Make Money with DeFiHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher.
If you’ve been following me on TradingView for a while, you’ll now that I’m a believer – a believer in the promise of blockchain. One of the principals of this promise is to move away from centrally controlled banking systems. This would eventually include the act of saving and earning interest for the money that you leave in the capable hands of your banker (who also gets to decide whether or not you qualify for loans). Currently, you need to give up all of your personal information to open a bank account and furthermore you are seriously undercut in the returns / interest rate that you will be receiving (to name only two of many problems with the system). For example, where I reside, the most common interest on a savings account is 5% annually, whereas the interest on your credit card is 19.5% annually.
Before we continue, familiarize yourself with these Key Terms:
TVL – Total Value Locked in the platform
DEX - A decentralized exchange. Peer-to-peer marketplace where transactions occur directly between crypto traders like Coinbase and Binance
Blockchain – A unique way of coding that is open for anyone to use, many believe that web3 will be built on top this kind of coding
DeFi – Decentralized Finance such as cryptocurrencies and stablecoins
dApp – Software like apps that work on the basis of blockchain code and thus apps that accommodate cryptocurrency such as UniSwap and NFT Market places
LP tokens - New liquidity pool tokens. LP tokens represent a crypto liquidity provider's share of a pool, and the crypto liquidity provider remains entirely in control of the token. For example, if you contribute $10 USD worth of assets to a Balancer pool that has a total worth of $100, you would receive 10% of that pool's LP tokens.
APY - Annual Percentage Yield, think of it as yearly interest in percentage
Smart Contracts — Electronic, digital contracts coded to integrate with dApps. Automated financial agreements between two or more parties once the pre-determined terms of the contract is reached
With the rise of Blockchain, Crypto and then Decentralized apps, yield farming was born to address some of the banking system's limits. Or at least, that would be in the perfect world. Yield farming is the process of using DeFi to maximize returns. Users lend or borrow crypto on a DeFi platform and earn cryptocurrency in return for their services. This works for both parties, because yield farmers provide liquidity to various token pairs and you earn rewards in cryptocurrencies. However, yield farming can be a risky practice due to price volatility, rug pulls, smart contract hacks etc.
Yield farming allows investors to earn interest which is called ‘yield’ by putting coins or tokens in a dApp, which is an application (coded software) that integrates with blockchain code. Examples of dApps include crypto wallets, exchanges and many more. Yield farmers generally use decentralized exchanges (DEXs) to lend, borrow or stake coins to earn interest and speculate on price swings. Yield farming across DeFi is facilitated by smart contracts.
Let’s take a closer look at the different types of yield farming:
Liquidity provider: You deposit two coins to a DEX to provide trading liquidity. Exchanges charge a small fee to swap the two tokens which is paid to liquidity providers. This fee can sometimes be paid in new liquidity pool (LP) tokens.
Lending: Coin or token holders can lend crypto to borrowers through a smart contract and earn yield from interest paid on the loan.
Borrowing: Farmers can use one token as collateral and receive a loan of another. Users can then farm yield with the borrowed coins. This way, the farmer keeps their initial holding, which may increase in value over time, while also earning yield on their borrowed coins.
Staking: There are two forms of staking in the world of DeFi. The main form is on proof-of-stake blockchains, where a user is paid interest to pledge their tokens to the network to provide security. The second is to stake LP tokens earned from supplying a DEX with liquidity. This allows users to earn yield twice, as they are paid for supplying liquidity in LP tokens which they can then stake to earn more yield.
Yield farmers who want to increase their yield output can also use more complex tactics. For example, yield farmers can constantly shift their cryptos between multiple loan platforms to optimize their gains. Pro Tip: Use a High-Speed, Anonymous VPN. This lets you securely access the internet in an untraceable way. If you’re a cryptocurrency trader, you may want to remain anonymous or mask your IP address to another location.
