Altman + Microsoft: Will AI Wizardry Catapult Stocks ?Microsoft's trajectory into the future takes a compelling turn with the addition of Sam Altman, an AI luminary, to its internal team. This analysis explores the fusion of technology and finance, specifically delving into Altman's impact on AI development within Microsoft. We examine the integration of advanced AI features into Microsoft 365 and assess Microsoft's competitive position in the dynamic AI market.
On the financial front, Microsoft's robust fundamental rating sets the stage for closer scrutiny, emphasizing its stability and profitability. Altman's potential influence on Microsoft's stock value, given his renowned AI contributions, is a key focus, highlighting the pivotal role of innovation in sustaining and enhancing stock performance.
This concise analysis aims to unravel the symbiotic relationship between technological prowess and financial resilience, providing insights into Microsoft's post-Altman journey. As we navigate challenges and opportunities, the conclusion offers a holistic perspective on Microsoft's potential to lead in AI technology and maintain a competitive edge globally.
Technology Analysis:
Impact of Sam Altman Joining the Microsoft AI Team:
With Sam Altman's experience in AI development through OpenAI, his presence in Microsoft's internal team can positively influence the advancement of more sophisticated AI technology. The potential integration of Altman's ideas and strategies can strengthen innovation within Microsoft applications.
AI Technology in Microsoft 365 Applications:
Recent changes in Microsoft 365, such as the addition of Copilot features, demonstrate Microsoft's commitment to integrating artificial intelligence into its products. This can enhance user appeal and expand the user base of Microsoft applications.
Competitors and Position in the AI Market:
In the intense competition in the artificial intelligence sector with companies like Amazon, Google, and Facebook, Microsoft's strategic move with Sam Altman joining can help maintain and enhance its position in the AI market.
Financial Analysis:
Fundamental Rating of MSFT:
With a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10, Microsoft is considered highly profitable with no liquidity or solvency issues. A good dividend rating and consistent profits over the last 5 years indicate financial stability.
Impact of Sam Altman's Presence on MSFT Stock:
In addition to his contributions to technology development, Sam Altman's presence can also act as a positive catalyst for Microsoft's stock. Altman's reputation in the AI field and his connection with Microsoft can build investor confidence.
Innovation as the Key to Stock Value Increase:
In the face of tough competition, continuous innovation in AI technology is crucial to maintaining and increasing stock value. Altman's joining provides an additional potential for innovation that can influence the performance of MSFT stock.
Combined Analysis:
Synergy of Technology and Finance:
The combination of superior technology and stable financial conditions strengthens Microsoft's position in facing the future. Technological innovation is key to reinforcing the company's value, and, therefore, the potential for stock increase.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Despite Microsoft's solid fundamentals, challenges in AI competition persist. Hence, the company needs to stay focused on innovation and adapt to market developments.
With Sam Altman's support, Microsoft has the opportunity to continue leading in AI technology development. This enhancement can play a crucial role in the growth of MSFT stock value; however, long-term success also depends on the company's ability to stay competitive in the dynamic and competitive market.
Earnings
XAUUSD, NDX, XU100: Real Prices (Inflation Adjusted)A historical overview of inflation adjusted prices: XAUUSD, NDX, XU100USD
We are all blinded by "the price", and usually oblivious to the real price and real earnings.
As inflation silently erodes the market, it may be a cold shower to take a look in the long run.
The elephant in the room: the gap between the nominal and CPI adjusted price.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: neutral swing of volatility.
Next Wave: sell wave to the range.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Market Capitalization: 117.558B
Release Date: 11/21 BMO
Quarter: FQ3'23
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #4
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is neutral.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #2
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is neutral.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.
⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.
🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise.
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
☝️ P R O V I S I O N
The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Next Wave: sell wave to the range.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Market Capitalization: 110.635B
Release Date: 11/22 BMO
Quarter: FQ4'23
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #2
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #6
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.
⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.
🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise.
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
☝️ P R O V I S I O N
The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Next Wave: buy wave to the range.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Market Capitalization: 152.987B
Release Date: 11/23 BMO
Quarter: FQ3'23
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #7
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #7
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.
⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.
🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise.
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
☝️ P R O V I S I O N
The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Next Wave: sell wave to the mean.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Market Capitalization: 1.218T
Release Date: 11/21 AMC
Quarter: FQ3'24
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #1
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #5
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.
⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.
🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise.
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
☝️ P R O V I S I O N
The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
Short Moon Preparing 285 pips long. 286 pips short. Long is in perfect status. Short position is incase for a downtrend. Short position is aligned with MTF. No need for an order block downtrend.
