Earnings Journal 💵💵💵📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: sell wave to a floor.
Next Swing: positive swing to the deviation.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise for Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #4
EPS Anticipations: negative surprise for EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #5
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is negative, the company trend in Revenues is negative.
📝 S Y N O P S I S
"I expect the market will sell the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, and sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings
Earnings Journal 💵💵💵📶 S I M P L I S T I C A N A L Y S I S
Current Market Trend: neutral/no defined trend.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-5, #3.5
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & positive surprise for Revenues.
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is negative, the company trend in Revenues is negative.
📝 S Y N O P S I S
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal 💵💵💵█ 📶 SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: neutral/no defined trend.
Next Wave: buy wave to the mean.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ 💵 EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/12 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & positive surprise for Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-5, #2.5
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive, the company trend in Revenues is positive.
█ 📝 SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ 🔎 RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
XAUUSD: Next week's gold view
Late gold view: The lower support is this week's low near 1810, no matter when it can be long. The upper resistance is near the high point of 1849 this week, and once the market effectively breaks 1849, there will be a rebound, and it is estimated that it will rise to 1880. If 1849 is blocked, gold will double dip or fall back. The daily line dipped to 1810 on Friday, and peaked at around 1835 in the evening, still very much in line with expectations.
The daily line closed long under the shadow of the Yang line, the trend on Monday to rebound mainly. Daily support near 1820, touching can be long.
If you are confused about trading, please join me, I believe you will have a great harvest!
Gazprom price retracement to the fair value 7th October 2023
Synopsis:
Despite the conflict in Ukraine, Gazprom revenue is growing and currently on its historical high while price dropped to the 2016 level in US dollars. Price to the assets including oil subsidiary is on very low level. Large buyers started accumulating position according to Accum/Dist indicator.
Entry: 1st- 1.5 USD (160 RUB), 2nd - 1.12 USD* (113 RUB)
Target 3.0 USD (300 RUB) and above
Duration: 180d
* Potential new lower low in USD based on historical rubble price
Earnings Journal 💵💵💵█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: neutral/no defined trend.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & positive surprise for Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-5, #3
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is neutral, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/12 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & positive surprise for Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-5, #4
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is negative, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: buy wave to the mean.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-5, #3
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is neutral, the trend in Revenues is neutral.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: buy wave to the rangeline.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence on a scale of 0-5: #3
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is negative, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: buy wave to the mean.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/12 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence on a scale of 0-5: #3
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is positive, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Next Wave: buy wave to a new ceiling.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence on a scale of 0-5: #4
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is positive, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ BACKGROUND </
Research Depth: technical & fundamental glance only.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: buy wave to the mean.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/10 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence on a scale of 0-5: 3.5
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is neutral, the trend in Revenues is neutral.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ BACKGROUND </
Research Depth: technical & fundamental glance only.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Trend: positive.
Next Wave: buy wave to the deviation.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence on a scale of 0-5: 3.5
EPS & Revenue Trend: the trend in EPS is positive, the trend in Revenues is positive.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings hit the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings miss the Wall Street consensus."
█ BACKGROUND </
Research Depth: technical & fundamental glance only.
Buyback Patterns: GSAs the #3 most heavily weighted stock for the TVC:DJI , NYSE:GS was one of the drivers behind the run down this week.
In February, a buyback program of 30 billion was approved. Buybacks probably commenced in March and have been boosting the price up within the trading range until recently. It may be that the buyback money has been depleted.
Goldman Sachs reports Oct 17. Revenues declined last quarter. Earnings are up and down. So probably not a great earnings report for Q3. However, the stock has support at the black line, so it doesn't have huge downside potential.
XOM Short for November ERDaily chart posted. Liquidity pool was forced into the equal highs around $120 and starting to fall right back into $110. If we don't hold this $110 level we should continue the move downward to $100 and lower. I personally noticed that December 15 $100 puts had over 20k in volume today and decided to scoop a few contracts myself. With earnings in early November, we have enough of a catalyst to force a strong move back down into $95 but at least $100 and below.