With all of the above mentioned, the first step would be to determine your needs or interests and thereafter, opening an account or accounts. A few popular places to start exploring include:
1. Quint – Voted one of the best yield farming crypto platforms for 2022
2. Uniswap - Second-largest decentralized exchange (DEX) behind Curve Finance
3. YouHodler – Worldwide Exchange with yield farming
4. eToro – Regulated platform offering crypto interest tools
5. Crypto.com – Great platform for earning a high APY on Stablecoins
6. BlockFi – Popular Platform for Bitcoin yields. BlockFi was one of the first platforms to launch its own crypto credit card. The BlockFi Rewards Visa Signature Credit Card earns up to 2% back in the cryptocurrency of your choice and doesn't charge an annual fee
7. Coinbase – Top-Rated yield-generating platform for beginners
8. DeFi Swap – Overall best DeFi yield farming platform 2022 , earning up to 75% APY on DeFi coins
9. AQRU – Voted one of the best crypto Yield farming platforms for 2022
10. Aave - Reigning DeFi king in terms of total value locked
Note that the above is in no specific order. On the chart, you will see some fast facts on some of the options that these platforms offer. This is also not a shill, and I am not currently participating in any of the above mentioned. This is just intended as an easy introduction to another branch of what the world of Blockchain and DeFi has to offer.
I hope you enjoyed this post today! Please give us a thumbs up to support all the efforts that went into this post.
_________________
Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎
Hit like & Follow 👀
We thank you for your support !
CryptoCheck
$IMGN - Short it (Early analysis, the stock still can rally up)IMGN - Received ELAHERE approval with conditions. The condition is that they have to prove their claims with a single arm pivot.
ELAHERE - Approved on Nov 2022, market reacted negative. (Opened 6.27, closed 5.00)
Since approval the stock slid down to $4.00
Drug is expected to increase the longevity from 12 months to 16 months, for patient with ovarian cancer (specifically on the Platinum resistance cancer).
The drug sale price is $6,500, cost of production is $450. Leaves them a healthy margin of 93%.
The treatment according to article is 4 doses. ($26,000 per patient)
So Why short it? READ>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Although Ovarian cancer affect nearly 19,700 patient yearly. Small market for the treatment in general. This product is targeted at platinum-resistant disease. Thus making it a niche.
Assumption - Lets say this treatement is suggested for 50% of patient nearly $256MUSD yearly Revenue. But that is when it is fully approved by FDA, Unconditional approval .
Income Statement
29MUSD in a quarter = 1115 units sale of Elahere approximately. (Understand that the income is not just from the sale, it includes other licenses and deals).
Company burns about 93MUSD in a quarter (Operation Expense 2023 March) - 372MUSD per year. This proves the company needs more debt and Share issue or Debt Issues even when the drug is fully approved by FDA (We are not here yet). In addition, the important drug MIRASOL is still under Phase 3 (Need money for this, a lot of it).
Dilution of Shares
Previously company dilutes shares at 24% rates yoy (year over year).
With the recent pump, the company added 26MUSD shares @$12.50. Very Common for bio tech to issue below trading value to attract investors.
Debt
As of March, company secured $175MUSD in debt. $75M issued right away, $50M issued later, can be $100M if the expected sale of Elahere is met (Pretty Much). I dont see a problem here.
Maturity - April 2028. With only interest due for 36 months (3 years) @10.25% = Expense of 18MUSD Per year for 3 years.
In the next 12 months the company needs 101MUSD of debt repayment. Cannot borrow or role over more debts, due to the interest rates. This again shows the dilution was absolutely needed.
Coming to Recent price action
May 1st - Earning reported - initial sale of Elahere and revenue.
May 3rd - Company is Marketing Elahere with the initial approval and adding data. The news reported on May 9th is another mirror copy of the same.
Analyst rating
May 3rd - Piper Sandler increased the target to $16. - Makes the first entry price to be $16 for a short. (Note that the company will boost the share price by pumping, with the newly acquired wealth).
UNDERGROUND OPERATION - I.E., Companies spending on marketing, Paying media networks, etc has significatly increased. Evident from the coverage of stocks news. If the company want to sell Elahere, they would be advertising the product. Wont they?
Over all, this is nothing but another dilution from IMGN.
IMGN will run this campagin through promoters to clear out the 26MUSD shares to flood the market.
Even with Elahere going strong, they would not have enough money to cover the operation.
Elahere is still needs marketing, and awareness campagin has to start - 25MUSD expense in general.
RISK FACTOR from Company
We have outstanding indebtedness in the form of a term loan and may incur additional indebtedness in the future, which could adversely affect our financial position and prevent us from implementing our business strategy.
Significant expected operating expenses to commercialize ELAHERE
Significant expected operating expenses to conduct research and development activities and to potentially commercialize our portfolio
Noncancelable in-process and future manufacturing obligations, including commercial supply of ELAHERE
Risk for Traders
1. Company has a ton of money for this quarter, so they could keep boosting the stock price by additional marketing events or campagin.
