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Dollar General $DG - Cash Secured Put Trade IdeaOn Wed Nov 22 2023 I entered a cash secured put trade on NYSE:DG I did this for several reasons: Price closed above the 50MA on daily candles. Price broke out of the horizontal support. Price closed above a medium/long term diaginal support. Moving averages are crossing over and sloping upwards. Price is oversold as the stock has fallen by approximately -62% from its October 2022 high. The stock volatility was at 94% giving th edge to option sellers, yet we are still 15 days away from NYSE:DG earnings. Earnings are another example why I think the price of my put will expire OTM and I will get to keep this inflated premium. You see the bar for NYSE:DG earnings as set by the analysts is pretty low, with the estimates of EPS: $1.197 and Revenue: $9.648B, both I believe could be low targets for NYSE:DG based on their historic and last quarter results. There is also an unfilled bullish gap from a technical perspective above the current price at around the $138.44-$157.60 level. I sold a DEC 15 $115 PUT for a premium of $2.95 per contract. My thoughts are that the contracts will expire worthless and that I will be able to keep the premium. If the volatility drops from the current levels I will realize my profits faster. Depending on how much profit gets captured from the option I might exit early before earnings and lock in profits without increasing my risk due to the upcoming earnings, as we know during earnings its a coin toss and anything can happen. This is my first post idea on TradingView, hope this was helpful for the readers. If so, follow me for more ideas on stock and option trading. Enjoy the weekend and good luck next week!
NYSE:DGLong
by Konstandinovic
2
1 Day BULL Run Ready. Ready to face the GRIZZLY BEARS Plenty of history & present volumes. View from start to finish. My white trend is to close to the candle beneath meaning it’s ready, any time. Beware of missing out. This 1 day bull will have uptrends and downtrends just like before from 9/30 to 11/09. Went from $26,431 to $28,643 then down to $26,534 then to $37,991; had also some ups and downs while on its way to the top to the end. Volatility shows beneath in green. THE BULL IS READY
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
⛏️ Compañía de Minas Buenaventura (BVN): Paving the Way for GrowCompañía de Minas Buenaventura (BVN:NYSE), a prominent mining company operating in Peru, has achieved a significant milestone with the approval of the Yumpag project's Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) on September 7, 2023. This approval paved the way for Buenaventura to proceed with the exploitation of the deposit, marking a crucial step towards development and potential future revenue streams. Key Financial Highlights (as of September 30, 2023): Debt Management Success: BVN showcased robust debt management, achieving a net debt reduction to $493.7 million. The average debt maturity of 2.7 years indicates a well-managed financial strategy. Strong Cash Position: The company's cash position remained robust, bolstered by a $20 million increase in free cash flow in Q3 2023. This positive financial performance was attributed to the successful operations of El Brocal and dividends from Cerro Verde. Investment Outlook: With these positive indicators, the bullish sentiment on BVN is maintained. An entry target is set above $7.50-$7.70, reflecting confidence in Buenaventura's growth prospects. The upside target is ambitiously placed at $11.50-$12.00, anticipating further positive developments and success in the exploitation of the Yumpag project.
NYSE:BVNLong
by Richtv_official
Investment_ Manappuram FinanceNamaste! Manappuram Finance is in the same type of business as Muthoot Finance. Both the stocks have corrected >40% from all time highs. I think it is a good time to invest in Manappuram Finance considering following questions:- Q: What is the good price to accumulate this stock? A: Don’t invest more than 05-10% of your portfolio in this stock. Rs 95-97 is a good price to accumulate this stock. Q. What are the strengths in this stock? A: 1. It has a weekly trendline support at near Rs 95-96 levels. 2. It will be available at 6 P/E which looks attractive as it is below 10 and 6 P/E is a kind of very good support because every time it does bounce-up from 6 P/E (Jan 2009, Sep 2015, Apr 2020, Etc). 3. It’s in the business of gold loan which is kind of stable because it offers a secured loan by taking the gold as collateral. Gold is liquid and could be sold if the borrower doesn’t pay-back. It’s safer and more liquid than properties (mortgage) loans provided by other banks/NBFCs. Gold prices sometimes move in cycles, which affects the company's short term risk though. 4. It has a current dividend yield of 2.59%. 5. Most of the time fundamentals “confuse me” so I don’t dig deep into it. I do not value any company after reading the annual report, balance sheet, blah-blah-blah. I pay attention to EPS, P/E, Correction in stock prices (trendline support), rarely Debt to equity that’s it. I don’t advise this to anyone because it may prove risky for a naïve or sometimes even a seasoned investor. I know and understand some of the key figures in the books of accounts but don’t dig deep into it. We can not predict the future of the company and/or know what’s happening inside the company. What we can do is DIVERSIFY, and have a contrarian approach with caution and margin of safety. Q. What changed my mind to invest now rather than wait for a big correction to buy at a cheaper rate, considering my opinion of an overvalued market, strength of the economy and rising interest rates? A: I posted many articles based on my understanding saying “is the market getting ready for a free-fall; …correction of more than 30% from all time highs, etc". I posted those to caution people and gave them opinions to get ready for a panic or downfall in the stock markets. It's always better to get ready for various scenarios early and make plans for them, which will guide us throughout the "fear and greed cycle of the markets". Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment and/or trading in the market does not guarantee a fixed return and may result in a financial loss. Please do your own analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing and/or trading.