AAPL Downgraded by KeyBanc: Weak Sales Outlook Raises ConcernsIntroduction:
In a recent development, KeyBanc has downgraded Apple Inc. (AAPL) due to a concerning weak sales outlook. This downgrade has sent shockwaves through the market, prompting traders to reevaluate their positions and consider potential shorting opportunities. In this article, we will delve into the reasons behind the downgrade and discuss why traders should exercise caution when dealing with AAPL.
Understanding the Downgrade:
KeyBanc's downgrade of AAPL stems from their analysis of the company's sales outlook. They have identified certain factors that indicate a potential decline in sales, thereby raising concerns about the stock's future performance. As traders, it is crucial to pay attention to such expert opinions and assess the potential impact on our investment strategies.
Reasons for Weak Sales Outlook:
Several factors contribute to the weak sales outlook for AAPL. KeyBanc highlights the following key concerns:
1. Slowing iPhone Sales: The iPhone has been Apple's flagship product, accounting for a significant portion of its revenue. However, KeyBanc predicts a potential slowdown in iPhone sales due to market saturation and intense competition.
2. Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China have the potential to disrupt Apple's supply chain and negatively impact its sales. Any escalation in these tensions could further hamper AAPL's growth prospects.
The Call-to-Action: Consider Shorting AAPL with Caution
Given the weak sales outlook and KeyBanc's downgrade, traders should approach AAPL with caution. While shorting AAPL may present an opportunity for profit, it is essential to consider the following factors:
1. Conduct Thorough Research: Before initiating any short position, conduct comprehensive research to understand the potential risks and rewards associated with shorting AAPL. Analyze the company's financials, market trends, and competitor performance to make informed decisions.
2. Diversify Your Portfolio: Shorting AAPL should be part of a well-diversified investment strategy. Avoid placing all your bets on a single stock, as this can expose you to unnecessary risks. Diversification helps mitigate potential losses in case the market responds differently than anticipated.
3. Monitor Market Sentiment: Keep a close eye on market sentiment and news updates related to AAPL. Any positive developments or changes in the company's outlook can quickly impact stock prices. Be prepared to adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
Conclusion:
KeyBanc's downgrade of AAPL based on the weak sales outlook highlights potential challenges for the company in the near future. While shorting AAPL may offer profit potential, traders should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Diversification and monitoring market sentiment are essential for managing risks effectively. Stay informed and adapt your trading strategy accordingly to navigate the uncertainties surrounding AAPL's future performance.
Earnings JournalAT A GLANCE
Simplistic Analysis: buy wave to the ceiling.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
Research Depth: technical glance only.
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprises for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-confidence on a scale of 0-5: 2.5
Earnings JournalAT A GLANCE
Simplistic Analysis: reversion up to the mean.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
Research Depth: technical glance only.
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprises for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-confidence on a scale of 0-5: 3
Earnings JournalAT A GLANCE
Simplistic Analysis: reversion up to the mean.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
Research Depth: technical glance only.
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprises for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-confidence on a scale of 0-5: 3.5
Earnings JournalAT A GLANCE
Simplistic Analysis: reversion up to the mean.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
Research Depth: technical glance only.
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprises for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-confidence on a scale of 0-5: 2
Earnings JournalAT A GLANCE
Simplistic Analysis: buy wave to the ceiling.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
Research Depth: technical glance only.
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprises for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-confidence on a scale of 0-5: 2.5
Earnings JournalAT A GLANCE
Simplistic Analysis: sell wave to the floor.
Trade Type: Sell & Hold wait for a close.
Research Depth: technical glance only.
Earnings Anticipations: negative surprise for EPS, positive surprise for Revenues.
Surprise-confidence on a scale of 0-5: 2
Earnings JournalAT A GLANCE
Simplistic Analysis: reversion back to the mean.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
Research Depth: technical glance only.
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprises for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-confidence on a scale of 0-5: 3.5