Swing High in place. Lighting icon is where the Bull is as it’s moving up with bullish arrows in process.
Top white rectangle includes 2 smart money order blocks, trend making its way up.
Pin pointed to the value line.
Bull has surpassed bottom order block.
Long position risk reward ratio pin points to entry which was long ago.
Pay attention to short position.
As of right now for new traders. No confirmation yet for entry. I’m using short position to confirm entry.
While the Bull is still in its BULL-PEN which will brake loose soon. I’ll update when entry is ready. Worst scenario, if entry is made now, you’re still safe.
When Bull brakes out, I’ll update. This is usually when traders join the trade. I’m eye balling smart money as well.
NVDA: What to expect for earnings next week?This huge semiconductor has plenty of clout in terms of popularity with retail investors. HFTs are likely to gap on its earnings news which arrives on 11/21, next week.
Clearly there are many who are confident NASDAQ:NVDA will meet or beat analyst estimates despite setbacks and restrictions.
The run hit resistance and became overextended, so some profit taking is occurring for now. The stock is likely to shift to a tighter consolidation near the high of this platforming range.
📢 M a r k e t A l e r t💡 Get your technical analysis ready! because earnings are out the door. With only a hundred companies reporting this week and a fraction of that in each of the following weeks I think it's safe to say " there will not be any more fundamentals to push things along this quarter ."
💡Enter technical analysis. Woohoo🗽
💡Eyeing the VIX and VVIX for option plays may be a wise venture to pursue!🔢
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: Earnings Calendar.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
☝️ P R O V I S I O N
The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
Shifting Sentiment in DIS Ahead of Earnings?NYSE:DIS stock has struggled this year. However, Accumulation/Distribution on this daily chart shows accumulation over the past several weeks. This is a "shift of sentiment" pattern indicating a better earnings report is likely this time.
The sideways trend is compressing and has consistent lows and highs, a common pattern for accumulation. When Accumulation appears well ahead of an earnings report, it usually (but not always) indicates improvement in fundamentals and establishes a base price for the improvement.
DIS is a target for HFTs since it's a household name stock that gets a lot of attention in the news.
Will Companies Like Square (Block) Ever Make a Comeback?Ah yes... I remember the good ol' days of Square (now known as Block). It was one my best investments in my short career as a trader/investor. Way back when, the story was quite obvious: they had created the best solution for small businesses to sell goods & services either in a store or online.
It was fast and effortless.
The rise of Block, and subsequent drop, has been something to marvel at. I had sold my position many moons ago, but it's remained on my watchlist because I like the company and what it stands for.
Some people have given it a very hard time for its rebranding to Block, its new logo, and mission. However, considering that they are payment experts, I think it's notable and worth watching.
Nevertheless, can the stock really make a comeback? The chart is horrendous.
One factor contributing to this downward trend is the significant acquisition of Afterpay, which required a substantial amount of cash and stock, impacting Block's balance sheet. I still have NO idea why they paid this much to acquire an average company.
I guess the hype and FOMO of BNPL really got to them.
In August 2021, Block announced its intent to acquire Afterpay, a prominent "buy now, pay later" fintech company. I think the story made sense - it gave them the capability to add their own credit network. However, the sheer size of the transaction was just bonkers.
Block currently has a market cap of $28 billion. BUT, they acquired AfterPay for $29 billion! Ouch... the company is now worth less than their recent buyout.
It's important to note that such significant acquisitions often take time to yield the intended benefits. The share price decline may be partially attributed to investor impatience and a lack of immediate clarity on how Block plans to integrate Afterpay into its broader ecosystem.
The question is simple: will AfterPay ever yield the payout that Block intended it to have? If the answer is anything but "yes - it's happening" there's no reason to trade or invest in this any further. HOWEVER, if there are glimpses that show, just maybe, Block made a smart acquisition, adding a new layer to their payment network that is only just starting, then the return to highs is not far-fetched at all.
The trade is simple: watch to see how Block continues to integrate AfterPay, and, it is starts to work, it's worth evaluating further over 1-3 year comeback in share price.
APR vs. APY | Explained. Simply.In the realm of decentralized finance (DeFi) and crypto investments, two terms frequently encountered are APY (Annual Percentage Yield) and APR (Annual Percentage Rate). While they sound similar, their distinctions are vital, often determining the returns on your digital assets.
APR vs. APY: Unraveling the Complexity
Annual Percentage Rate (APR) represents the straightforward interest rate that a lender earns or a borrower pays over one year. For instance, if you invest $10,000 with a 20% APR, your total after a year becomes $12,000. This simplistic calculation doesn’t consider compounding.