NSE:MANAPPURAMLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
Altman + Microsoft: Will AI Wizardry Catapult Stocks ?Microsoft's trajectory into the future takes a compelling turn with the addition of Sam Altman, an AI luminary, to its internal team. This analysis explores the fusion of technology and finance, specifically delving into Altman's impact on AI development within Microsoft. We examine the integration of advanced AI features into Microsoft 365 and assess Microsoft's competitive position in the dynamic AI market. On the financial front, Microsoft's robust fundamental rating sets the stage for closer scrutiny, emphasizing its stability and profitability. Altman's potential influence on Microsoft's stock value, given his renowned AI contributions, is a key focus, highlighting the pivotal role of innovation in sustaining and enhancing stock performance. This concise analysis aims to unravel the symbiotic relationship between technological prowess and financial resilience, providing insights into Microsoft's post-Altman journey. As we navigate challenges and opportunities, the conclusion offers a holistic perspective on Microsoft's potential to lead in AI technology and maintain a competitive edge globally. Technology Analysis: Impact of Sam Altman Joining the Microsoft AI Team: With Sam Altman's experience in AI development through OpenAI, his presence in Microsoft's internal team can positively influence the advancement of more sophisticated AI technology. The potential integration of Altman's ideas and strategies can strengthen innovation within Microsoft applications. AI Technology in Microsoft 365 Applications: Recent changes in Microsoft 365, such as the addition of Copilot features, demonstrate Microsoft's commitment to integrating artificial intelligence into its products. This can enhance user appeal and expand the user base of Microsoft applications. Competitors and Position in the AI Market: In the intense competition in the artificial intelligence sector with companies like Amazon, Google, and Facebook, Microsoft's strategic move with Sam Altman joining can help maintain and enhance its position in the AI market. Financial Analysis: Fundamental Rating of MSFT: With a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10, Microsoft is considered highly profitable with no liquidity or solvency issues. A good dividend rating and consistent profits over the last 5 years indicate financial stability. Impact of Sam Altman's Presence on MSFT Stock: In addition to his contributions to technology development, Sam Altman's presence can also act as a positive catalyst for Microsoft's stock. Altman's reputation in the AI field and his connection with Microsoft can build investor confidence. Innovation as the Key to Stock Value Increase: In the face of tough competition, continuous innovation in AI technology is crucial to maintaining and increasing stock value. Altman's joining provides an additional potential for innovation that can influence the performance of MSFT stock. Combined Analysis: Synergy of Technology and Finance: The combination of superior technology and stable financial conditions strengthens Microsoft's position in facing the future. Technological innovation is key to reinforcing the company's value, and, therefore, the potential for stock increase. Challenges and Opportunities: Despite Microsoft's solid fundamentals, challenges in AI competition persist. Hence, the company needs to stay focused on innovation and adapt to market developments. With Sam Altman's support, Microsoft has the opportunity to continue leading in AI technology development. This enhancement can play a crucial role in the growth of MSFT stock value; however, long-term success also depends on the company's ability to stay competitive in the dynamic and competitive market.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by fardycurry
💵  E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S           Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative. Next Swing: neutral swing of volatility. Next Wave: sell wave to the range. Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive. Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.          💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E Market Capitalization: 117.558B Release Date: 11/21 BMO Quarter: FQ3'23 _______________________________________________ Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues. Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #4 Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is neutral. _______________________________________________ EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS. EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #2 EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is neutral. _______________________________________________ 📝 S Y N O P S I S  🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.  ⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.  🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise. 🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H Technical Analysis: daily chart. Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data. Press/News: none. Social Media: none. ☝️ P R O V I S I O N The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
NYSE:LOW
by UnknownUnicorn28743597
💵  E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S           Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative. Next Swing: negative swing to support. Next Wave: sell wave to the range. Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive. Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.          💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E Market Capitalization: 110.635B Release Date: 11/22 BMO Quarter: FQ4'23 _______________________________________________ Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues. Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #2 Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive. _______________________________________________ EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS. EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #6 EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive. _______________________________________________ 📝 S Y N O P S I S  🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.  ⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.  🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise. 🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H Technical Analysis: daily chart. Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data. Press/News: none. Social Media: none. ☝️ P R O V I S I O N The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
NYSE:DE
by UnknownUnicorn28743597
💵  E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S           Current 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive. Next Swing: negative swing to support. Next Wave: buy wave to the range. Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive. Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.          💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E Market Capitalization: 152.987B Release Date: 11/23 BMO Quarter: FQ3'23 _______________________________________________ Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues. Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #7 Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive. _______________________________________________ EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS. EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #7 EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive. _______________________________________________ 📝 S Y N O P S I S  🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.  ⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.  🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise. 🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H Technical Analysis: daily chart. Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data. Press/News: none. Social Media: none. ☝️ P R O V I S I O N The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