2. Realizing a downward target would take 3- 6 months. As the stocks wont erode at rapid pace.
Disclosures
- Investing involve risk, so invest only what you are willing to lose.-
- This & future update is just an analysis, not an advice.-
- I do not hold a short position at the time of publishing, will evaluate and take short position accordingly-
CRWD LONG to $230CRWD | CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
CrowdStrike've just finished it's correction and is now above the MA 200.
Short term target: $230
Long term target: $492
Revenue grows steadily, yearly net income soon will become positive, cash grows, geographically diversified by operating revenue.
FL "Foot Locker" coming in HOT ahead of earningsFootlocker has been on a 36% run in the last 3 months following it's second miss on earnings for the year on August 23rd. During this time the stock as formed a rising wedge which could breakout to the downside on any negative news. They've been dealing with Macroeconomic headwinds, as well as a drastic decrease in sales due to customers spending less and less on discretionary items. Yesterday Citi Group downgraded them to $18, yet they pushed higher today. All in all I believe "FL" has exhausted any bullish momentum that they could have possibly gained heading into earnings. That being said I believe we could see a fall to around $17 give or take.
Is the PayPal bottom finally in? My bet is yes.After an excruciating 82%+ drawdown from all-time highs made 2 years ago, PayPal is finally showing some signs of bottoming action following the company's recent earnings report.
The new CEO Alex Chriss has got all of the right talking points and focused on the right areas of the business. The true growth areas of the company are still in question, but from a value stand-point the stock trades at some of the cheapest levels in the company's history.
From a technical perspective, the stock is holding the recent earnings gap up and is starting to form higher highs and higher lows on the daily. A breakout up and over this $59 area should bring a fresh wave of momentum buyers as the stock attempts to reverse its longer-term downtrend.
I recently acquired a long position for my longer-term investments portfolio and am looking for higher prices over the next several quarters and full year. (disclosure: long)
THE SPAR GROUP (SPP)SPP's price is currently moving within a trend channel, and it's testing the upper trend line as we wait for this week's earnings announcement. Looking at how the stock behaved before, we can see that attempts to break key support levels were met with resistance, forming lower highs.
Target 1 around the 96.68 area.
Caution: If the stock breaks above the trend channel with support, it could indicate a shift to a more bullish trend.
NOTE: On November 23rd, Spar ($JSESPP) shared a trading update that caused a 7.1% drop in its stock price at the opening. They expect the operating profit for this year to be between R1.6 billion and R2 billion, down from R3.4 billion in FY2022. The expected earnings per share (EPS) could be 76% - 86% lower, and the headline earnings per share (HEPS) might be 43% - 53% lower compared to last year.
Results will be published on SENS by 08:00 on Thursday, November 30, 2023.
Dollar General $DG - Cash Secured Put Trade IdeaOn Wed Nov 22 2023 I entered a cash secured put trade on NYSE:DG
I did this for several reasons:
Price closed above the 50MA on daily candles.
Price broke out of the horizontal support.
Price closed above a medium/long term diaginal support.
Moving averages are crossing over and sloping upwards.
Price is oversold as the stock has fallen by approximately -62% from its October 2022 high.
The stock volatility was at 94% giving th edge to option sellers, yet we are still 15 days away from NYSE:DG earnings.
Earnings are another example why I think the price of my put will expire OTM and I will get to keep this inflated premium. You see the bar for NYSE:DG earnings as set by the analysts is pretty low, with the estimates of EPS: $1.197 and Revenue: $9.648B, both I believe could be low targets for NYSE:DG based on their historic and last quarter results.
There is also an unfilled bullish gap from a technical perspective above the current price at around the $138.44-$157.60 level.
I sold a DEC 15 $115 PUT for a premium of $2.95 per contract. My thoughts are that the contracts will expire worthless and that I will be able to keep the premium. If the volatility drops from the current levels I will realize my profits faster. Depending on how much profit gets captured from the option I might exit early before earnings and lock in profits without increasing my risk due to the upcoming earnings, as we know during earnings its a coin toss and anything can happen.
This is my first post idea on TradingView, hope this was helpful for the readers. If so, follow me for more ideas on stock and option trading.
Enjoy the weekend and good luck next week!
1 Day BULL Run Ready. Ready to face the GRIZZLY BEARS Plenty of history & present volumes. View from start to finish. My white trend is to close to the candle beneath meaning it’s ready, any time. Beware of missing out. This 1 day bull will have uptrends and downtrends just like before from 9/30 to 11/09.