In contrast, Annual Percentage Yield (APY) involves the magic of compound interest. Compound interest means earning interest on the interest accrued. If the interest compounds monthly on your $10,000 investment at a 20% APR, after a year, you’d have approximately $12,194 . Daily compounding would yield even more at $12,213. Compounding frequency significantly impacts your earnings, with daily compounding being the most lucrative.
Crucial Comparisons and Calculations
When comparing financial products, whether in traditional finance or DeFi, understanding compounding frequency is paramount. Converting APR to APY is the key. A 20% APR with monthly compounding equals 21.94% in APY. Daily compounding raises it to 22.13% APY. APY factors in the compound interest, offering a more accurate depiction of your annualized returns.
However, in the crypto space, things get even more intricate. APY might reflect rewards in cryptocurrency, not actual or predicted fiat returns. This distinction is vital due to crypto's volatility. Even if you earn APY in crypto assets, your investment’s fiat value might fluctuate, emphasizing the necessity of understanding the risks involved fully.
Closing Thoughts: Navigating the Crypto Investment Landscape
APR and APY serve as vital tools in understanding the potential returns on your investments. Remember, APY, incorporating compound interest, is the metric that truly reflects your earnings, especially in the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies. When comparing crypto products, ensure you're evaluating them on the same compounding basis and always consider the implications of crypto market volatility on your investments.
Knowledge empowers wise decisions. By grasping the nuances of APY and APR, you're better equipped to navigate the crypto investment landscape, making informed choices that align with your financial goals.
Saudi Aramco Stock on Tadawul ExchangeSaudi Aramco made more than 94,5 billions in profits this year. This is a good order to win the situation. After last year losses this ship is going to deliver. As you can see on the presented chart, we have prepared more complex strategy for this Asset. Alpha+Beta is when interests of passive and active managers follow the same road. Sigma stayed the same. Theta, also the same. Omega+Kappa is when interests of minority investors are divided by conflict of interests for some reason. Why we think this is truth, and not a hogwash? Well, truth in numbers, try to not associate yourself with this, calculate it yourself. Good luck with Saudi Aramco Stock, investors.
XTZ 4 the Fall Smart money Risk contraction meaning no guarantee to 85 cents; it usually surpasses it. Swing H/L with bullish contraction which now shows a completed uptrend because it’s reached first supply zone until further notice to reach top supply zone. 64 pips. Smart money magnet line means trend intends to stay sometimes within that area based on smart money momentum.
TARGET MET
INDUSIND BANK IS ABOUT TO HAVE A NICE UPWARDS RIDE...TECHNICAL INDICATORS :
ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUT -
The stock has broken out of the this pattern on weekly chart
REVERSAL FROM 50D, 100D, 200D SMA -
The stock has also reversed from all the 3 sma simultaneously indicating very strong upside pressure building up
REVERSAL FROM STRONG SUPPORT-RESISTANCE ZONE -
On top of that the stock has also reversed from a zone which had earlier acted as support and resistance level multiple times
FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS :
BETTER PROFIT MARGIN POSTED COMPARED TO ITS PEERS ON THE LAST QUARTER -
The stock has also posted almost double profit margin percentage compared to ICICI, Kotak Mahindra and so on. Only SBI has posted same profit margin as indusind and sbi is also trading above all the 3 sma on Daily, Weekly & Monthly timeframes indicating the strength of this stock's upside momentum
JSW STEEL BREAKS OUT OF ASCENDING TRIANGLE WITH HUGE PROFITS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS :
ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUT -
Price has broken out of the pattern 2-3 weeks back on weekly chart
50D & 100D SMA REVERSAL -
Price has also taken support on 50D & 100D SMA simultaneously a few months back and have reversed from those levels since then
VOLUME SPIKE -
Price has shown volume spike on the previous week (10th july)
BREAKOUT FROM STRONG SUPPORT-RESISTANCE ZONE -
Price has broken out of the strong level which had earlier acted as a strong support zone
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS :
OUTSTANDING EPS COMPARED TO PEERS -
Its mar'23 eps was ~12 compared to meagre 1.40 eps of its competitor
OUTSTANDING EBIT MARGIN COMPARED TO PEERS -
Its mar"23 ebit margin was ~12 compared to meagre ~7 of its competitor
OUTSTANDING NET PROFIT MARGIN COMPARED TO PEERS -
Its mar"23 net profit margin was ~7 compared to meagre ~2 of its competitor
TRIPLE PROFITS ON CURRENT QUARTER -
On top of everything they have also posted almost triple profits in jun quarter'23 giving more convictions to the prediction
TAKE PROFIT & STOP LOSS -
TP - 1028
SL - 740