NASDAQ:PDD
by UnknownUnicorn28743597
💵  E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S           Current 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive. Next Swing: negative swing to support. Next Wave: sell wave to the mean. Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive. Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.          💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E Market Capitalization: 1.218T Release Date: 11/21 AMC Quarter: FQ3'24 _______________________________________________ Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues. Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #1 Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive. _______________________________________________ EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS. EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #5 EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive. _______________________________________________ 📝 S Y N O P S I S  🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.  ⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.  🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise. 🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H Technical Analysis: daily chart. Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data. Press/News: none. Social Media: none. ☝️ P R O V I S I O N The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by UnknownUnicorn28743597
Short Moon Preparing 285 pips long. 286 pips short. Long is in perfect status. Short position is incase for a downtrend. Short position is aligned with MTF. No need for an order block downtrend. Swing High in place. Lighting icon is where the Bull is as it’s moving up with bullish arrows in process. Top white rectangle includes 2 smart money order blocks, trend making its way up. Pin pointed to the value line. Bull has surpassed bottom order block. Long position risk reward ratio pin points to entry which was long ago. Pay attention to short position. As of right now for new traders. No confirmation yet for entry. I’m using short position to confirm entry. While the Bull is still in its BULL-PEN which will brake loose soon. I’ll update when entry is ready. Worst scenario, if entry is made now, you’re still safe. When Bull brakes out, I’ll update. This is usually when traders join the trade. I’m eye balling smart money as well.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
49
NVDA: What to expect for earnings next week?This huge semiconductor has plenty of clout in terms of popularity with retail investors. HFTs are likely to gap on its earnings news which arrives on 11/21, next week. Clearly there are many who are confident NASDAQ:NVDA will meet or beat analyst estimates despite setbacks and restrictions. The run hit resistance and became overextended, so some profit taking is occurring for now. The stock is likely to shift to a tighter consolidation near the high of this platforming range.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
📢   M a r k e t A l e r t💡 Get your technical analysis ready! because earnings are out the door. With only a hundred companies reporting this week and a fraction of that in each of the following weeks I think it's safe to say " there will not be any more fundamentals to push things along this quarter ." 💡Enter technical analysis. Woohoo🗽 💡Eyeing the VIX and VVIX for option plays may be a wise venture to pursue!🔢 🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H Technical Analysis: daily chart. Fundamental Analysis: Earnings Calendar. Press/News: none. Social Media: none. ☝️ P R O V I S I O N The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
AMEX:SPY
by UnknownUnicorn28743597
Shifting Sentiment in DIS Ahead of Earnings?NYSE:DIS stock has struggled this year. However, Accumulation/Distribution on this daily chart shows accumulation over the past several weeks. This is a "shift of sentiment" pattern indicating a better earnings report is likely this time. The sideways trend is compressing and has consistent lows and highs, a common pattern for accumulation. When Accumulation appears well ahead of an earnings report, it usually (but not always) indicates improvement in fundamentals and establishes a base price for the improvement. DIS is a target for HFTs since it's a household name stock that gets a lot of attention in the news.
NYSE:DIS
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Will Companies Like Square (Block) Ever Make a Comeback?Ah yes... I remember the good ol' days of Square (now known as Block). It was one my best investments in my short career as a trader/investor. Way back when, the story was quite obvious: they had created the best solution for small businesses to sell goods & services either in a store or online. It was fast and effortless. The rise of Block, and subsequent drop, has been something to marvel at. I had sold my position many moons ago, but it's remained on my watchlist because I like the company and what it stands for. Some people have given it a very hard time for its rebranding to Block, its new logo, and mission. However, considering that they are payment experts, I think it's notable and worth watching. Nevertheless, can the stock really make a comeback? The chart is horrendous. One factor contributing to this downward trend is the significant acquisition of Afterpay, which required a substantial amount of cash and stock, impacting Block's balance sheet. I still have NO idea why they paid this much to acquire an average company. I guess the hype and FOMO of BNPL really got to them. In August 2021, Block announced its intent to acquire Afterpay, a prominent "buy now, pay later" fintech company. I think the story made sense - it gave them the capability to add their own credit network. However, the sheer size of the transaction was just bonkers. Block currently has a market cap of $28 billion. BUT, they acquired AfterPay for $29 billion! Ouch... the company is now worth less than their recent buyout. It's important to note that such significant acquisitions often take time to yield the intended benefits. The share price decline may be partially attributed to investor impatience and a lack of immediate clarity on how Block plans to integrate Afterpay into its broader ecosystem. The question is simple: will AfterPay ever yield the payout that Block intended it to have? If the answer is anything but "yes - it's happening" there's no reason to trade or invest in this any further. HOWEVER, if there are glimpses that show, just maybe, Block made a smart acquisition, adding a new layer to their payment network that is only just starting, then the return to highs is not far-fetched at all. The trade is simple: watch to see how Block continues to integrate AfterPay, and, it is starts to work, it's worth evaluating further over 1-3 year comeback in share price.
NYSE:SQ
by scheplick
7