Went from $26,431 to $28,643 then down to $26,534 then to $37,991; had also some ups and downs while on its way to the top to the end.
Volatility shows beneath in green.
THE BULL IS READY
⛏️ Compañía de Minas Buenaventura (BVN): Paving the Way for GrowCompañía de Minas Buenaventura (BVN:NYSE), a prominent mining company operating in Peru, has achieved a significant milestone with the approval of the Yumpag project's Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) on September 7, 2023. This approval paved the way for Buenaventura to proceed with the exploitation of the deposit, marking a crucial step towards development and potential future revenue streams.
Key Financial Highlights (as of September 30, 2023):
Debt Management Success: BVN showcased robust debt management, achieving a net debt reduction to $493.7 million. The average debt maturity of 2.7 years indicates a well-managed financial strategy.
Strong Cash Position: The company's cash position remained robust, bolstered by a $20 million increase in free cash flow in Q3 2023. This positive financial performance was attributed to the successful operations of El Brocal and dividends from Cerro Verde.
Investment Outlook:
With these positive indicators, the bullish sentiment on BVN is maintained. An entry target is set above $7.50-$7.70, reflecting confidence in Buenaventura's growth prospects. The upside target is ambitiously placed at $11.50-$12.00, anticipating further positive developments and success in the exploitation of the Yumpag project.
DOGE to the moon. soon?This time we can predict future price's of #DOGE using past lower high and ATH. I bet my analysis will lead to profits this coming next bull run 2024.
BUY : Current price's
TP : $10 to $16
Duration : From November to May 2024 or depends.
TP base only on my analysis.
Don't forget your Risk management ratio.
#BTC #Bullrun #Doge #Bitcoin
Investment_ Manappuram FinanceNamaste!
Manappuram Finance is in the same type of business as Muthoot Finance. Both the stocks have corrected >40% from all time highs. I think it is a good time to invest in Manappuram Finance considering following questions:-
Q: What is the good price to accumulate this stock?
A: Don’t invest more than 05-10% of your portfolio in this stock. Rs 95-97 is a good price to accumulate this stock.
Q. What are the strengths in this stock?
A:
1. It has a weekly trendline support at near Rs 95-96 levels.
2. It will be available at 6 P/E which looks attractive as it is below 10 and 6 P/E is a kind of very good support because every time it does bounce-up from 6 P/E (Jan 2009, Sep 2015, Apr 2020, Etc).
3. It’s in the business of gold loan which is kind of stable because it offers a secured loan by taking the gold as collateral. Gold is liquid and could be sold if the borrower doesn’t pay-back. It’s safer and more liquid than properties (mortgage) loans provided by other banks/NBFCs. Gold prices sometimes move in cycles, which affects the company's short term risk though.
4. It has a current dividend yield of 2.59%.
5. Most of the time fundamentals “confuse me” so I don’t dig deep into it. I do not value any company after reading the annual report, balance sheet, blah-blah-blah. I pay attention to EPS, P/E, Correction in stock prices (trendline support), rarely Debt to equity that’s it. I don’t advise this to anyone because it may prove risky for a naïve or sometimes even a seasoned investor. I know and understand some of the key figures in the books of accounts but don’t dig deep into it. We can not predict the future of the company and/or know what’s happening inside the company. What we can do is DIVERSIFY, and have a contrarian approach with caution and margin of safety.
Q. What changed my mind to invest now rather than wait for a big correction to buy at a cheaper rate, considering my opinion of an overvalued market, strength of the economy and rising interest rates?
A: I posted many articles based on my understanding saying “is the market getting ready for a free-fall; …correction of more than 30% from all time highs, etc".
I posted those to caution people and gave them opinions to get ready for a panic or downfall in the stock markets.
It's always better to get ready for various scenarios early and make plans for them, which will guide us throughout the "fear and greed cycle of the markets".
Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment and/or trading in the market does not guarantee a fixed return and may result in a financial loss. Please do your own analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing and/or trading.
IFGL Refractories long near 435 set alertits a bit far off so if i forget im setting an alert at 435 to enter for long term
company delivered 50%+ increase in sales last 5 years consistently and 100pc profits cagr
going ahead the guidance is conservative at 25/27 % cagr for sales
we all love a company that overshoots its targets considerably ahead of time
if the execution is on track will be a very very good long term story